Gold Analysis - Can Buyers Push the Price to $4,250?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving within a clearly defined upward channel, with prices consistently adhering to both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. The recent bullish momentum indicates that the buyers are in control, creating a strong possibility for the uptrend to continue in the near future.
Recently, the price broke through a key resistance level and is now retracing to test it again. If this level holds as support, it will further reinforce the bullish structure, and the next target of 4,250 will become attainable, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook will remain intact. However, if the support is broken, the bullish scenario could be invalidated, increasing the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, before making any trading decisions, always confirm your setups and ensure you are managing risk effectively.
M-forex
XAUUSD detects the Cup and Handle patternThe market context on XAUUSD is still clearly bullish. The latest movement has shown a stable recovery, pushing towards the expected channel top. But let's pay attention to what happens at this price level.
The price tested it once... and then bounced down.
It’s coming back...
And now, for the third time, we’re waiting for buyers to defend this level again...
This looks a lot like a Cup and Handle pattern, a strong signal that buyers are building significant bullish momentum.
Now, let’s break it down: The real confirmation comes when the price breaks through the neckline, the resistance level connecting the peaks.
That breakout tells us the change is real! Strong and clear.
And right now, the market is consolidating.
This is the Cup and Handle pattern: a continuation pattern signaling an uptrend. When the price breaks out of the handle, it’s the confirmation that buyers are back, and the new bullish trend is starting.
AUD/CAD: Bearish Drop to 0.9097?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:AUDCAD is signaling a bearish continuation on the 1-hour chart , with price testing a downward trendline and forming lower highs, indicating sustained selling pressure. The entry zone sits near the resistance zone , aligning with the trendline for a high-probability short setup if sellers maintain control.
Entry between 0.9182-0.9200 for a sell position. Targets at 0.9116 (first) and 0.9097 (second) near the support zone for a solid risk-reward ratio. Set a stop loss on a close above 0.922 to protect against an unexpected reversal. Look for confirmation with a break below 0.9182 accompanied by increasing volume, driven by the prevailing bearish momentum.
Fundamentally , tomorrow—Thursday, October 16, 2025—we have the Australian Unemployment Rate report, which could trigger volatility in AUD. Additionally, the Bank of Canada Governor’s participation in a friendly session in Washington tomorrow may influence CAD movements, adding another layer of uncertainty to the pair. 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: 0.9182 – 0.9200 (short setup near resistance & trendline)
❌ Stop Loss: Close above 0.9220
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.9116 (initial support)
TP2: 0.9097 (extended downside target)
What’s your take on this setup? Share below! 👇
XAUUSD – The Uptrend Remains Strongly IntactGold continues to hold above the 4,100 USD/oz zone — a key psychological support level after growing expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates this month.
The technical structure shows XAUUSD is still moving within a clear ascending channel, with each retest of the trendline being strongly absorbed by buying pressure.
It’s highly likely that the 4,100 – 4,120 area will serve as the next accumulation zone before price moves toward the 4,250 USD target.
As long as the Fed maintains its dovish stance and U.S.–China tensions remain elevated, gold’s bullish trend stays firmly intact.
Strategy: Focus on Buy on Dip around 4,100 – 4,120, targeting 4,250 – 4,300 in the short term.
GBPCHF: Price Breach Daily HTLKey Observations
Daily Timeframe:
Price recently tested the daily HTL and made a weak reaction, indicating that buying strength at this level is very lackluster
H1 Timeframe:
Price is breaching the intraday ATL, signals counter-trend move is coming to an end and we're seeing confluence with the daily downtrend
Price is also accelerating away from the EMA band as another signal of momentum picking up
EURUSD Recovers Slightly After Sharp Drop – Trend PendingHello everyone,
After the sharp drop from 1.1670 to 1.1560, EURUSD is showing signs of a mild rebound as price has broken above the temporary resistance around 1.1600 and is currently trading at 1.1623. On the 1H chart, the overall structure remains bearish, but the recent upward swings indicate a potential short-term recovery. FVGs at 1.1600, 1.1620, and 1.1630 serve as key support–resistance zones where price may retest before confirming the next direction. The Ichimoku cloud still leans bearish, but Span A and Span B intersect around 1.1620–1.1630, opening room for sideways movement or slight gains if buying pressure strengthens.
News sentiment continues to impact the pair. Ongoing US–China trade tensions weigh on risk assets, boosting demand for USD as a safe haven and pressuring EURUSD. Expectations of Fed rate hikes keep the dollar strong, while the EU economy faces challenges, particularly in manufacturing and consumption, limiting euro gains in the short term.
Looking ahead, the priority scenario is for price to hold above 1.1600–1.1620, potentially testing stronger resistance at 1.1650 and 1.1670. Surpassing these levels would reinforce the recovery trend, though selling pressure could appear at previous highs. Conversely, failure to maintain above 1.1600 may lead to a retest of 1.1550–1.1570, a critical observation zone for the next rebound or further decline.
What do you think — share your thoughts in the comments!
Risk-Off Sentiment Strengthens, Gold Holds Bullish StructureHello everyone,
Rising US–China tensions are fuelling market volatility, as both sides continue imposing retaliatory tariffs and export restrictions. This escalation has shaken global equities and driven investors back to safe-haven assets like gold. Remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at NABE further boosted expectations for monetary easing, as he hinted at two rate cuts of 25 basis points each within the year. The prospect of lower rates reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, reinforcing its bullish momentum.
During the previous session, gold spiked sharply from 4,090 to 4,180 before slight profit-taking brought it down to around 4,161 — yet it still closed higher than the day before, confirming buyer dominance.
On the 1H chart, the uptrend structure remains intact and orderly. Each bullish impulse creates a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that’s later partially filled — a typical pattern of a strong trending market.
Overall, the macro narrative continues to favour a “risk-off” sentiment, aligning with the prevailing bullish structure. A modest pullback to the 4,150–4,158 zone could offer an opportunity for momentum to rebuild toward 4,185–4,190, and if this resistance breaks, a move toward 4,200–4,220 could quickly follow.
GBP/USD – The Pound’s Uptrend ContinuesAlthough weak wage growth data for August caused the pound to dip slightly on Tuesday, positive signals from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey provide strong support. He emphasized that the BoE will maintain a cautious monetary policy and will not rush to cut interest rates, signaling that rates may remain high for an extended period.
On the chart, GBP/USD is currently showing a strong recovery pattern after touching the 1.3300 support zone, and is moving upwards with the next target at 1.34100. The macroeconomic factors from the BoE are likely to fuel further momentum for the pound, with buyers expected to return strongly.
Trading Strategy:
Buy GBP/USD around 1.33180, with a target towards 1.34100. The pound may continue its upward movement as the BoE’s monetary policy remains supportive.
AUDUSD: Price Holds Below Daily HTLKey Observations
Daily Timeframe:
Price remains below HTL, which signals lack of strength to try and trade above it
Downside momentum is likely to pick up as price is below EMAs and EMA20 is threatening to cross back below EMA60
H1 Timeframe:
Price remains bearish as indicated by it's inability to trade above the EMA band and sustain that momentum
Price crossed back below the EMA band with a strong bearish candle so the entry is based on the current pullback move
KIWI H1 | otential Bearish Reversal off Major Resistance LevelBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 0.5738, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.5768, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5684, which is a pullback support.
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GBPJPY H4 | Sharp Bearish ReversalGBP/JPY is reacting off the sell entry, whichis a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to veto the downside.
Sell entry is at 202.51, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 204.01, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 200.41, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish drop off in play?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 151.60
1st Support: 149.90
1st Resistance: 152.43
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish reversal off multi swing low support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a multi swing low support and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance, which is acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.7947
1st Support: 0.7930
1st Resistance: 0.7991
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and oculd drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5734
1st Support: 0.5686
1st Resistance: 0.5758
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off?Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with rhe 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.6495
1st Support: 0.6469
1st Resistance: 0.6469
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the multi swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.3354
1st Support: 1.3312
1st Resistance: 1.3486
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1620
1st Support: 1.1543
1st Resistance: 1.1720
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 98.91
1st Support: 98.43
1st Resistance: 99.43
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/JPY: Potential Bounce Before Bears Regain ControlAUD/JPY pulled back around 3.1% from its recent high just below the 101 handle, but price has since held above 97.85, showing early signs of near-term strength. A small spinning-top doji formed near the lower end of the range, hinting that dip buyers are starting to step in.
On the 1-hour chart, AUD/JPY has carved out three consecutive higher lows, the most recent appearing as a bullish hammer.
For now, the bias leans toward a minor leg higher before another downside attempt. Key resistance sits between 99.00–100.00, while bears will be watching for a break below 97.85 to target the 97.00 handle and possibly the 96.32 low.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
ASX to continue in the upward move?AU200AUD - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned positive.
The primary trend remains bullish.
8910 has been pivotal.
20 1day EMA is at 8905.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 8913 (stop at 8863)
Our profit targets will be 9063 and 9093
Resistance: 9011 / 9046 / 9075
Support: 9842 / 8910 / 8829
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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GBPJPY starting a new multi-year Bear Cycle.The GBPJPY pair gave us recently (October 02, see chart below) an excellent buy signal on the 1D MA100, which instantly hit our 201.200 Target:
This time we view the market on the longest scale possible, the 1M time-frame, where since August 1990 High, it has been declining under the pressure of a Lower Highs trend-line.
The price is approaching that Lower Highs trend-line again after more than 18 years and in our perspective, sell any rally is the way to go long-term as it has much greater return potential than risk.
The first two Bearish Legs of this pattern (Bear Cycles) have declined by around -55%, the next one was shorter at -37.35%. As a result, we expect a minimum of -37.35% decline from the Lower Highs trend-line, which gives us a long-term Target of 136.000.
It is worth pointing out that the 1M Golden Cross that was priced in December 2023, is a formation that last time it emerged (December 2005), preceded a market Top. Also notice the presence of the 1M RSI Resistance Zone, which is holding since 1990 and when the RSI double tops there, it has been the most reliable Sell Signal.
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EURCAD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURCAD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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AUDCHF: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
AUDCHF
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy AUDCHF
Entry Level - 0.5184
Sl - 0.5177
Tp - 0.5200
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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