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The 2025 structure currently matches ~85% of the 2022 pre-bear Mhistorically BTC often touches EMA89 then retests EMA55 before a bear market and right now the chart structure looks similar to past cycle tops Scenario A – Reclaim EMA55 (Bullish Recovery) Chance: ~35% Must close multiple weekly candles above EMA55 Would signal the bull trend is still intact Correction becomes similar to 2013/2017 mid-cycle crash Bullish targets: $110k $125k $135k final blow-off ============================= Scenario B – Rejection at EMA55 → Full Bear Market Chance: ~65% This is the historically normal outcome. If BTC: fails to reclaim the EMA55, AND closes weekly candles below EMA89 → Then this confirms a macro trend reversal. Bearish targets (based on past cycles): First major support: $72k–76k Cycle bottom zone: $55k–63k Extreme wick target (like 2020 crash): $48k (low probability)
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by YRashed
$ZEC 5-Wave Impulsive End of MoveZcash is one of those things that has thrown me off the most these past couple months. Everything else including CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been nuking, but CRYPTOCAP:ZEC has shown insane strength. It now appears this dino-coin is nearing the end of its run. 🚩 Double Top formed after impulsive 5-wave move. 🚩 Doji Candle followed by Bearish Engulfing on the Daily 🚩 Exaggerated Bearish Divergence on the RSI 🚩 Euphoria has been diminishing from the TL ⚠️ If it loses the 9EMA, this should confirm the next corrective wave down. I like the ideology behind Zcash and what it offers to the market, but it has no right to be pumping with ₿itcoin nuking.
CRYPTO:ZECUSDShort
by jonnieking
3
Newmont’s Uptrend May Be IntactNewmont has steadily rallied in 2025, and some traders may think its uptrend remains intact into yearend. The first pattern on today’s chart is the rebound from last month’s pullback. The gold miner is trying to hold a 50 percent retracement of the move, which may confirm its direction is still pointing higher. Second, NEM is back above its rising 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is still bullish. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those patterns may be consistent with a bullish short-term trend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:NEM
by TradeStation
Aifinyo AG Increases Bitcoin Holdings with New Strategic PurchasAifinyo AG increases its digital asset presence as it buys an additional 2 Bitcoin. The company now holds 30.9 BTC. This fresh purchase reflects rising confidence and a clear commitment to its long-term blockchain vision. The Aifinyo Bitcoin strategy continues to expand as global interest in crypto grows. The company aims to stay ahead as more firms explore digital assets. The German publicly traded firm manages a growing financial technology platform. It helps businesses streamline growth and operational processes. Its decision to deepen its Bitcoin position highlights how traditional companies view crypto. The Aifinyo Bitcoin approach sends a signal about strong conviction and a belief in long-term digital value. Investors watch these moves closely as the market prepares for new cycles. Aifinyo AG understands how strategic adoption shapes financial positioning. Digital assets now influence treasury decisions across industries. The Aifinyo Bitcoin plan shows a shift toward future-focused financial models. More European companies explore similar strategies. The trend grows as Bitcoin gains attention as a treasury asset and a long-term store of value. Aifinyo AG Strengthens Its Corporate Vision Through Steady Accumulation Aifinyo AG builds its reputation as a forward-focused fintech company. The firm increases its crypto holdings in a consistent pattern. This latest addition strengthens its corporate crypto strategy. The company chooses long-term Bitcoin exposure rather than short-term speculation. This approach positions the firm for future growth as adoption expands. The move aligns with an ongoing industry pattern. Public companies add Bitcoin to diversify and protect treasuries. Aifinyo AG plans for resilient financial positioning. Its leadership sees Bitcoin as a strategic asset. The corporate crypto strategy allows the company to move with global technological change. Why Bitcoin Remains a Key Asset for Aifinyo and Other European Firms Bitcoin becomes more relevant in Europe as financial innovation grows. Companies look for alternative assets that store value. The Aifinyo Bitcoin buildup reflects this growing trend. The firm understands how limited supply and global demand create long-term benefits. This belief motivates regular and steady purchases. European fintech companies embrace digital transformation. They test new models that integrate blockchain technology. Bitcoin plays a strong role in treasury planning now. The Bitcoin treasury growth trend expands across several industries. Companies join the wave to strengthen balance sheets and diversify reserves. Regulators across Europe also explore new frameworks. These frameworks support responsible digital asset use. Aifinyo AG works within these evolving guidelines. The firm increases its holdings with clarity and strategic timing. The Bitcoin treasury growth movement gains traction as more firms follow similar steps. Conclusion Aifinyo AG joins a rising wave of European companies that embrace Bitcoin. The firm increases its holdings as part of a clear strategy. This approach highlights belief in digital finance. The corporate crypto strategy builds a strong foundation for the future. The company shows steady growth through calculated decisions. The move strengthens Aifinyo AG’s role in the fintech ecosystem. It aims for innovation and long-term economic resilience. The Bitcoin treasury growth trend continues shaping financial planning. Aifinyo AG stands among early movers that understand global digital adoption. This sets the stage for stronger performance as blockchain innovation expands.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by HCN-News12
$ETH accumulating around $3K?CRYPTOCAP:ETH accumulating around $3K? Spot on it’s coiling at ~$3,100 (up 3.44% short-term, per latest feeds), building steam after the recent dip. Next resistance retest at $3,400 makes sense: that’s the broken support-turned-resistance from early Nov, aligning with the 50-day MA and Fib 0.5 extension. Break it, and we’re eyeing $3,850–$3,900 by month-end (Fusaka upgrade hype + ETF inflows fueling the push). Whale zones at $2,800–$2,400? Bullish af—matches on-chain data where big players scooped $1.37B during the $3,331 breakdown (June highs echoed in Nov buys like Tom Lee’s $63.6M stack today). Wintermute’s loading millions amid the dump, signaling reversal vibes (last time = massive pump). If $2,800 holds (key Fib 0.618 + demand zone), that’s your dip-buy floor before $4K+. Mildly bullish here (70/30 odds on upside) RSI resetting from oversold, HAR dipping but whales countering retail sells. Load on #SorooshX signals if it tests $2,800. Your play? 😎 #ETH #Crypto
by sorooshx
Breakout in progress GALT is starting a breakout after reporting good news at the AASLD liver conference for the #1 untapped market for big pharma, liver cirrhosis. There is prior industry precedent that a buyout could send the stock price into the triple digits. Why GALT’s Fibrosis Data Are Better Than Any Other MASH Company 1. They are showing fibrosis improvement in true compensated cirrhosis (F4) — the population where EVERY OTHER DRUG HAS FAILED. Almost all other “great” fibrosis results in MASH come from F2–F3 populations (Akero, 89bio, Madrigal). Fibrosis moves easily there. But in biopsy-confirmed F4 cirrhosis with portal hypertension, fibrosis essentially does not reverse in modern trials. This is why Gilead, Intercept, NGM, Novartis, Genfit, and Madrigal all failed in this population. GALT is the first to repeatedly show biomarker improvement AND fewer clinical events in compensated cirrhosis. No other company has done that. 2. The magnitude of fibrosis-biomarker improvement is unusually large and consistent across ALL major antifibrotic markers. At 18 months (NAVIGATE): • Pro-C3 reduction: >50% vs baseline This is the main “fibrogenesis” marker. Competitors usually get ~20–30% reduction in easier F2–F3 patients. • ELF score: clinically meaningful drop Again, competitors rarely get ELF improvement in cirrhosis. • FibroScan liver stiffness: improved Liver stiffness almost always worsens in F4 patients. Belapectin produced improvement. • YKL-40 / other collagen markers: improved Indicates reduced macrophage-driven scarring. What’s unique: Other companies may improve one marker (e.g., ALT, MRI-PDFF, or PRO-C3), but GALT shows simultaneous improvement across the entire fibrosis parameter set in cirrhosis. That has not been replicated by any other company. 3. Only GALT has shown a link between fibrosis biomarkers → portal pressure improvement → fewer cirrhosis complications. This is the reason the field is paying attention. HVPG (portal pressure) improvement Belapectin produced meaningful drops in HVPG — the FDA’s gold-standard surrogate for preventing variceal bleeding, ascites, transplant, and death. No other MASH drug has ever shown a consistent HVPG improvement in cirrhosis. Reduced clinical progression Belapectin-treated patients developed fewer new esophageal varices, which is the #1 warning sign of impending decompensation. This matches the HVPG signal. It matches the biomarkers. This “full chain” alignment is unmatched: Fibrosis biomarkers improve Portal pressure decreases Varices occur less often Disease stays compensated Other companies haven’t shown this chain — not even close. 4. The 36-month follow-up CONFIRMED the benefit keeps going — something almost no MASH drug has ever shown. At 36 months: • New varices incidence: 12.4% at 2 mg/kg vs 23.4% placebo The advantage persisted for 3 years. This is extremely rare in cirrhosis. • Biomarker improvements remained stable PRO-C3, ELF, liver stiffness all stayed improved. Durability is critical: Many drugs show an early signal that disappears later. Belapectin’s signal strengthens with time. No other MASH drug has shown a 36-month antifibrotic durability signal with matching clinical outcomes. 5. Mechanistically, belapectin is the only drug directly targeting activated macrophage–galectin-3 fibrosis architecture. Other drugs target: Fat reduction (Madrigal) Metabolic pathways (89bio, Akero) FGF signaling Lipid metabolism Inflammation Those help in F2/F3 — but not in F4. Belapectin targets the scaffolding of fibrotic architecture itself by inhibiting galectin-3 on activated macrophages. This mechanism explains why: • GALT works in cirrhosis but others fail. • Biomarker improvements line up across every fibrosis marker. • HVPG drops. • 36-month clinical progression slows down. It’s the right mechanism for the right stage of disease. 6. The field desperately needs a drug for compensated cirrhosis — and GALT is alone. Every other company is fighting over: F2/F3 Early fibrosis Resmetirom-like mechanisms MRI-PDFF reductions Triglycerides ALT normalization Body-weight changes But none of that matters in F4. Regulators, hepatologists, and payers want something that: Slows portal pressure rise Prevents varices Delays decompensation Reduces need for transplant Only belapectin has shown all of that together. THE SIMPLE ANSWER GALT’s fibrosis data are better than any other MASH company because they succeed exactly where every other program has failed: reversing fibrosis biology, lowering portal pressure, and slowing clinical progression in real compensated cirrhosis — with signals that persist out to 36 months and are consistent across all major biomarker categories. No other company in MASH has shown: deep PRO-C3 reduction ELF improvement liver stiffness improvement HVPG reduction fewer varices 36-month durability in true F4 cirrhosis with a fibrosis-architecture mechanism GALT is alone in that category.
NASDAQ:GALTLong
by LGALS3
USD/JPY Facing Intervention Risk?The USD/JPY pair is trading around 155.40 today as the dollar gains ground against the yen amid a shift in risk sentiment and fading expectations of a near‑term rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The yen recovered slightly but remains under pressure after the pair hit multi‑month highs near 155.90; Japanese officials are signaling concern over the weakness and rising volatility in the currency market. So while the Yen has room to weaken on the back of rate differentials and fiscal consternation in Japan, further the risk of Japanese FX intervention is increasing, which could act as a ceiling on upside for the pair. In the above chart, USD/JPY rates have finally breached the February 2025 swing high near 155, the culmination of a two-week effort to scale resistance. Momentum continues to point higher, with USD/JPY well-supported by its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on pullbacks. The 2025 high at 158.88 is now in focus; a drop below the 20-day EMA would suggest that the rally has run out of steam.
by tastyfx
APT 4H – Stablecoin-heavy L1, swing long from local baseAptos is trading around $2.9 with a market cap near $2.1B, still down ~85% from the $19.9 ATH. At the same time the chain carries ~$512M TVL and ~$1.27B in stablecoins (almost half of that in the RWA token BUIDL). That’s a lot of liquidity for a token this depressed. Over the last month APT is up ~+10%, and on several recent days Aptos briefly beat both Ethereum and Solana by net stablecoin inflows. The main fundamental driver is the Aave V3 launch on Aptos (first non-EVM deployment) plus an institutional staking narrative (Everstake + Paribu Custody). The big overhang is still tokenomics: ~11–12M APT unlocks each month in 2025 and generally high inflation vs current on-chain demand, plus the controversial “freeze” function at protocol level. Technical view (#4h) On the 4H chart APT has been in a controlled downtrend from the 3.7–3.8 area and recently put in a local low near 2.63–2.65, right on my lower ATR / demand zone. Now: Price is reclaiming the short EMA and pressing into the 4H EMA band from below around 2.9–3.0. Below sits a well-defined support shelf at 2.60–2.65; above are stacked supply/FVG levels around 3.16–3.20 and a larger cluster near 3.8–3.9, which coincides with higher-TF EMA and previous breakdown zone. My 4H system has flipped from pure deviation mode to an early trend-reversal long: oversold extension + first reclaim of the EMA band. I treat this as a swing-long attempt from a local base inside a bigger bearish cycle, targeting a move back into the prior distribution zone. Trade plan (swing 3–10 days) Entry: around 2.90–2.95 (current price area). Main target: 3.30–3.35 – first 4H supply band and old support. Extended target: 3.80–3.85 – upper supply zone and confluence with higher-TF resistance. Stop / invalidation: below 2.63–2.65. A confirmed 4H close under this level would mean the current base failed and I step aside instead of averaging down. This gives roughly 3:1 R:R toward the extended target. Fundamental context Aptos is a Move L1 with strong stablecoin presence: ~$1.27B in stables and ~$512M TVL, plus meaningful RWA share (BUIDL ≈44% of stablecoin cap). Aave V3 on Aptos is the first non-EVM deployment for Aave, anchoring a more “institutional” DeFi narrative on this chain. Institutional staking partnerships (Everstake + Paribu Custody) support the idea of APT as a staking asset, but not yet as a clear “number go up” token. Main risks: continuous monthly unlocks (~11M+ APT), inflationary supply vs demand, and competition from larger L1s (Sui, Solana) with bigger TVL and higher chain revenue. Alternative scenario If APT loses 2.63–2.65 and starts closing 4H candles below this zone on rising volume, I’ll consider the current long thesis invalid and look for a deeper capitulation / deviation toward 2.4–2.2 before reassessing. No averaging into unlock-driven selling. Not financial advice – just how I’m structuring a 4H swing long on APT around strong on-chain liquidity and Aave V3, while respecting the heavy tokenomics overhead.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
The Future of the Crypto Ecosystem: Will Bitcoin Rise Again?Following Trump’s directive to support digital currencies, Bitcoin surged from around $69,000 to a peak price around $126,000. But after a period of major turbulence, Bitcoin began to lose value. Based on monthly Ichimoku timeframe analysis and Andrews’ Pitchfork , our models suggest Bitcoin could fall back to around $70,000 in the coming period. We expect this downward trend to continue until early 2027. The big question is: what happens after that? Will Bitcoin re-value and recover, or will it get stuck around these low levels, potentially threatening thousands of smaller altcoins?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by shabpa94
2
UNI 4H – Post-UNIfication consolidation longUniswap remains one of the key DEX protocols: TVL is around $4.5B and 30-day DEX volume is roughly $94.6B, which keeps Uniswap at the top of the sector by liquidity and fee generation. Over the last 30 days UNI is up ~+22%, with a sharp acceleration in November (70%+ week) after the UNIfication proposal: enabling protocol fees and burning up to 100M UNI (~16% of supply). That fundamentally changes expectations for UNI as a value-accrual token rather than “governance only”. On derivatives, UNI trades with deep liquidity: OI ≈ $560M, ~ $1.16B futures volume and ~$220M spot per 24h, so larger positions can enter/exit without severe slippage. Regulatory tail risk also eased earlier this year when the SEC closed its investigation into Uniswap Labs without charges. Technical setup (#4h) After the vertical post-UNIfication spike into the 10–11 area, UNI has been digesting the move in a sideways 4H range roughly between 7.3 and 8.1: Price is hovering around the 4H EMA band; on higher TFs (1D–3D) UNI still trades above the main EMAs, keeping the broader uptrend intact. Multiple tests of the lower part of the range (7.3–7.5) have been bought back, with my PRICE_EMA long signals firing near the lower deviation/ATR zone. Overhead, a major supply/OB cluster sits around 10–10.5, which also matches the prior spike highs and HTF resistance. I view this as a post-news consolidation above support within an emerging bullish trend. Strategy context This trade comes from my 4H EMA-based swing system (trend-following mode): The system focuses on buying pullbacks to the EMA band during strong momentum phases and targeting prior liquidity zones. Sample of 30+ trades on alts shows roughly ~70% win rate with average winners larger than losers, at the cost of relatively wide stops and multi-day holding times. UNI currently fits the “momentum + consolidation on EMAs” template for this system. Trade plan (swing 3–10 days) Entry zone: ~7.5–7.7 (current spot around 7.6–7.7). Main target: 10.2–10.3 – retest of the post-UNIfication spike high and upper supply block. Stop / invalidation: below 6.8–6.9 (under the lower ATR band and recent local lows). A 4H close below this zone would mean the consolidation broke down and the “second leg” scenario is off. This gives a rough R:R of ~3.5:1 from entry to the 10.2–10.3 target. I’ll look to trail partial size if price breaks and holds above 8.5 (orange level) with strong volume, but the core idea is to catch one clean extension from the current range into the upper resistance cluster. Fundamental snapshot Key bullish points: UNIfication: proposal to turn on protocol fees and burn up to 100M UNI (~16% supply), aligning Labs, Foundation and DAO economics and finally connecting UNI to protocol cash flows. Strong fee engine: Uniswap generates ~$1.25B annualized fees, ~$100M in the last 30 days, currently all going to LPs – a large “pool of value” that fee switch can redirect partially to UNI. Sector leadership: ~$94.6B 30-day DEX volume and deep liquidity in UNI markets (tens of millions in depth), making it one of the core DeFi blue chips. SEC case closed: investigation into Uniswap Labs ended without charges, cutting a major tail risk. Key risks: UNIfication is not fully implemented yet – parameters of fee switch and burn (LP share vs DAO vs burn) can still change and may trigger LP outflows. DeFi / DEX tokens as a group still trade at a discount vs L1s, and Fear & Greed is in Extreme Fear territory. UNI is still ~−80% below its $44 ATH, so structurally it’s early in any potential new DeFi cycle. Alternative scenario If UNI breaks down and starts closing 4H candles below 6.8–6.9 with no new positive catalysts on UNIfication or DeFi sentiment, I’ll treat this setup as invalid and stand aside, watching the 6.0–5.5 area for a deeper retrace and fresh structure before considering new longs. Not financial advice — just my structured 4H EMA swing long on UNI, combining the current consolidation pattern with system stats and the UNIfication fundamental narrative.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
Salesforce May Be SlidingSalesforce has limped despite the broader market climbing. Now some traders may see risk of a bigger slide in the software company. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since mid-May. That could suggest sellers outnumber buyers. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is below the 100-day SMA. Both are below the 200-day SMA. Such a configuration, with faster SMAs under slower ones, could reflect a long-term downtrend. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) recently crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those signals may be consistent with a short-term downtrend. Fourth, CRM bottomed at $249.04 on October 29 and peaked near that level on November 12. Has old support become new resistance? Finally, traders may see risk of a move toward the 52-week low below $230 if weakness continues. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:CRM
by TradeStation
Megaphone Broadening Top Likely on SPXOver the last few months, the market has been increasingly difficult to trade as it searches for direction. Stop losses were triggered for longs on Oct 10, and shorts were equally liquidated on the run up beginning Oct 27th. What has formed is a broadening top, confirmed by two points of touch on each side of the pattern. Broadening patterns can go in both directions, but supporting information suggests this is the end of the bull market: On the weekly chart, there is a MACD cross. There is a clearly defined 5 wave structure from the October 2022 bottom. It is a textbook example of Elliot Wave Theory. Multiple analysts have shown that stock valuations are near historical extremes. It is highly likely that the market is in an AI bubble. How am I trading this? I have sold all long positions. I am swinging puts that I will close out at the bottom of the megaphone. Once a breakout occurs, a pullback is highly likely to follow, even going so far as to return inside the pattern (60% of the time). If a pullback does occur, I'll load up on long dated puts to profit off a potential bear market.
SP:SPXShort
by Cryptogold14
JUP 4H – Deviation long from lower rangeJUPUSDT (Bybit) is trading near the lower end of its autumn range after a clean 4H downtrend from the 0.33–0.34 area. My 4H EMA deviation system has just printed a long signal as price extends away from the higher-timeframe averages. Technical setup (#4h) Price is below the 4H, 1D and 3D EMAs, with Dev% on multiple TFs showing strong downside extension (high single-digit / low double-digit % below the mean). We’ve just tagged a new local low around 0.25–0.26 with several multi-TF exhaustion markers firing near the lower ATR band. Overhead, the first liquidity pocket and resistance cluster sits around 0.26–0.28, with a larger supply/FVG zone and EMA confluence around 0.30–0.31. I treat this move as a late leg of the existing selloff and a potential mean-reversion opportunity back into the 4H EMA ribbon and prior supply. Strategy stats (this 4H deviation system) Backtest/forward sample: 33 trades, all longs Win rate: ~69.7% (23 wins / 10 losses) Avg PnL per trade: ~+4.1% Avg winning trade: ~+10.0% Avg losing trade: ~−9.6% Avg bars in trade: ~34 bars on #4h (≈ 5–6 days), with losers typically lasting longer than winners The system is built to catch oversold 4H swings with a relatively high hit rate and symmetric win/loss size, so sticking to invalidation levels is crucial. Trade plan (swing 3–7 days) Entry: around 0.26 (current long triggered in this area). Main target: 0.300–0.305 — previous 4H supply zone and confluence with the EMA band. Stop / invalidation: below 0.247. A 4H close under this level would mean the current demand failed and opens the door toward deeper supports around 0.23–0.22. This setup offers roughly 3:1 R:R from entry to the 0.30–0.305 target. Fundamental snapshot (Jupiter) Jupiter is the main DEX aggregator and perps venue on Solana. Over the last 30 days: Protocol fees / revenue are roughly $78.8M / $19.0M, showing a robust on-chain business across spot + perps. Governance approved a burn of ~130M JUP (~4% of circulating supply) from the Litterbox Trust (vote passed on 4 Nov 2025). Token unlocks continue on a scheduled basis (e.g. ~53.47M JUP on 28 Oct 2025), keeping some overhang in the short term. November 2025: launch of the Jupiter ICO / launchpad platform, adding another product line on top of swaps and perps. Saros DLMM integration is aimed at deeper liquidity for JUP and ecosystem pairs. Net read: cash-flow-positive DeFi infra with upcoming product catalysts, but short-term price still sensitive to unlocks and derivatives positioning — a good environment for volatile swings and mean-reversion trades. Alternative scenario If unlock / derivative selling pressure accelerates and JUP starts closing 4H candles below 0.247, I’ll consider this idea invalid and look for a new deviation long lower in the 0.23–0.22 zone rather than averaging down. Not financial advice — this is my structured 4H EMA deviation long on JUP, combining system stats with current Jupiter fundamentals.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
SUI 4H — Deviation long into unlock risk (mean-reversion setup)Got a fresh long signal from my 4H EMA deviation strategy on SUIUSDT (Bybit). After a persistent downtrend from the 2.3–2.0 area, price has flushed into my lower deviation / demand zone and is now extended from the main EMAs on several timeframes. On the chart (#4h): – Price is trading well below the 4H and 1D EMAs, Dev% on multiple TFs shows strong extension away from the mean. – We just printed another local low with a cluster of my multi-TF “exhaustion” signals, right on the lower ATR band. – Above price sit the first liquidity pockets around 1.66–1.69 and then a larger supply/FVG zone near 1.75–1.83, aligned with the 4H EMA ribbon. – I treat this move as a liquidation / unlock front-run leg inside a still-resilient higher-TF range for SUI. Strategy stats (for this 4H deviation system) 31 trades, all longs: – Winrate ≈ 83.9% (26W / 5L) – Avg win ≈ +12.5%, avg loss ≈ −6.6% → avg R:R ≈ 2.37 – Avg holding time ≈ 24 bars on #4h (about 4 days) So the system is designed to take oversold 4H swings and ride the mean-reversion back into the EMA band / supply zones over 2–5 days. Trade plan (swing 2–5 days) – Entry: around 1.60–1.62 (current long triggered near 1.61). – Main target: 1.75–1.77 — first 4H supply zone and mid of the previous distribution block. – Extended target: 1.82–1.83 — upper boundary of the 4H supply cluster and confluence with higher EMA/ATR levels. – Invalidation: 4H close below 1.48. That break would mean the current demand zone failed and I step aside. This gives an R:R of roughly 1:2 from entry to the extended target. Fundamental snapshot SUI is still holding in the upper part of its yearly range despite the recent correction. Over the last 30 days: – TVL around ~$3.03B (≈$1.64B bridged, ~$1.39B native), with strong DEX volume (~$383.5M/day) and perps volume (~$144.3M/day). – Narrative tailwinds: upcoming USDsui native stablecoin from Bridge (Stripe-backed), institutional rails via Crypto.com custody/liquidity, and the Mysticeti v2 core upgrade from Mysten Labs. – Headwinds: notable November unlocks (~$146.6M pool), TVL pullback of ~15% from the October peak and sector-wide risk-off in L1/alt space. Net read: structurally positive fundamentals and growing ecosystem, but short-term risk is higher due to unlocks and derivatives positioning — ideal conditions for sharp but tradeable mean-reversion moves. Alternative scenario If unlock selling and risk-off pressure continue and SUI starts closing 4H candles below 1.48, I’ll treat this as a deeper leg toward the next demand around 1.40–1.35 and will wait for a new deviation signal rather than averaging down. Not financial advice — just a structured 4H deviation long based on my system stats and current SUI fundamentals.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
SYRUP 4H — Deviation long (Maple Finance)SYRUP (Maple Finance) printed a strong flush on the 4H chart and is now trading in my first demand / deviation zone after breaking down from the 0.42–0.45 range. Fundamentals remain constructive: – AUM > $5B in Q3, up ~66% QoQ. – Q3 revenue around $4M with an October ATH of ~$2.16M. – 25% of protocol revenue is allocated to SYRUP buybacks and staker rewards (MIP-018/019), directly linking the token to cash flows. So we have a fundamentally supported DeFi credit token going through a short-term deleveraging move. On the 4H chart: – Price is trading below both 4H and 1D EMAs, with Dev% showing clear oversold conditions vs the mean. – The last leg down came with a vertical selling cluster into the lower ATR band. – Above price, the key liquidity zones are 0.422–0.423 (broken support + EMA area) and 0.44–0.445 (supply cluster / range high). I treat this as a potential mean-reversion setup rather than a fresh downtrend start. Trade plan (swing 1–5 days) – Long area: 0.395–0.405, with optional partial add on a spike toward 0.38. – Main target: 0.422–0.423 — retest of broken support and the 4H EMA region. – Extended target: 0.44–0.445 — upper supply zone and range high. – Invalidaton: 4H closes below 0.355. Stop goes under this level; if it breaks and holds, the setup is done and I wait for a new base lower (0.334–0.31). This gives an approximate R:R of ~1:2 toward the main target and higher if the extended target is hit. Alternative scenario If DeFi risk keeps unwinding and 0.355 fails to hold, I expect price to explore the 0.334–0.31 area, where a new accumulation zone may form. In that case this long idea is invalid and I’ll re-map the structure before looking for the next entry. Not financial advice — just my 4H EMA deviation swing framework combined with current fundamentals on Maple Finance.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
Patterns and colors - Moving averages, fib channel, parallels BTC at recent ATHs was unable to break through key upper resistance in Sept-Oct from a parallel channel originating from the 2018 bull top and the 2023 lows. It is about to test the mid point of that parallel channel which happens to coincide with the 100day moving average (100M/red line). Traditionally price trends upward finding support at the 50M during a bull market. Once price confirms below the 50M, history shows price will descend towards or even test the 100M (red, start of bull trap) followed by significant bounce up to the upside (yellow circle- 20M drops below 50M, completing the bull trap), quickly followed by a flush to the down side (capitulation). If this plays out again, price is likely to retest lower fib parallels and hover around the 200M. Note* - each time the 200M bottom is reached, a new lower fib channel is introduced and price is extended further along the x-axis, whether that plays out this time remains to be seen. A caveat in this setup is that typically the percentage change from red circle to yellow circle, the bull trap, is ~45-60% which would put price back at ATHs? In this model the bull trap, from red to yellow circle would roughly be a 20-30% correction to the upside before ultimately flusing to the downside. To negate this previous pattern setup I'm assuming this longer bull run is likely exhausted after 3 notable pumps/bull flags since the 2022-2023 200M accumulation and is likely due for a larger pull back. However if more free money is introduced to the system (stimulus checks, lower interest rates, etc) then all bets are off, or rather, reevaluated. Yellow - 20M tends to cross below 50M (green) at height of bull trap, bull market if above 50M Green - 50M provides support in bull market, if price goes below, start of bull trap the retest Red - 100M last warning to sell if price crosses below, or buy if price crosses above Blue - 200M always accumulate here
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by natenash
Death Cross - Contrarian BuyRarely does the death cross actually provide a meaningful sell signal given its lagging components and, in some cases, can end up being a better buy signal. I think this is one of those times where META death cross is providing another meaningful buy signal as the price is well below the 200-day moving average. A similar setup was provided in April of this year after the tariff tantrum; this time it's on concerns post Q3 earnings on AI spending return model. I see price safely returning above the 200-day moving average, then slow grind higher back above the 50- and 100-day moving average would have to be assessed but possible as it was climbing back from April lows. I give this setup a $700 price target which would be respectful under this framework to exit the trade.
NASDAQ:METALong
by Audacity618
1
Visa May Be CrumblingVisa has been rangebound for months, but some traders may think it’s starting to head lower. The first pattern on today’s chart is the consolidation period between late July and mid-November. At the beginning of the period, V’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA) was above its 100-day SMA. Both were above the 200-day SMA. Things were just the opposite at the end, with the faster SMAs below the slower ones. That included a “death cross” of the 50-day SMA under the 200-day SMA, which may suggest the longer-term trend is getting bearish. Second, the Wall Street Journal reported on June 13 that large retailers were exploring the use of stablecoins. V gapped lower on that news and has remained below it since. Third, MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may be consistent with a bearish short-term trend. Next, V is trying to hold the August 7 low of $328.70. Traders may watch a potential break of that support line as a signal for steeper downside. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:V
by TradeStation
EUR/USD’s November Rally Starts to FadeEUR/USD is moving lower to start the week with the pair trading below 1.1600. The market continues to shift back into a more defensive posture after last week’s retracement in risk appetite. On the Euro side, comments from ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos that inflation risks remain and that external pressures including tariffs and sovereign stress could complicate the outlook did little to help sentiment. The remarks underscored that the ECB sees limited room to ease policy but offered no new support for the currency. Across the pond, the U.S. Dollar is seeing gains accumulate against its major counterparts as traders prepare for the release of delayed inflation and labor market data following the government shutdown. With the backlog about to clear the market (September U.S. nonfarm payrolls are due out on Thursday, November 20) is reassessing December Fed cut odds and leaning towards no cut. In the above chart, EUR/USD rates have found resistance near 1.1670, where the pair failed at the end of October. From a technician’s perspective, the inability to breach the area around the late-September swing lows/late-October swing highs keeps intact the trend of lower highs and lower lows. EUR/USD is seeing momentum fade now that the uptrend from the November low has started to break, with the pair below its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and 50-day EMA, both of which have negative slopes.
by tastyfx
Disney May Face DownsideWalt Disney spent months in a narrow range, and now some traders may see downside risk. The first pattern on today’s chart is the $108.66 level. It was the low on May 12 after positive trade news drove the broader market higher. The media giant stayed above that price until last Thursday, when it crossed below it on heavy volume. Has support broken? Second, DIS spent months in a narrow range before the move. Escaping that pattern may increase the potential for a move. Third, prices are now below the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages. Next, some traders may view the May 7 price gap below $100 as a potential area to revisit. Finally, DIS hasn’t made a new 52-week high since June 30 or a new all-time high since March 2021. That may reflect relative weakness when contrasted with the broader market’s strength over the same period. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:DIS
by TradeStation