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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Technical Analysis – Key Levels & TargetsAfter analyzing the charts: • Price shows bearish divergences across multiple timeframes. • On the Daily chart, price reached the top of the Ascending Channel, a level respected several times in the past. • Head & Shoulders pattern is clearly visible. Recent Price Action: • Last Friday, after multiple declines from 4621, price broke down to 4536 (1st target). • Currently, price is retesting the right shoulder on the 2H chart (resistance zone 4621.16) and is back inside the 4H Ascending Channel. Scenarios: 1. Bullish: Break & trade above 4621 → next target 4687.50 2. Bearish: Rejection from 4621, breakdown below 4569 → targets 4531 (1st) and 4400 (final) Trading Tip: • Trade only after a confirmed break above 4621 or below 4569. • Always prioritise capital protection over profit.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Cabeero
AUDCAD- Daily Bird's- Eye View | Tracking PhaseFrom the daily bird’s-eye perspective, I’m waiting for distribution back into mid-term accumulation. The focus is on how price behaves once it reaches those levels — specifically whether they hold and produce a clear change in character. Until that confirmation appears, there’s no urgency to engage. This is a tracking phase, not an execution phase. ➡️ HTF context: Daily overview ➡️ Area of interest: Mid-term accumulation ➡️ Confirmation: Change in character ➡️ Edge: Patience and tracking Patience is key. Tracking is the edge.
Long
by Juicemannn
USDCAD- HTF Continuation | Tracking PhaseSeeking continuation on the higher-timeframe leg as price expands. On the minor framework, price is collecting sell-side liquidity (SSL) and rotating into a minor accumulation zone. Once mitigation is complete, I’ll be looking for a lower-timeframe structure shift back into HTF alignment before considering execution. Until that confirmation shows, there’s no rush — the focus is on tracking behavior, not forcing entries. ➡️ HTF bias: Continuation ➡️ Minor context: SSL draw → accumulation ➡️ Execution: After mitigation + LTF shift ➡️ Edge: Tracking, not anticipation Patience is key. Tracking is the edge. Let’s go.
Long
by Juicemannn
USDCHF - Post Mid- Term Shift | Advanced Bullish ModelFollowing the flow after a mid-term structure shift. The lower high was breached, confirming a change in intent, and an advanced bullish model is now in play. This is a high-difficulty environment (5⭐), so execution is secondary to alignment. I’m focused on how price reacts around key levels as we continue through the delivery cycle. No forcing, no chasing — just letting structure and behavior guide the next decision. ➡️ Context: Mid-term shift confirmed ➡️ Trigger: LH breach ➡️ Model: Advanced bullish framework ➡️ Focus: Reaction at key levels ➡️ Edge: Tracking the flow, not prediction Patience is key. Tracking is the edge. Let’s go.
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD- Post --Sweep Monitoring | Accumulation PhasePrice has completed a liquidity sweep, and I’m now monitoring volume reactions as the market collects courtyard liquidity and rotates back into full accumulation. At this stage, I’m expecting a potential shift toward delivery, but there’s no stress and no chasing. The only job here is to watch the tape and let smart money reveal intent through structure and displacement. Until that confirmation shows, I remain patient. ➡️ Context: Sweep → Accumulation ➡️ Focus: Volume response & tape behavior ➡️ Execution: Only after confirmation ➡️ Edge: Tracking, not forcing Patience is key. Tracking is the edge. Let’s go.
Long
by Juicemannn
EURGBP - 7H Bird's-Eye View | Patience Before SizeFrom the 7H bird’s-eye perspective, price has already distributed into a strong higher-timeframe accumulation territory. Within that environment, I participated with point buys during the minor bullish legs, targeting internal highs as part of the ongoing delivery. That said, the full mid-term structure shift has not yet completed. Until we see a clear mid-term shift followed by controlled pullbacks, I’ll remain selective and patient. Full position size only comes after structure confirms, not before. Until then, the job is simple: track price, study behavior, and let the cycle complete. ➡️ HTF context: Accumulation ➡️ Current participation: Minor bullish legs only ➡️ Full exposure: After mid-term shift + pullback ➡️ Edge: Tracking, not forcing Patience is key. Tracking is the edge. Let’s go.
Long
by Juicemannn
CADJPY - Bullish Framework | Patience Before DeliveryPrice remains bullish on the higher-timeframe scale, with the mid-term and minor structure aligned within the same cycle. We’ve seen price mitigate the mid-term order block (orange), followed by an initial expansion, leaving clear footprints of where distribution is likely to occur. Current bearish momentum is contextual, occurring as price rotates back into a higher-timeframe accumulation area, not as a trend reversal. From this zone, I’ll be tracking internal structure and displacement for confirmation of renewed buy-side intent. Buy executions are only valid once price confirms delivery from accumulation — until then, patience is the edge. ➡️ Bias remains bullish ➡️ Focus is on tracking, not forcing entries ➡️ Execution comes after confirmation, not anticipation
Long
by Juicemannn
Short trade 30min TF overview Trade Journal Entry — Sell-Side Execution Pair: BTCUSDT Date: Sun 17th Jan 2026 Time: 9:30 AM Session: NY Session AM Execution TF: 5-Minute (refined from HTF bias) Trade Type Sell-Side (Short) Execution Levels Entry: 95,159.6 Take Profit: 94,077.3 (−1.13%) Stop Loss: 95,300.5 (+0.14%) Risk–Reward: 7.68R 🧠 Sentiment & Market Narrative (NY Session AM) Market sentiment during the NY Session AM was bearishly skewed, with price action reflecting distribution rather than accumulation. Despite earlier session attempts to stabilise, BTC failed to reclaim premium pricing. The market engineered liquidity above recent intraday highs, encouraging late buy-side participation before swiftly rejecting those levels. This behaviour is characteristic of smart-money sell-side positioning, where upside is used as liquidity fuel rather than continuation. The rejection from the premium coincided with a shift in order flow, marked by bearish displacement and a break in the lower-timeframe structure. This confirmed that bullish momentum was exhaustive, not expansive. From a session perspective: The London session built the liquidity framework (range highs and inducement) New York AM acted as the execution engine, converting buy-side liquidity into downside expansion Broader sentiment favoured risk-off positioning, with market participants fading strength rather than bidding pullbacks. This aligns with a distributional environment, where price is magnetised toward sell-side liquidity resting below the range rather than continuing higher. Overall, sentiment strongly supported a sell-side continuation model, validating short exposure with tight risk and asymmetric reward.
Short
by davidjulien369
4
GBPJPY Weekly Outlook GBPJPY Weekly Outlook — Scenario-Based Analysis Important Disclaimer Overview FOREXCOM:GBPJPY enters the week in a transitional phase, where prior bullish momentum is being tested rather than extended. Multiple analytical frameworks — geopolitical context, global macro positioning, technical structure, and Elliott Wave analysis — suggest increased downside risk, but no outcome is guaranteed. The goal of this report is not to call a top, but to identify where asymmetry currently exists and where risk may be better defined than reward. 1. Global & Geopolitical Context (Why Volatility Risk Is Elevated) Japan: Event Risk Concentration This week includes a Bank of Japan rate decision, outlook report, and press conference. These events should be treated as one extended volatility window, rather than isolated releases. Key considerations: Market positioning remains skewed toward JPY weakness Even minor changes in language or forward guidance can lead to temporary or sharp repricing Outcomes range from: short-lived spikes to deeper corrective moves to full invalidation of current technical setups None of these can be ruled out in advance. United Kingdom: Sensitivity to Disappointment UK data releases this week (labour, CPI, PMIs) add headline risk to GBP pairs. Importantly: Positive data does not necessarily translate into sustained appreciation Negative surprises may amplify downside if technical structure allows This creates an environment where GBPJPY becomes reactive, not trend-driven. 2. Higher-Timeframe Technical Context (8H / 4H) From a structural perspective: The broader trend has been bullish However, recent price action shows loss of momentum and reduced trend quality This does not automatically imply reversal — but it does suggest that: Continuation requires new acceptance Failure to regain momentum may lead to corrective behaviour At this stage, the market is deciding, not confirming. 3. Elliott Wave Perspective (Context, Not Certainty) Impulse Completion — A Possible Interpretation On higher timeframes, price action can reasonably be interpreted as a completed 5-wave advance, ending near: 214.289 This interpretation is valid but not exclusive. Elliott Wave is inherently subjective and must always be treated as one model among many. If this count is correct: The market may be transitioning into a corrective phase Corrections can be shallow, deep, brief, or complex If the count is wrong: Price acceptance above prior highs would invalidate it entirely Current Working Scenario: ABC-Type Correction Using lower timeframes, price action can be mapped as a potential ABC correction: Wave A: 214.289 → 210.769 Wave B: retracement toward 212.838 (~61.8%) This structure is consistent with corrective behaviour, but remains conditional. 4. Conditional Price Projections (Not Targets) Based on proportional relationships often observed in Elliott structures: Scenario -> Reference Level Wave C ≈ Wave A -> ~209.318 Extended correction -> ~208.358 Deeper correction -> ~207.148 These levels should be viewed as areas of interest, not objectives the market “must” reach. 5. Trade Framework (If — Then Logic) Primary Working Bias (Conditional) If price remains below 214.30 And if pullbacks show weak momentum and rejection Then downside continuation remains a plausible scenario Example Execution Framework Entry consideration: 212.30 – 212.85, only on rejection Invalidation: sustained acceptance above 214.30 Risk management: partial exits, reduced size, event-aware execution What This Framework Does Not Do It does not assume inevitability It does not predict timing It does not override price confirmation 6. Key Risks to This View This entire framework becomes weaker if: Price regains acceptance above the prior high Momentum expands on the upside Event-driven volatility produces sustained bullish follow-through In such cases, standing aside is a valid and often optimal decision. Final Remarks GBPJPY currently presents a defined-risk environment, not a high-certainty trade. The convergence of macro sensitivity, technical fatigue, and a possible Elliott transition increases downside asymmetry, but does not eliminate alternative outcomes. The objective is not to be right — it is to be positioned where risk is knowable and invalidation is clear This report is not a prediction and does not constitute financial advice. All market analysis is probabilistic, not certain. Price levels, scenarios, and structures discussed below represent conditional frameworks, not guarantees. Markets can and do invalidate even the most robust technical or macro structures. Risk management and independent decision-making remain essential.
Short
by JudasSwingClub
ALGOUSDT From Distribution to Re-Accumulation PhaseALGOUSDT experienced a rising wedge breakdown that triggered a sharp decline, nearly retesting the wedge base and tapping into the external demand zone. Price reacted strongly from this area and has since transitioned into an ascending broadening wedge, which remains in play. A retest of the pattern is still expected. The primary plan is to accumulate near the external demand zone and hold for a move back toward the upper boundary of the external supply zone.
Long
by weslad
11
Selling Nas100Nasdaq100 Daily time frame we are on a bullish momentum but as you can see price action still respected the daily bearish imbalance or a resistance 25800. -create a new high sweeping liquidity but did no displacement of a body candle. We can see also the aggressive bearish candle stick creating a brand new lower low and a market structure shift. 4H S got a rejection and still respected the 25800 level of resistance and form a lower high 1H we have a slow bullish movement showing a retracement and again creating an aggressive candle stick. Confirmation LIQUIDTY SWEEP BREAK OF STRUCTURE Change in state of delivery And an imbalance If price respected the bearish FVG price will move up
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Greatharvester