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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

**UPDATE** XAU/USD 13 January 2026 Intraday Analysis **Please ignore previous analysis as H4 CHoCH was repositioned** H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to my analysis dated 12 January 2026 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action. This is how price printed. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,630.190. Alternative scenario: Price to again continue bullish. Note: The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market. Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings. Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to my analysis dated 12 January 2026 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either M15 or H4 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,630.190. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish. Note: Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions. With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common. Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 13 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to my analysis dated 12 January 2026 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action, however, CHOCH positioning has remained the same. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,630.190. Alternative scenario: Price to again continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action. Note: The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market. Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings. Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to my analysis dated 12 January 2026 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either M15 or H4 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,630.190. Alternative scenario: Price to continue bullish to reposition ChOCH for H4 timeframe. Note: Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions. With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common. Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
MGC Context: Intra-Period Development & BCOM Absorption AnalysisRelated Tickers: COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026, COMEX:GC1!, CAPITALCOM:DXY Analysis 1. Market Context (Developing Profile Period) We are observing the development of the Current Profile Period above the previous session’s value. • The Structure: Auction is exhibiting Initiative Activity above the Value Area High (VAH) . OTF participants are finding value at higher levels despite BCOM rebalancing. • The Behavior: No "Look Above and Fail" yet; the market is Building Value at elevated levels, shifting the perception of "fair price." 2. Inventory & Nuance (BCOM Money Flow & Acceptance) • Mechanical Pressure: Tracking ~$1.4 billion in mechanical sell-side flow in the current profile. • Absorption Signature: Market is Accepting Price above the 4,600 pivot . High-volume nodes near the range top confirm buyers are absorbing the robot selling. • Inventory: Long-Stretched inventory. Lack of an Excess Tail at highs suggests the upside auction is incomplete. 3. Fundamental Catalyst (CPI Decision Point) • Upcoming Profile Impact: US CPI Data (20:30 WIB) will dictate the next Directional Move . • Scenario A: Weak CPI targets a Trend Day profile toward the next Distribution above ATH. • Scenario B: Hot CPI triggers Range Extension to the downside, testing the Friday POC at 4,480 . Plan & Execution • Bias: Bullish Initiative . • The Play: Monitoring for Acceptance with Volume above the 4,612 Initial Balance High . • Invalidation: Failure to maintain trade above the 4,580 High Volume Node signals BCOM flow has gained control. Talk to you for the next update. Note : BCOM = Bloomberg Commodity Index
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
MNQ Daily Analysis and Replay - Monday January 12 2026 - part 4Awful day for me in real time, much needed study time and reflection. 2-2 / -$12 on this replay revisiting it later that night. -------- As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution. This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by stephdruss_61
BTC: Volume is there — no resultHi traders and investors! On the daily timeframe, the market remains in a sideways range. The downside target is 83,722. Yesterday’s candle formed on higher volume than Thursday and Friday of last week. The volume was accumulated in the upper part of the candle; however, there was no result compared to previous candles, and the close occurred below the volume accumulation area. This indicates a lack of effectiveness from the buyer. On the hourly timeframe, a sideways range is also present, with a target at 89,694. Based on the structure of the daily and hourly timeframes, as well as the ineffective daily candle with strong volume accumulated in the upper part, the priority scenario appears to be a price decline toward the new daily level at 89,311, along with a move toward the hourly range target at 89,694. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
by AlexeyWolf
GAIL (India) Ltd – Bearish view🧠 Trade Thesis: The recent upswing appears to be a probable bull trap, with price rejecting from the upper band of resistance. A prior pivot low has been decisively broken, confirming bearish structure and weakening bullish momentum. The setup aligns with a mean reversion play, targeting the Higher Time Frame Demand Zone below. The dotted projection and annotated rejection candle reinforce the bearish bias, suggesting limited upside and increased probability of downside continuation. 🔍 Technical Confluence: - Supply zone rejection with low conviction candles. - Supply zone in confluence with 21 DEMA - Broken pivot low confirms bearish intent. - Stop loss placed above the trap zone to avoid false triggers. 🛡️ Risk Management: Trade is invalidated if price sustains above ₹172.01. Monitor for volume spikes and candle strength near resistance to confirm trap behavior.
NSE:GAILShort
by the_sailor_trader
SOLUSDT M15 HTF FVG Rejection and Bearish Continuation Setup📝 Description CRYPTOCAP:SOL failed to reclaim recent highs after an impulsive move and is now consolidating below key M30 FVG zones. The price action appears corrective, with downside liquidity still acting as the main draw.________________________________________📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bearish while price remains capped below the M15 supply and FVG rejection zone Preferred Setup: • Entry: 140.05 • Stop Loss: Above 140.50 • TP1: 139.30 • TP2: 138.42 • TP3: 137.72 (HTF draw / lower liquidity) ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Rejection from stacked M30 FVGs confirms valid short-term supply • Current structure aligned with a corrective retracement before continuation • Liquidity resting below recent lows remains the main magnet ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary CRYPTOCAP:SOL is showing signs of exhaustion after failing to reclaim higher structure. As long as price remains below the defined supply zone, downside continuation toward lower PD arrays is favored, with targets aligned to internal and HTF liquidity. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment With expectations of a stronger USD driven by this week’s US data, risk appetite remains weak. As a result, crypto assets like SOL are vulnerable to downside, with any rebounds likely corrective. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
DAX 40 - Not too late to the partyThe DAX 40 is already 6 daily candles into a major bullish breakout - but there is still time to participate Setup Bullish - record high / range breakout Strong breakout from 8-month trading range RSI in bullish overbought territory Above 20/50/200 SMAs Commentary The former range resistance at 24500/600 is now support if the breakout is to hold. After 5 green days above the breakout level - it looks confirmed. Can now wait for a dip from overbought territory to join the new uptrend. Strategy Buy dip to 25k Buy dip to 24500/600 But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas OR send us a request! Cheers, Jasper Disclaimer: The communication does not constitute investment or trading advice, nor does it include any recommendations. Additionally, it does not serve as an offer or solicitation to engage in transactions involving financial instruments. WeTrade does not take responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided, nor for any outcomes that may occur as a result of the actions taken.
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by jasperlawler
Dow Jones Industrial Average H1 HTF FVG Support and Continuation📝 Description CAPITALCOM:US30 is holding above a higher-timeframe H4/H1 demand zone after a corrective pullback from recent highs. Price respected the BPR and FVG support area and is now stabilizing, suggesting the move is corrective rather than a trend reversal. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the H1 BPR. Preferred Setup: • Entry: 49,130 • Stop Loss: Below 49,050 • TP1: 49,240 • TP2: 49,380 • TP3: 49,520 (HTF draw / higher liquidity) ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Reaction from H4/H1 BPR confirms valid demand • No bearish HTF BOS observed • Upside liquidity above recent highs remains the primary draw ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary Dow Jones Industrial is consolidating above key HTF support after a controlled retracement. As long as price remains above the identified demand zone, the expectation favors continuation toward higher liquidity levels in line with the prevailing bullish bias. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Overall risk sentiment remains supportive for equities, with no immediate macro catalyst signaling aggressive risk-off behavior. In this environment, pullbacks into HTF demand are more likely to resolve as continuation moves rather than deeper trend reversals. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by TFlab
XRPUSDT M30 HTF Liquidity Grab and Mean Reversion Pullback Setup📝 Description CRYPTOCAP:XRP is trading after a sharp sell-off that swept prior sell-side liquidity, followed by stabilization above the local lows. Current price action shows compression and base-building behavior inside short-term PD arrays, suggesting the move is corrective rather than impulsive continuation to the downside. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the recent liquidity sweep low and the M30 demand base Preferred Setup: • Entry: 2.036 • Stop Loss: Below 2.032 • TP1: 2.043 • TP2: 2.067 • TP3: 2.102 (HTF draw / upper liquidity) ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Clear sell-side liquidity sweep before stabilization • No confirmed bearish BOS after the dump • Upside targets align with unfilled FVGs and prior inefficiencies ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary CRYPTOCAP:XRP appears to be transitioning from a liquidity-driven sell-off into a corrective recovery phase. As long as price remains supported above the swept lows, the probability favors a controlled bullish push toward higher PD arrays. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Market sentiment remains neutral with selective risk appetite in altcoins. In the absence of strong negative catalysts, liquidity sweeps are more likely to resolve into rebounds rather than sustained downside continuation. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Long
by TFlab