ICNTUSDT Buy-Back Zone in FocusICNTUSDT is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining its broader bullish structure. However, the recent breakdown below the immediate dynamic trendline signals shortterm weakness and opens the door for a corrective move toward the proposed buy-back zone.
This demand area is technically significant and expected to act as a strong reaction zone. A successful hold and bullish response from this region would validate continuation within the ascending channel, with upside targets projected toward the $1 psychological and structural level.
Price behavior around the buy-back zone will be critical for confirmation and risk management.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Synthetix (SNX), 150% move to market structure
Timeframe: Weekly chart
SNX has been doing what most altcoins do when nobody’s watching: slowly bleeding to death, then occasionally coughing up a dramatic candle just to keep you emotionally invested.
This is a high-risk, speculative setup. Not predicting enlightenment, we’re betting on the possibility that sellers have finally tired themselves out and the next meaningful sell pressure comes from buyers taking profit higher, not from fresh panic dumping down here.
Key Levels
Support (Base Zone)
$0.45 – $0.55: Current stabilisation area / local floor.
Bulls want to see price hold, consolidate, and print a higher low inside/above this zone.
Invalidation
Meaningful weekly close below ~$0.40 (or a clear breakdown to new lows).
If that happens, this isn’t a base, it’s just SNX finding a new basement.
Resistance levels
These are reaction zones, not destiny.
T1: ~$0.77 (Market Structure / Test Point 1)
This is the first serious overhead level and the clean “~150% move” objective from the base region. If SNX can’t reclaim this area, you’re looking at a bounce… not a reversal.
T2: ~$2.58 (Major Supply / Test Point 2)
Next big resistance band. If price gets here, expect violent chop and profit-taking — because that’s what supply zones are for.
T3 (Stretch): ~$3.00 – $4.10 (Upper Resistance Zone)
The larger overhead zone (upper blue band area). This is the “full rotation” target where optimism returns and people start tweeting rocket emojis again.
Conclusion
SNX is sitting on a meaningful support band after an ugly selloff. The bullish thesis is purely structural: hold the base → mean reversion toward $0.77 (market structure / ~150%+), and if momentum truly flips, $2.58 becomes the next major test. If support breaks, the idea is invalid. No loyalty, no cope, no speeches.
Ww
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Disclaimer
I can't believe I still have to write this. You would not believe the messages some folks write, "you said.. now I've lost my parents inheritance". This is not financial advice. It’s a technical opinion on a chart. Basically me looking at squiggly lines and pretending they have feelings. Nothing here is guaranteed, nothing here is a “signal,” and if you treat it like one, that’s on you.
Crypto can move 30% because someone tweeted an emoji. It can also drop 90% while you’re making a cup of tea. Manage your risk, size properly, use stops that respect volatility, and assume you’re wrong by default because markets don’t care about your hopes, your timeline, or your rent.
I may hold a position at any time, and this idea can be invalidated without warning. If you lose money, don’t message me like I stole it. You clicked the buttons.Parallel Channel
SUIUSDT 30m LTF BSL Reaction and Pullback Setup📝 Description
BINANCE:SUIUSDT has pushed into a local liquidity high and is reacting below the HTF range high. The current move shows exhaustion after a sharp upside leg, suggesting a corrective pullback rather than continuation.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish while price holds below the LTF BSL and 30m supply
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.803
• Stop Loss: Above 1.816
• TP1: 1.786
• TP2: 1.778
• TP3: 1.767
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Reaction from LTF BSL
• No valid bullish BOS after last pullback
• Downside liquidity still untouched
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🧩 Summary
As long as price remains capped below local highs, a corrective pullback toward lower M30 PD arrays is favored.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Although Core CPI came in below expectations, the market quickly reversed, showing the USD has not lost meaningful strength. Risk appetite remains weak, keeping SUI biased to the downside in short-term.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
EURJPY smart money is here!Hi! A financier is at the screens - today I’ll show you the trade I entered.
In front of us is the EURJPY chart.
First, it’s worth noting that the inverse chart JPYEUR looks very weak. This tells us that the euro is indeed stronger now, and we may see growth.
Second, in mid-December we had a similar structure. I’ve highlighted these structures with a blue rectangle.
Inside these rectangles, an accumulation schematic based on Wyckoff formed. This suggests that we have potential for a reversal and solid upside. It’s also worth noting that the structures are similar to each other and exhibit fractality.
So overall, I opened a long position, aiming to trade it up to the high where we have a liquidity shelf.
NZDUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 0.57500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 125%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Gold M15 FVG Hold and Continuation Setup📝 Description
TVC:GOLD is consolidating above a short-term FVG after a strong impulsive leg. Price is holding structure and showing acceptance above intraday support, suggesting continuation rather than distribution.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the M15 FVG base
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 4,586
• Stop Loss: Below 4,573
• TP1: 4,601
• TP2: 4,612
• TP3: 4,629 (ATH liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Clean impulsive leg with shallow pullback
• FVG acting as valid support
• Upside liquidity remains intact
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🧩 Summary
As long as price holds above the intraday FVG, continuation toward higher liquidity and ATH extension remains the favored scenario.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Despite near-term USD strength, safe-haven demand and macro uncertainty keep gold supported. Any pullbacks are likely corrective, with upside continuation favored as markets remain sensitive to growth risks and policy uncertainty.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
**UPDATE** XAU/USD 13 January 2026 Intraday Analysis **Please ignore previous analysis as H4 CHoCH was repositioned**
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 12 January 2026 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action. This is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,630.190.
Alternative scenario: Price to again continue bullish.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 12 January 2026 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either M15 or H4 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,630.190.
Alternative scenario:
Price could potentially continue bullish.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 13 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 12 January 2026 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action, however, CHOCH positioning has remained the same.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,630.190.
Alternative scenario: Price to again continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 12 January 2026 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either M15 or H4 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,630.190.
Alternative scenario:
Price to continue bullish to reposition ChOCH for H4 timeframe.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
MGC Context: Intra-Period Development & BCOM Absorption AnalysisRelated Tickers: COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026, COMEX:GC1!, CAPITALCOM:DXY
Analysis
1. Market Context (Developing Profile Period)
We are observing the development of the Current Profile Period above the previous session’s value.
• The Structure: Auction is exhibiting Initiative Activity above the Value Area High (VAH) . OTF participants are finding value at higher levels despite BCOM rebalancing.
• The Behavior: No "Look Above and Fail" yet; the market is Building Value at elevated levels, shifting the perception of "fair price."
2. Inventory & Nuance (BCOM Money Flow & Acceptance)
• Mechanical Pressure: Tracking ~$1.4 billion in mechanical sell-side flow in the current profile.
• Absorption Signature: Market is Accepting Price above the 4,600 pivot . High-volume nodes near the range top confirm buyers are absorbing the robot selling.
• Inventory: Long-Stretched inventory. Lack of an Excess Tail at highs suggests the upside auction is incomplete.
3. Fundamental Catalyst (CPI Decision Point)
• Upcoming Profile Impact: US CPI Data (20:30 WIB) will dictate the next Directional Move .
• Scenario A: Weak CPI targets a Trend Day profile toward the next Distribution above ATH.
• Scenario B: Hot CPI triggers Range Extension to the downside, testing the Friday POC at 4,480 .
Plan & Execution
• Bias: Bullish Initiative .
• The Play: Monitoring for Acceptance with Volume above the 4,612 Initial Balance High .
• Invalidation: Failure to maintain trade above the 4,580 High Volume Node signals BCOM flow has gained control.
Talk to you for the next update.
Note :
BCOM = Bloomberg Commodity Index
MNQ Daily Analysis and Replay - Monday January 12 2026 - part 4Awful day for me in real time, much needed study time and reflection. 2-2 / -$12 on this replay revisiting it later that night.
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As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
MNQ Daily Analysis and Replay - Monday January 12 2026 - part 3As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
MNQ Daily Analysis and Replay - Monday January 12 2026 - part 2As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
BTC: Volume is there — no resultHi traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, the market remains in a sideways range.
The downside target is 83,722.
Yesterday’s candle formed on higher volume than Thursday and Friday of last week. The volume was accumulated in the upper part of the candle; however, there was no result compared to previous candles, and the close occurred below the volume accumulation area. This indicates a lack of effectiveness from the buyer.
On the hourly timeframe, a sideways range is also present, with a target at 89,694.
Based on the structure of the daily and hourly timeframes, as well as the ineffective daily candle with strong volume accumulated in the upper part, the priority scenario appears to be a price decline toward the new daily level at 89,311, along with a move toward the hourly range target at 89,694.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
MNQ Daily Analysis and Replay - Monday January 12 2026 - part 1As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.






















