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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

XAU/USD 12 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to my analysis dated 05 January 2026 where I mentioned price will continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,550.150 Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4601.695. Alternative scenario: Price to continue bullish in order to reposition CHoCH closer to more recent price action. Note: The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market. Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings. Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price did not print according to my analysis dated 05 January 2026 with price printing a bullish BOS. Price is currently trading within a swing low and fractal high with CHoCH positioning denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either M15 or H4 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,610.695. Alternative scenario: Price to continue bullish to reposition bearish CHoCH. Note: Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions. With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common. Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Sell-Side Bias Favored at Daily PremiumDAILY 4H Price is currently trading into daily premium and interacting with buy-side liquidity near the recent highs. While a 4H CHoCH has formed, the displacement occurred directly into prior supply without clear acceptance. Until the daily closes strong above the highs, upside continuation remains unproven. Failure to hold above the broken high would increase the probability of this move resolving as a buy-side liquidity sweep, opening the door for downside rotation toward sell-side liquidity near 154.50. Bias favors the sell scenario unless daily acceptance confirms otherwise.
by nazariteee
2
DXY: seller priority, buys only locallyLet’s take a look at the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), starting from the higher timeframes. Hello traders and investors! Higher timeframe (3-month) On the 3-month chart, a broad sideways range has been forming since 2018. In April 2022, price broke above the upper boundary of this range, but later that same year the seller pushed the index back into the range. Another attempt to break higher followed, which resulted in the formation of the 106.952 level. In 2024–2025, this level was manipulated on strong volume — volume distribution shows that the main activity was concentrated above 106.952. In 2025, the seller pressed through this manipulation and returned price below 99.099. The target of the seller’s initiative on this timeframe is 89.2029. It is also important to note that the last two 3-month buyer candles look weak: they produced no meaningful result, and price failed to even consolidate above 99.099. Conclusion: on the higher timeframe, there are no grounds for buying — priority remains with selling. Weekly timeframe On the weekly chart, the seller’s initiative remains intact. The upper boundary of this initiative is 101.513. Special attention should be paid to the 100.043 level, where a de facto double top has formed. From a market logic perspective, the optimal scenario for short positions would be a move above this level, followed by manipulation, and only then a renewal of the local low at 95.804 and a possible continuation lower. An additional area of interest for shorts on the weekly timeframe is 101.513, the upper boundary of the seller’s initiative. Daily timeframe On the daily chart, the market is in a range, while the active initiative remains with the seller. The current target of this initiative is 96.767. Previously, position accumulation took place near the upper boundary of the initiative, which is now being defended by the 98.952 level. At the same time, the decline stalled at the 50% level of the trading range, after which price moved higher. Sell scenario on the daily timeframe: — seller defending 98.952 — target: 96.767 At the same time, an alternative short-term scenario should be considered. Around the 50% level of the trading range, there was also prior accumulation, and we now see price breaking upward from this area. Therefore, local long positions are possible in the short term, with the goal of updating the local high at 100.04. If price breaks above 98.952 and consolidates higher, the probability of reaching 100.04 becomes more relevant in the short term than a move toward the seller’s target at 96.767. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
GBP/NZD – Daily Potential 900-Pip Short Setup GBP/NZD has been trading inside a broad daily range, repeatedly respecting both premium and discount extremes. Price is currently trading at the upper boundary of the range, inside a clear premium zone, where previous buying momentum has struggled to follow through. This area represents: Prior daily highs Clear buy-side liquidity Repeated failed continuation attempts From a market-maker perspective, this is a high-probability area for distribution rather than expansion. Liquidity Narrative Buy-side liquidity above recent highs has either been partially or fully engineered Price is now extended, with diminishing bullish displacement Smart money typically seeks maximum short exposure at these levels Once buy-side liquidity is absorbed, the natural next objective is a re-pricing into discount, targeting resting sell-side liquidity below.
Short
by Jabu_Souls07
SPX 0DTE trend/momentum following setup. Double and triple confirmation before taking 0DTE trades. I personally like 0DTE only. I know with my system on any trade 30%-35% is usually where the SELL signal appears and to size my positions accordingly. The BUY signals winners all varying but I tend to take some profit around 30%-35%. I use a few different indicators to simultaneously confirm which direction to follow. In doing this, it avoids taking trades during froth or that end up immediately being rug pulled. The indicators are: 1. Lux Algo- Smart Money Concepts. ( I only use the discount, premium, and equilibrium zones. As well as the weekly/monthly high and low enabled.) 2. Supertrend (set to my risk preferences) 3. Dynamic Swing Anchored VWAP- 200 day swing period and 30 day adaptive price tracking (Green line) > The only periods this switched to a weekly sell was during 2001/2008 4. 200 SMA (White line) *Using Heikin Ashi candles. Those remain the same for all time frames and hey all need to correlate in order to enter a trade. Only then are trades solely in that direction placed. For instance: If Supertrend and Dynamic Swing Anchored VWAP are a buy on the Weekly and 4-Hour charts, then it is CALLS ONLY and using the 5-minute chart to enter following the Supertrend signal. Above the 200SMA is even further confirmation. If all of that were to stay the same but it was signaling to buy while in a PREMIUM zone, that cancels it out completely. Joy of missing out of the froth/rug pull. I take the time to mentally recharge. Wait for my system to align. That premium zone is usually spot on. While it might get extended on shorter time frames or sit there for a few weeks on the weekly chart, I have yet to see it be wrong. Following with a retrace back around the equilibrium zone or closest support. It is helpful to see how overextended the market gets sometimes and while it might lag when encountering a median reversion play, it is pretty quick to confirm the trend/momentum and allow for a more calculated play. Adjusting position size slightly based on trend strength. It catches dip buys and rip sells upon confirmation. Entries can be tweaked for longer expirations than 0DTE, but I choose not to hold anything over night. Just thought I'd share going into the new year. Only thing I will be paying attention to is supply and demand. No more news at all. Shit is just aggravating and speculating leads to more losses for me than it does gains. Following trend/momentum + taking profit and cutting losses equals my account stability and growth. Not financial advice- just some guy and his personal strategy.
SP:SPX
by mikeandrayboogie
2
Gold Context: Structural Resilience & The Inflation GauntletRelated Tickers: COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026, COMEX:GC1!, CAPITALCOM:DXY Analysis 1. Market Context (Weekly Recap & Setup) The second week of 2026 closed with a powerful display of Responsive Buying . After a healthy mid-week pullback, Gold (MGC) caught a bid and finished the week strong near 4518 . • Structure: The Friday close created a solid base above previous value. We have successfully reclaimed the 4500 psychological level . • The Nuance: Trading above 4500 shifts the auction to Initiative . The ATH is now the primary magnet. 2. Inventory & Nuance (Support Clusters) • The 4500 Pivot: Line in the sand. Trade above confirms dip buyers are in control. • Friday POC (4480): If 4500 fails, we test the Friday POC at 4480 . This is the "fairest price" from the Friday auction. • GEX Profile: Sustained trade above 4500 could trigger a Gamma Squeeze toward 4550 . 3. Fundamental Catalyst (The Inflation Gauntlet) The week of Jan 12–16 is packed with high-impact data. • Tuesday, Jan 13: US CPI (20:30 WIB). Expect Headline 2.7%. High MoM = USD Tsunami. • Wednesday, Jan 14: US PPI & Retail Sales . Weak sales = Gold rocket. • Fed Speak: Multiple officials (Bostic, Kashkari, Williams) speaking. Clues for the Jan 28 meeting are critical. Plan & Execution • Bias: Bullish Initiative above 4500. • Scenario A (ATH Run): Acceptance above 4500 targets 4550 and ATH. • Scenario B (Rotation): Failure at 4500 targets 4480 . Look for Responsive Buying there. • Invalidation: Sustained trade below 4420 kills the bull case for now. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026Long
by Ken_Kissaki
GBP/JPY Bullish Anticipating GBP/JPY to continue with bullish momentum, on Friday 1/9/2026 market closed with a bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe. Market also has resting liquidity sitting between the 212.000 -212.250 quarter points. Price could potentially retrace back down to the 211.250 QP and sweep the resting sell side liquidity before continue to push up for a new HH. Will be monitoring long entry between 211.408 - 211.323 where latest 1H order block sits. Will await for LTF CHoCH to return bullish if there is a retrace to collect sell side liquidity at given buy zones. This is not financial advice but just my analysis based on multi-timeframe market structure and confluences presented thus far and pending to be seen.
Long
by Norvoski_
1
USDCAD: Where to look for short setupsHi traders and investors! Daily timeframe. The buyer has broken above the upper boundary of the daily sideways range. However, if we continue to follow the medium-term bearish scenario for USDCAD, with targets at 1.354 and then 1.34, formulated on the monthly timeframe (see the related post), the current structure still allows for seeking short positions. Key sell zones, where both daily and monthly levels overlap: 1️⃣ Resistance zone 1.39248–1.39608 This is the first active zone on the daily timeframe where the seller may reassert control and form a sell setup. 2️⃣ Resistance zone 1.40148–1.40518 The second zone. Short setups are also possible here, provided there is a clear seller reaction and pattern formation. 3️⃣ Return into the daily sideways range: The seller may prevent the buyer from developing the initiative, push the price back into the daily sideways range, and absorb the buyer candle that broke above the upper boundary. In this case, the priority would still be to look for short positions. The daily range target at 1.373 would serve as the main reference. At the same time, there is a high probability that the price may not reach this target, with the buyer potentially resuming activity around 1.3806 or near the 50% level of the trading range. Scenario invalidation: If the price firmly holds above the second range, serious questions arise about whether the seller is truly ready to push the price lower. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
by AlexeyWolf
POLUSDT Relief Bounce vs Bearish ContinuationPOLUSDT remains in a well-defined falling channel, with overall structure still favoring downside continuation. Price is currently staging a relief rally, pushing into a crucial supply zone that will act as a major decision area. A clear rejection from this zone would align with the prevailing bearish structure and favor continuation toward the highlighted downside targets. Conversely, a successful break and acceptance above supply could invalidate the bearish channel and trigger a stronger upside rally. Reaction at this level will be key in determining the next directional move.
by weslad
1
Zcash: Range market, seller initiative, conditions for buyingHi traders and investors! On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range, with the current initiative remaining on the seller’s side. Seller targets are located in the 301.14–299 area. Previously, buyers attempted to start an upward move, but the 50% level of the trading range (524.02) prevented the price from holding above it. As a result, the buyer initiative was stopped, and the price moved into a decline. Within the current structure, two key scenarios can be identified for searching for long positions. Buying from the 476.76 level. Longs should only be considered if the price holds above 476.76. This would signal a return of buyer activity and a potential continuation of movement within the range. Buying after liquidity is collected below. A move below the lower boundary of the range with liquidity taken below the two extremes 301 and 299, followed by a return of the price back into the range (above 299). In this case, conditions for searching for long positions will appear. The target for longs in both scenarios is the 560 area. Until one of these conditions is met, the priority remains on a wait-and-see approach. Local short opportunities can be considered on the hourly timeframe. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
by AlexeyWolf