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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Short trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: ETHBTC Direction: Sell-Side Trade Date: Thu 30 Oct 25 Time: 12:00 pm Session: NY Session PM Timeframe: 1 Hour 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 0.03498 Profit Level (TP) 0.031992 (+ 8.75 %) Stop Level (SL) 0.03523 (– 0.71 %) Risk–Reward (RR) 12.24 R 🔸 Technical Context Wyckoff Structure: ETHBTC remains in Phase E, completing distribution and entering the markdown sequence. The pair broke consolidation support following repeated up-thrusts (UTAD) at premium pricing. Market Structure Shift: CHOCH confirmed bearish control after rejection from resistance (0.0359–0.0362). BOS validated breakdown continuation toward the 4 hr FVG (0.0337 – 0.0333). Phase E now marked by consistent lower highs and liquidity draws below structural lows. Liquidity Targets / Zones: Primary Target: 0.0319 (4 hr FVG + order block confluence). Extended Objective: 0.0300 — deep demand and liquidity resting zone. Resistance Zone: 0.0359 – 0.0362 (previous supply area). Volume Profile: Increasing sell-side volume through breakdown candle; institutional participation confirmed by accelerated momentum at liquidity breach. 🔹 Narrative & Bias Following weeks of compressed distribution, ETHBTC finally confirmed bearish continuation through Phase E progression. The setup aligns with BTC dominance re-expansion and risk rotation away from ETH as capital flows toward Bitcoin safe-haven liquidity. Sentiment Context: Macro: Altcoin weakness amid USD resilience and broader market risk aversion. On-Chain: ETH exchange inflows rising → evidence of distribution. Technical: Repeated failures to reclaim resistance zone confirmed bearish supply control. Projection: Price expected to extend toward 0.0320 and potentially 0.0300 as the final liquidity objectives beneath September lows are met. Any re-accumulation likely to form only after a full mitigation of the FVG zone (0.0331 – 0.0319).
Short
by davidjulien369
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair / Symbol: ZS (Zscaler Inc) Direction: Buy-Side Trade Date: Tue 7 Oct 25 Time: 7:45 am Session: LND Session AM Timeframe: 1-Day Metric Value Entry 291.56 Profit Level (TP) 375.42 (+28.79 %) Stop Level (SL) 286.09 (–1.85 %) Risk–Reward (RR) 15.54 R 🔸 Technical Context Structure: Higher-timeframe break of structure (BOS) through prior swing-high resistance. Price respected the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (Fib support) and reclaimed previous supply now turned demand. Fibonacci Confluence: Targets extend to 1.618–2.618 expansion levels (355 → 410 → 486 zones), aligning with historical resistance clusters. Momentum Indicators: Volume expansion and EMA slope confirm renewed institutional demand post-pullback. Macro Trend: Sustained up-channel from 2023 lows; structure suggests continuation into Q4 2025 with rotation toward previous all-time-high (486). 🔹 Narrative & Bias Zscaler remains a leader in cloud-security and zero-trust network access. The breakout follows a series of higher-lows within a well-defined accumulation base. Institutional flows appear to be returning to cybersecurity and AI-linked SaaS stocks ahead of U.S. earnings season. Fundamental Backdrop: Expansion of AI-driven MDR and SOC solutions increasing client retention. Sector rotation favouring defensive tech during market uncertainty. Projection: Expect price continuation toward the 1.618 Fib extension (≈ 355–376) initially, followed by potential mid-term target ≈ 410–486 should bullish sentiment persist into late Q4 2025.
NASDAQ:ZSLong
by davidjulien369
META — Possible Macro Peak, Bearish Year AheadMeta may have completed its long-term C wave after reaching new all-time highs at the top of the macro channel. The structure now shows emerging bearish sequences on lower timeframes , hinting that the next yearly cycle could be corrective or bearish rather than impulsive. While the theoretical WCL sits far below (around 350–400), such a deep retracement would imply a 50% drop — an extreme but technical possibility. A more realistic path could be a 20–30% macro correction as the market digests Meta’s extended rally and rebalances valuation. Key Points: Macro C wave completed at the upper channel boundary. Lower timeframe sequences turning bearish. WCL remains the ultimate downside target, though not the base case. Expect a potentially bearish or corrective year ahead for Meta, within the long-term bullish structure. Invalidation: If price reclaims the 780–800 zone and breaks above the red B high, bearish structure fails.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by SmellyTaz
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Symbol: AAPL (Apple Inc.) Direction: Buy-Side Trade Date: Fri 10 Oct 25 Time: 11:00 am Session: LND to NY Session AM Timeframe: 1 Hour 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 248.43 Profit Level (TP) 278.00 (+11.88%) Stop Level (SL) 243.56 (–1.98%) Risk–Reward (RR) 6.0 R 🔸 Technical Context Structure: Price broke out from an extended accumulation zone with confirmation from a BOS (Break of Structure) and Demand Zone Retest on the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes. The move aligns with a strong fair value gap fill and retest of the order block around 244–245, which acted as a springboard for the next impulsive leg. Fibonacci Expansion: 1.618 projection → 261.30 (short-term target) 2.618 projection → 267.60 (intermediate) 3.618 projection → 274.00 (high-probability swing) 4.236 projection → 277.92 (extended TP) Volume Confirmation: Volume spikes visible at the breakout candle reinforce institutional participation, marking a clear transition from consolidation to markup phase. 🔹 Narrative & Bias Apple continues to exhibit buyside momentum after consolidating above the September accumulation range. The breaker block re-entry at 245 aligned with fib 0.618 retracement and strong volume demand, confirming bullish continuation. Current structure mirrors prior accumulation-distribution cycles seen before major upside runs. Macro Context: Tech sector rotation in line with AI & earnings optimism. Broader equity market stability encouraging risk-on positioning in mega-cap tech names. Projection: Price expected to extend toward 267–278 levels before the next major consolidation phase, with potential for partial take-profits near the 1.618 extension.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by davidjulien369
A 1200% gain to $400 in 2024 for ETC?Since May 2021 Ethereum classic has corrected 90% as shown on the above weekly chart. Unlike many legacy tokens ETC is one of the few building structure. The reasons to now consider a long position include: 1) Trend reversal, higher highs higher lows replace lower highs lower lows. 2) Support and resistance. Price action has left the long term downtrend channel resistance as indicated by the green arrows. Look left and see past horizontal resistance is now confirming support. 3) Hidden bullish divergence. This particular indication informs a strong move is about to occur. It happens when price action prints a higher low with a lower low on the stochastic RSI oscillator. 4) The price target. The downtrend channel is in actual fact a bull flag. The first impulsive move of 2021 becomes the flagpole. This flagpole is used to measure the target from the exit point of the channel to the area of $400 Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: <= 6% Time frame for long: You decide Return: 1200%
by without_worries
3
XAU/USD 31 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias to remain the same as yesterday's bias date 29 October 2025. As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
AUDCHF: Intraday Bullish Signal 🇦🇺🇨🇭 Quick update for AUDCHF. Earlier, we spotted a confirmed breakout of a key daily horizontal resistance. Retesting the broken structure, the price successfully violated a resistance line of a falling parallel channel on an hourly time frame. It suggests a strong buying interest. We can expect a move up now at least to 0.5264 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
$116K Neckline Holds the Key to Bitcoin’s Next Big MoveBitcoin is once again shaping a clean Inverse Head and Shoulders (ISHS) structure — a classical bullish reversal pattern. Price is currently trading within the Buy Back Zone, forming the right shoulder of the setup. As long as the structure holds above the setup invalidation zone, this pattern remains valid. All eyes are now on the $116K neckline, which represents the critical breakout level. A decisive close above this resistance should confirm the ISHS completion, unlocking a potential measured move target toward $130K. Until the neckline breaks, expect short-term fluctuations within the shoulder zone but structure wise, bulls still hold the advantage. What’s your take? Do you think BTC can clear $116K and reach $130K next? Share your thoughts and views in the comments below!
Long
by weslad
29
Are alt season dreams about to become a nightmare? - Oct 21stThe term “alt season” refers roughly to the 10-month period that historically follows each Bitcoin halving, a window when capital rotation from Bitcoin into the broader crypto market drives explosive gains across alternative tokens. The above 10 day chart shows the OTHERS market total (top 125 cryptos excluding BTC, ETH, XRP, and stable coins). Historically this 10-month phase has been a golden era for alt holders. But this time… something’s changed. Back in June, I published “ Is Alt Season Dead? ”, the premise was simple: price action had already failed to respond in the first half of the window. Fast forward to October, and that thesis hasn’t just held, it’s been confirmed. While influencers continue chanting “Get in before it’s too late!”, the chart says otherwise. The facts are undeniable: The 10-month window has closed , and altcoins failed to deliver. Support has failed , price action has exited its ascending channel for the second time. A bear flag has printed , projecting an additional $140 billion decline in total market cap, returning valuations back to early-2021 levels. Let’s talk RSI The RSI must close October above 45 (blue circles) to avoid confirmation of breakdown. If that fails, expect the pattern that has defined every prior cycle: an 80% correction across the market total. Look left. Each time RSI failed to hold this zone, the market total collapsed. And this time a collapse would revert to test the 2017 cycle top, a key structural backtest that historically marked capitulation. In simple terms: Above 45 → possible stabilisation Below 45 → capitulation risk rises sharply. What’s causing all this? Two forces have combined to break the old altcoin model: 1. Token dilution The flood of new tokens has fragmented liquidity beyond recognition. The market is now so diluted that true value plays are buried beneath layers of speculative noise. Most investors aren’t selecting projects, they’re using a "spray and pray" approach. This is unsustainable, and a grand flush-out is overdue. 2. Leverage dependence At present, leveraged products account for nearly three times the capital entering spot markets. This imbalance has turned what used to be natural corrections into systemic liquidations. The $19 billion wipeout earlier this month wasn’t an accident, it was the inevitable result of excess leverage meeting low liquidity. Don't blame market manipulators, it was you. Until that dynamic resets, alt season as we once knew it simply cannot exist. Conclusions The 2025 “alt season” wasn’t a bull run, it was a slow unwind disguised as optimism. The data shows structural weakness, not strength. If RSI fails to hold 45, history suggests another 70–80% drawdown across the alt market is not only possible but likely. This isn’t fear-mongering, it’s statistical repetition. The dream of alt season has turned into the perfect trap. And most are still cheering it on. Ww ======================================== Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and expresses personal opinion, not financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are speculative and high-risk. Always perform your own research, understand your exposure, and base decisions on confirmation, not narrative. Patience, risk control, and data (not hype) decide who survives the next cycle.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
by without_worries
114
Soybeans Surge on Thin Ice: Lessons from 2019Soybean prices have surged nearly 8% in two weeks, driven by renewed US-China trade tensions. While this looks like a familiar, event-driven rally, the fundamentals tell a different story. Conflicting Weak Fundamentals China has not purchased any US soybeans for the 2025/26 marketing year. In 2024/25, Chinese buying stalled after May. That’s unusual given that the prior year saw over 500,000 tons of late-season sales. The slowdown dropped China’s share of total US soybean commitments to 45% from 55%, the lowest since 2018. Source – Reuters That matters because 2018 marked the last time soybeans became a trade weapon. Back then, US soybean exports fell 18% from 2017/18 to 2018/19 despite record production. Exports recovered briefly in 2020-21 but have since declined again. If history rhymes, the 2025 conflict could have longer-term consequences for US producers and exporters. The puzzle is that prices have climbed despite worsening fundamentals. Futures rose after the latest escalation, hinting that traders may be pricing in an eventual resolution. If tensions ease before the seasonal export peak over the next two months, demand could lift prices further. If not, the current rally may prove unsustainable. The key uncertainty lies in timing - whether a diplomatic thaw comes soon enough to coincide with US export strength. Source – Kansas City Fed Performance and Parallels with 2019 The structure of this year’s rally mirrors the 2019 pattern. Then, too, optimism around US-China negotiations drove soybean futures higher. On 13 December 2019, as the Phase-One trade deal was announced, CBOT soybean futures rallied about 9.8% for the month. That uptrend persisted until the onset of COVID-19, which derailed demand and disrupted logistics, preventing the expected rebound in US exports. The technical setup also echoes that period. In both 2019 and 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) crossed into overbought territory above 70-a rare signal under normal conditions. Between 2020 and 2022, RSI readings were inflated by one-off global shocks. In contrast, the 2019 and 2025 spikes both stem from optimism around de-escalation, underscoring how trade détente tends to trigger strong momentum buying. Today, market sentiment again hinges on reports that China may resume US soybean purchases. Investors are reacting to statements and commentary including remarks from industry figures suggesting Beijing could pivot back toward US supply as signs that tariffs or import restrictions may soften. If these expectations materialize, the rally could extend into early 2026, though the fundamental picture remains weak. Historical Trade Example To illustrate how optimism-driven price spikes have historically translated into trade outcomes, consider the 2019 example. A trader buying one CBOT soybean futures contract (5,000 bushels) at $8.70 per bushel in early December and exiting at $9.50 in early January would have captured a 9% gain. Entry: 870 cents/bushel Exit: 950 cents/bushel Profit/Loss: 80 cents/bushel = USD 0.8/bushel Each contract of Soybean futures provides exposure to 5000 bushels: Profit/Loss per Contract = 0.8 x 5000 = USD 4,000 Traders can express the same view using CME Micro Soybean Futures, which provide exposure to one-tenth of the standard contract’s notional value and require lower margin. The 2025 setup resembles that pattern. If de-escalation signs strengthen into year-end, a similar short-term momentum trade could play out. However, if diplomatic talks stall or China delays purchases, prices could quickly retrace. The recent rally has also occurred on low trading volume, with limited activity during the upward move and higher volume concentrated near resistance levels. Additionally, the price action around these resistance levels shows long wicks, suggesting a failed breakout and indicating weak momentum. In essence, this rally is speculative optimism priced into a weak fundamental base. For traders, it is a short-duration opportunity with defined risk: the thesis hinges on improved trade headlines within the next two months. For producers and longer-term investors, the focus should remain on export commitments and Chinese buying patterns rather than short-lived technical surges. History suggests that while geopolitical relief rallies can deliver sharp gains, they often fade once the narrative loses momentum. The 2025 soybean rally may yet prove another example of that cycle - strong on hope, but fragile on fundamentals. This content is sponsored. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CBOT:ZS1!Short
by mintdotfinance
Short trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: EURUSD Direction: Sell-Side Trade Date: Thu 30 Oct 25 Time: 3:30 am Session: London Session AM Timeframe: 15 Min 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 1.16190 Profit Level (TP) 1.15480 (+0.61%) Stop Level (SL) 1.16379 (–0.16%) Risk–Reward (RR) 3.76 R 🔸 Technical Context Market Structure: Price printed a lower-high formation following a weak London open. After multiple sweeps above intraday liquidity, the pair shifted structure with a clear CHOCH (15 min) and BOS confirmation. Key Zones: Entry Zone: 1.1618 – 1.1620 (Sell-side rejection area / FVG 15 min) Target Zone: 1.1548 – 1.1540 (Demand + daily low cluster) Stop Zone: Above previous swing high and adaptive MA crossover Confluences: Price rejection at KAMA (adaptive MA) acting as dynamic resistance. 5 min BDS and FVG overlap aligned with premium pricing. Volume expansion on the bearish impulse post-CHOCH. Liquidity draw visible below prior daily lows (1.1550 handle). 🔹 Narrative & Bias The short entry follows a liquidity sweep + structure break model within the London session. The 15 min CHOCH signalled that buy-side liquidity was exhausted, creating a sell-off aligned with the higher-timeframe narrative of Euro correction and renewed USD demand. Sentiment Context: Macro tone supported by stronger USD data and intraday Dollar index recovery. Euro showing exhaustion after prior session rallies; correlated GBP pairs confirm relative Euro out-performance but broader USD dominance. Projection: Expect price to continue seeking sell-side liquidity toward 1.1550 – 1.1540 before consolidation or a retracement into the broken structure zone for potential re-entry.
Short
by davidjulien369
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: USDCAD Direction: Buy-Side Trade Date: Thu 30 Oct 25 Time: 3:45 am Session: London Session AM Timeframe: 15 Min 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 1.39432 Profit Level (TP) 1.40009 (+0.41%) Stop Level (SL) 1.39294 (–0.10%) Risk–Reward (RR) 3.76 R 🔸 Technical Context Market Structure: Price has been consolidating after a prolonged down-move, forming an accumulation range near the 1.3920 handle. During the London open, price swept liquidity below Asian lows, then produced a CHOCH (15m) and BOS, signalling reversal intent. Key Zones: Demand Zone: 1.3920–1.3930 (accumulation block, liquidity sweep) Target Zone: 1.4000 psychological round number (prior London high) Adaptive MA (KAMA): Now turning upward, supporting directional bias. 5min TF overview Confluences: Liquidity grab below 1.3930 confirmed with strong bullish candle. Structure break with follow-through volume. Session timing: London liquidity injection during transition from Tokyo. USD strength theme across correlated pairs (EURUSD + GBPUSD). 🔹 Narrative & Bias The setup plays into the USD strength narrative developing across the London session, with correlated weakness seen in EURUSD and GBPUSD. After stop hunts beneath the Asian low, the 15-minute structure confirmed bullish reversal, creating a clean FVG and demand zone confluence for entry. Projection: Expect price to continue toward 1.4000–1.4020, with potential retrace at mid-range (1.3970). Should momentum sustain, continuation into New York could extend target levels.
Long
by davidjulien369
Short trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: GBPUSD Direction: Sell-Side Trade Date: Thu 30 Oct 25 Time: 3:30 am Session: London Session AM Timeframe: 15 Min 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 1.32064 Profit Level (TP) 1.31594 (+0.41%) Stop Level (SL) 1.34172 (–1.11%) Risk–Reward (RR) 3.86 R 🔸 Technical Context Market Structure: Persistent bearish trend through mid-October; each London and NY session forming lower highs within a descending channel. Current setup shows continuation pattern following a BOS (Break of Structure) at 1.3233 and rejection from prior consolidation block. Liquidity Events: Previous London highs swept (~1.3227) before rejection. Break below Asian range confirming sell-side continuation. Next liquidity target seen around 1.3150–1.3140, aligning with prior daily low zone. Confluences: Price rejected from Kaufman Adaptive MA (KAMA), acting as dynamic resistance. Sustained distribution phase confirmed by repeated session highs getting absorbed. Momentum candles expanding lower, supported by increasing volume at session open. 🔹 Narrative & Bias The setup capitalizes on the London session volatility after several days of consistent bearish flow in GBP. The rejection from the adaptive MA and the liquidity sweep above local highs signalled continuation toward draw-on-liquidity objectives below the 1.3160 region. The short entry represents a trend continuation trade, supported by: Structural confirmation (BOS + CHOCH) FVG rejection near premium zone Correlated weakness in GBP across EURGBP cross pair Projection: Expect price to extend to 1.3140–1.3135 before any meaningful retracement or demand-zone reaction.
Short
by davidjulien369