Multiple Time Frame Analysis
GBPUSD -Breaking old highsThis is why is important to zoom out your charts. GBPUSD is currently breaking old highs from the 3RD Quarter from 2025 from June-September. Even though your analysis can be accurate on the small-time frames this is the reasons why you still lose a trade because you simply didn't zoom out the timeframe and pay attention on what's going on in the big picture. New highs are being created in current price while taking out old highs from 3-6months ago. Yes, it can reverse but this is how u prevent yourself to get stopped out. Once you know what's going on, on the big timeframes then you can lower your timeframe for and entry and accuracy.
USDCAD: Likely strengthening of the Canadian DollarHi traders and investors!
Back in May, we analyzed the monthly chart and projected a decline in the pair — implying strengthening of the Canadian dollar. Let’s now take a look at what has changed since then.
Monthly timeframe.
The market is in a sideways range, while a seller initiative is active. A test of the key initiative candle was performed at the 1.39248 level.
Between October and December, a manipulation of this level formed — a false breakout on increased volume, followed by absorption by sellers.
Downside targets:
first target — 1.35399;
next target — 50% of the trading range, level 1.34.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
GBPUSD: BoS Trading 🇬🇧🇺🇸
I see a confirmed bullish break of structure on GBPUSD on a daily.
After a breakout, the market retest a broken structure and we see
a strong buying imbalance on an hourly time frame.
Expect more growth today.
Goal - 1.3575
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Dent token - 10000% in 90 days? - January 2026Ticker : DENTUSDT (DENT)
Timeframe : 8 day chart
Core thesis
Dent has been in a long, joyless downtrend the kind that makes you wonder if “utility token” is just crypto for “emotional damage”. Price has now fallen back into a major historical support band (blue zone), while the weekly and above RSI sits at 26, matching the washed out reading seen around March 2020.
Seller exhaustion + multi year support + RSI in basement can set up a mean reversion rally no one expects. Such rallies are energetic, just as before, for one simple reason: Sellers have left the chat. Future selling will now be from buyers on this day forth.
This is a high risk, speculative idea built on the assumption that the market’s finished throwing DENT in a the bin (for now). But there’s something else, something else now shown in this idea, which I’ll leave for discussion elsewhere. In the meantime:
Key levels
Support (base zone)
$0.00020 – $0.00024: The current weekly demand area / base. Bulls want to see price hold and build here (ideally a higher low).
If this zone holds, it becomes the risk-defined entry point.
Invalidation
Meaningful weekly close below ~$0.00020 (and especially a clean breakdown to fresh lows). If this fails, the “base” is just a trapdoor.
Resistance targets
These are profit-taking / reaction zones, not fairy-tale endpoints.
T1: ~$0.00058 – $0.00064 (1st Resistance)
First serious overhead supply. If we can’t reclaim this, the move is just a dead-cat bounce doing dead-cat things.
T2: ~$0.00189 (2nd Resistance)
Major level from prior structure. If price gets here, expect volatility and sellers to reappear like they’ve been summoned.
T3: ~$0.022 (3rd Resistance / “Crypto Is Back” Level)
The big historical ceiling. Could it happen? Sure, so could I become a ballet dancer. This is the stretch target for a full mania-style rotation, not the base case.
Conclusions
DENT is sitting on a key long-term support band with weekly RSI at extreme oversold (~26) values, a setup that can precede sharp mean-reversion rallies in beaten-down tokens. The trade is simple: hold the base = bounce potential toward $0.00058, then $0.00189 if momentum really flips. But don’t confuse a relief rally with redemption. If price loses $0.00020, this bullish idea is invalid and you move on because loyalty is for dogs, not downtrends.
Ww
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Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. It’s a technical opinion on a chart. Basically me looking at squiggly lines and pretending they have feelings. Nothing here is guaranteed, nothing here is a “signal,” and if you treat it like one, that’s on you.
Crypto can move 30% because someone tweeted an emoji. It can also drop 90% while you’re making a cup of tea. Manage your risk, size properly, use stops that respect volatility and assume you’re wrong by default because markets don’t care about your hopes, your timeline, or your rent.
I may hold a position at any time, and this idea can be invalidated without warning. If you lose money, don’t message me like I stole it. You clicked the buttons.
GBPUSD Idea update - Possible HTF Bearish reversal PLEASE VISIT PREVIOUS POST FOR TRADE IDEA
MONDAY RECAP
First stage of analysis almost complete as we are approaching large supply zone. Price mitigated FVG left by bullish trends ‘true’ Higher Low found on 15m which can be seen as a large wick formed on the 1h/4h. For price action to make sense we had to return into mentioned FVG within the HTF wick so that price could balance buyers/sellers and continue its uptrend toward the larger draw an liquidity which should be retails stop above double top (swept) & larger trends supply zone.
Please be aware of the lack of pullback currently seen once sweeping the double top & overall momentum of the bullish leg leading up to the supply zone I have pointed out in the chart above.
UPDATE ON TRADE IDEA
In favour of the initial idea we have a lot of price action imbalance on the latest bullish leg that will need mitigating along with the unmitigated FVG shown as the grey area w/ red centre zone that will be our first targeted draw on liquidity if we reverse. Normal entry conditions apply, wait for tap into HTF supply, timeframes alignment, possible sweep on LTF, etc.
IF momentum continues we could be heading for weekly double top (& top trend line of weekly rising wedge) / HTF reversal / ect.
I will now be looking for a ranging Asia session then topside liquidity sweep of Asia by LDN or LDN topside by NY that taps into supply zone initiating reversal.
Orion S.A. 300% move? - January 2026
Ticker : NYSE:OEC (Orion S.A.)
Timeframe : Weekly
Core thesis
OEC has spent the last year mimicking a lift (in American you say elevator, in English we say lift) in free fall as the overspeed governor decides "there’s no way I can stop this". Proper waterfall stuff. The kind of chart that makes you question free will.
But…. the weekly, actually it’s an 8 day chart we got here, is now printing what might be the first whiff of seller exhaustion.
A violent capitulation into the circa $5 area, RSI crushed into the basement (again, look left) as price attempts to stabilise after being absolutely humbled. If this base hold, the upside isn’t a “nice little bounce”, it’s a mean reversion back toward prior market structure. The $15 zone and potentially the underside of the long term descending channel, circa $20. That’s between 200-300%. Not unlike the previous trips back up north when RSI was that those levels.
This is not a “strong uptrend” setup. This is a “they’ve stopped punching it for five minutes” setup. High risk, high torque.
Key levels
$5.15 to $5.90 is current stabilisation area after the sell off. Bulls will want to see weekly closes holding above this range. If you want to get fancy, a higher low forming above $5.15 is the whole story.
Test point 1: $10-11
The first major reaction area, psychological level.
Test point 2: $14-15
The big blue market structure shelf shown on the chart. This is a proper mean reversion target. 190% from the base area.
Test point 3: $20-21
Where downtrend goes to ruin your optimism. If price action tags this line, expect sellers to show up like it’s happy hour. 300% from base.
Test point 4: $25-26
If we get here, congratulations. Long term resistance breakout, not untypical for 3rd attempts. The chart has gone from “tragedy” to “farce”, and you should be scaling out aggressively.
Conclusions
Orion S.A. looks like it may be carving a weekly base after an ugly, extended dump. The only bullish argument is that capitulation + RSI washout have now bottomed out. Should price action stabilise, then a run to market structure increases in likelihood. But let’s be honest, this is a trade built on hope that the sellers have finally got tired. Keep risk tight, respect invalidation, and don’t marry it. It’s not that kind of relationship.
Ww
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Disclaimer
This is not financial advice, it’s technical analysis, not a guarantee, not a signal service, and definitely not a substitute for your own research. Markets are risky; beaten-down names can stay beaten-down. Manage position size, use stops appropriate to volatility and assume you can be wrong (often). I may hold a position at any time, and this idea can be invalidated without notice.
Long trade
BTCUSDC.P — Sentiment Analysis (15m | Institutional / Liquidity–VWAP Read)
Overall Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Continuation | Value Reclaim → Expansion
Market State
BTC has transitioned from intraday balance into directional expansion. The most recent pullback was corrective and failed to accept back into value, signalling that the auction has resolved in favour of the buy-side.
Liquidity & Auction Narrative
Sell-side liquidity beneath the Asian/London lows was engineered and absorbed.
The subsequent push higher shows clean acceptance above reclaimed levels, indicating a successful bullish auction, not a stop-run. Upside liquidity remains active and magnetised, with no immediate signs of distribution.
Value, VWAP & Fair Price
Price is holding above VWAP and upper deviation bands, confirming premium acceptance.
The former balance area has flipped to support, reducing the probability of mean reversion.
As long as VWAP is defended, trend conditions remain intact.
Bullish continuation dominates, supported by:
Strong intraday structure
Defended pullbacks and momentum alignment
Acceptance above VWAP/value
Summary
BTCUSDC has resolved higher from value with sustained acceptance above VWAP, indicating buy-side control and favouring continuation while reclaimed support holds.
Bullish Expansion Continuation30-Minute Timeframe Summary
On the 30-minute timeframe, price has established a new bullish expansion swing high, defining a fresh bullish break of structure level. Buyers are currently showing strength above prior resistance, suggesting continuation potential if the current candle confirms acceptance above this level.
30-Minute Chart Highlights
• New bullish expansion swing high identified
• Bullish break of structure level clearly marked
• Shallow supply zone being violated by buying pressure
30-Minute Trade Logic
• A confirmed close above the new bullish break of structure level triggers a long entry targeting 10 base points.
1-Hour Timeframe Summary
On the one-hour timeframe, both the bearish break of structure level and its corresponding swing low were identified and treated as support rather than resistance. Although price briefly moved below these levels on the 30-minute chart, it failed to close below them on the one-hour timeframe, invalidating bearish continuation and reinforcing bullish pressure.
1-Hour Chart Highlights
• One-hour bearish break of structure level held as support
• No confirmed one-hour close below the bearish level
• Higher-timeframe structure remains intact and supportive
1-Hour Trade Logic
• Failure to close below the one-hour bearish structure level preserves bullish bias while price remains above support.
Expansion Decision Zone30-Minute Timeframe Summary
On the 30-minute timeframe, price is now showing clear bullish sentiment with expanding buying pressure moving beyond the previously identified trap zone. This behavior suggests active buyer participation, increasing the probability of a bullish continuation if strength persists.
30-Minute Chart Highlights
• Bullish sentiment expanding beyond the trap zone
• Sustained buying pressure on recent candles
• Break attempt developing to the bullish side
30-Minute Trade Logic
• Continued acceptance above the trap zone supports a bullish trading opportunity, while failure to hold would shift focus back to downside resolution.
1-Hour Timeframe Summary
On the one-hour timeframe, both the bullish break of structure expansion level and the bearish break of structure expansion level remain clearly defined. These levels continue to serve as the higher-timeframe decision points guiding directional bias.
1-Hour Chart Highlights
• Bullish break of structure expansion level identified
• Bearish break of structure expansion level identified
• Expansion framework remains intact
1-Hour Trade Logic
• A confirmed close above the bullish expansion level favors long continuation, while a close below the bearish expansion level confirms short continuation.
Additional Note
• Price action will continue to be monitored closely, and this idea will be updated in real time as market conditions evolve.
New Breakout in GE Aerospace?GE Aerospace had a healthy pullback in November, and now some traders may think it’s breaking out again.
The first pattern on today’s chart is $308.95, the final price on October 31. It served as the highest weekly closing price for almost two months before a Christmas breakout. Last week, GE pulled back and bounced at the same level. That could suggest that old resistance has become new support.
Second, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA and MACD has been rising. Those signals may reflect short-term bullishness.
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day EMA. That may suggest the industrial stock is in a long-term uptrend.
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Bakkt Holdings, Inc. 400% move? - January 2026
Timeframe : Weekly
Core Thesis BKKT has been in a punishing downtrend since October. However, the weekly chart now shows the first tentative signs of seller exhaustion and structural improvement, forming a sequence of higher lows (HL) and a higher highs (HH). We are monitoring the current pullback to see if it can establish another HL, forming a potential reversal foundation. This is a high-risk, speculative play on a possible trend change in its earliest stage.
Key Levels
Support (Higher-Low Zone): $11.00 - $12.00. This is the critical area for buyers to defend to maintain the improving structure.
Invalidation: A sustained break (meaningful weekly close) below the support zone. This would indicate the nascent bullish structure has failed.
Resistance Targets (Scale-Out Levels):
T1: ~$17.50 (Previous swing high & initial reaction zone).
T2: ~$28.00 (Next significant weekly supply area from Q4 2025).
T3 (Stretch): ~$48.33 (The September 2025 breakdown level – a full trend reversal target).
Conclusion
BKKT is showing the first signs of potential trend exhaustion and base formation. The trade setup is a pure play on whether the new pattern of higher lows can sustain. A hold at current levels could spark a stronger relief rally toward T1/T2. However, given the stock's history, failure remains a significant probability. Trade is invalidated if the new support structure breaks.
Ww
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Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. It’s a technical-analysis idea, not a guarantee, not a signal service, and definitely not a substitute for your own research. Markets are risky; small caps can be especially chaotic. Manage position size, use stops appropriate to volatility, and assume you can be wrong, because you can. I may hold a position at any time, and this idea may be invalidated without notice.
XAU/USD 05 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mentioned price will continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Price has printed new highs followed by a bearish CHoCH and is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,550.150
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Since my last analysis, price has printed several bullish iBOS' and bullish BOS which was in accordance to my analysis.
Price has since printed a bearish iBOS, which was to be expected due to all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and swing high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either M15 or H4 supply zone, or premium of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,274.025.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
BTCUSDC.P — Sentiment Analysis (1H | Institutional / Liquidity Lens)
Overall Sentiment: 🟡 Neutral → Constructively Bullish
(Range Re-accumulation with Upside Bias)
Market State
BTC is currently operating in a range-reaccumulating environment following a prior bearish impulse. Price has transitioned from aggressive downside expansion into balanced auction behaviour, with repeated acceptance around a well-defined value area.
Liquidity & Auction Narrative
Sell-side liquidity below prior lows has been partially consumed, with no sustained follow-through. Repeated downside probes have resulted in quick reclaims back into value, indicating sell-side inefficiency. Upside liquidity above recent range highs remains intact and magnetised.
📦 Fixed Range Profile & Fair Value
The Fixed Range Volume Profile highlights a clear Point of Control / True Fair Value within the range: Price is oscillating around value rather than trending away from it. Acceptance above the value area high has improved relative to prior attempts This behaviour suggests inventory rebalancing and re-accumulation.
📉 Volume & Bubble Behaviour
Larger volume bubbles appear during liquidity sweeps and reclaims, not during continuation.
This suggests forced participation (stops, liquidations) rather than trend-following volume.
Subsequent compression reflects absorption by stronger hands.
Session Behaviour
Asia continues to form range boundaries
London and NY repeatedly probe range extremes
Recent NY behaviour shows improved acceptance above mid-range
Session sequencing supports a gradual bullish skew, not immediate breakout.
📘 Summary
BTCUSDC is consolidating around fair value following sell-side absorption, signalling re-accumulation rather than continuation. Acceptance above value keeps sentiment constructively bullish, with range highs acting as the next liquidity draw.
Is 0.92 The Bottom ??0.92 looks like a very strong support level there where multiple attempts to break lower last each attempt quickly failed with the Monthly candles closing back above 0.925.
The setup is very straight forward I will wait for another drop down towards 0.92 then use the daily TF to time my entry on a MACD crossover looking to target the Monthly trendline @ 0.94 which also lines up with a nice resistance.
For further strength above this we want to see a break and close of the trendline resistance and then a quick retest and use the lower TF daily chart to get back in for a move up towards the 0.98 resistance and further towards the key 1 level.
There is a good positive swap on this pair and its common to see CHF cross pairs to strengthen at the beginning of the year if you look at some of my previous ideas on CHF pairs.
Let me know your thoughts wishing you a healthy and prosperous 2026 :)
Gold should be going up to hard test the new supply range aboveGoing into the new year strong with Gold as expected. Coming into the new year we are going heavy into the teaching of explanation of markups and expectations. These videos will be a bit longer. The OGs will find much of it repetitive but there are many new faces coming to the new year so we must explain what we are seeing in greater clarity.
It looks like we can begin to look for swing lows to form to go long at present. We will continue to track the progress as the week builds. We will track the lower time frame progressions in the VIP chats 💎
Don't forget to add your thoughts or point out anything I may have overlooked 🙏🏾
AUDCAD - HTF Bullish | Engineered Pullback | Speculation PhaseBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Manipulation → Correction → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
AUDCAD remains bullish on the higher timeframe, keeping the expectation for continuation valid.
⸻
Mid-Term Structure & Liquidity
Price first swept mid-term inducement, then mitigated into a mid-term order block, ultimately rotating into the orange HTF order block located on the left side of the chart.
From that zone:
• Accumulation began to form
• Buyers stepped in
• Price delivered a clean expansion
⸻
Market Cycle Behavior
Following expansion, price transitioned into a distribution phase, accompanied by manipulative behavior.
At this stage, I’m waiting for price to:
• Exhaust the manipulation
• Sweep internal liquidity
• Potentially clear external liquidity
• Rotate back into the accumulation area
This aligns with how the market often engineers continuation within a bullish structure.
⸻
Forward Expectation
If price returns into accumulation and holds:
• I’ll be looking for a corrective phase
• Followed by delivery in line with the HTF bullish bias
Execution will depend on confirmation, not assumption.
⸻
Mindset
This remains speculation mode.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure engineers the move.
Until price confirms, we stay patient and let the market do the work.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
USDCAD - HTF Bullish | Liquidity Sweeps Complete | Tracking Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Correction → Delivery
State: Tracking / Speculation
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
USDCAD remains bullish on the higher timeframe.
Although price has traded into the mid-term range, this is acceptable within a bullish framework — this is why we track, not rush.
⸻
Liquidity & Market Work
Price has already:
• Swept internal dealing range (IDM) liquidity
• Cleared external range liquidity
• Taken HTF minor liquidity
This is advanced market work, and it’s exactly why patience and tracking are the edge — the market is doing the heavy lifting.
⸻
Price Behavior & Cycle Read
From a higher-timeframe perspective, price delivered a wick tap, signaling reaction at a key level.
From there, we observed:
• Accumulation
• Followed by expansion
• Transition into distribution
Price is now correcting, positioning itself for the next delivery phase.
⸻
Forward Outlook
At this stage, I’m not forcing a bias on execution.
I’ll continue to track how price unfolds over the coming sessions, allowing structure and liquidity to confirm the next move.
⸻
Mindset
This is speculation territory.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Let the market do the work.
We’ll see how it develops this week.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
USDCHF - HTF Bullish | Range Behavior | Conditional ContinuationBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Correction → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
USDCHF remains bullish from previous weeks, with the higher timeframe structure holding firm.
Price continues to trade within a defined range, respecting the broader bullish framework.
⸻
Mid-Term Structure & Reaction
Price previously accumulated and mitigated into a mid-term order block (orange zone, left of chart), where buyers showed up with a clean bullish reaction.
From that zone:
• Accumulation formed
• A strong bullish push followed
• Leading into a clear expansion phase
⸻
Distribution & Current Behavior
Following expansion, price transitioned into a distribution phase.
Selling pressure pushed price lower, but it quickly bounced back into the accumulation area, forming what now appears to be a correction zone, not a reversal.
This behavior suggests rebalancing, not structural failure.
⸻
Execution Scenarios
From here, I’m watching two potential paths:
Scenario 1 — Deeper Correction
• Price sweeps sell-side liquidity on lower timeframes
• Trades into the green accumulation / pivot order block
• Buyers step in, leaving clear bullish footprints
• Buy opportunities considered from that zone
Scenario 2 — Strength Continuation
• Price shows strong momentum
• Fully breaks the mid-term lower high
• Confirms bullish realignment without deeper discount
In both cases, liquidity must be taken before execution is considered.
⸻
Mindset
This is still speculation territory.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure leads execution.
Until confirmation prints, we wait.
Let smart money show the hand. Let’s go. 📈🔥
EURUSD - HTF Bullish|Patience Over Prediction|Tracking The CycleBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
State: Tracking / Speculation
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
EURUSD remains bullish on the higher timeframe, and this has not changed.
This is why I consistently stress one thing across every post:
Tracking is the edge. Patience is the key.
A lot of traders got burned here — not because structure failed, but because they rushed the phase.
⸻
Market Cycle Read
Price has clearly fallen out of the distribution phase, something that was visible early for those tracking structure instead of chasing moves.
We saw:
• A clean expansion out of the accumulation area
• Confirmation that buyers were still active
• Proof that the higher-timeframe bullish narrative remained intact
Fast hands paid the price. Patient hands followed the footprints.
⸻
Mid-Term Structure Alignment
Mid-term structure rotated exactly where it was meant to:
• Into the HTF internal framework structure order block
• A lower high was broken, confirming bullish realignment
• A new high was printed, followed by a minor reaction
This reaction is information, not weakness.
⸻
Current Focus
From the recent accumulation → expansion → distribution, price is now disputing away, suggesting the market is preparing for its next corrective phase.
What I want to see next:
• Full mitigation back into the accumulation zone
• Additional timeframe confirmation
• Alignment before targeting higher highs
No chasing. No guessing.
⸻
Mindset
Beginners react late.
Professionals follow clues and footprints.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure never lies.
Until price gives confirmation, we wait.
Let smart money lead. Let’s go. 📈🔥






















