GBPAUD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 2.02500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD 04 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 02 December 2025.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 14 November 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned yesterday, I would closely monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify an iBOS. I have marked this with red dotted and dashed lines.
Price has since printed another bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, as per yesterday, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,264.700.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Volumes give clues: What the weekly range structure is showingThis analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello traders and investors!
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a sideways range. Notice how interestingly the price moved through its boundaries.
First, the lower boundary of the range at 89,256 was broken — and this is where a 1.88M volume was accumulated over 8 weeks .
Later, the price broke the upper boundary of the range, and the same 1.88M volume was distributed, but this time over just 15 days .
This indicates that there were far fewer buyers willing to buy at higher prices — the market needed almost twice as much time to distribute an identical volume.
Now the price has returned to the very zone where the first major volume was accumulated.
For more details about the 86,000–79,500 zone, see the related post.
Wishing you profitable trades!
BNB: Buyers defend the lower boundary of the range againThis analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello traders and investors!
A reminder: the daily timeframe is still in a sideways range.
At its lower boundary, another false-break pattern has formed — this time at the 837 level: a seller’s attack on high volume followed by a confident absorption by buyers.
The nearest targets remain the same: 941 and 1019.
Wishing you profitable trades!
ASTS LongReasoning:
Strong Industry/Sector
50MA Pullback
If Labelled a Swing trade(2-6 Week Holds)
Entry: Full position on breakout
Profit Taking: Sell 1/3 at Goal 1
Final Exit: Remainder at Goal 2
If labelled a long term trade (3-12 Month Holds)
Entry: Full position on breakout
Profit Taking: Sell 1/4 to 1/5 at Goal 1
Exit Signal: Close below 20-day EMA (your trend guide) or 50EMA
Why: Strong moves are hard to time at the top, but the 20EMA acts as a reliable trend filter
Note:
Remember: Every long-term investment alert can also be played as a swing trade.
USDCAD – Bearish BiasUsing my Daily Bias Model, USDCAD is showing a clear Bearish Bias going into Thursday.
Here’s why:
Wednesday’s daily candle closed below Tuesday’s Low
Whether Wednesday swept Tuesday’s High or not does not matter for this condition
➡️ This confirms a Bearish Bias for Thursday.
Now during active trading session, we wanna see and old internal Highs being taken, or a trade into a lower timeframe FVG before trading to the main DOL (Previous D1 Low)
📌So in summary
Bias for Thursday: 🔻 Bearish
Expecting downward movement unless the daily structure shifts again.
Long trade 🟩 Buy-Side Trade
Buy-side Trade
Pair: EURUSD
Date: Wed 3rd Dec 2025
Time: 6:15 am
Session: London Session AM
📘 Trade Details
Entry: 1.16597
Profit Level: 1.16915 (0.273%)
Stop Level: 1.16584 (0.011%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 24.46
Correlation DXY
📗 Model / Structure
Bullish structure confirmed on 15m
BOS + displacement into premium zones
FVG → retracement → continuation model
Trend supported by EMA/WMA alignment
📙 Liquidity Story
Sweep of London open sell-side liquidity
Inducement below local swing low
Price targeted multiple FVGs stacked above
Liquidity magnets: 1.16850 → 1.16920
📕 Sentiment / Narrative
USD weakness during early LND session
EUR stable macro tone
High-volatility transition from Asia → London
Market repricing toward upper imbalance
📒 Outcome: Trade in session.
Next Week EURUSD Analysis There is more htf context to this but I will keep it brief. Weekly candle rejected 1.147 area, Smt of 3month lows with GU and DXY indicating that there is divergence between correlated assets, every downside target has been met we have just opened with a new monthly candle which usually makes the low the first week aswell. And we now have a weekly crt formed meaning we can target the high of the previous week pairing liquidity pools we already had a daily change in state so I am expecting daily ob to take us higher.
Ethereum classic - An elder resident of God’s waiting roomAn opening statement: The idea is not restricted to Ethereum Classic (ETC), many legacy tokens are showing the same sequence of events as highlighted in the chart above. The recent update to the OTHERS total idea identifies a few.
Story so far
The Crypto gambling mania of older tokens continues to entice many. Market participants were told financial armageddon is around the corner, prepare now. A corner that turned out to be a roundabout, an endless road to nowhere with changing views. “ETF is coming Ww!” “Trump will approve new Crypto fund blah blah”, the inbox is filled with such messaging. The project fundamentals are now irrelevant, it seems, as folks hope and pray for a greater fool to come along and release them from the stress of holding dead weight. But what if the crypto fool supply is drying up? Then what?
The technical warning
The above 8 chart of Ethereum classic is typical of many legacy tokens. Like stone skipping. That is, you throw this little flat stone across the pond and at first it’s amazing, it’s like, boing! boing! boing! You feel like a physics genius. However what’s actually happening, properly, scientifically, is the stone’s cheating gravity for a bit. It hits the water at just the right angle, makes this tiny lift like a miniature water trampoline. But every time it hits, it loses a bit of energy. Bit of speed, bit of spin, bit of dignity. Eventually it’s like, ‘Nah, I’m done,’ and just plops in. That’s it. It’s run out of the stuff that keeps it skipping. It’s the same as me after two beers trying to dance, starts strong lots of energy, then gravity wins. Straight down. Splash..
Sentiment
No shortage of long ideas on the platform.
. To be a contrarian is to look the other direction when everyone else says the same thing. Not easy, but imperative.
Like many legacy charts, the Bitcoin pairs exhibit broken market structures. ETC.btc chart, broken market structure
Conclusions
There’s no polite way to say this, Ethereum Classic, like many of its legacy peers is running on fumes. Every bounce looks impressive until you zoom out and realise it’s just another stone skip on the surface of a dying pond. Each lower high is a polite reminder that gravity still works.
The chart doesn’t lie:
Momentum’s gone.
Liquidity’s gone.
Belief is on life support.
Price continues to cling to the same horizontal band it’s bounced off for half a decade, the so-called “water line where surface tension and angular momentum meet.”* Below it? Silence.
You’ll always find someone calling this “undervalued,” or “ready for a comeback.” But let’s be honest, that’s nostalgia speaking. What used to be innovation is now a museum exhibit, a relic from the days when everyone thought “blockchain” was going to save the world.
Sure, maybe there’s a pop left in it, one final gasp, a skip before the splash. But when it happens, don’t mistake physics for faith.
Eventually, every stone sinks.
Ww
============================================================
Disclaimer
This isn’t financial advice, obviously.
If you’re buying Ethereum Classic because someone on the internet said it might bounce, that’s not investing, that’s performance art. I don’t hold ETC, I don’t want to, and if it suddenly moon-shots I’ll still sleep fine.
Do your own research, manage your own risk, and please for your own sanity stop expecting miracles from assets that peaked during the Obama administration.
If it goes up, brilliant.
If it goes down, well… gravity wins again.
XAU/USD 03 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 02 December 2025.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 14 November 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned yesterday, I would closely monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify an iBOS. I have marked this with red dotted and dashed lines.
Price has since printed another bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, as per yesterday, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,264.700.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
''iPhone vs Laptop Trading: The Truth Nobody Talks About''Alright, let’s get straight to it. I’ve been watching traders debate this forever — phone or laptop. Here’s my breakdown, from someone who actually trades multi-timeframe SMC setups, tracks liquidity, and executes in real-time.
⸻
1️⃣ Execution and Speed
• On a laptop, you’ve got full visibility: multiple monitors, larger charts, higher timeframe context, all indicators and order blocks at a glance.
• On iPhone? Limited view, smaller screen, harder to see context, and micro adjustments take longer.
• The reality: Speed matters. A 1-minute confirmation or lower-high break can happen fast. If you’re on a phone, you risk missing that critical move or entering late.
⸻
2️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Analysis
• Edge comes from analyzing multiple chart intervals to see the bigger picture and confirm setups.
• Laptop: Side-by-side charts, smooth workflow, all intervals visible at once.
• On the phone, switching between timeframes is clunky, slow, and mentally taxing. You’ll start guessing instead of confirming.
• Key takeaway: Serious traders of any style know: a laptop gives you the clarity, control, and precision that’s hard to achieve on a phone.
⸻
3️⃣ Precision of Orders
• Laptop: You can place precise limit entries, manage stop losses, and see where liquidity clusters are.
• Phone: Accidental taps, misclicks, or lag can cost you a trade. Especially when dealing with small spreads, tight stop losses, or micro entries.
• Lesson: Mistakes on micro orders aren’t small. They erode both capital and confidence.
⸻
4️⃣ Situational Use
• Phone trading isn’t useless. It’s fine for monitoring, tracking TPs, or checking alerts when you’re away from your desk.
• But if you’re entering, executing, or actively managing high-leverage trades — laptop wins hands down.
⸻
5️⃣ Psychology and Focus
• Laptop setups create a trading environment: focus, fewer distractions, full screen, proper charts.
• Phone trading often comes with notifications, background apps, and temptation to “glance and guess.”
• Your mindset matters as much as your setups. Treat trading like a full-time process, not a side hobby.
⸻
6️⃣ My Personal Take
• I’ve tested both. I’ll check charts on my phone sometimes — especially during quick monitoring sessions.
• But every serious execution, every multi-timeframe setup, every liquidity play — it happens on my laptop. That’s where precision, patience, and professionalism live.
⸻
🔥 Key Lessons
1. Phone = monitoring & alerts only.
2. Laptop = execution & analysis.
3. Edge isn’t just charts — it’s control, speed, and clarity.
4. You can’t shortcut this without costing yourself trades or your confidence.
⸻
💡 Visual Reference:
I posted screenshots to show the difference between iPhone and laptop trading setups. Laptop view is on the right side, showing full charts and multi-interval visibility. iPhone view is on the left side, compact and limited. This makes it clear why execution and workflow are easier on a laptop.
Bottom line: Don’t kid yourself. Your tools matter, but more importantly, how you use them separates amateurs from pros.
I’m curious — who’s still trying to trade full-time on a phone? Let’s see if they’re really ready to compete.
Bitcoin at the daily target: what comes after 93,092?This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin has formed another confident buyer absorption — and this absorption was simultaneously a manipulation (a false breakout) of the 86,116 level.
Notably, the seller’s candle appeared with increased volume, and the subsequent absorption created a new buyer zone.
The buyer target within the current range — 93,092 — is almost reached.
Given the strength of buyer initiative, further movement toward 94,000 or even 97,000 cannot be ruled out.
However, once the price reaches 93,092, it is reasonable to expect seller initiative.
This is classic market behavior near a target: some buyers take profit while sellers get an opportunity to step in.
Wishing you profitable trades!
USDCAD - Bearish BiasAnalyzing the previous candle on the D1 timeframe (Tuesday's candle), we can see we had a clear sweep of other previous D1 candle's high (Monday's candle).
Now after the sweep of Monday's high, we closed back inside Monday's candle range. So with that in mind, I'm anticipating, and confident enough that the next liquidity price is gonna draw to is Tuesday candle Low, and possibly if there's high volume, we wanna see previous Fridays Low also being takes.
And that alarms the bias for today (Wednesday).
That does not mean going on to your chart 📉 and putting your SELL order, but with careful analysis, we first anticipate price to pull back into a PDA, 1h Internal Range Liquidity (a FVG, a sweep into an old highs or testing and OB), only then we can be confident hunting for sells in alignment with the overall BIAS for today.
I'm Zak, and I'm starting a new journey in giving back the knowledge I've acquired in my 4 years trading experience.
So if you found this useful, please show me your support and I'll continue to do this everyday.
Much love trader 😊
Long trade Pair: AUDJPY
Mon 1st Dec 2025 – 2:45 PM
NY Session PM
🟦 Trade Details
Direction: Buyside
Entry: 102.270
Take Profit: 102.426 (+0.153%)
Stop Loss: 102.250 (0.020%)
Risk-to-Reward: 7.8R
🟩 Market Structure
Price formed a higher-low formation during the NY PM session.
Shift in structure occurred after: Displacement candle breaking above short-term swing highs
A micro-BOS on M5 confirming bullish orderflow. Continuation supported by EMA/WMA flipping upward and acting as dynamic support.
🟨 Liquidity Story
Pre-NY PM liquidity engineering took place below 102.20:
Multiple sell-side liquidity lows swept
Followed by aggressive bullish displacement
Target:
Buy-side inefficiencies above 102.30
Liquidity resting in the 102.33–102.36 zone
Model Type: Sell-side sweep → Displacement → Buy-side delivery.
5min TF overview
🟪 Fair Value Gaps & PD Arrays
Confluences supporting the long:
Bullish FVG created post-sweep provided mitigation level for entry
Demand pocket around 102.24–102.27 anchored the long
Price respected 200 WMA & 50 EMA as stacked support
Entry confirmed by FVG retest + premium/discount alignment (discount pricing).
🟥 Model / Entry Logic
Model used → ICT Bullish Reversal Model:
Sweep of sell-side liquidity
Displacement to confirm bullish intent
Retracement into FVG / Discount Zone
Entry at 102.270 using refined M5 structure
Targeting clean inefficiencies and resting buy-side liquidity
Tight SL (102.250) allowed for high RR (7.8R).
🟧 Session / Narrative
NY PM tends to continue earlier directional bias or complete the cycle from NY AM.
Market sentiment:
JPY weakened modestly into the NY PM window
AUDJPY aligned with risk-on flows
Volume increased as NY PM liquidity entered the market, validating bullish continuation.
🟫 Outcome
Trade in session:
ZEB – Trend Structure Intact - 3rd Entry Following Strategy RuleRe-entered ZEB for the 3rd time as it rotated cleanly back into strength. Price respected the trend structure again- higher lows, higher highs- and reclaimed both the 20MA and 50MA on the 1h.
This entry follows my system rules exactly:
Trend confirmed (20MA > 50MA, both rising).
Pullback held structure inside the model’s “buy window.”
Heikin-Ashi flip back into momentum.
RSI + CCI reset without breaking the broader trend.
Risk stays constant by placing the stop below the structural invalidation.
This ETF doesn’t move fast, but it respects structure exceptionally well. I’m treating it as a slow, steady trend trade with compounding opportunity.
Trade Plan
Entry: Current reclaim of the trendline and MA cluster
Stop: Below the previous structural low (invalidates the setup)
Risk: Kept identical to prior entries 1% total account
If the trend continues, I’ll trail the stop behind Daily 50 MA and keep adding only when structure supports it.
Sticking to the plan > feelings.
#ZEB #TSX #Banks #ETF #TrendFollowing #HeikinAshi #RiskManagement






















