EURSEK: Trend ContinuationKey Observations
Daily Timeframe:
Price breaks HTL and shows downtrend confluence with EMAs
EMA20 is also expanding away from EMA60 to indicate the downtrend continuation
H1 Timeframe:
Swinging this downtrend as intraday upside is exhausted
Price is also showing confluence with EMA20 and EMA60
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
AUDJPY | BullishHTF: Price remains bullish, consistently breaking previous highs. After taking out sell-side liquidity (SSL), price retraced into a major order block, showing intent for continuation to the upside.
MTF: A clear CHoCH formed after price took out the major lower high (LH), followed by another SSL sweep before mitigating the mid-level OB — confirming higher-timeframe alignment.
LTF: Execution phase in play. All timeframes have now confirmed top-down structure, with price reacting from refined OB zones. Preparing for a bullish strike toward internal and external highs.
NZDJPY | BullishHTF: Strong bullish momentum with significant highs broken, confirming clear continuation intent.
MTF: Waiting for price to mitigate a key order block after the liquidity sweep. A confirmed CHoCH here is 🔑 — it will validate continuation from the higher timeframe.
LTF: Once mitigation occurs within the higher-timeframe OB, I’ll wait for another CHoCH on tap to finalize entry execution.
Patience is key — timing the confirmation is what separates precision from impulse. ⚔️
AUDCAD | BullishHTF: Price showing clear bullish intent, breaking significant highs and maintaining structure to the upside.
MTF: Currently seeking sell-side liquidity to be taken before the next leg. Once that liquidity sweep completes and internal structure is mitigated, attention shifts to lower timeframes for refined confirmations and entries.
Until then, patience — this is my money lead direction. 🧭
Long trade
30min TF overview
Trade 4 – Active Trade Idea
Direction: Buyside trade
Date: Fri 3rd Oct 2025, 9.00 am
Entry: 3900.8
Profit Level (TP): 3967.3 (+1.70%)
Stop Level (SL): 3837.0 (−1.33%)
RR: 5.16
Narrative:
Setup aligns with sweep/trigger/entry model.
Market respected the prior demand zone and left a clean FVG + liquidity pool below.
EMA/WMA structure is turning bullish.
Fibonacci extension targets 1.618 – 2.618 zones (3921–3967).
5min TF overview
Summary
Gold continues to display a buy-side bias following accumulation and successful retests of the demand zone. Multiple trades have been logged, and the current narrative favours further upside towards the 3960–3970 range, provided the 3837 support level holds. In addition, the potential U.S. government shutdown may prompt investors to seek safer havens such as Gold, which could further support this continuation trajectory.
USDCHF| Bearish
HTF: Major lows have been broken, confirming strong bearish intent and signaling continuation within the downtrend.
MTF: Waiting for price to pull back into an order block in alignment with overall order flow. Once mitigation occurs, I drop lower to further confirm the reaction zone.
LTF: After price breaks a higher low (HL) and corrects into premium pricing, I execute short positions within the bearish leg, targeting continuation toward new lows.
Patience during confirmation sharpens precision on execution.”
EURGBP |BullishHTF: Bullish structure printed beautifully across all major timeframes — clean, refined, and aligned for continuation.
MTF: Price has gone through multiple confirmation stages, syncing perfectly with higher-timeframe intent. Now waiting for the final touch — once price taps into the 30M OB, I’ll drop lower to confirm on LTF before executing.
Until then, staying in patience mode — precision only comes when every layer aligns. ⚔️
CADJPY: Pullback Confirmed! 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY may continue falling after today, following
a test of a major horizontal daily support cluster.
A double top pattern formation on that and a violation
of its neckline with a selling imbalance provide a strong
confirmation.
Goal - 106.85
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$ETHUSDT Analysis - Oct 6 | 4H Time FrameBINANCE:ETHUSDT Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe.
As you know, USDT dominance has been trending downward, and the overall market structure is bullish. On the other hand, Bitcoin has set a new all-time high! Considering these factors, it’s clear that Ethereum also has the potential to move toward $5,000, which isn’t unrealistic.
From another perspective, Ethereum has shown a change of character (CHOCH) on the 4-hour timeframe, and the marked supply zone could create a pullback in price.
When the price reaches the supply zone, make sure to look for proper entry confirmations, and keep in mind that there’s a higher chance of the zone being broken and I’m personally looking for long positions.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
$BTCUSDT Analysis - Oct 6 | 4H Time FrameBINANCE:BTCUSDT Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe.
After reaching a new all-time high and making a slight correction, Bitcoin has started moving upward again and could rise up to $127,000
If we see any trend reversal in Bitcoin, we’ll discuss it in future analyses.
On the lower timeframe (15 minutes), you can look for buy positions targeting $127,000** and $130,000.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
USDCAD: H1 ConfluenceKey Observations
Daily Timeframe:
On Friday's close last week, price held above the daily level
This week's open indicate price is likely held supported
H1 Timeframe:
There's confluence on the H1 timeframe where price is crossing above the DTL
Price is also moving away from the EMA band, which indicates momentum could be picking up here
Long trade Trade Journal Entry
Pair: PENGU/USDT
Trade Type: Buy-side Trade
Date: Sat 04th Oct 2025
Time: 12.00 PM
Session: London to New York Session PM
Entry: 0.02959
Profit Level: 0.03513 (+18.72%)
Stop Level: 0.02903 (–1.87%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 10.26
Narrative
Following the accumulation phase around 0.02950, buyers stepped in with significant volume during the London to NY overlap. Price action confirmed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 30-minute timeframe with a clean impulse leg. The entry aligns with FVG mitigation and bullish order flow continuation. Targets are positioned toward 0.0351 — the next liquidity pool and local swing high.
Market Context & Structure
The chart shows a strong bullish reversal following a prolonged downtrend.
Price broke above the 0.030 psychological level, flipping prior resistance into support.
Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) formed beneath the current price, offering valid re-entry zones if mitigated. Volume surged near the 0.02950–0.03100 area, suggesting institutional interest and demand absorption. The 50 EMA (blue) has crossed above the 200 EMA (yellow) — signalling a medium-term shift in structure.
Notably, the main impulse move occurred as the price retraced into the 0.25 level of the PD Array, aligning with a previous price range and discount as confluence.
Outlook
As long as price holds above the 0.031 zone (previous FVG + 50 EMA confluence), the structure remains bullish.
Bounce Token (Auction) to $100 over the next 120 daysOn the month of August 2023 at a price of $4 Without Worries published “Bounce Token (Auction) to $40” (see below / green triangle on chart above). Price action went 10x over the next 120 days. Almost worth getting out of bed for. Then the idea “Auction to $16” (see below / red triangle) was published at $45 on December 2023. Price action corrected to $7.
Overall price action has corrected 85% since the last idea. A number of reasons now exist to consider a long position, they include:
1. Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2. Support on past resistance. Not just the downtrend resistance, the horizontal support also, look left. All the way left back to 2022 (see chart below).
3. The same hidden bullish divergence that printed in early February (orange circles) now prints again. Previously this divergence was followed by a 600% breakout move in the 6 weeks that followed.
Until this point conditions 1 through 3 are an exact copy of the $40 idea. Look left, a higher low matched in both price action and RSI breakouts, wonderful isn't it?
4. The Bull flag takes the first impulsive wave to measure the next forecast the next wave to circa $110 area.
Is it possible price action continue to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
“Bounce Token (Auction) to $40”
“Auction to $16”
Horizontal support / resistance from 2022
BTC's 2021 Playbook is Back Are You Ready for the Final Rally?History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. And right now, Bitcoin is composing a symphony we've heard before, one that ended in a PARABOLIC EXPLOSION.
We're looking at a potential BEARISH CRAB PATTERN on the daily chart, and it's a near perfect mirror of the 2017-2021 prototype that launched us to the last cycle top. Buckle up.
The Simple Breakdown:
1. THE ACTIVATION TRIGGER: A daily close ABOVE $124,545. This is the launch button.
2. THE BUY THE DIP ZONE: $118k to $120k. Any dip here could be a gift before the rip.
3. THE FAIL SAFE: A daily close BELOW $107k invalidates the setup. This is our line in the sand.
THE TARGETS:
1. Minimum Target: $136,576
2. Extended Target: $147,700-$160k
The Ghost of Cycles Past (Right Chart):
Look at the 2017-2021 prototype. The C to D leg wasn't just a rally; it was a BLOW OFF TOP of historic proportions. It delivered the targets and then some before exhaustion set in.
The current structure is screaming that we could be at the same inflection point.
This isn't just another pattern. This is a cyclical blueprint suggesting Bitcoin is gearing up for the FINAL, EXPLOSIVE LEG of this cycle.
If this Crab confirms, we are targeting the $136K to $147K+ zone as the potential cycle peak. This is where liquidity floods in and volatility goes vertical.
A Word of Caution:
Always trade with a plan. The invalidation level at $107K is crucial. A break below there means the setup is broken, and we must re-assess.
The takeaway? All eyes on the $124.5K breakout. This could be the start of the grand finale.
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: EUR/GBP
Date: Fri 3rd Oct 25
Time: 2.00 pm
Session: London to NY Session PM
Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trade Details
Direction: Sellside Trade
Entry: 0.87097
Profit Target: 0.86505 (–0.51%)
Stop Loss: 0.87300 (+0.23%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.18
🔹 Technical Context
Structure: Price rejected from the monthly high zone, forming a clear BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside.
Confluences:
LND → NY crossover aligned with a shift in market direction.
EMA and WMA crossover confirming momentum shift.
FVG rejection near 0.8730, indicating displacement from the supply zone.
NY low sweep at 0.8660, providing the first liquidity target.
Stop placement: Above the intraday supply/FVG rejection at 0.8730.
Targeting: Price delivery toward the 0.8650–0.8660 zone (prior BOS + liquidity pool).
🔹 Trade Narrative
This setup followed a clean structural reversal from the upper liquidity pool near the monthly high. After BOS confirmation, price retested the 0.8720–0.8730 supply zone and rejected, forming a strong bearish displacement candle. Volume during NY PM confirmed continuation, aligning with trend momentum.
Trade targets liquidity resting under prior NY session lows for precision exit, capturing over 2R with minimal drawdown.
XAU/USD 06 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per previous intraday analysis whereby I mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, bearish pullback was insignificant relative to recent price action, therefore, I will not classify the bullish, I have however marked this in red.
Price has continued bullish printing ATH's. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH, thereafter trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,949.670.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per my intraday analysis dated 02 October 2025 whereby I mentioned price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,895.500.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price to then trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting internal high priced at 3,949.670
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GBP/JPY - Bullish 2H OB Play | 5M CHoch Reaction Setup
Pair: GBP/JPY
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 2H → 5M
⸻
HTF Overview
Higher timeframe broke previous major highs, showing clear bullish intent and continuation flow.
Smart money has confirmed direction to the upside — now we’re aligned with the institutional leg. ⚙️
⸻
MTF Structure
Refined structure mapped out with precision.
Spotted the courtyard buildup forming before the drop into my 2H order block — a clean delivery confirming controlled mitigation.
Momentum aligns perfectly with higher timeframe intent.
⸻
LTF Execution
On lower timeframes, we’ve already printed a clean CHoCH, signaling early reversal confirmation.
Now I’m patiently watching for a sell-side liquidity sweep (SSL) to mitigate the bullish block, opening long positions within that bullish leg.
Execution will depend on reaction strength and order block respect. 🎯
⸻
Mindset Note:
Don’t rush the entry. The deeper the sweep, the stronger the move.
Precision + patience = premium entry. 📦
EUR/USD - Bullish 2H OB Reaction | 5M continuation SetupPair: EUR/USD
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 2H → 5M
⸻
HTF Overview
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, with major highs recently broken — confirming continuation flow.
Price has now mitigated our 2H order block, aligning with overall bullish intent. From here, I’m looking for further upside continuation toward next liquidity highs.
⸻
MTF Perspective
On the mid-timeframes, price tapped directly into our OB zone and instantly showed strong bullish momentum, signaling institutional interest.
Now it’s about staying patient and letting price dictate whether we’ll get a clean retest or a deeper mitigation before expansion.
⸻
LTF Execution Plan
On the lower timeframe, recent internal structure has already been mitigated — price may look to retest that same level or sweep slightly lower before taking off.
Either scenario, I’m focused on targeting 5M highs and 2H continuation zones depending on market delivery.
⸻
Mindset Note:
Don’t overthink the pullbacks — once HTF alignment and mitigation are confirmed, trust the process and execute smoothly. Reaction confirms direction; mitigation defines precision.
WTI Crude (XTIUSD) 4H: Battle at Support - Bounce or Breakdown?WTI Crude (XTIUSD) 4H: Battle at Support - Bounce or Breakdown?
Bearish Correction & Current Stance: WTI Crude (XTIUSD) has experienced a significant bearish correction since late September, breaking key support levels and establishing a clear downtrend on the 4-hour chart. The price is currently attempting to stabilize and consolidate within a tight range after reaching recent lows.
Crucial Support Zone: The immediate and critical support for XTIUSD lies within the $60.3 to $60.6 zone. A sustained hold above this area could signal short-term buyer interest and potentially pave the way for a relief bounce.
Resistance Levels to Watch: Upside momentum will face its first significant hurdle at 61.58, which represents swing high. A more substantial challenge, and flip zone between between 64.5 and $65.2, acting as a strong overhead supply zone.
Breakdown Implies Further Weakness: Should the current support at $60.3 - $60.6 fail to hold with a decisive 4-hour close below it, it would validate continued bearish momentum, likely leading to further price depreciation and a test of lower price targets.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.