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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Long trade 📘 BTCUSDT.P – Trade Journal Entry 🟦 Trade summary Pair: BTCUSDT.P Trade Type: Buyside Trade Date: Sat 22nd Nov 25 Time: 9:30 pm Session: Tokyo Session PM Timeframe: 15 min 🟩 Trade parameters Entry: 86,169.4 Profit Level: 91,000.0 (+5.60%) Stop Level: 82,523.8 (–4.02%) Risk-to-Reward: 5.46 R 🟨 Market context and structure The market was in a 3-session decline (Tokyo → London → NY), forming an extended liquidity run to the downside. Repeated sell-side sweeps occurred near 85.0–85.6k, creating inducement for a buyside reversal. Descending channel/compression structure developed leading into NY PM. THE NY PM session formed the first bullish displacement after the sweep, confirming the intraday shift. 🟪 Liquidity Sell-side liquidity was taken below the Asian + London lows. The final low sweep occurred just before NY PM delivery. Multiple FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) printed on the bullish expansion up from 85.5k → 86.5k. A clean FVG retest + orderblock interaction created your entry model. Liquidity Path: Model: Sell-side sweep → Displacement → FVG → OB retest → Buyside target (91k) 🟫 Whykoff Aligment Phase BTC Price Action Phase B Wide, aggressive markdown with sweeps Phase C Final sell-side sweep into NY PM Phase D Rally through structure + LPS retest Phase E Expansion toward buyside inefficiencies We assume BTC now reflects a Phase C → D transition into markup. 🟩 Volume and confirmation NY PM shows volume expansion only on bullish candles. Retracements back into the FVG show volume contraction, confirming programmatic buy-side control. 🟥 Outlook/Continuation Holding above 86.3–86.5k = continuation probable. Potential upside magnet sits around 92.2–93k premium where macro inefficiencies remain open. Invalidation: Return below 85.6k kills the intraday buyside premise.
Long
by davidjulien369
USD/JPY: Intervention Risk RisingThe broader macro environment continues to shift against the U.S. dollar, with markets increasingly pricing the start of Federal Reserve easing as early as December or January. Rising expectations of rate cuts, paired with softening U.S. front-end yields, have weighed on the dollar’s momentum across major pairs. On the one hand, a potential Fed decision to delay easing until later in the year could reinvigorate the dollar, creating unexpected volatility. On the other hand, should the Fed opt for a more aggressive shift toward easing, it might accelerate dollar depreciation. At the same time, Japanese authorities have intensified their intervention rhetoric, particularly as USD/JPY trades near historically sensitive levels where the Ministry of Finance has previously acted to stabilize yen depreciation. A potential shift in the Bank of Japan's stance toward normalization, such as adjusting their yield curve control policy, could further alter the market dynamics. Despite these pressures, interest-rate differentials continue to favor USD/JPY upside, keeping the pair elevated as carry demand persists. Price action on the 1H, 15m, and 5m charts shows repeated absorption of sell orders at the 156.75–156.80 region with declining pullback volume, a sign of demand defending the level. However, the pair remains vulnerable to a downside break should sellers regain control, particularly given early-stage MACD compression. With the 4H 200 EMA positioned well below current price action, any sustained breakdown could trigger a deeper correction aligned with the broader shift toward USD softness. Thesis Bull Bias (High Probability) Entry: 156.80 – 156.95 Stop Loss: 156.55 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 157.30 TP2: 157.55 TP3: 157.90 – 158.00 Reasoning: While BoJ intervention risk caps the upside, the bull case remains valid as long as intervention does not occur and 156.75 holds. Moreover, until the BoJ signals a clear shift toward normalization (e.g., raising rates or ending yield curve control outright), the yen’s fundamental backdrop remains weak. However, and this is critical, the bull case is fragile, not because of technicals, but because the entire upside continuation depends on no intervention event occurring. Upside targets toward 157.50–158.00 remain technically justified, but every pip higher increases the probability of official action. Historically, the probability of intervention at these levels is approximately 30%, underscoring the fragile nature of the bull case and serving as a quantitative anchor for informed skepticism. Sell Bias (High-Probability, Conditional) Entry: 156.72 – 156.78 (after breakdown confirmation) Stop Loss: 157.15 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 156.20 TP2: 155.70 TP3: 154.90 – 155.00 Reasoning: The strongest macro catalyst for a bearish reversal in USD/JPY is the risk of direct Japanese intervention, which is significantly elevated as the pair trades near historically sensitive levels around 157–158. This zone has repeatedly triggered the Ministry of Finance. Statements from the MoF have shifted from “monitoring FX markets closely” to explicit warnings about “excessive and one-sided moves that may require decisive action.” This is usually the final verbal step before intervention. For traders, this means that any breakdown below 156.75—especially if accompanied by high volume—could reflect market participants front-running expected intervention. This publication is for informational and research purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Novaque & Co or its affiliates. Novaque & Co, its employees, contributors, or related parties accept no liability for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information presented. Readers are strongly advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The author and/or affiliated parties may hold positions in the assets discussed. Content is subject to change or update without notice.
by Novaque_Research
XRP collapse to 75 cents underway? - November 2025Is XRP about to collapse faster than a vegan at a BBQ? The idea “ XRP heading for 70% correction to 60 cents? ” was published at circa $2.90 after price action rallied almost 1000% throughout 2024. Price action continued to climb until $3.30 in the weeks ahead. Naturally many took umbrage to any publisher who dared to suggest investors might do something as awful as, you know, sell after huge profits. Because making money is not the game, on no. Pledging your allegiance and unshakable faith is the true path to financial freedom. And if you believe that, I’ll tell you another... Trump and & Co. are taking up philanthropy. The piffle from the congregation continues to entertain “Swift will be replaced by Ripple”, “Blackrock are going in big,”, “Why don’t you learn to read charts?”, every market top is the same. Liquid Euphoria. The technical A noteworthy development prints on the above weekly chart. A development that was fatal to any long investor who continued to ignore previous cycles. Once price action closed a candle body under the 50 week Simple Moving Average, the market dropped like a stone. After the bearish divergence print in July (same strength as the bullish divergence print in March of 2020 at 14 cents) price action went on to break market structure. Bulls were unfazed by this development it would seem, but now a more serious development, the 50 week SMA breakdown. Support and resistance is currently around 70 cents. Support never confirmed following the breakout. Previous collapses in price action align nicely with a 70% correction that would take price action back to the breakout should that correction strength repeat. Conclusions XRP has done it again, fooled the faithful into thinking this time it’s different. “Institutional money’s coming,” “the banks are loading up,” “Swift is finished!” Yeah, sure. And I’m the next Pope. Look, I get it, every cycle needs its pantomime hero. However this isn’t a revolution; it’s déjà vu in high definition. The chart above doesn’t lie, the same structure, the same signals, and now the same 50-week breakdown that’s historically ended in tears. It’s not witchcraft, it’s statistics: Close below the 50-week SMA? → -60% to -80% every single time. RSI? Rolling over like a fainting goat. Support? Never confirmed. It’s all right there, hiding in plain sight while influencers keep shouting “bullish!” from their YouTube mansions. Could it bounce? Sure. Dead cats do that too. But when every lower high is accompanied by louder noise and weaker conviction, you’ve got yourself less of an “investment” and more of a live action psychology experiment. So, is XRP on death’s door? Let’s just say it’s knocking politely and the door’s already open. Ww Disclaimer ========================================================= This isn’t financial advice. Obviously. If you’re basing your investment strategy on what some bloke on the internet with access to a TradingView account says, you deserve whatever cinematic tragedy comes next. I don’t work for Ripple, I don’t hate Ripple, and I definitely don’t think Ripple’s going to replace Swift, unless Swift suddenly stops working and forgets how to money. So, do your own research, manage your own risk, and for the love of all things holy, stop confusing hopium with a business model. If XRP moons, great, tell me all about it while I pretend to care. If it crashes 80%, well… don’t say the moving averages didn’t warn you.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by without_worries
30
Long trade 15min 📘 TRXUSDT.P – Trade Journal Entry (15-Min Chart) Sat 22nd Nov 25 — 3:00 pm — NY Session PM Buyside Trade 🟦 TRADE SUMMARY (Tab 1 — Blue) Pair: TRXUSDT.P Direction: Buyside Trade Date: Sat 22nd Nov 25 Time: 3:00 pm Session: NY Session PM Timeframe: 15m 🟩 TRADE PARAMETERS (Tab 2 — Green Transparent) Entry: 0.27588 Profit Level: 0.27784 (+1.52%) Stop Level: 0.27352 (–0.13%) Risk-to-Reward: 11.56 R 30min 🟨 MARKET CONTEXT & STRUCTURE 1. Trend Context TRX recovered from a heavy markdown cycle seen on the 30m structure. The 15m chart shows a micro accumulation zone beneath the 200 EMA, then a displacement above the structure. NY PM session creates a clean shift in order flow, reclaiming: The NY AM high, the FVG left during the earlier breakdown and the intraday session midpoint 2. Key Structure Points BOS at 0.2754 marks a bullish transition. The 50 EMA flips upward and crosses the 200 EMA — momentum confirmation. Series of higher lows formed after the BOS → clear buyside continuation model. 🟪 LIQUIDITY Sell-Side Liquidity Removed Liquidity swept below 0.2738, creating a final inducement. NY PM grabs sell-side beneath the Asian and London session lows. This clears the path for Algorithmic Repricing. Buyside Liquidity Targets First cluster at 0.2775–0.2780 HTF resistance levels at 0.2795–0.2802 TP lands inside the first premium inefficiency. Liquidity Narrative Summary Sweep → Displacement → FVG → OB Tap → Expansion (buyside model) 🟧 ICT MODEL BREAKDOWN Model Used: Sell-Side Sweep → BOS → FVG → PD Array → Buyside Delivery 1. Inducement London + Tokyo lows + NY early lows all swept before entry. 2. Displacement Strong bullish displacement candle breaks above the 0.27540 BOS level. 3. Entry Type Entry sits directly inside a: Bullish FVG Discount Retracement (OTE zone) Order Block Retest Aligned with session timing (NY PM) 4. Target Logic TP hits first internal buyside inefficiency. Secondary targets remain valid at 0.2795–0.2810. 🟫 WYCKOFF ALIGNMENT Phase TRX Reaction Phase A Selling climax & AR Phase B Accumulation under 50/200 EMA Phase C Spring: final liquidity sweep at 0.2738 Phase D SOS + LPS zone (Entry 0.27588) Phase E Markup into buyside targets 🟩 VOLUME & CONFIRMATION Volume spikes confirmed the BOS. Retracement into FVG shows volume tapering → bullish absorption. No heavy sell volume returned — confirming algorithmic buy program. 🟥 OUTLOOK / CONTINUATION If TRX holds above 0.2750–0.2753, further markup remains likely. Extended upside zones: 0.2800 0.2820–0.2830 Invalidation: Break below 0.2734 kills the buyside idea
Long
by davidjulien369
Long trade 📘 EURJPY – Trade Journal Entry (15-Min Chart) Mon 24th Nov 25 — 6:00 am — London Session AM Buyside Trade 🟦 TRADE SUMMARY Pair: EURJPY Direction: Buyside Date: Mon 24 Nov 25 Time: 6:00 am Session: London Session AM Timeframe: 15m 🟩 TRADE PARAMETERS Entry: 180.878 Profit Level: 181.603 (+0.40%) Stop Level: 180.802 (–0.04%) Risk-to-Reward: 9.54 R 🟧 ICT MODEL BREAKDOWN Model Used: SLL Sweep → OTE → BOS → FVG → Entry → Buyside Delivery 1. Inducement Triple sweep of TF lows across Asia, Pre-LDN, and LDN warm-up. 2. Displacement Strong BOS candle at 180.78 with large volume spike. Two clean FVGs form in the 180.62–180.80 region. 5min TF 3. Entry Zone Entry sits: Inside bullish FVG At the 62–70% fib retracement (OTE) On top of London OB Directly above protected low Beneath 50 EMA + reclaim → bullish power shift 4. Target Logic First target: fill inefficiency at 181.15 Second target: 181.60 TP Clear premium array target. 🟫 WYCKOFF ALIGNMENT Phase EURJPY Behaviour A Shakeout of weak longs → move into range B Accumulation under 181.00 key level C Spring at 180.30 (deep liquidity grab) D SOS & LPSR → Entry 180.878 E Markup towards buyside target 15min TF We assume entry is positioned at the Phase C → D transition, the strongest point of structural alignment. 🟩 VOLUME & CONFIRMATION Heavy bearish volume during liquidity sweep (capitulation). Volume drops during retrace → bullish absorption. BOS candle shows volume expansion → institutional entry. No distribution signs appear before continuation. 🟥 OUTLOOK / CONTINUATION Continuation Zones 181.70 182.00 (major liquidity pool) 182.45 (HTF imbalance) Invalidation A break below 180.72 invalidates the buyside continuation.
Long
by davidjulien369
XAU/USD 24 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURNZD: Bullish Movement Confirmed 🇪🇺🇳🇿 There is a high probability that EURNZD will continue rising after a test of a strong rising trend line on a 4H. A double bottom pattern formation on that on an hourly time frame confirms a strong bullish sentiment. Expect a rise at least to 2.0585 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
4
Gold: Overview 24.11This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method. Hello, traders and investors! The gold price on the daily timeframe is in a sideways range. A seller initiative is active, with a target at 3928. On the daily chart, the levels 4133 and 4154 are of interest for potential short opportunities, as well as the 4110 level — which is both an hourly timeframe level and the high of a seller candle with increased volume. The first target for short positions is 3998. Long positions should be considered only when we see signs of buyer strength on the daily timeframe — this may happen near 3998 or 3928. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Natural Gas: Correction Ahead?Pullback expected after five weeks of growth; key levels 4.283 and 4.194 in focus. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method. Hello, traders and investors! After five weeks of steady growth, natural gas now appears to be preparing for a correction. On the daily timeframe, a sideways range has formed, and the seller’s formal target inside this range has already been reached. On the 4-hour timeframe, we also see a sideways structure, but seller initiative is active. The current seller target is 4.194. A large volume cluster has formed at the upper boundary of the range, and the price is now breaking downward from that area. This zone becomes a broad seller area at the top of the range. It’s important to watch how the price reacts around 4.283, which represents 50% of the trading range. For now, the expectation remains the same: a move toward 4.194. A good area to look for short entries would be around 4.392, if the price gives a pullback into that zone. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by AlexeyWolf
EURGBP | Bullish OutlookHTF Perspective: Higher timeframe structure mapped and refined. Strong liquidity sits at 0.87623. Macro structure is bullish, reinforcing the upward trend. MTF Perspective: Mid-term mapped and followed. We spotted a sell-side liquidity sweep, after which price fell into near internal framework OBs, including a micro block underneath. This zone shows buy interest forming. LTF Execution: Waiting for lower timeframe confirmation to validate the shift/change. Once confirmed, buy points will be taken along the bullish leg targeting continuation into HTF highs. Current Outlook: Until LTF alignment occurs, we let Smart Money lead direction. Patience and discipline remain priority. Let’s go!
Long
by Juicemannn
CADJPY | Bullish OutlookHTF Perspective: Higher timeframe remains bullish. Structure mapped and refined. Price broke significant highs, with HTF liquidity sitting at 109.558, a strong level to monitor. The macro bias is bullish, preparing for continuation. MTF Perspective: Mid-term mapped, spotting a sell-side liquidity sweep. Once liquidity is taken, price falls into our internal framework OBs, creating decisional zones for potential continuation plays. LTF Execution: Lower timeframes will confirm the shift/change in trend. Full candle bodies into the OB are required before considering entries — structure must validate the move. Current Outlook: Until LTF confirmation, we let Smart Money lead direction. Patience is key; no forcing trades. Let’s go!
Long
by Juicemannn
AUDCAD | Bullish Outlook HTF Perspective: Higher timeframe structure remains bullish. Price has been forming multiple courtyards (internal structures), signaling preparation for the next move. MTF Perspective: Waiting for the deep sell-side liquidity to be taken. So far, price is showing lower highs forming, which could act as resistance and indicate potential downward pressure. LTF Execution: If price reaches the mid-term order block, we’ll drop to lower timeframes to confirm structure and entries. Watch for lower-high breaks or flips before committing to continuation plays. Current Outlook: Until confirmations occur, we let Smart Money lead the direction. Patience is key — no forcing trades. Let’s go!
Long
by Juicemannn
EURCAD | Bullish OutlookHTF Perspective: Higher timeframe structure is bullish. Price is breaking significant highs with clean formations, confirming continuation bias. MTF Perspective: Mid-term view aligns with the bullish trend. After waiting for the sell-side liquidity sweep, price delivered the sweep and fell into our mapped order blocks. This provides the key decision zones for continuation. LTF Execution: On lower timeframes, we confirmed structure (shift of character). From there, buy positions were taken targeting mid-term and HTF highs. Current Outlook: Waiting for the market open to see continuation toward the upside. Let Smart Money lead the direction. Let’s go!
Long
by Juicemannn
AUDJPY | Bullish OutlookHTF Perspective: Higher timeframe remains bullish. Price is breaking significant highs, confirming the bullish macro structure. MTF Perspective: On the 30-minute timeframe, we spotted a sell-side liquidity sweep. Price took that liquidity and pulled into our internal framework OB sitting underneath. This OB represents a key mitigation zone. LTF Execution: From here, we’ll drop to lower timeframes to confirm the testing area: • Look for lower-high break • Pullback on the bullish leg • Take buy points targeting mid-term and higher-timeframe highs Mindset: Until LTF confirmation, let Smart Money lead direction. Patience and discipline remain priority. Let’s go!
Long
by Juicemannn
CHFJPY | Bullish OutlookHTF Perspective: Higher timeframe remains bullish. Price is making significant breaks to the upside, continuing the bullish narrative. MTF Perspective: Mid-term structure is aligned with the trend. We waited for the sell-side liquidity sweep, which has occurred. Price has now fallen into our near internal framework OB. We’re observing if this OB holds as a reaction zone. If not, the next OB below becomes the true decisional zone. Both testing areas have the potential to flip back to bullish, setting up a continuation toward breaking major highs. LTF Execution: Lower timeframes will provide confirmation through structure shifts and inducements. Until then, we let Smart Money lead the direction. Mindset: Patience > prediction. Wait for clean confirmations. Let price do the talking. Let’s go!
Long
by Juicemannn