The 1.17% negative fall in stock market today courtesy weak guidance for 2024 by Infosys set the cat amongst the pigeons and profit booking in major sectoral indices lead by IT started. Capital goods and PSUs index were trying to provide some support and respite to the Nifty. On weekly chart the zone between 18887 and 50 weeks EMA which is at 18000 looks like...
Nifty has yet again reached the region from where channel top is near by. Channel top resistance can be in the range of today's peak that is 19595 to somewhere in the range of 19661. Supports for Nifty in case of fall will remain near 19464, 19422 (50 Hours EMA), 19360 (Mid-channel support), 19233 and final major support is near 19133. Closing below 19037 and...
Nifty Nose-Dived below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer All Time High which was within the touching distance. The factors responsible for the fall can be attributed to Hawkish stance of FED before July FOMC. Hawkish stance of global Central banks and Profit booking near all time high. Relative Strength Index of Nifty (RSI) also needed some cooling down. 50...
Nifty retreated after coming within touching distance of All time high. Perhaps it will check the box after one more push or rally within rally. Within every Bull run there are phases where Index or a stock cools down its RSI (relative strength index). Similarly Within every bear run there will be phases when market will be oversold and stock rises to balance RSI....
Due to Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week can be expected. We might have a positive gap up start on Friday if there is no negative news on the global or local level during the weekend. The resistances to look forward to are 18600, 18662 and finally 18742. Long term targets are 18887 and 19200+ levels. Supports at the same time remain at 18488,...
Nifty has given a strong closing on Friday by closing above the Mid Channel line. The nifty has given a close just below a strong resistance of 18509. 18509 was high of Friday above which the Nifty could not close. One way to avoid this resistance would be to open gap up on Monday. If we open gap up on Monday above 18509 levels, the next resistance will be at...
Nifty made a soft landing after Karnataka Election results. Despite Global markets performing well Nifty had a subdued week. After starting the week well, the rally simply could not sustain the upper levels and continued to slide. Bollinger Band and Daily chart technical analysis shows Friday low of 18060 and 18107.5 as strong support for Spot Nifty. Below these...
NIFTY is approximately 3% away from the top. Question on minds of most investors is: When will Nifty make a new high by crossing this Crossing this 3% hurdle. Crossing this 3% hurdle will not be easy in my opinion, unless all FII, DII and Retail investors participate in the ongoing rally. Rally has hit the resistance zone now. It was a good week but going ahead...
Market Outlook For The Next Week: It was a volatile week which saw ups and downs. Downs mainly due to huge sell off in HDFC Twins due to the rebalancing news of MSCI Index. The fall also cooled down RSI which has come down substantially. Closing of Nifty well above critical support level of 18029 shows that strength still might be left in NIFTY to rally again a...
After the much awaited break out of Nifty which was playing in the range between 17900 and 16900 it is the time for the strength of the rally to be tested. Nifty has to battle some important resistance next week to sail further upwards. All eyes will also be on FOMC meet of US Federal Reserves on 2nd May 2023. I don't want to sound pessimistic but everyone should...
Market Outlook The Nifty is poised at a cross road and a critical resistance. Either it can defy the resistance and continue rising further or it can consolidate a bit in the range of 100/ 200 points on either side and consolidate it’s position. Nifty consolidating first and then rallying further will be more logical but Stock market is not the place which obeys...
The main question that is springing in every mind is that how much more Fizz is left in the rally? Is it a genuine back to bull market rally or should we consider it a relief rally only? We will know only if the critical resistance are crossed in the coming week/weeks. Nifty Critical Resistances: 17639, 17720, 17804 (Major Resistance) ,18066, 18136, 18207 and...
After consolidating for about 2 weeks Nifty Finally had a shackle breaking close to the week and month in the last couple of days where momentum totally changed and both FIIs and DIIs turned buyers simultaneously. While the closing of Nifty is good, a major resistance zone of 50 and 200 days EMA between 17478 and 17515 is there to be crossed. If this zone is...
Certainly the global headwinds in banking and inflation are rocking the markets all over the world. India with strong economic momentum is a bright spot in global economy but it is still feeling the effect and can continue to feel so in the short to medium term context. In the long run Indian story certainly looks at good valuation. As soon as US Fed signals for a...
After Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse events that have shaken up both US and EU banking systems, global indices are experiencing some extreme volatility and negative sentiment. This combined with Hawkish stance of Central banks have sent investors in the panic mode. Though our banking systems look pretty solid and the global events have less significance on...
Markets have given a strong closing to the week above 50 Weeks EMA as well as above 200 days EMA. 50 days EMA remains an important resistance to conquer which is around 17815. The momentum that has built can well take the Nifty past the same if 17581 (200 days EMA) is held next week. Nifty Supports remain at: 17581, 17353 and finally 17248 (Major Support). ...
Some commentators in US are reflecting that during the FOMC in March 2023 can see US Fed hike rate by 50 bps. This move is anticipated based on US Inflation numbers which where worse than expected. Also there are some questions being asked about recovery of certain sectors in China which is still to come out fully from the COVID-19 grip. These two news items in...
Nifty has broken all but final support in the run up to the Budget Week following the report by an FII firm against Adani group which holds shorts for the same. Although loan books of Private banks and many PSU banks has nothing to do or negligible involvement in the group, the full Bank Nifty has tanked due to a knee jerk reaction by the investors. Although...