$NVDA rolling over. $SMH looks vulnerableSemis have been the toughest pillar of this bull market. The Semis ETF NYSE:SM has been making new highs and new lows with occasional consolidation. NASDAQ:NVDA has been instrumental in the dominance of NASDAQ:SMH in most of the thematic ETFS. The ratio chart $NVDA/ NASDAQ:SMH is also showing signs of weakness and rolling over hard. Last time NASDAQ:NVDA lost momentum it fell 40%. Will the history repeat? History usually rhymes. So, when we see weakness in the largest stock in SP:SPX the indices will also roll over. The momentum weakness is visible in the RSI.
If we believe that the previous highs act as support, then we can expect the stock to drop to 150 $. This aligns with the 1.0 Fib retracement level. This can mark a 17% downturn from here. The next support is around 120 $. That will mark a 33% pull back which is not unusual for $NVDA. But these price level will be great accumulation point for the stock. The consolidation in NASDAQ:SMH and NASDAQ:NVDA was predicated by me on Aug 3. But our long-term target remains intact with NASDAQ:NVDA @ 250 and NASDAQ:SMH @ 315.
Verdict: NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:SMH looks vulnerable here. Price consolidation more likely providing good entry points in $NVDA. Long term target still holds.
NVDA
Nvidia - The rally is still not over!🔌Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) still heads much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past decade, Nvidia has perfectly been respecting a major bullish rising channel formation. Currently, Nvidia is still far away from the upper red resistance trendline, which indicates another potential move higher. Just understand that the trend is your closest friend.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NVIDIA: Rally Stalling?After Nvidia initially drew closer to our beige Target Zone between $150.09 and $139.58, the stock was recently pushed higher once again. Therefore, we still see a 40% chance that a new high for beige wave alt.III could emerge above resistance at $184.11. However, our primary view is that price has already entered wave IV, which should extend downward into the aforementioned beige zone. Since we expect a strong rally during wave V, this price range presents an attractive entry point for long positions, with a stop that can be set 1% below the lower boundary of the zone. Looking ahead, beige wave V should extend up to the blue Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60, where it should complete the larger waves (V) in blue and in lime green.
JIOFIN 2Hour Time frameJIOFIN 2-Hour Snapshot
Current Price: ₹311.10 INR
Change: +1.28% from the previous close
Intraday High: ₹313.35 INR
Intraday Low: ₹309.60 INR
🔎 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Neutral
Moving Averages:
5-period MA: ₹310.50 INR
10-period MA: ₹310.00 INR
20-period MA: ₹309.50 INR
50-period MA: ₹308.00 INR
📈 Market Sentiment
Pivot Points:
Resistance: ₹315.00 INR
Support: ₹305.00 INR
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above ₹315.00 INR could signal a move toward ₹320.00 INR.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below ₹305.00 INR may lead to further downside.
Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
SENSEX 2Hour Time frameS&P BSE Sensex 2-Hour Snapshot
Current Value: ₹81,425.15
Change: +0.41% from the previous close
Market Cap: ₹1.86 Trillion
P/E Ratio: 25.95
EPS: ₹27.56
Intraday High: Not available
Intraday Low: Not available
🔎 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): Neutral
MACD: Neutral
Moving Averages:
5-period SMA: Not available
10-period SMA: Not available
20-period SMA: Not available
50-period SMA: Not available
📈 Market Sentiment
Pivot Points:
R1: Not available
R2: Not available
R3: Not available
S1: Not available
S2: Not available
S3: Not available
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the current price could lead to further gains.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below the current price may test support levels.
Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts Updated: Analyst Views September🚀 Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views — Updated September 2025
________________________________________
📝 Summary Outlook (September 2025)
Nvidia remains at the center of the global AI boom, with dominant GPU share, a strengthening networking/software moat, and multi-year sovereign and enterprise buildouts driving demand. Q2 FY26 confirmed strong momentum, while Q3 guidance points to continued growth. The main risks lie in tariff policy, China licensing, supply chain tightness, and valuation sensitivity. Street consensus remains bullish, with targets in the $207–$211 range and a Strong Buy bias.
🔑 Key Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth (2025+)
1. 🏆 AI Chip Dominance — Score: 10/10
Nvidia still commands ~90%+ of data-center AI accelerators, with CUDA/NVLink lock-in keeping switching costs high.
2. 🏗️ Surging Data Center Demand — Score: 10/10
Hyperscalers remain in an AI “build” cycle. 2025 data-center CapEx is approaching ~$300B, with Nvidia reporting record $41.1B Data Center revenue in its latest quarter.
3. 🌐 Enterprise & “AI Everywhere” Adoption — Score: 8.7/10
Companies across industries are rolling out AI assistants, copilots, and retrieval-augmented applications; Nvidia benefits via GB200 NVL72 racks and RTX-based inference at the edge.
4. 🤝 Strategic/Channel Partnerships — Score: 8.9/10
Cisco is integrating Spectrum-X into networking solutions, while HPE has expanded its Nvidia “AI factory” offerings—broadening reach into enterprise and hybrid AI buildouts.
5. 🚗 Automotive & Robotics — Score: 8.4/10
Auto revenue grew ~70% Y/Y; DRIVE Thor shipments have begun, and Nvidia’s Jetson/AGX Thor and robotics platforms are expanding into industrial automation.
6. 🧑💻 Software & Subscriptions — Score: 8.6/10
Nvidia’s AI Enterprise, DGX Cloud, CUDA-Q, and TensorRT deepen recurring, high-margin revenue and increase developer lock-in.
7. 🌎 Omniverse, Digital Twins & Industrial AI — Score: 8.2/10
Ansys, Siemens, and other industrial software vendors are embedding Omniverse into simulation suites, accelerating adoption of “digital twins” and simulation AI workflows.
8. 🛜 Networking & Photonics — Score: 8.8/10
Spectrum-X Photonics enables co-packaged optics for exascale “AI factories,” improving bandwidth and efficiency while giving Nvidia more end-to-end control.
9. 🧪 Relentless Roadmap (Blackwell → Rubin) — Score: 9.0/10
Blackwell Ultra is ramping into 2025, with the Rubin architecture slated for 2026—sustaining Nvidia’s upgrade cycles.
10. 🌍 Sovereign & Global AI Buildouts — Score: 8.5/10
Europe, the Middle East, and India are launching sovereign AI projects. Saudi-backed Humain alone has committed to tens of thousands of Blackwell chips for 2026 buildouts.
________________________________________
📈 Latest Analyst Recommendations (September 2025)
• Street Stance: Strong Buy/Overweight remains dominant. ~85% of analysts rate NVDA a Buy; avg 12-mo PT ~$207–$211.
• Recent Calls: Multiple firms reiterated Overweight/Buy, with price targets up to $230.
• Common Bull Case: Nvidia’s accelerator lead, software moat, sovereign/enterprise AI pipeline, and expanding networking portfolio.
• Common Cautions: Premium valuation, competition from custom silicon, and export/tariff risk.
________________________________________
🗞️ Latest Events & News (Aug–Sep 2025)
• Q2 FY26 results (reported Aug 27, 2025): Revenue $46.7B (+56% Y/Y); Data Center $41.1B; Blackwell shipments +17% Q/Q; buyback program boosted by $60B.
• Q3 FY26 guidance: ~$54B (±2%) revenue.
• Networking push: Spectrum-X Photonics unveiled; Cisco partnership expanding enterprise deployments.
• Omniverse OEM deal: Ansys to embed Omniverse tech within its simulation platforms.
• Sovereign AI momentum: Saudi Humain centers to deploy 18k+ Blackwell chips starting 2026; UAE and India also ramping large-scale AI initiatives.
• Ecosystem investing: Nvidia continues selective investments in AI startups, strengthening CUDA adoption.
________________________________________
🇺🇸🇨🇳 US–China Tariffs & Export Controls — September 2025 Update
• Tariff truce extended (Aug 2025): Current tariffs remain at ~30% U.S. on Chinese imports and ~10% reciprocal from China. Next decision point: Nov 10, 2025.
• Supreme Court review: The Court will hear a case challenging U.S. executive authority on tariffs this fall.
• China export licensing: U.S. has begun granting licenses for Nvidia’s H20 China-compliant GPUs. Advanced Blackwell exports remain restricted without further approvals.
Impact on Nvidia: Truce reduces near-term disruption, but future tariff or licensing changes remain key risks. China sales are limited to compliant GPUs with lower margins.
________________________________________
⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks (Updated)
1. 🇨🇳 US–China Tech Policy
Tariff truce is temporary; licensing decisions and court rulings keep China exposure uncertain.
2. 🏛️ Regulatory/Legislative Overhang
Proposals like the GAIN AI Act could impose stricter controls on exports and prioritize domestic deployments.
3. 🏭 Supply Chain Bottlenecks
Advanced packaging and HBM memory remain tight despite expansions—potential bottlenecks for shipments.
4. 🧮 Competitive Threats & Custom Silicon
AMD, Intel, and hyperscaler-designed accelerators continue to advance, potentially eroding Nvidia’s hyperscale share.
5. 🏷️ Valuation & Expectations
Nvidia trades at high multiples; any slowdown or guidance miss could trigger volatility.
6. 💵 Customer Concentration
Top cloud giants still account for a large share of revenue; CapEx pauses or custom chip adoption would materially impact results.
________________________________________
NVDA gravity is strong....$140NVDA is heading towards the death cross (SMA200) and doesn't seem like much will change that at this point. The economy is doing horribly, despite a few small wins. Even the lower interest rate (25/50 basis points) is too little too late, when most of the S&P is already trading below 200SMA. There is a massive overheating of AI Tech stocks that are highly concentrated, and a massive correction is coming. Follow CAPE and PE ratios historically, this time won't be different! Best of luck....
NVDA Support and Resistance Lines Valid from July 1 to 31st 2025Overview:
These purple lines act as Support and resistance lines when the price moves into these lines from the bottom or the top direction. Based on the direction of the price movement, one can take long or short entries.
Trading Timeframes
I usually use 30min candlesticks to swing trade options by holding 2-3 days max. Anyone can also use 3hr or 4hrs to do 2 weeks max swing trades for massive up or down movements.
I post these 1st week of every month and they are valid till the end of the month.
GOLD SELL LIMITGold has an overall target market goal that I believe is 3,700. After that we will see a-lot of deals made in the market, crypto ETFs will become a new way of storing assets. This will bolster the price of gold down as crypto assets will become the mainstream source of keeping assets as they reveal the new US treasury financial system.
This is not financial advice. Good luck
NVIDIA Has it bottomed??NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 4 months (since May 06). That was perceived as the bullish trend's strongest Support and rightfully so technically.
The next level to watch as a Support is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which was the level that held and led the stock to its previous peak during the last strong bullish trend of October 31 2023 to June 20 2024.
As you can see, there was a situation similar to today's where the price again broke below the 1D MA50 during the uptrend but kept the 1D MA100 intact and rebounded. Still, it managed to touch the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, there might be potential for one more weekly Leg down to $155.00 (Fib 0.236) before recovering but this would also most likely mean breaking below the 1D MA100. This is doubtful but not impossible but still there are higher probabilities of a rebound sooner.
A strong indicator that is in Support of this is the 1D RSI, which just touched its 2-year Support Zone, a level that has always been a 'Buy' whether short or long-term. As far as a Target is concerned, the 2024 Channel Up peaked on the -0.382 Fibonacci extension, which is at $245.00.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Will Bears Follow Through after Terrible Job Numbers?QQQ CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! stock market Forecast
Nvidia Stock NASDAQ:NVDA Forecast
Apple Stock AAPL Forecast
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast
Google Stock GOOGL Forecast
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla Stock NASDAQ:TSLA Forecast
Magnificent 7 stocks forecast
Weekly insighta EUR/USD S&P500 NVDA METAThis video is a weekly insights report from a financial trader on TradingView. I amdiscussing my analysis and predictions for several financial instruments based on technical and fundamental indicators.
Key Points:
Market Overview: The speaker talks about the impact of recent US unemployment data on the market, which led to a "parabolic" rise in the Euro dollar.
Euro Dollar: Based on a technical analysis of an "expanding diagonal" and an old trend line, the speaker believes a false breakout is likely. They plan to avoid trading USD pairs for the next 11 days, waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision.
S&P 500: The speaker notes a five-wave Elliot wave pattern with an expanding diagonal. They are waiting for the price to break below a trend line and a red confirmation line before considering a short position. They anticipate a "choppy" market for the coming week.
Nvidia: The speaker received "hate comments" for their previous analysis of Nvidia. They stand by their short position, citing a break below the exponential moving average, a "huge" divergence on the monthly chart, and a "shooting star" candle pattern. They note that Nvidia is the heaviest stock in the S&P 500, representing 7.5% of the index.
Bitcoin: The speaker points out that Bitcoin's price has crossed and retested two moving averages, which they see as a bearish sign. They will consider a short position if the price breaks below the previous low. They also expect Bitcoin to be stagnant in the coming week while the market waits for the Fed's decision.
Call to Action : The video concludes with a plea for viewers to subscribe to the speaker's TradingView channel for more trading insights and short-trade opportunities.
Broadcom at ResistanceBroadcom is at $326 resistance. It's accelerated well past it's historical trend line. This brings up concerns of over excitement.
While IXCO and SOX are still showing room for semiconductors to run as a broad group I would speculate AVGO is likely going to be left out as NVDA catches up. (NVDA hit it's current trend line this morning)
I'm expecting IXCO and SOX to hit resistance the end of this year. So until then I'm speculating AVGO is going to consolidate around current 326 resistance and eventually break down towards it's long term trend line.
I'm marking this Idea as "short" because I have a sideways/downward bias, but I personally am not actually shorting AVGO. When IXCO tops out there will be much better tech stocks to short.
Good luck!
Clear downtrend $NVDA! It's only the largest company in the world and holds about 8% of the entire US stock market! Nothing to worry about that it's break key technical indicators and showing a clear downtrend. Again, it's probably nothing that it's overvalued and has a very concentration of 2-3 customers that make-up most of their revenue. The UltraShort signal supports this. Remember that September it typically a bad month for the market and really bad things happen! When in doubt, sell and stay cash friendly! You don't want to be holding a bag and praying that things go up. Hope is NOT a strategy!
Checking for support near 171.26
Hello, traders!
Follow me to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(NVDA 1M chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
-
Looking at the current 1M chart, the HA-High to DOM(60) range is 121.80-138.23.
Therefore, if the price holds above 121.80-138.23, the step-like uptrend is likely to continue.
The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the first wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 3.618 (181.85) and hold.
The right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the second wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 1 (198.88).
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can break above the 181.85-198.88 range.
If the price fails to rise,
1st: 152.89
2nd: 121.80-138.23
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 180.76-182.70.
Therefore, for a stepwise uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 180.76-182.70 and maintain its position.
The 171.26 level is the HA-High indicator level on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found near 171.26.
If it falls below 171.26, it is likely to decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this point, the key is whether it can find support near 152.89, the Fibonacci 3 level (157.76) to the left.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so you should consider a response plan.
------------------------------------------------
If this is your first time hearing this explanation, you may not understand what I'm talking about.
The important thing is that the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators indicate lows, while the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators indicate highs.
Therefore, buys should be made near the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators, and sells should be made near the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators.
To interpret charts from a long-term perspective, you need to check the positions of the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicators on the 1M chart.
The 1W chart is interpreted from a medium- to long-term perspective, while the 1D chart is interpreted from a short-term perspective.
In the stock market, price fluctuations are often driven by issues other than the chart itself, so it's important to always be aware of volatility.
Even so, since volatility ultimately occurs after the chart is created, it's best to analyze the chart first and then examine other issues.
Otherwise, you'll likely end up creating a trading strategy that heavily reflects your own subjective opinions.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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NVDA $182 Weekly CALL Setup – Cheap Premium, Big Upside?
# 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Trade Idea (2025-09-03)
### 📊 Multi-Model Recap
* **Daily RSI**: 📉 34.3 (weak)
* **Weekly RSI**: 🔻 73.2 (falling)
* **Volume**: +1.3x → institutional distribution signs
* **Options Flow**: 🔥 C/P = 1.96 (bullish skew)
* **Gamma/Theta**: ⚡ High risk (2 DTE)
👉 Models Split:
* 🐻 Bearish: Claude, Gemini → favor \$165 PUT
* 🐂 Bullish: Llama, Grok → favor \$175 CALL
* 😶 Neutral/No Trade: Claude (low confidence)
---
### 🧭 Consensus Read
* Price & volume = bearish ⚠️
* Options flow & VIX = bullish 📈
* Net: **Mixed bias → tactical bullish bounce possible**
---
### ✅ Trade Setup (Viral Play)
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "CALL",
"strike": 175,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"entry_price": 0.68,
"profit_target": 1.36,
"stop_loss": 0.34,
"size": 1,
"confidence": 0.65,
"entry_timing": "market open"
}
```
---
### 🎯 Trade Details
* 📌 **Strike**: \$182 CALL
* 💵 **Entry**: 0.68 (ask, open)
* 🎯 **Target**: 1.36 (+100%)
* 🛑 **Stop**: 0.34 (-50%)
* 📅 **Expiry**: Sep 5 (2 DTE)
* 📈 **Confidence**: 65%
* ⏰ **Hold Policy**: Close by Thu EOD (don’t ride Friday gamma bomb)
---
⚠️ **Risks**:
* 2 DTE = 🔥 high gamma / fast theta decay
* Divergent signals → whipsaws possible
* Tight stop discipline required 🚨
$GOOG $226 Premarket! 2.61 Golden Pocket Above for Puts Well what do we have here? We have Taz taking a peak at the GOOGLE pop 👀 would you just look at it? If you put the fib right at the last high and low, you get a nice Golden Pocket Target Above at $228.97 …
Now let’s be clear here. Congrats to the Bulls in my Room that saw that Alert from the Bot and Hopped in with the Big Boys.
For now, it’s time to go with tie short side imo. If we can get a tap of that 2.61 pocket above, I’ll swing something to the downside for next week. Targets would include a Gap fill. If not, then I will be patient and possibly not even enter. I would rather optimal entry. Then forced entry. Have a good one yall.
AMD (2025+) Catalysts & Risks: 300 USD PT Bulls🟥 AMD (2025+) Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views
________________________________________
🔑 Key Catalysts Driving AMD’s Stock Growth (2025+)
🌌 Quantum-Centric Supercomputing with IBM
AMD’s collaboration with IBM to merge CPUs/GPUs with quantum computing promises a whole new class of hybrid architectures. If successful, this could unlock brand-new compute markets in research, defense, and enterprise.
Impact Score: 9.5/10
🏗️ Hyperscaler Traction & Data-Center GPU Gains
AMD’s MI355 and upcoming MI400 accelerators are gaining traction with big cloud players. Even a modest 10% market share in AI GPUs would be transformative for AMD’s revenue mix.
Impact Score: 9/10
📈 Analyst Upgrades & Bullish Price Targets
Wall Street has turned bullish—multiple PT hikes point to 20–40% upside. Analyst enthusiasm often accelerates institutional inflows, reinforcing AMD’s momentum.
Impact Score: 7.5/10
🌍 Global AI Accelerator Growth & Middle East Expansion
AMD is securing multi-billion sovereign AI infrastructure deals in the Gulf (Saudi, UAE). These large-scale contracts validate AMD’s credibility as a true Nvidia alternative.
Impact Score: 8.5/10
💰 Strong Financial Performance & Executive Optimism
Q1 results crushed expectations with revenue and profit growth across data center and AI. Sustained beats strengthen AMD’s credibility and support multiple expansion.
Impact Score: 8/10
🔗 Broad Ecosystem & Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions like Xilinx and Silo AI give AMD a richer portfolio spanning FPGAs, AI software, and custom servers (Helios). This positions AMD as more than just a chipmaker—an AI infrastructure player.
Impact Score: 7/10
________________________________________
⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks
🇨🇳 China Export Restrictions
AMD is losing access to a massive end market due to US export rules. This already shaved off ~$1B in projected sales and could worsen with future policy shifts.
Risk Severity: 9/10
📉 Under-whelming AI GPU Sell-In
Past misses on data-center GPU sales remind investors that adoption is not guaranteed. If hyperscalers hesitate, AMD’s AI growth story could stall.
Risk Severity: 7.5/10
💸 Valuation & Excess Rally Risks
Shares are up massively YTD—if results don’t keep pace, profit-taking could spark sharp pullbacks.
Risk Severity: 7/10
⚡ Short-Term Volatility & Earnings Reaction
Even with growth, near-term misses or cautious guidance could swing the stock hard.
Risk Severity: 6.5/10
🥊 Competitive Pressure
Nvidia’s CUDA ecosystem remains deeply entrenched, while custom silicon from hyperscalers (Google TPUs, AWS Trainium) eats into the TAM. AMD is fighting uphill.
Risk Severity: 8/10
________________________________________
📝 Summary Outlook (Sept 2025)
AMD is no longer the underdog—it’s becoming a legitimate AI infrastructure contender. The IBM quantum partnership and hyperscaler adoption of MI400 GPUs could be game-changers. Sovereign AI deals in the Middle East and ecosystem-expanding acquisitions amplify the story.
But execution risk is high—China export bans, entrenched Nvidia dominance, and valuation stretch leave little room for error. Success hinges on AMD proving it can scale its AI GPUs and secure recurring demand.
Rank Catalyst 🚀 Score (0–10)
1⃣ 🌌 Quantum-Centric Supercomputing with IBM 9.5
2⃣ 🏗️ Hyperscaler GPU Adoption (MI355/MI400) 9
3⃣ 🌍 Middle East AI Mega Deals 8.5
4⃣ 💰 Strong Financial Growth 8
5⃣ 📈 Analyst Upgrades & PT Revisions 7.5
6⃣ 🔗 Ecosystem & Acquisitions (Xilinx, Silo AI, Helios) 7
Nvidia (NVDA) Shows Bearish Signs After Earnings ReleaseNvidia (NVDA) Shows Bearish Signs After Earnings Release
On Wednesday, Nvidia published a fairly strong quarterly report:
→ Revenue for the second quarter came in at $46.74 billion (record), up 56% compared with the same period last year;
→ Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.05, a 54% year-on-year increase and above analysts’ expectations of $1.01–$1.02.
However, in the Data Centre segment (closely watched by the market), results fell slightly short of Wall Street forecasts, which may suggest a slowdown in capital flows into AI infrastructure. This factor could explain why Nvidia (NVDA) underperformed the index later in the week: for instance, the S&P 500 hit a record high on Thursday, while NVDA closed lower.
Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) chart
Six days ago, we:
→ Drew an upward channel (shown in blue), capturing NVDA’s price swings after the bullish surge at the end of June;
→ Highlighted the importance of support at $170 and resistance at $183.
Indeed, $183 looks like a solid barrier:
→ The numbers (1, 2, 3) mark failed attempts by the bulls to break through this resistance, giving grounds to view the chart in the context of a triple top pattern.
→ The third peak only slightly exceeds the previous highs, which resembles a bull trap and the Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) pattern in Richard Wyckoff’s methodology, signalling the prospect of lower prices. A bearish gap the following day (shown by the red arrow) and a weak Friday close underline the bears’ aggression.
Given the above, we could assume that the bulls may try to keep the price within the channel, relying on support at its lower boundary. Yet the mentioned signals suggest that the bears are intensifying pressure. If we see only a weak rebound from the lower boundary at the start of September, the current channel could be at risk. In the event of a bearish breakout, a move down to test the $170 support could happen.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.