I ended up holding my short position today, still in the hunt for the 40's. Bear divergence still there, RSI trending down towards oversold. Oil seems to be bouncing in between the two light blue bars, watch for a strong break either way. Pair this with my other ideas.
Still short from $54, have not sold or added to my position at all. Blue line: $52 transition line, this line needs to be broken strong for us to head lower imo. Red trend-lines: We've see an increase in prices, with declining RSI. This is a bear divergence.(whether or not it will play it is another story, yet I believe it will) Orange line: This was a bull RSI...
So I didn't sell any of my $54 oil shorts today when it rebounded, I just moved my stop to break-even. Today we saw a major miss in inventories, which was initially bearish, but was somehow bullish? I'm still short because of the numerous reports that essentially the OPEC "cut" is garbage, and on top of that oil inventories are growing, while demand remains...
Bullish oil prices and a weak Eurozone will continue a downward trend in EURCAD. EU news this week will more than likely solidify a weak position for the Euro, whereas strong manufacturing data will push oil higher, ergo driving CAD. Looking for a 15 Pip Take Profit
1. Lots of deep corrections in this range. Gonna have to break to the up/down side to confirm the next trend. 2. Uncertainty reflected in the price
Here we are seeing oil making a strong break from an important trend line and now doing an important retest of the trend line increases the possibility to go short.
PRICE CAME DOWN AND RETESTED THE MAJOR SUPPORT TREND LINE AND THE 0.618 (43.00) FIB LEVEL. PRICE SHOULD BOUNCE BACK. ENTER WITH A BUY STOP JUST BELOW THE 43.60 PRICE LEVEL. STOP LOSS JUST BELOW THE 0.618 FIB LEVEL AND THE MAJOR SUPPORT TREND LINE. PROFIT TARGET IS 46.70 PRICE LEVEL. STOCHASTIC/RSI IS GOING BELOW THE 20 LEVEL.
PRICE WILL BOUNCE BACK FROM THE 45.60 LEVEL AND WILL CONTINUE TO RETEST THE 46.72 LEVEL. PRICE WILL FALL AT THE 46.72 LEVEL OR THE 45.40 LEVEL. ENTER TRADE WHEN PRICE BREAKS THE TREND LINE AND FALLS BELOW 45.30 LEVEL. STOP LOSS SHOULD BE NO MORE THAN 10 PIPS FOR EACH TRADE. PROFIT TARGET IS 44.30 AREA.
A breakdown of OIL with potential scenarios for both the up and downside. The blue box indicates the criteria for entry with 4/5 requirements needing to be met before entry, this method cuts losses and gives a clear structured way to enter trades that can be back-tested. Good luck!
According to a new Bloomberg interview Mr Putin is pushing for OPEC and Iran to halt oil supply in order to rally prices above $50 a barrel. The measure of success will be a close above $46.00 as it was breakout above this level that previously took oil above $50.00. Given the nature of oil any major exporter announcing they want to cut supply should provoke a...
UKOIL on resistance of down trend on weekly chart, any closing of weekly candle above that trend that will continuing the rally, its hard resistance and the crude oil still on bearish market under that pressure, but we have to know THE NEWS KILL THE CHART.
Left Char: A weekly line chart, on log scale, shows downtrend breakout along with bullish divergence on RSI . Right Chart: A daily chart shows down trend breakout and is about to form an inverted H&S. Update status