Oilprice
WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) โ DETAILED TECHNICAL ANALYSIS# ๐ข๏ธ WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) โ DETAILED TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ๐๐ฅ
## ๐ Current Market Overview
WTI Crude Oil is currently trading around **81.95**, after recovering strongly from the lower support region. The chart shows that price has reacted positively from the marked **demand zone around 78.0โ79.5**, indicating that buyers are actively defending this area.
The broader structure previously showed a bearish trend, but the recent price action suggests that the market is attempting to transition into a **bullish recovery structure**. ๐
---
## ๐ข 1. Demand Zone โ Key Area for Buyers
The **78.0โ79.5 region** is the most important support area on this chart.
Price previously entered this zone several times and repeatedly found buying pressure. The latest reaction from this area produced a strong recovery toward the **83โ85 region**.
This tells us that the demand zone is currently acting as a strong base.
As long as price remains above this zone, the bullish scenario remains valid. ๐ช๐
A deeper pullback into this area could potentially create another buying opportunity, but confirmation should be waited for rather than entering blindly.
---
## ๐ 2. Descending Trendline
A major descending trendline is visible from the previous high near **93โ94**.
This trendline has acted as dynamic resistance and has previously pushed price lower. Currently, price is approaching the area where this bearish trendline becomes important again.
๐ฅ **A clean breakout and candle close above this trendline would be a significant bullish signal.**
If buyers successfully break and hold above the trendline, the market could gain enough momentum to target the higher resistance and order-block area.
---
## ๐ก 3. Current Resistance โ 84โ85
The **84.0โ85.0 zone** is the immediate resistance region.
Price has already struggled around this area, showing that sellers remain active.
Therefore, traders should watch the reaction carefully:
โก๏ธ **Break above 85.0:** bullish continuation becomes stronger.
โก๏ธ **Rejection from 84โ85:** a short-term pullback could develop.
โก๏ธ **Pullback into 80โ79:** buyers may attempt another recovery.
A confirmed breakout above this resistance would improve the probability of a move toward **88.0**. ๐
---
## ๐ฏ 4. Order Block โ 88.0โ90.0
The chart clearly marks an **ORDER BLOCK** around **88โ90**.
This is the next major upside objective if the bullish structure continues.
The **88.0 level** is especially important because it represents the first major resistance/target shown on the chart.
If price reaches this region, expect increased volatility and possible profit-taking.
๐ **Main bullish target: 88.0**
๐ **Extended target: 90.0โ91.0**
---
## ๐ 5. Possible Liquidity Sweep
The projected price path on the chart suggests an interesting possibility:
Price may first make a **short-term dip toward 79โ80**, potentially sweeping liquidity below recent lows, before reversing strongly upward.
This would be a classic:
**Liquidity Sweep โ Demand Reaction โ Bullish Continuation** ๐๐
However, this is a scenario rather than a certainty. The demand zone must hold for the setup to remain valid.
---
## ๐งฑ 6. Major Support โ 74.28
The **74.28 level** is the major structural support marked on the chart.
This level previously acted as a strong floor during the bearish move.
A sustained break below the demand zone followed by a break of **74.28** would invalidate the current bullish recovery idea and could indicate renewed bearish momentum. โ ๏ธ๐
Until that happens, the larger recovery structure remains technically interesting.
---
# ๐ BULLISH SCENARIO
If WTI continues to hold above the **78โ79 demand zone**, the preferred scenario is:
**78โ79 Demand Zone ๐ข**
โฌ๏ธ Possible liquidity sweep
โฌ๏ธ Bullish reversal
โฌ๏ธ Break of 84โ85 resistance
๐ฏ **Target 1: 88.0**
๐ฏ **Target 2: 90.0โ91.0**
A strong breakout above the descending trendline would provide additional confirmation. ๐๐ฅ
---
# ๐ BEARISH SCENARIO
The bullish setup would weaken if price repeatedly rejects the **84โ85 resistance** and falls back below **78.0**.
A confirmed breakdown below the demand zone could open the way toward:
๐ฏ **76.0**
๐ฏ **74.28 major support**
A decisive break below **74.28** would signal a much stronger bearish continuation.
---
# ๐ง TRADING PLAN
### ๐ข Bullish Setup
Wait for price to react from **78โ79 demand** or confirm a breakout above **84โ85**.
**Confirmation โ Entry โ Risk Management โ Target 88+**
### ๐ด Bearish Setup
Watch for a strong rejection from **84โ85** or a confirmed breakdown below the **78โ79 demand zone**.
Avoid chasing the move in the middle of the range. Patience and confirmation are key. ๐ฏ
---
# ๐ฅ FINAL MARKET OUTLOOK
**WTI Crude Oil remains technically bullish above the 78โ79 demand zone.**
The market has already shown a strong reaction from demand, and the next major challenge is the **84โ85 resistance / descending trendline area**.
A confirmed breakout could shift momentum significantly toward the **88.0 order block**, with **90โ91** as an extended upside area.
On the other hand, failure to hold demand would invalidate the bullish setup and bring **74.28** back into focus.
### ๐ฏ KEY LEVELS
๐ข **Demand:** 78.0โ79.5
๐ข **Support:** 80.0
๐ด **Resistance:** 84.0โ85.0
๐ฏ **Major Target:** 88.0
๐ฏ **Extended Target:** 90.0โ91.0
โ ๏ธ **Major Invalidation:** 74.28
**Overall Bias: ๐ข BULLISH ABOVE DEMAND โ WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION BEFORE ENTRY.** ๐๐ฅ
โ ๏ธ *Technical analysis only. Always manage risk and use proper position sizing.*
U S O I L : ($69.07 Buy Limit)For today we will be having a (Buy Limit Trade) for (Oil) at the price of ($69.07) this is because when we look at our (Long Term Trend Direction) we can see that we have been in a very (Bearish Trend) and shows clearly that it's a (Downtrend) so it would be wise to wait patiently for the (Price) to drop even (Lower) before considering any (Buying) as this can lead to a (Buy Trap) and cause a (Loss) because the price will continue (Decreasing)
The (Low) for the day is ($73.40) and the (High) being the price of ($77.65) however I am certain that will be going lower for the day and we will have a (Brand New Daily Low) before having an opportunity to (Buy) the (Dip)
The (Buy Limit Trade) will be at the price of ($69.07) and the (Stop Loss) is ($63.07) the (Take Profit) of ($78.57) but it can change and we shall close (Partial Profit) and adjust the (Stop Loss) to (Entry) to help (Prevent) (Huge Risk) and even (Loss) as it's not certain it will reach the desired (TP) but rather maybe ($73.77) or ($76.00) to ($77.00)
โฌ๏ธ Trading Tips โฌ๏ธ
โข Follow your trading plan โ
โข Wait patiently for the trade order to trigger โ
โข Always consider the long term trendโ
โข Close partial profits โ
โข Emotional Intelligence - Remain Relaxed โ
โข Review and Journal your trades โ
U S O I L : ($88.90 Perfect Profit)The previous trade for (Oil) has hit the (Take Profit) and has aligned with the (Technical Analysis) that were provided this was a very straightforward and easy to follow (Buy Stop Trade) as we didn't even have much (Drawdown) because price kept increasing and the (Bulls) were clearly in control
The (Buy Stop Trade) was entered and triggered on ($88.90) with the (Stop Loss) of ($85.78) and a good (Take Profit) of ($93.08) on the (1H Time Frame) it took a total of (11 Candlesticks) to reach the maximum (Take Profit) of ($93.08) from the (Date) of (23 July 7:00 2026) that's when the (Buy Stop) was (Activated) and the (Take Profit) was hit on the same (Day) but at a different time around (10 hours) later (23 July 17:00 2026)
The reasoning for this (Trade) is because we simply followed the (Market Price Bias) and (Market Structure) as we saw some (Upside Direction Potential) and figured we could return back to the (Upside Direction Highs) of the (Date of 10 June 22:00) as price was in the (High Price Ranges) of ($93.24) to ($95.29) before the (Bears) drastically over took the (Price) and pushed it down into the (Downside) of ($67.28)
We still have a nice (Horizontal Ray) at ($96.80) from the (Date of 3 June 4:00 2026) as this was the (Potential Upside Direction) price target in the (Long Term Trend Direction) and we could still see the (Market Price) reaching the price of ($96.80) and beyond or price will drop right after touching the (Horizontal Ray) of ($96.80)
All trading was done strictly on the (1H Time Frame) and a (Scalping Trading Style) was used and (Recommended) as we didn't know where (Price) would reverse back to the (Downside) with the (Sellers) taking over, below will be the (Pervious Trades) that were shared with the (Community) so it can provide further understanding and make it easier to follow what exactly happened in the past few days in the (Oil Market)
โฌ๏ธ Pervious Trades Below โฌ๏ธ
U S O I L : ($88.90 Buy Stop)For this (Trade Setup) today on (Oil) we will be buying as this is because we are simply respecting the (Long Term Trend Direction) together with the (Market Price Bias) we can see that we've been having a nice (Uptrend) and that (Bulls) have clearly had control over the past few days (Overpowering) the (Bears)
The reasoning for the (Buy Stop) at ($88.90) is because we are simple seeing some (Upside Direction Potential) as we could return back into the (Upside Direction) of (Highs) from the (Date of 10 June 22:00) as the price was above and was in the ($93.24) to ($95.29 Price Ranges) before tanking down drastically back into the ($67.28 Price)
Do remember that we are simply going to be (Activated) by a (Buy Stop) at the price of ($88.90) and the (Stop Loss) will be at ($85.77) with a potential (Upside Take Profit Direction) of ($93.05) and beyond as we are simply respecting the (Market Structure) and we can see a nice (Horizontal Ray) at ($96.80) from the (Date of 3 June 04:00)
Should the trade not be (Activated) then we will wait for another opportunity to (Buy) the (Dip) as we will allow for the (Bears) to push (Price Down) giving us a nice (Buy Trade) and all trading will be done and (Focused) on the (1H Time Frame) and we can see some (Gap Ups) in price for the last few days which shows (Bulls) and their (Momentum) which can happen again and we break onto the (Upside Direction Prices) of ($90) to ($96.58)
โฌ๏ธ Pervious Oil Trades Below โฌ๏ธ
WTI CRUDE OIL โ SHORT SETUP AFTER REJECTION FROM $84+WTI made a strong run into the $84.00โ$84.50 area, but buyers failed to hold the move. On my 15-minute chart, price rejected the highs and produced a sharp bearish move followed by a CHoCH, suggesting short-term momentum may be shifting from buyers to sellers.
Iโm watching the $82.50โ$83.50 area for a possible retracement and rejection rather than chasing the initial drop.
My setup:
๐ด Bearish below: $83.50
๐ฏ Target 1: $80.00โ$80.40
๐ฏ Target 2: $78.00 area
โ Invalidation: Strong reclaim/hold above $83.50โ$84.00
โ ๏ธ Prefer confirmation on the 15M before entering
The $80 area stands out as the first major support/equilibrium zone on my chart. If sellers push through it, the larger demand area around $78 becomes my next area of interest.
One major risk: oil remains extremely headline-sensitive. WTI has been rallying on renewed Middle East supply concerns and uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, so geopolitical headlines could quickly invalidate a technical short.
My approach: Let price retrace โ wait for rejection โ confirm sellers โ short toward support.
Not predicting โ reacting to price action.
#WTI #CrudeOil #Oil #Trading #Futures NYMEX:MCL1!
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis (2H)๐ข๏ธ WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis (2H) ๐
๐ Market Overview
WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure after facing a strong rejection from the 93.40 resistance zone. The market has formed lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers are still controlling the trend. Price is currently trading near 79.90, a key area where buyers may attempt a temporary defense.
๐ Technical Structure
โ
Strong rejection from the 93.40 resistance level.
๐ Two visible Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have acted as supply zones, pushing price lower.
โ ๏ธ Previous Change of Character (CHoCH) has failed to sustain bullish momentum.
๐ Price is trading below recent swing highs, maintaining a bearish market structure.
๐ฏ Expected Scenario
The chart suggests that price may first perform a short-term liquidity sweep below the current support around 78.50โ77.50 before attracting buyers.
If this support holds:
๐ A bullish reversal could begin.
๐ฏ Initial upside target: 84.00โ86.00
๐ฏ Extended target: 90.00+
If sellers break below 77.50 with strong momentum:
๐ The decline could continue toward the major demand zone around 72.00โ70.50.
๐ Key Levels
๐ข Support: 78.50โ77.50
๐ก Major Demand Zone: 72.00โ70.50
๐ด Resistance: 84.50โ86.00
๐ง Major Resistance: 93.40
๐ก Trading Bias
๐ Short-term: Bearish while below 84.50.
๐ Medium-term: Watch for a bullish reversal only after a confirmed bounce from support and a break above nearby resistance.
โ ๏ธ Conclusion: The overall trend remains bearish, but the chart indicates a possible liquidity grab before a recovery. Wait for confirmation before entering long positions, while bearish momentum remains valid below the key resistance zone.
Oil: Retest the VWAP Zone, Then Continuation DownOil has chances of a continuation down with the trend, after a retest of the week before last's value POC zone and the VWAP.
Right now there's a gap at 82.38 - 84.46 and price can, with high probability, balance this zone. We also have a bearish order block here that could give a reaction on a test and not let price higher. But paired with the VWAP and the zone near the week before last's value POC, the area looks pretty magnetic for a retest and a search for balance before further bottom discovery.
Either way I'd be looking at the scenario with a continuation down. Invalidation of the scenario is a hold above 84.88.
WTI CRUDE OIL โ 2H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ๐ข๏ธ WTI CRUDE OIL โ 2H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ๐๐ฅ
๐ Bearish Structure Remains in Control
WTI is currently trading around 79.36, with price still moving beneath a well-defined descending bearish trendline. The overall structure continues to favor sellers while the major trendline remains intact.
๐ฏ Key Order Block / Resistance Zone
The highlighted 80.8โ82.4 area is an important order-block/supply zone. If price pushes into this region, it could face strong selling pressure.
A clear rejection from this zone would strengthen the bearish setup. โ ๏ธ๐
๐ป Bearish Scenario
If price fails to break and hold above the order block:
โก๏ธ Rejection around 81โ82
โก๏ธ Bearish continuation below 79
โก๏ธ First downside focus: 76โ74.27
โก๏ธ If support breaks, the next projected area is around 72โ71 ๐ฏ
๐ Bullish Invalidation
A strong 2H breakout and close above 82.4, followed by successful retest, would weaken the bearish setup and could open the way toward higher resistance levels.
Major resistance remains near 93.53.
๐ง Final View
Bias: Bearish ๐
Price is approaching a critical supply/order-block zone. The preferred setup is sell on confirmed rejection, rather than chasing the move.
๐ด Resistance: 93.53
๐ Order Block: 80.8โ82.4
๐ข Support: 74.27
๐ฏ Bearish Target Zone: 72โ71
โ ๏ธ Wait for confirmation/rejection before entry and manage risk with a defined stop-loss.
XAU/USD | Gold Sweeps Liquidity Below $4020,Short-Term Recovery?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2H timeframe, we can see that Gold opened the new session with a bullish gap and pushed toward the $4080 region. Once price entered this important supply area, sellers stepped in and pushed Gold sharply lower toward $4019.
After sweeping the liquidity below $4020, buyers became active and Gold is currently trading around $4035. In my view, we may first see a short-term recovery toward the nearby supply zones. However, once price reaches these areas, another bearish reaction and corrective move could develop.
The nearest supply zones are located around $4048 โ $4060, followed by $4070 โ $4085 and the stronger resistance area between $4100 โ $4120. On the downside, the nearest demand zones are located around $4018 โ $4030, followed by $3990 โ $4005 and deeper support between $3960 โ $3980.
For now, closely monitor price reactions around these key supply and demand zones. Make sure to open the chart in the highest available quality and study the marked levels carefully so you do not miss the potential setups.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL)๐ข๏ธ WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) โ Bullish Recovery Setup ๐
๐ Market Overview
WTI Crude Oil is currently trading inside a strong Order Block (Demand Zone) after a sharp bearish correction. Price has reacted positively from this area, indicating that buyers are defending the zone. The recent liquidity sweep near the lows strengthens the probability of a bullish reversal.
๐ Technical Analysis
๐ข Price is holding above the major Order Block, showing strong buying interest.
๐ง The recent liquidity grab (GAP sweep) suggests weak sellers have been removed.
๐ A short-term pullback or consolidation may occur before the next impulsive move.
๐ฏ The upside target remains the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 87.00โ88.20.
๐ If bullish momentum continues, price could extend toward the major resistance at 93.55.
๐ Bullish Scenario
โ
Hold above the Order Block.
โ
Break recent lower highs.
๐ฏ Target 1: 87.00 โ 88.20 (Gap Fill)
๐ฏ Target 2: 93.55 (Major Resistance)
โ ๏ธ Risk Scenario
A decisive close below the highlighted Order Block would invalidate the bullish outlook and could trigger another bearish leg.
๐ง Trading Bias
Bullish ๐ while price remains above the Order Block. Expect accumulation first, followed by a potential move toward the imbalance (Gap) and higher resistance levels.
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis ๐ข๏ธ WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis ๐
๐ Bearish Pullback Toward Order Block Before Potential Bullish Reversal
WTI Crude Oil is currently experiencing a significant corrective phase after failing to sustain its bullish momentum near the recent swing highs. The chart shows a strong rejection from higher prices, followed by aggressive selling pressure that pushed the market below the previously respected Demand Zone (88.00โ88.50). This breakdown indicates that short-term market sentiment has shifted in favor of the bears, while traders now focus on lower institutional demand levels for the next major reaction.
๐ Market Structure
The overall structure remains bullish on the higher timeframe; however, the current price action suggests a short-term bearish correction. After forming a strong impulsive rally, the market created multiple liquidity imbalances (Fair Value Gaps) before reversing sharply.
The inability of buyers to defend the demand zone confirms that sellers have gained temporary control. The bearish candles following the rejection highlight strong momentum, increasing the probability of further downside before any sustainable recovery can occur.
๐ป Bearish Scenario
Price is now approaching a significant Order Block (OB) around 80.00โ80.80, which represents an area where institutional buyers previously entered the market.
Before reaching this zone, the market may experience minor pullbacks, but unless buyers reclaim the broken demand zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue.
A successful move into the Order Block would likely sweep liquidity resting below recent lows before attracting fresh buying interest.
๐ข Bullish Scenario
If price reaches the Order Block and forms bullish confirmation such as:
โ
Bullish engulfing candle
โ
Strong rejection wick
โ
Break of bearish structure (BOS)
โ
Increase in buying volume
then the market could begin a new bullish impulse.
The first recovery target would be the previously broken Demand Zone (88.00โ88.50). A decisive breakout above this level would expose the next major resistance near 93.53, where sellers previously entered the market.
๐ฏ Key Technical Levels
๐ฅ Major Resistance: 93.53
โฌ Broken Demand Zone: 88.00 โ 88.50
๐ฉ Institutional Order Block (Buy Zone): 80.00 โ 80.80
๐ก๏ธ Major Support: 77.93
๐ Trading Plan
๐น Short-Term Bias
๐ Bearish while price remains below 88.00.
Look for continuation toward the Order Block.
๐น Long Opportunity
๐ Wait for bullish confirmation inside 80.00โ80.80.
Enter only after a confirmed market structure shift.
Initial target: 88.00
Final target: 93.53
๐น Risk Management
โ ๏ธ Avoid buying in the middle of the current bearish move.
โ
Let price reach the institutional demand area first.
๐ Always wait for confirmation before entering.
๐ฐ Risk only 1โ2% of your trading capital per trade.
๐ง Conclusion
The technical outlook for WTI Crude Oil remains short-term bearish, with momentum favoring a decline toward the 80.00โ80.80 Order Block. This institutional demand zone will be the key area to watch for a potential reversal. If buyers successfully defend this level and reclaim the broken demand zone, the market could resume its broader bullish trend toward 93.53.
Patience is essentialโallow price to complete the correction, wait for confirmation, and trade with the prevailing market structure rather than anticipating an early reversal. ๐๐
Crude Oil Above $100 โ Is the Next Stop $105-$107?Following the increasing possibility of further tensions in the Middle East, crude oil ( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) has gained more than +8% over the past 24 hours. If oil manages to remain above the psychological level of $100, it could continue its bullish trend.
Over the past 15 days, crude oil has been moving inside an ascending channel. It is currently trading above $100 and has successfully broken above the resistance zone($99.50-$96.00).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that crude oil is currently completing main wave 3, which could potentially end around the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) .
I expect crude oil to continue its bullish move toward at least the $105 level. If oil manages to break the key trading level of $107, we could expect further upside toward the resistance lines.
First Target: $105.00
Second Target: $107.00
Third Target: Resistance lines
Stop Loss(SL): $95.60(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
Gap: $95.16-$93.76
Gap: $79.50-$77.22
Whatโs your view on crude oil? Do you think oil can hold above the $100 level and continue its bullish momentum?
Note: Any news, statements, or developments related to the ongoing Middle East tensions could quickly affect Oilโs price.
๐ก Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
๐U.S. Dollar/Brent Crude OIL Analysis (USDBRO), 4-hour time frame.
๐ Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
โ
This is just my idea; Iโd love to see your thoughts too!
๐ฅ If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
WTI Crude Oil Analysis๐ข๏ธ WTI Crude Oil Analysis ๐
WTI Crude Oil remains in a strong bullish market structure, supported by a well-respected ascending trendline. After a sharp rally, price is undergoing a healthy pullback, with the 81.39 mid-support zone aligning closely with dynamic trendline support.
๐น Bullish Bias: The overall trend remains positive as long as price holds above the trendline and the 81.39 support level.
๐น Key Support: 81.39 โ A successful retest here could attract fresh buyers and confirm trend continuation.
๐น Key Resistance: 93.00 โ The major resistance zone and projected upside target if bullish momentum resumes.
๐ฏ Trading Outlook:
A bullish rebound from the support area could drive WTI toward the 93.00 target, while a decisive break below 81.39 would weaken the current bullish outlook and increase the risk of a deeper correction.
โ ๏ธ Conclusion: The trend remains bullish, but patience for confirmation at support offers the higher-probability setup.
Oil is running the same playbook it did, the last parabolic riseOn July 8th I suggested the local bottom was done and a bounce to T2 was expected. Oil has pumped 31% since then (in 2 weeks). Oil is running the same playbook that it did in the last parabolic rise. At a glance the cycle patterns may look different, but if you see the market like I do, they are (predictably) the same. This is how I was able to call the top (to the day) and the bottom T1 range, and the recent bounce (and timing). It's not about I told you so, it's about documenting success and proving that TA works.
Where do you think oil will go next?
Receipts for those that are interested.
--------------------------------------
April 29th cycle top call:
July 8th local bottom call:
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis๐ข๏ธ WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis ๐๐ฅ
Bullish Structure Remains Strong โ Pullback Before the Next Rally? ๐
WTI Crude Oil continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming that buyers remain in control of the higher-timeframe trend. The market has consistently respected the channel boundaries, producing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic sign of sustained bullish momentum.
Recently, price broke out from a prolonged consolidation range, signaling renewed buying interest. Following the breakout, the market left behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating an area of market imbalance where institutional buying pressure likely entered the market. This imbalance often acts as a magnet for price before the trend resumes.
At the moment, price is approaching a key Order Block (Demand Zone) located around the 80.00โ81.20 region. This zone aligns with the lower boundary of the bullish channel, making it a high-confluence support area. If buyers defend this level and bullish confirmation appears, it could provide an excellent opportunity for trend continuation.
๐ Technical Highlights
๐ข Strong ascending channel confirms the overall bullish trend.
๐ฆ Previous consolidation breakout remains valid.
โก Fair Value Gap suggests institutional buying activity.
๐ฏ Order Block acts as a potential accumulation zone.
๐ Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
๐ฏ Bullish Scenario
If price retraces into the highlighted Order Block and buyers step in with strong bullish candles or reversal confirmation, WTI could resume its upward movement.
Potential Targets:
๐ฏ Target 1: 84.00
๐ฏ Target 2: 86.00
๐ฏ Target 3: 89.00โ90.00 (Upper channel resistance)
A successful bounce from the demand zone would reinforce the existing uptrend and could trigger another impulsive bullish leg.
โ ๏ธ Bearish Risk
If price breaks decisively below the Order Block and closes outside the lower boundary of the ascending channel, the bullish structure would weaken significantly. In that case, the market could extend its correction toward lower support levels before finding fresh buying interest.
๐ก Trading Strategy
โ
Wait for price to revisit the Order Block.
โ
Look for bullish confirmation such as bullish engulfing candles, rejection wicks, or strong buying volume.
โ
Manage risk with a stop-loss below the Order Block.
โ
Scale profits near key resistance levels while trailing the stop if momentum remains strong.
๐ง Conclusion
WTI Crude Oil remains firmly bullish as long as the ascending channel and Order Block continue to hold. The current pullback appears to be a healthy retracement rather than a trend reversal. A confirmed reaction from the demand zone could offer a high-probability long setup with upside potential toward 84.00, 86.00, and 89.00+. Traders should remain patient, wait for confirmation, and trade with the prevailing trend. ๐๐
Brent's rally is fear, not shortage. Where's fair value?โฝ The number on the pump
I filled the tank on Sunday and the total made me stop and pull up the oil chart, which I hadn't touched in months. Brent and WTI, has run from the low 70s in late June to near 94 now. That is roughly a third higher in a few weeks. Reports tie the climb to rising Middle East tension and worry about the Strait of Hormuz, that reports say carries about a fifth of the world's seaborne oil. US pump prices are back near $4+ a gallon.
๐ Fear pricing, not a real shortage
This is the part I keep reminding myself of. The move is a risk premium, meaning the market is pricing the fear of a supply cut, not a cut that has actually happened. No barrels have physically left the market yet. So a good chunk of today's price is fear money, and fear money can drain fast.
Some analysts see Brent pushing toward 110 if exports stay choked. Others see a slide back into the 60s if tension cools.
Same chart, two very different endings, and which one lands is a headline question more than a chart one.
๐ Where the heavy trading actually sits
Now the chart. On the right edge of chart sits the volume profile, a histogram of how much trading happened at each price level.
Wide bars mark prices with lots of trading volume behind them. And the widest stretch here is not below price. It sits above it, a thick wall of prior trading roughly in the 100 to 112 zone. That is heavy supply, a band where a mountain of contracts changed hands before.
Between the current price and that zone (roughly 95 to 100), not much trading happened, so price has an easier path to push up into that wall.
Just under price the rising moving-average stack and the recent tight range are the near support. Well below all of it, the low-70s launch zone is where this whole move began.
The fundamentals tell you why Brent is up and how shaky the move is. The profile tells you where a fear-driven push runs into a wall on the way up, and where it lands if the fear drains out.
โ๏ธ Two ways from here
Premium holds or worsens: tension persists, the fear money stays, and price walks the thin approach up into that 100 to 112 supply wall. The analysts' 110 target sits right inside it. That is exactly the kind of heavy zone where a rally meets a crowd of old sellers and tends to stall, so I would not go chasing into it.
Premium drains: tension cools, price loses the near support, and there is little underneath to catch it until the 80s base where the real trading was built. That is the road to the analysts' 60s picture.
The line is simple for me. Hold the near support and I watch that overhead wall. Lose it and I lean back toward the base.
One thing I keep chewing on: when Brent finally reaches that band of old trading near 110, does it push through or get turned back?






















