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[06/09] [GEX] Weekly SPX OutlookLast week’s outlook played out quite well — as anticipated, SPX hit the 6000 level, closing exactly there on Friday. This was the realistic target we highlighted in last week's idea. 🔭 SPX: The Bigger Outlook It's difficult to say whether the rising SPX trend will continue. We're still in the "90-day agreement period" set by the administration, and so far, the market has shown resilience, avoiding deeper pullbacks like the one we saw in April. With VIX hovering around 17–18, we’ve reached a zone where further SPX upside would require volatility. For the index to continue rising meaningfully, it needs to reverse the current bearish macro environment, and that can only happen with strong buying momentum — not a slow grind. The parallel downward channel drawn a few weeks ago is still technically valid. Even a short 100-point squeeze would fit within this structure before a larger move down unfolds. GEX levels give us useful clues heading into Friday. We're currently in a net positive GEX zone across all expirations, giving bulls a structural advantage, just like last week. As of Monday’s premarket, SPX spot is at 6009.The Gamma Flip zone is between 5975–5990, with a High Volume Level (HVL) at 5985. 🔍 Let’s zoom in with our GEX levels — this gives us a deeper view than our GEX Profile indicator for TradingView alone. 🐂 🟢 If SPX moves higher, the following are logical profit-taking zones: 6050 (Delta ≈ 33) 6075 (Delta ≈ 25) 6100 (Delta ≈ 17) 🎯 Targeting above 6100 currently feels irrational — for instance, the next major gamma squeeze zone is at 6150, but that corresponds to a delta 6 level (≈94% chance the price closes below it), so I won’t aim that high yet. 🐻🔴 In a bearish scenario: 5975 and 5950 are the first nearby support zones (Deltas 30 and 38). If momentum picks up, 5900 becomes reachable quickly, even if it's technically a 17-delta distance — because that’s deep in the negative GEX zone. 📅 Don’t forget: On Wednesday premarket, we’ll get Core Inflation Rate data — a key macro risk that could shake things up, regardless of TSLA drama fading. 📌 SPX Weekly Trading Plan Conclusion Whatever your bias, keep cheap downside hedges in place. We've been rising for a long time, and even if SPX breaks out of the descending channel temporarily, resistance and the gamma landscape may pull price back swiftly.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
6
[GEX] TSLA Breakdown & Options Trade Idea for 39DTELast week, TSLA dropped hard, likely due to political tensions. Let’s not forget — just a month ago, their EVs were showcased at the White House entrance... In the span of 30 hours, TSLA fell -22% (see red line below), while SPX barely reacted. Why? Because both realized and implied volatility dropped — remember VIX is around 17/18. This sharp TSLA drop already seemed overdone, which helped fuel the +5% bounce on Friday.Most TSLA options positions are near-term and still show negative sentiment — but further expirations grow increasingly bullish. 🔍 If you use options GEX matrix , you’ll see the bearish hedging flow gradually turns more neutral-to-bullish. Most cumulative support/resistance zones lie between 250–340, with spot currently just under the chop zone. 🧠 TSLA Trade Idea It’s been a while since I posted a neutral Iron Condor, but TSLA might be an exception. Despite last week’s IV spike, call pricing skew still dominates across expirations — as seen in our Options Overlay indicator.This tells me the market doesn’t fear TSLA crashing below 200. So, I’m aiming to capture premium on the July 18th expiry without day trading. I’m thinking of something simple, well-manageable in either direction.To refine leg placement, I use visual GEX zones. 🐻🔴 Downside: Strong put support at 250 Gradual support layers up to 280 🐂 🟢 Upside: Target area: 340–350 for the July 18 expiry. 📅 Closing the Trade:I'll consider closing or adjusting at 21 DTE or when 50% max profit is hit — per TastyTrade’s studies. 🔁 Rolling Plan:IF short delta on one side drops below ~14 and price pulls away, I’ll roll the untested side to collect more credit. 🧑‍🏫 I’ll likely post trade management live in Discord for educational purposes. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 🦋 Bonus Idea: TSLA Broken Wing Butterfly If you think TSLA has more downside, a Put Broken Wing Butterfly — like the one shown in my previous YT video — is also a great way to structure this trade using the same GEX levels. There’s no single way to use Gamma Exposure — it’s the most actionable hedging signal we have. Combine it with your knowledge of strategies and you can trade almost any scenario. One thing’s for sure — this market moves faster than ever.A single day of internal conflict wiped -22% off TSLA…The next morning, the market already moved on, so as always: Trade Safe Out There!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TanukiTrade
Once It Starts, It Might Be Too Late to Jump InHey guys, vacation’s over — time to get back behind the screen and into the reports. Naturally, I kicked things off with a deep dive into ETH options activity , because that’s where the real market whispers come from. Here’s what stood out: Over the past week, the biggest trading volume and open interest inflow came at strikes $3000–$3200–$3400 (see screenshot). Most of the action was in standalone calls , though a portion showed up as call spreads — meaning some players are betting on a controlled rally, not just blind bullishness. The June 27, 2025 expiry remains the clear leader in open interest — still the date everyone’s watching. With implied volatility at 67.9% , ETH has about a 68% probability (1σ) of reaching $2,950 by expiry — just 18 days away . Key Takeaways: $3000–$3200 looks totally within reach. $3400 , though? Less than 15% chance based on current levels. The sentiment among options traders is clearly bullish — they’re positioning for a breakout up from the sideways range, roughly by the full width of the pattern.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
Navigating MSTR’s Price Swings: A Smart Options ApproachOverview MicroStrategy (MSTR) has continued to capture market attention due to its aggressive Bitcoin strategy and significant stock price volatility. In 2025, MSTR surged 41% in one quarter but also reported a massive $4.22 billion net loss in Q1, raising concerns about long-term financial stability. Analysts remain divided, setting price targets ranging from $200 to $650, largely dependent on Bitcoin’s performance and broader market conditions. Key Developments Impacting MSTR ✔ Bitcoin Exposure: MSTR maintains a large Bitcoin position, making its stock highly correlated to BTC’s price movements. ✔ AI Integration: The company is investing in AI-driven products, which could provide diversification outside of Bitcoin. ✔ Institutional View: Analysts remain split on MicroStrategy’s valuation due to its uncertain revenue model. ✔ Macro Volatility: Market-wide sentiment, interest rates, and crypto regulations will influence MSTR’s trajectory. Options Strategy for the Week 🚀 Iron Condor Setup for June 6 Expiration To capitalize on MSTR’s volatility while managing risk, an Iron Condor strategy is structured within a controlled range: - Inner Range: Sell Calls at 395 and Puts at 335 - Coverage: Buy Calls at 415 and Puts at 315 ✅ Objective: Profiting from sideways price movement while minimizing exposure to extreme volatility. ✅ Risk Management: If MSTR breaks above 415 or below 315, the long positions hedge against excessive losses.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Wiiso
Tesla Update Longs and shorts At the start of the video I recap my previous video and then bring us up to date with the present price action . In this video I cover Tesla from the higher time frame and breakdown both a long term bullish scenario as well as a local bearish scenario . Both of these scenarios present longs and short entries for day trade opportunities and swing positions . Tools used Fibs , TR pocket , Volume profile , Pivots , and vwap . Any questions ask in the comments Safe trading and Good luck
NASDAQ:TSLA
by SJTRADESFUTURES
1
06/02 Weekly GEX Analysis - 6000 Looks EasyThe biggest event last week was undoubtedly the court ruling involving Trump. The market responded with optimism, and on Thursday premarket, SPX surged toward the 6000 level — only to get instantly rejected. That strong rejection suggests this is a firm resistance zone. From the GEX expiry matrix, it's clear that the market is hedging upward for this week, but downward for next week. To me, this indicates that while the near-term GEX sentiment remains slightly bullish, the market may be preparing for a pullback or retest in the medium term. This week, SPX has already entered a GEX zone surrounded by positive strikes — up to around the 6000 level. That makes 6000 an “easy target” for bulls, and we’ll likely see profit-taking here, just like we did last Thursday premarket. ⚠️ However, if we look more closely at the weekly net open interest: ...we can see a strong bullish net OI build-up starting to emerge around the 6100 level — a price zone that currently feels distant and even unreachable. But if the 6000 resistance breaks, we could see a fast gamma-driven squeeze up to 6050 and possibly 6100 before the next wave of profit-taking kicks in. As is often the case during bullish moves, the market seems blind to the bigger picture — no one’s looking down, only up. The mood is greedy, and momentum favors the bulls... for now. Never underestimate FOMO — but also never underestimate Trump. He’s unlikely to accept the court’s decision on tariffs quietly. Any new negative headline could shake the market, no matter where price is sitting…
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2
INTEL INTC Short setup target 15.29Fibonacci technical analysis : Intel Corporation NASDAQ:INTC has already found resistance at the Fib level 61.8% (23.07) of my Down Fib. The May 30th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 23.6% (19.73), confirming a sell signal. A Bear Flag pattern has also formed. My Down Fib guides me to look for NASDAQ:INTC to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (15.29). NASDAQ:INTC – Target 1 at -27.2% (15.29), Target 2 at -61.8% (12.26) and Target 3 at -78.6 (10.79) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (22.04). Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by rose_excellence
[05/27] Weekly GEX Outlook for SPX⚠️ Unbalanced GEX & Institutional Hedging – A Closer Look I haven’t seen such an asymmetric GEX setup in quite a while — and it’s definitely not a pretty one 😬. The current profile suggests a highly skewed positioning in the market: 📍 Massive upside expectation: It feels like the market is almost exclusively preparing for a move toward 6000. 🛑 Limited downside protection: Below the current level, there's very little hedging in place — especially unusual with Friday’s expiry approaching. 🔻 Current Key Zone: 5925-5930 The largest put open interest is sitting right around 5925, which is also close to spot. Below that? Things get murky. The GEX profile becomes fragmented and mixed, with no clear put support until much lower. Interestingly, most of the current downside hedging is clustered around the 5900–5925 range, which includes ITM puts — not OTM, as you’d typically expect from retail. 🧠 Institutional Footprint vs. Retail This hedging pattern — closer to ATM rather than deep OTM — suggests institutional players are managing downside risk with precision. In contrast, retail traders don’t seem to be actively hedging the downside with OTM puts, which is a notable shift from typical behavior in high-IV weeks like this. 🔼 What to Watch: The 5930 Breakout If SPX can break and hold above 5930, it enters a clear, call-dominated zone. From there, the path to 6000 looks much cleaner, with lighter resistance and the potential for a gamma-driven push 📈. The details show the same picture when examining more details: SPX conclusion 😬 In short: we’re at a tipping point. Below 5900, hedging is tactical and institutional. Above 5900, the path is open to 6000 — but only if bulls can take control at 5930!
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector. The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence. 📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation. 🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows. Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market. Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140. The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print. 🔴 Downside risk scenario: In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support. 💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy. Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option. Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing: -Support (squeeze zone) around $125 -Call resistance around $140 -A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150 These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive. How would I personally start this: Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops. If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares. Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium. If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV. 👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession. I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well. 💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TanukiTrade
ZS Zscaler Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ZS: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ZS Zscaler prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 250usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2026-1-16, for a premium of approximately $29.30. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:ZSShort
by TopgOptions
ES1! (S&P500 Mini Futures) - Support Trendline Price Test -DailyES1! (S&P500 Mini Futures) price is currently testing a support trendline around $5900. If several daily Price candles close below $5865 this month, a pullback in the price can occur (rising wedge pattern). Volume has been decreasing in May 2025, compared to March and April. Finance and Technology corporate earnings season has passed. The U.S. government 90-day tariff pause is set to expire in early July (pending trade deal negotiations with other countries). Tariff and trade deal news, breaking news, corporate earnings, government law changes, consumer sentiment, inflation data, the FOMC, and presidential announcements can all affect the prices of stocks and ETFs.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by NoFomoCharts
[𝟬𝟱/𝟭𝟮] 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗦𝗣𝗫 𝗚𝗘𝗫 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗯𝗼𝗼𝗸🔍 IF/THEN QUICK GAMMA PLAYBOOK IF > 5825 THEN path to 5900 → stall/profit-taking likely IF > 5900 THEN path to first 5950, then 6000 → gamma squeeze extension zone IF < 5825 THEN path to 5700 → test of transition zone support Chop Zone: — re-entry = short-term balance/testing zone IF < 5700 THEN path to 5500 → gamma flush / dealer unwind risk 🧭 𝗘𝗫𝗧𝗘𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 𝗭𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗠𝗔𝗣/b] ✅ Gamma Flip Level 5700 → This is the confirmed Gamma Flip level = High Volatility Zone = HVL. We are comfortably above it, confirming positive gamma environment. 🧱 Major Call Walls / Resistance to upside from here 5900 → Significant call resistance zone (highlighted across GEX, profile, and /matrix command). 5825–5900 = Current rally zone → expected stall at 5900 (Profit-taking zone)5950 → Next mid-large positive gamma wall to the upside, mid-station between mounts. Dealers short gamma, adding fuel to breakout.6000 → Positive Gamma squeeze continuation target. Gamma squeeze intensifies → likely extends to 6000.🟦 Transition / Chop Zone 5700–5825 → Previous chop range. Retrace could test this before renewed upside.Currently outside and breaking up from this zone, indicating trend initiation. Balance zone from prior structure. Expect fade setups if price dips back in. Needs catalyst or strong sell flow to re-enter meaningfully. 🛡️ Major Put Supports to the downside 5700 → = HVL, also aligned with pTrans and Put support.Dealer unwind risk, downside opens.5500 → Key level if the 5700 zone fails — “total denial zone” of current FOMO. ----------------------------- This week’s SPX setup remains decisively bullish from a gamma perspective. The GEX profile shows strong positive gamma, with institutional and dealer hedging flows firmly positioned to support continued upside—especially into Friday’s OPEX. The environment is ideal for a controlled melt-up: volatility is softening, implied volatility is trending lower, and there’s no sign of panic in the options market. Put pricing skew is also declining, which suggests reduced fear and a shift toward more aggressive call buying—another sign of bullish sentiment. Dealer positioning implies that any upward momentum is likely to be chased and hedged into, reinforcing the trend. However, traders should stay alert: if SPX slips back below 5825, we may see a pause or retracement back into the 5700–5825 transition zone. Only a decisive break below 5700 would flip the gamma regime back to negative and open the door to real downside volatility.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
1
$TTD Breakout After Earnings | Gapped Up w/ Volume Surge📊 Summary for TradingView Post: NASDAQ:TTD exploded +11% post-earnings, gapping above key resistance and closing strong with massive volume. Price cleared multiple supply zones with conviction, now sitting above $79 with eyes on $82.74 and $86.43. Buyers showed up heavy. This is no random push—structure confirms strength. Still bullish unless it fills the gap below. Watching for continuation or controlled retest.
NASDAQ:TTDLong
by Solidified
05/05 SPX Weekly Playbook - GEX Zone Outlook🔮 What-If Scenarios for This Week – Based on GEX Structure until Firday Last week’s market momentum pushed the S&P 500 up by almost 3%, effectively erasing the price gap left behind on Liberation Day. The index also strung together nine straight days of gains—something we haven’t seen since late 2004. Meanwhile, implied volatility dropped significantly, with the VIX touching its lowest level since the holiday, falling to around 22.5. Several factors seem to have fueled this bullish tone, including a more measured approach from Trump on trade policies and strong quarterly results from major tech names like Microsoft and Meta. Still, the nature of the buying raises questions—was this a thoughtful rotation, or just a broad sweep of optimism? ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 🔄 Chop Zone: 5650 – 5670 (wide transition zone) 🔹 Gamma Flip: 5615 🔺 Key Call Wall: 5725 (5800 potential shift) 🔻 Key Put Wall: 5500 (5400 major support below) 🔼 Upside Path IF > 5670 → transition cleared → ➡️ 5700 stall / reaction IF > 5725 → call wall breached → ➡️ Path to 5750 / 5775 → stall at 5800 (largest net call OI) IF > 5800 → gamma resistance breaks down → ➡️ 5825/5850 zone opens up 🔽 Downside Path IF < 5615 → gamma flip triggered → ➡️ 5500 = battle zone (massive put wall + high negative GEX) IF < 5500 → negative gamma squeeze likely → ➡️ Stall zone: 5450 → flush to 5400 IF < 5400 → high-volatility regime → ➡️ Possible acceleration to 5375 / 5340 depending on IV spike ⚖️ Neutral Setup IF 5650–5670 holds → dealer hedging = balanced → ➡️ Ideal for non-directional spreads / theta plays ➡️ Wait for breakout confirmation above 5670 or below 5615 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 🔍 Final Thoughts We’ve seen a sharp rally since the Trump trade war scare, with barely any meaningful pullback. The market appears to be looking for one—as a breath. Based on current GEX positioning, there’s significantly more downside hedging than upside, especially in the mid-term May expirations. That doesn’t necessarily mean we crash—but it does mean that moves lower can accelerate faster, while upward breakouts may require more energy or time. In this environment, consider: Bearish or neutral spreads (put debit spreads, call credit spreads) Volatility-based strategies Avoiding naked upside trades unless we see a strong reclaim of 5725+ Stay safe and adapt—GEX doesn’t tell direction, but it does tell where the fire might start, beacuse of reflexting to hedging activity.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
COFORGE 8100 CE – 29 MAY EXPIntraday to Short-Term Trade Setup (15min/1H) 🟢 Bullish Breakout | Volume Surge Confirmed 🛒 Entry Zone (Buy Above): ₹258–260 🔑 Confirmation on 15min candle close above ₹260 with volume 🎯 Targets: T1: ₹276 T2: ₹306.50 T3: ₹353.90 (if momentum continues into next session) 🛑 Stop Loss: SL: ₹230 (on candle close basis for 15min TF) Conservative SL: ₹240 (if tighter risk appetite) 📊 Indicators Signal: ✅ 9 EMA crossed 26 EMA (momentum confirmation) ✅ RSI at 76.79 – strong, but watch for pullback ✅ BB %B at 0.89 – breakout zone ✅ Clean breakout above resistance (~₹230) with volume spike ✅ Pivot & resistance flip visible on both 15min & 1H TF For Education Purposes Only
CLong
by rmhetre15