Gold – Same Play, New ChannelPreviously, we were looking for longs from the lower bound of the rising blue channel… and price respected it beautifully.
Now the structure has slightly evolved.
Price is transitioning into a new rising red channel, while maintaining the overall bullish context.
As long as this red channel holds, the plan remains the same 👇
We will be looking for long opportunities around the lower bound of the channel, aiming to ride the next move higher.
Trend is intact. Structure is clean.
Buy the dips… until proven otherwise.
Will gold give us another clean bounce from the lower bound?
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Oversold
ETH – RSI Just Flipped Bullish… Déjà Vu?Looking at ETH on the higher timeframe, one thing stands out clearly:
Every time RSI prints a bullish crossover, price follows with a strong rally.
We’ve seen it multiple times before… and now it’s happening again.
RSI has just made a fresh bullish crossover from lower levels.
The question is simple:
Will history repeat itself?
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Flare: bounce or grind lower? key levels to watch todayFlare
Is this thing finally close to a bounce or just grinding to zero in slow motion? Lately the project has been back in the news with ecosystem and distribution talk, but price hasn’t cared at all – sellers keep leaning on every mini pump. According to the market, FLR is still treated as a high beta side‑show while majors take the spotlight.
On the 4H chart we’re sitting right under a local demand zone with RSI buried in oversold territory, so risk‑reward for fresh shorts is getting worse. Volume profile above shows a fat low‑volume pocket toward 0.0075‑0.008 and then a heavier node around 0.01 – both look like obvious magnet levels if buyers finally step in. I’m leaning toward a relief long, not a trend reversal, as any positive headline could be the excuse for a short squeeze.
My basic play: look for a stabilization or fakeout low, then a reclaim of the broken 0.0072‑0.0074 zone as confirmation, targeting first 0.0078 and then 0.0098‑0.01 if momentum sticks. If we lose the current support cluster and start closing below the recent wick lows, I flip the idea and expect a slow bleed to fresh lows – no hero longs there. I might be wrong, but for me this is the kind of ugly chart where the best money is made when everyone else is already bored or scared. ✅
Worldcoin: bounce or breakdown? key levels to watch todayWorldcoin
Catching this WLD knife or waiting for the bounce? According to the market, AI and identity tokens are still in the spotlight, but WLD has been getting punished after the recent hype cool‑off and regulatory headlines, with sellers in full control. Today price flushed into fresh lows again while the whole sector looks tired, so this setup is all about spotting the next dead‑cat bounce vs a real trend change.
On the 4H chart, WLD is grinding down inside a clean downtrend, but RSI is stuck in oversold territory, hinting at bounce potential rather than fresh momentum. Volume profile shows a fat node above, so any short squeeze could magnet price back toward the 0.26‑0.27 zone first, and maybe 0.32 if things get spicy. I’m leaning short term bullish for a corrective move, not a full‑on trend reversal.
My plan: watch for a stabilization base near current lows and a reclaim of 0.25 as a trigger, targeting 0.27 then 0.32, with tight stops under the recent wick low. If price loses that low decisively, I’ll flip the bias and look for continuation toward new lows instead of fighting the trend. I might be wrong, but to me this looks like a spot where late bears can get trapped while patient traders fade the panic. ✅
AUDUSD – Channel Bounce Loading?AUDUSD remains overall bullish , trading within a clean rising channel structure.
Price is now approaching the lower bound of the channel, which also aligns with a strong demand zone, creating a key confluence area.
As long as this zone holds, we will be looking for trend-following long setups, expecting a bounce toward higher levels within the channel.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XPLUSDT: ready for a bounce? key levels to watch this weekXPLUSDT
Who else is watching this little alt bleed into a monster demand zone and thinking “bounce time”? On the crypto side, sentiment has cooled off after the recent hype wave, and according to the market a lot of small caps are being flushed as liquidity rotates back into majors. That’s exactly when I like to hunt oversold plays with clear invalidation.
On the 4H chart, XPLUSDT just tapped a thick orange support block that has previously launched strong rallies, while RSI is grinding out of oversold around 30. Price printed a sharp rejection wick from the lows, hinting at fresh buyers stepping in. As long as we hold that orange zone, I’m leaning long, looking for a relief move back toward the mid-range resistance above.
Here’s my simple plan ✅
• Base case: hold the orange demand and squeeze up toward the first red zone above as a take‑profit area.
• If price loses the bottom of that zone and closes 4H below, I assume bulls are dead and a deeper drift lower is on deck. I might be wrong, but until that floor breaks I treat this as an accumulation dip and I’m interested in staggered longs, tight risk under the lows.
Jasmy: dip buying opportunity? key levels for the next few daysJasmy – catching a falling knife or loading the dip? According to the market, small caps like this have been under pressure while traders rotate into the majors after the latest macro risk headlines and rate talk. Today Jasmy printed fresh lows on Binance, but price is now sitting right above that big green demand zone that previously launched the last leg up.
On the 4H chart we’re clearly in a downtrend, but RSI is buried in oversold and starting to curl, hinting at seller fatigue. I’m watching for a bounce from this green area back into the red supply blocks above, with first trouble around the mid range and then the prior breakdown zone. If buyers react here, short covering plus dip hunters could easily squeeze this higher.
My game plan: I’m interested in a speculative long off the green zone with a tight invalidation just below it, targeting a move back toward the nearest red resistance. ✅ Base case – relief bounce into that zone, then I’ll reassess. If price slices clean through demand and RSI stays heavy, I step aside and let it drift to the next major support below. I might be wrong, but ignoring oversold bounces on coins like this has cost me more than catching a few stabs with clear risk.
PYTH: watching the dip? key levels for a potential bouncePYTH
Who else is watching this oracle bleed and wondering where the bounce is hiding? PYTH has been under pressure after the latest market risk-off mood and some profit taking across oracle names, and you can see it in this straight elevator down. According to industry chatter, dev and ecosystem news are still constructive, so any shift in sentiment can spark a sharp mean reversion.
On the 4H chart we’re trading deep in a demand pocket with RSI buried in oversold territory, while the volume profile shows a fat node back around 0.048–0.05. I’m leaning toward a short-term relief bounce rather than more vertical dumping. If buyers step in here, I expect a rotation back into the previous value areas around 0.046 then 0.05 as first upside targets.
My plan: watch for a stabilization candle and higher low on 4H, then I like a tactical long toward 0.046 and 0.05 with tight risk under the recent low. If this low snaps and price accepts below, I step aside and let the knife finish falling, eyeing cheaper bids lower. I might be wrong, but this looks more like late-panic selling than the start of a fresh trend. ✅
LMND (USA) - Morgan Stanley raised its price target to $85Lemonade is still up around 64% over the past twelve months, but has had a BIG dip (ironically on good news) from its high at nearly $100, all the way back down to a bit below $50. It started to recover a little and is now back to the $58 mark, but still leaves plenty of upside if it recovers. This is an AI-first insurance company covering renters, homeowners, pets, cars, and life - which I like the idea of - ie using AI to analyse risk.
The recovery case got a BIG boost earlier this year when Lemonade announced a partnership with Tesla, positioning itself as a first-mover in autonomous vehicle insurance by cutting auto premiums roughly in half when Tesla's Full Self-Driving mode is engaged. That news sent the stock surging around 22% in January and drove it to nearly $100.
Then came earnings in February. Revenue for Q4 came in at $228 million, up over 53% year on year, and the gross loss ratio hit an all-time low of 62%. The stock actually opened 14% higher on the day. But it reversed hard. The problem was profitability timing. Lemonade reported that they didn't expect a positive adjusted EBITDA until Q4 2026, with full-year profitability not until 2027, and at a $100 valuation there was no room for that kind of patience and investors bailed.
Today however, Morgan Stanley published an Overweight upgrade and an $85 price target , which looks like it may be the catalyst that gets this moving again especially at its current discounted pricing after that drop.
Technically, the chart tells a story of a stock that ran hard, got extended, got smashed, and has just started to recover from that dip. I like how the chart looks. Nice start of a recovery for the price with it now above its 20 day moving average. I like that the RSI is at a value area but pointing up, and I like that the MACD has crossed over the signal line while still under the 0 line. All the them are basically showing momentum is coming back into the stock.
I really do like the idea of drivers being rewarded financially (ie insurance discount) based on using full self driving. If you think this is the future, then this one might be worth a watch.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn't predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each trading day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don't necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I'll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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When Oversold Meets Support: A Timeless Market StrategyWhen Markets Stretch Too Far
Financial markets rarely move in straight lines. Instead, price tends to oscillate between phases of expansion and exhaustion as buyers and sellers continuously compete for control. During periods of strong directional momentum, price can move rapidly away from equilibrium, creating conditions where the market may become temporarily stretched.
Technical indicators are often used to measure these moments of imbalance. One widely used momentum indicator is the Commodity Channel Index (CCI), which helps traders assess when price movements may have reached statistically extreme conditions relative to recent price behavior.
However, experienced market participants typically avoid relying on indicators alone. Instead, they often look for confluence between momentum signals and structural price levels. In other words, an oversold indicator reading becomes more meaningful when it occurs near a historically relevant support zone.
The current setup in Euro FX futures traded at CME illustrates this concept well. A recent sharp decline has pushed momentum indicators into deeply oversold territory, while price simultaneously approaches a significant support area that aligns with a zone of UnFilled Orders (UFOs). When such factors align, traders may begin evaluating whether a potential stabilization or rebound attempt could emerge.
Understanding the Current Market Structure
The recent market structure shows a notable downside move that has brought price toward a historically relevant support level near 1.14240. In classical technical analysis, support zones represent areas where buying interest has previously emerged strongly enough to slow or reverse a decline.
These levels often attract attention because they reflect points where the market previously reached a temporary balance between supply and demand. As price approaches such areas again, traders often monitor whether participants are willing to defend the level once more.
In this case, the 1.14240 region has acted as a structural reference point within the broader price history. When markets revisit previously important zones, it frequently becomes a moment where market participants reassess risk and opportunity.
While support levels do not guarantee a reversal, they often become areas where decision-making intensifies, making them natural locations for traders to evaluate potential trade scenarios.
Momentum Exhaustion: Reading the CCI Indicator
Momentum indicators provide another layer of information about market conditions. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is designed to measure how far price deviates from its recent average, helping identify periods where the market may have moved too far in one direction.
In the current environment, the CCI has reached extreme oversold territory, indicating that the recent downward move has been unusually strong relative to recent price behavior.
Oversold conditions can sometimes persist during powerful trends, which is why momentum indicators alone are rarely used as trade signals. However, when extreme readings appear simultaneously with a structural support level, traders often begin watching the market more closely for signs that selling pressure could begin to slow.
This combination of momentum exhaustion and price support forms the foundation of many classical mean-reversion strategies. Rather than attempting to catch falling markets blindly, traders often wait for price to approach historically relevant levels while momentum indicators suggest that the move may be stretched.
When these elements align, the market may enter a phase where a potential stabilization or rebound attempt becomes possible, although outcomes always remain uncertain.
Order Flow Perspective
Beyond traditional technical analysis, many traders also study market structure through the lens of order flow. One concept often used in this context is the idea of UFO levels, where UFO refers to UnFilled Orders.
These zones can form when price moves rapidly through a region, leaving behind clusters of institutional orders that were never fully executed. Because these orders remain in the market, they can sometimes influence future price behavior when the market revisits those levels.
In the current setup, the technical support around 1.14240 aligns closely with a UFO support zone. This alignment creates a form of technical confluence, where two independent analytical approaches point toward the same price region.
Confluence does not eliminate uncertainty, but it can increase the significance of a level because it suggests that multiple groups of market participants may be watching the same area.
On the opposite side of the market, the chart also reveals multiple UFO resistance levels stacked above current price, with the lowest one beginning near 1.18200. Areas where multiple resistance zones cluster together can sometimes act as potential locations where rallies begin to lose momentum.
Defining the Trade Scenario
The classical principle behind this setup is simple: buy near support and consider exiting near resistance. This idea has been part of technical analysis for decades and remains widely studied across many markets.
In this scenario, traders observing the current structure might evaluate the following framework.
Potential Entry Zone
The primary area of interest lies near the support region around 1.14240.
When multiple signals converge in the same area, some traders consider this a potential location where price may attempt stabilization.
Potential Target Area
Looking above the current market, the first major cluster of resistance appears near 1.18200, where several UFO resistance levels are stacked on top of one another.
Clusters of resistance can sometimes act as areas where upward movements begin to slow as selling interest increases.
Because of this structure, traders analyzing this scenario might view the 1.18200 region as a potential area where a long trade could be closed if the market was to rebound.
Stop Placement and Risk Structure
Risk management is a critical component of any trading plan. In this example, a typical framework would involve placing a protective stop below the support level.
Rather than selecting a random stop distance, some traders structure their trades around a predefined reward-to-risk ratio. A common guideline used in many trading plans is a 3-to-1 reward-to-risk relationship.
In practical terms, this means the potential reward toward the resistance target would be approximately three times larger than the distance between the entry point and the protective stop. This type of structure allows traders to maintain consistency in how they manage risk across different market environments.
Contract Specifications
Understanding contract specifications is essential when trading futures, as these details determine the size and risk exposure of each position.
Euro FX Futures (6E)
Traded on CME, the standard Euro FX futures contract represents €125,000.
Key specifications include:
Minimum tick: 0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25
Margin requirement: ~$2,700 per contract
Margin requirements vary depending on market volatility and broker policies, but traders should always verify the latest figures directly with CME or their brokerage platform before entering positions.
Micro EUR/USD Futures (M6E)
For traders seeking smaller position sizing, CME also offers Micro Euro FX futures.
Key specifications include:
Minimum tick: 0.0001 per euro = $1.25
Margin requirement: ~$270 per contract
Because the Micro contract is one-tenth the size of the standard contract, it allows traders to scale positions more precisely and adjust their exposure more gradually.
This flexibility can be particularly useful when implementing structured risk management strategies.
The Critical Role of Risk Management
No matter how compelling a setup may appear, uncertainty is always present in financial markets. Even when technical support aligns with momentum exhaustion and order-flow signals, outcomes are never guaranteed.
Because of this, experienced traders typically focus less on predicting market direction and more on structuring trades in a way that defines risk clearly from the start.
In the example discussed here, the framework relies on three key principles:
Entering the market near a well-defined support level
Identifying a logical resistance area as a potential exit target
Placing a protective stop below support
This structure allows the trade to be evaluated objectively before it even begins. If the market moves in the expected direction, the resistance zone may become an area where profits are realized. If price instead continues lower and breaks support, the predefined stop helps limit potential losses.
Another important consideration is position sizing. Traders often determine their position size based on the distance between the entry and the protective stop, ensuring that no single trade exposes too much capital.
By combining position sizing, predefined stops, and a consistent reward-to-risk framework, traders can maintain discipline even when markets behave unpredictably.
Data Consideration
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
AERO: dip or opportunity? key levels to watch todayAERO
Is this dip a trap or the start of a real flush? AERO has been fading with the rest of the alt market after that BTC volatility spike, and according to industry sources new listings hype is cooling off a bit. Today’s sell pressure hit right into the same pocket where buyers stepped in earlier this month, so things are getting interesting.
On the 4H chart I’m leaning bullish, but only after a deeper sweep. Price is sliding toward the thick green demand zone around 0.30 where volume previously exploded and the RSI is already heading into oversold territory. My base read: one more leg down into that zone, then a bounce back toward the mid red supply band near 0.34 as fresh dip buyers show up.
✅ Plan: I’m watching for a wick into the green box and a 4H reclaim as my long trigger, targeting roughly 0.34 with tight risk tucked just below the lower green band. If price can’t hold that demand and we start closing 4H candles under it, I’ll flip the script and look for shorts toward the next lower liquidity pocket. I might be wrong, but fading strong demand zones on alts has burned too many traders for me to chase this short here.
(BZ) Fast Bounce Setup | Price:$15→ Target:$15.78 (+ 5 %)BZ — Kanzhun Limited | Bounce Setup from Key Support | +5% Target
Timeframe: Daily | Bias: Bullish (Short-term)
Technical Setup:
Price is currently sitting near the $14.84–15.03 zone, right at a confluence of major support — a long-term ascending trendline, a high-volume node from the Volume Profile, and an oversold RSI reading near 22. This is a textbook exhaustion zone after a prolonged downtrend from the $25 highs.
The marked Target Area ($16.00–$19.00) represents a ~5-30% bounce from current levels, aligning with a prior consolidation shelf and the Pivot S1 at $19.02 acting as a medium-term magnet.
Key Levels:
🟢 Entry Zone: $14.84 – $15.10
🎯 Target: $15.75 – $19(+5 TO 30%)
🔴 Stop Loss: Below $13.80 (under trendline support)
Confluence Factors:
RSI 14 deeply oversold (~22), showing early curl
VRVP shows heavy volume node acting as support in this range
CD Pivot support near $14.98
Price approaching rising trendline from multi-month base
Fundamentals (Bonus Context):
Kanzhun's Q3 2025 net profit grew 34% YoY, beating consensus by 6.6%, driven by improved revenue and higher margins. StockAnalysis The stock appears technically oversold relative to its fundamental strength.
Risk: China macro headwinds and broader market sentiment remain key risks. Not financial advice — manage your size accordingly. 🙏
TRUMP: oversold bounce ahead? key levels to watch todayTRUMP. Tired of watching this thing bleed every day? According to market chatter, the latest political headlines cooled off the whole "presidential meme coin" sector and TRUMP has been in straight sell mode, but now price is finally landing on an interesting 4H level.
On the 4H chart we’re sitting in a fresh demand zone around 2.9-3.0 while RSI is buried below 30 with a small bullish divergence starting to show. Volume profile shows the fat liquidity sitting higher, around 3.13 - 3.20 and then 3.4, so I’m leaning toward a relief bounce rather than a brand new bull run. I might be wrong, but this looks like classic oversold-then-squeeze setup. ✅
My base plan: I like cautious longs in the 2.9-3.0 area with eyes on 3.13 first, 3.20 next and a stretch target near 3.4 if momentum really kicks in. If price closes cleanly below this demand zone and stays under 2.9, I drop the long idea and expect continuation into the lower liquidity pocket below, where I’d then look for the next bounce zone instead. For now I’m watching how the next few 4H candles react here before sizing up.
HIMS (USA) - Strategic Pivot Following Big Partnership NewsHims & Hers Health has had a brutal dump over the last year and is down around 80% off its highs as it battled court-cases and regulatory headwinds. Based in San Francisco, the telehealth platform has traditionally focused on direct-to-consumer treatments for hair loss and sexual health, but the real story recently was its high-stakes entry into the weight-loss market . After a period of heavy selling following a fallout with regulators, the stock has started to show some life again, recently bouncing as the company gets some wins and also pivots its strategy.
The fundamental narrative has shifted significantly in just the last few weeks. The big news driving the recent move is a surprise peace treaty with Novo Nordisk that was announced at the end of last week.
See: www.reuters.com
After a bitter legal feud over compounded versions of obesity drugs, the two have reportedly agreed to a partnership that will see Hims sell branded versions like Wegovy and Ozempic directly on its platform. On top of that, the company just signed a massive $1.15 billion deal to acquire Eucalyptus, an Australian digital health leader. This move isn't just about growth; it’s an aggressive push to diversify away from US regulatory risk by expanding into Australia, Japan, and deeper into Europe.
Technically , the chart is starting to look like a classic "washout and recovery" play. The stock has been in a steep decline, but the price action is now testing the 20-day SMA from below, which is often the first step in a trend reversal . We’ve seen a strong surge in volume coinciding with the partnership news, and the RSI is still looking very oversold in the low 30's. While the 50-day and 100-day SMAs are still sloping downward and sitting overhead as potential resistance, the MACD histogram has turned positive for the first time in weeks. This suggests the selling momentum may have finally stalled out.
It looks very oversold, and the legal and regulatory battles that caused it to dump might be getting resolved. Even if it only recovers a small part, there is plenty of upside which means it could be worth a watch.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each trading day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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HL (USA) - Has Some Upside If Silver Makes A Comeback.Hecla Mining Company has been a real standout performer lately, sitting on a 300%+ gain over the last year. As the largest silver producer in the United States, it has been a primary vehicle for traders riding the precious metals trend . It is a simple, pragmatic business that has found a lot of momentum as investors look for safety and tangible assets.
The company is coming off a strong earnings report that showed solid growth and healthy margins. This recent war pullback seems to be more about broader market nerves and sector-wide profit taking than anything wrong with the business itself. When the fundamental story is still intact, these sharp drops often just flush out shorter term the overbought hype and reset the value proposition for long-term followers.
Looking at the chart, the price has dropped back into a much better value area . It is encouraging to see that many investors were willing to pay a much higher price earlier this month, and we are now testing support near the 50-day SMA . The RSI and MACD have both reset to levels that have historically attracted buyers during this uptrend and will hopefully start to turn back up as buyers come back in.
If you think silver has a bright future, this might be worth a watch.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each trading day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates.
If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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WLDN (USA) - Is This An Oversold Winner Belted On Future ResultsWow WLDN came in with excellent earnings again and got SMASHED not because the quarter was bad, but because its 2026 outlook disappointed .
This is a stock that I posted about earlier prior to its earnings announcement as it had some great momentum and was in a good business space. Based in California, the company provides technical and consulting services tied to energy transition and grid modernisation . It sits in an area of the market that has attracted strong interest recently, helped by rising power demand from data centres and the broader shift toward electrification. I would definitely be even more interested in this stock at these levels.
The main issue was weaker guidance . Management forecast 2026 adjusted EPS of $4.50 to $4.70, below the $4.89 achieved in 2025, which signalled possible earnings contraction. Revenue guidance of $390 million to $405 million also came in below market expectations. On top of that, a major 2025 tax benefit from Section 179D is set to expire in mid-2026, removing a boost that had lifted profits. Investors were also concerned about rising subcontractor and overhead costs putting pressure on margins.
The irony is that Q4 itself was very strong. Willdan beat earnings expectations, delivered record 2025 results, and ended the year in a net cash positive position. But the market focused on the weaker year ahead, not the strong quarter just reported.
To me this looks like a winner in a hot segment, that has been heavily oversold. Could be one to watch, but make sure it looks like it is heading back up before any entries.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026, my goal is to try and post one new asset each trading day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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NATGATE - 8 RECORD SESSION LOWS ?NATGATE : CURRENT PRICE : RM1.00 - RM1.02
NATGATE has been in a corrective phase and recently printed an 8-session low, which often signals selling exhaustion and opens the door for a technical rebound. (The record session topic is discussed by STEVE NISON in his book - BEYOND CANDLESTICK , PAGE 121 - 127)
A bullish piercing line appeared in Friday’s session, where buyers pushed price well into the prior bearish candle’s body. Stochastic oscillator is currently in the oversold zone, signalling a potential technical rebound.
ENTRY PRICE : RM1.00 - RM1.02
FIRST TARGET : RM1.10
SECOND TARGET : RM1.22 (near EMA 200) - The EMA 200 has capped price twice, acting as strong dynamic resistance, look at the green highlighted area.
SUPPORT : RM0.935
Notes : For reference, I’ve attached the link to my previous write-up related to this setup.
Doge after some more sharp fall gain will startDOGE is currently at a technical juncture where a relief rally or correction to the upside appears warranted following the recent decline. This would represent a healthy retracement within the broader market structure.
Current Structure:
Recent Action: Significant downside move creating oversold conditions
Expected Move: Corrective bounce toward channel resistance
Market Phase: Potential transition from bearish to bullish upon breakout confirmation
Near-Term Outlook:
A bounce from current levels toward channel resistance would align with typical correction patterns. This move would allow the asset to reset oversold momentum and test the strength of the prevailing channel structure.
Extended Bullish Scenario:
The critical technical development to monitor is a decisive breakout above channel resistance. Such a move—particularly if confirmed by strong volume—would signal a shift in market structure and likely initiate a sustained bullish phase.
✍🏼Author's word: Like & comment(your thoughts) if you found it helpful.🩷
FLOW: ready for a bounce? key levels to watch in the days aheadFLOW. Tired of watching this one bleed every week? News feed is still cold on NFT and gaming coins, while liquidity keeps hugging the majors, which is exactly why I like hunting oversold bounces here. FLOW is sitting on a fat multi-week demand zone that the market keeps defending.
On the 4H chart price is parked in the green box around 0.036-0.039, RSI just ripped up from deep oversold and is back above 50. VPVR shows the next serious liquidity node up near 0.042-0.044, right where my first red supply zone starts. As long as buyers hold this base, I lean toward a corrective move higher rather than fresh lows.
My base case is a push into 0.042 with potential extension toward 0.045 where I’d look to scale out. Invalidation for the long idea is clean: 4H closes below 0.036 flip the script and open room toward 0.033-0.034. I might be wrong, but I like this asymmetric setup here - tight risk below the green zone, upside back into the first red supply cluster. ✅
APT: ready for a bounce? key levels to watch in the coming daysAPT. Tired of watching this thing drip lower every day and wondering where the bounce is hiding? Layer‑1 names have been under pressure lately, and according to market chatter many are blaming upcoming unlocks and the choppy BTC backdrop. That combo usually creates one thing I like a lot – oversold bounce setups.
On the 4H chart APT is in a clear downtrend, but price is sitting on a local demand zone around 0.90 where volume last picked up. RSI is trying to curl up from oversold and shows a mild bullish divergence vs the latest lower low. VPVR hints at a liquidity pocket above, roughly 0.98‑1.05, which could act like a magnet if sellers relax for a moment.
My base plan: speculative long from this zone with eyes on a short squeeze toward 0.95 → 0.99 → 1.04, locking in partials on the way ✅. If 0.88 snaps on strong volume, idea is invalid for me and I’d look for continuation lower toward the 0.82‑0.80 area instead. I might be wrong, but the risk/reward from this graveyard level looks way better than it did on the way down.
MSFT (USA) - About to Bounce Or Heading to the Bottom ?Microsoft has been one of the dominant performers of the past decade, up roughly 630% over the last 10 years and was at its peak before this recent heavy pullback which has wiped out its gains for the year. As a software and cloud computing giant , it still very much sits at the centre of enterprise IT, productivity tools and AI infrastructure space.
Fundamentally, the company continues to pull in massive numbers. They recently reported Q2 revenue of over $81 billion , with their cloud segment crossing the $50 billion mark for the first time. The current pullback in the share price seems to be a grounded reality check from the market regarding their capital expenditures. Spending has jumped significantly as they build out their AI and GPU infrastructure.
Technically, this pullback has brought the stock right down into a much better value area. Looking at the chart, price has returned to a major support zone where it has successfully bounced multiple times in the past, which I marked in the three yellow circles. The recent drop has also perfectly filled a previous gap , indicated by the red circle. Gap fills often act as a natural exhaustion point for sellers. Both the RSI and MACD are sitting low, suggesting the recent heavy selling pressure might be running out of steam.
Depending on what the overall economy is doing, this could be one to keep an eye on but you would want to see a significant recovery and reversal to the upside before commiting.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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(AAV)Fast Bounce Setup | Price:$ 11.11→ Target:$11.66(+ 5 %)⚡📊 AAV – Pullback at Trendline with Strong Fundamentals 📊⚡
AAV continues to look interesting both fundamentally and technically 👀📈.
📰💰 Fundamental Outlook
Revenue forecasts remain very positive for the coming years 🚀, and the company maintains solid fundamentals, providing a strong long-term backdrop 🧱✅.
📉📊 Momentum Check (RSI)
On the daily timeframe, RSI recently pulled back from the oversold area, moving from around 34 to 39 over the past week 🔄📈. This signals improving momentum after a cooldown phase.
📐📍 Price Action Perspective
From a price action angle, the $11 zone is acting as a key pullback area 🧲. Price has once again touched the ascending trendline, showing respect for structure 📈✍️.
✅📉 Technical Confirmation
This pullback is supported by RSI confirmation on the daily chart, increasing the probability of a potential bounce from this zone ⚡🎯.
⚠️📌 Note
This looks like a technical pullback within structure, not a breakdown.
0HFB (London) - BIG pullback after a BIG run.With all the stocks getting belted at the moment I thought I'd have a look to see if anything might have perhaps been caught up in the hysteria and perhaps oversold - so with this one definitely buyer beware.
Amphenol Corporation has been a standout performer over the last year, putting up gains of nearly 87% even after the recent 30% dump. They are a massive global player in the electronic connector and sensor market. If you look at the infrastructure behind the AI and data centre boom , these guys are right in the middle of it. The trend has been incredibly strong and consistent until this most recent move.
Its 5 year looks great:
The recent drop looks like a classic sell the news reaction. They actually beat their Q4 earnings expectations, but the stock had already run so hard that investors likely used the report to lock in profits. The valuation had stretched to a P/E over 43x , which is well above its historical average. Combined with some broader tech sector weakness and news of a leadership transition , the market decided it was time for a valuation reset .
Its revenue chart is strong too:
Looking at the chart, the pullback has been aggressive, falling about 28% from the recent peak. This move has sliced through the 50 and 100-day SMAs , which is a significant change in character. However, it has also pushed the stock into a much better value area . The RSI is now deep in oversold territory below 30 , and while the MACD remains negative, the selling pressure usually starts to exhaust itself after a vertical drop like this.
Might be one to keep an eye on.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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