This is what i am seeing , if it Rhymes with the previous Bull .We are comming down to test the 200 EMA on the weekly , it will be around 59,500 when we test it . This will be the Neck line for the head and shoulders . Then rally back up to the 100 EMA on the weekly around 87500 to 92500 .
Measured move is down to 28,500 but if we do go into Recession there is a good chance we hit the bottom of the channel around 11,600 .
That is what i am seeing in the charts .
Community ideas
QQQ Weekly Outlook โ Week 5 of 2026 (Feb 02โ06)QQQ Weekly Outlook โ Week 5 of 2026 (Feb 02โ06)
Weekly Recap
Last week, the market followed our bullish framework perfectly. QQQ fully respected the bullish scenario, delivering a clean and profitable week. The market opened with a gap up and reached all bullish targets, allowing positions to be closed in profit.
After hitting those targets, price moved back into a range and started to show some retracement following the Mid Week update. Iโm also sharing last weekโs QQQ Weekly Outlook on the side for reference.
At this stage, I see increasing indecision in the market. Below, Iโm outlining my strategy to navigate this uncertainty.
Scenarios โ Prediction
Scenario: The Range
At the moment, I do not see a clear directional bias. Price is trading between well defined key levels, and I expect range behavior unless those levels are decisively broken.
My base case is a range bound market, where price reacts from the Range High and Range Low zones and rotates back into the range.
Deviations into these areas followed by a close back inside the range would keep price compressed within its internal structure. A strong break and acceptance beyond the range boundaries would signal the marketโs true directional bias.
Key Levels to Watch / Trade
Range High: 636.5
Range Low: 607 โ 599.5
Mid Range / Internal Liquidity: 630 โ 618
Game Plan
If price sweeps liquidity at one of these key levels and then closes back inside the range, I will look to trade in the opposite direction of the liquidity grab.
The core idea is to fade moves where traders get trapped thinking the level has broken, only for price to reverse back into the range.
Example:
If the 618 level gets tapped and price closes back above it with either two 1H candles or one 4H candle, I will treat that as a deviation and look for call side setups.
If, instead, price breaks a key level with strong acceptance and closes firmly above or below it, that would suggest continuation in that direction.
Example:
A strong close below 618 would shift my focus toward the Range Low at 607, where I would look to trade the downside using puts.
Position Management Notes
Positions should only be taken after confirmation, either through a clean break or a clear deviation at key levels. If price closes back against the direction of the expected move, the setup is invalidated and the position should be stopped.
For example, if 618 breaks strongly and I enter short, but price then reclaims 618 with two consecutive 1H closes above it, that would invalidate the short setup and signal the need to exit.
I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Could we see a reversal from here?DAX40 (DE40) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 24,612.56
1st Support: 23,427.13
1st Resistance: 25,454.88
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
AUDUSD (Buy)Looking for Buys on AU at the beginning of this week I can see on more push up before weekly moves start happening. Will this supply hold or will it get liquidated first before the push up is the question and only with new data printed we can have higher probability of a trade, I personally think it will get liquidate it first at this moment.
Is the gold bull market still intact?Gold hit a new low of $4580 in Asian trading. Many are wondering where the lowest point of this decline is, and whether the bull market will continue.
I want to tell you two things: 1. A decline after a significant rise is normal. Retail investors have driven institutions to a frenzy, and the market needs a sharp drop to digest the gains. Currently, this is a pullback due to profit-taking by long positions. The overall rise has been too large. 2. The underlying logic of gold remains unchanged.
So, knowing these two points is enough. Currently, it's a period of adjustment and consolidation. The bull market is still in place, but it's unlikely to materialize in the short term. For gold to recover its highs, it will need time or market stimulus.
From a technical perspective, the 1-hour moving average for gold has turned downwards, indicating short-term weakness. After bottoming out last Friday, gold's rebound is still facing resistance at the $5000 level. Therefore, shorting gold below $5000 in Asian trading is advisable. Currently, shorting gold is the correct approach, not bottom-fishing. The market sentiment hasn't fully recovered, and gold still has room to fall. Don't be influenced by the previous bullish mindset; clearly, gold has reversed its short-term trend.
Trading Strategy: Short gold in batches around 4950-4970. Buy gold on pullbacks to 4500-4520. Gold has been highly volatile recently, so strictly control your position size and always use transfer orders (TP) and slip order (SL).
EURNZD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
โ
EURNZD strong displacement into HTF demand with sell-side liquidity swept. Bullish reaction suggests mitigation complete, expecting continuation toward nearby imbalance highs.
โโโโโโโโโ
Entry: 1.9667
Stop Loss: 1.9600
Take Profit: 1.9762
Time Frame: 10H
โโโโโโโโโ
LONG๐
โ
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!โ
USDJPY - 1 Feb 2026USDJPY forming a break of structure - i will wait for this to play out and once there is a close above on the 4hour - this will be the first confirmation.
Thereafter once price pulls back to take out the imbalance - i will keep an eye on the demand zone below for an entry to hold to the equal highs formed $$$ on the higher timeframe.
1. Wait for BoS confirmation by closing of bar above the line.
2. wait for price to reach the demand zone
3. wait for a reversal sign then place trade
4. Take some profits at the supply zone above - just to be safe.
XAG/USD 15M Price Reaction at Support ZoneThis chart shows XAG/USD on the 15-minute timeframe approaching a well-defined support area after a strong bearish move. Price is currently reacting near this zone while remaining below a descending trendline, which indicates overall selling pressure. The marked paths illustrate possible reactions based on previous structure and market behavior. All levels are shared for technical observation only.
Can Bitcoin see $85?
Hello everyone, my dears
I am at your service with Bitcoin analysis on the 1-hour time frame.
It seems that after the fall last week, we can hope that Bitcoin will have a corrective and upward movement. As you can see in the analysis, we expect the price of Bitcoin to reach $80,000 in the coming hours and many can open a buy trade on this move, but I think that in order to ease our minds about the upcoming move, we should let Bitcoin break the price of $80,000 with a good candle, exactly the same area that we named with the red line as the most important resistance ahead for Bitcoin.
If you liked my analysis, just support me by liking, commenting and following me.
Thank you.
NAS100 - SECOND ROUND - Read CarefullyTeam Update โ Read Carefully
Earlier today we had two targets hit.
We are now entering at a much better price:
25292โ25305
Important Note
The market has completed a second retest, but based on current structure, I expect a recovery either during the European session or before the US market opens.
Targets
Target 1: 25345โ25385 - Take 50% partial. Move stop loss to BREAKEVEN
Target 2: 25415โ25465
Momentum is still aligned with our bias.
LETS GO
160-250% returns with Resources Connection, Inc - January 2026Business consulting is back.
On the above 2 week chart price action has collapsed 80% since July 2022. That can only mean one thing, itโs time to sell. Yes. Everyone is saying it a market crash is imminent, time to get out and buy Gold. (Massive sarcasm).
Welcome to the world of a contrarian. While the world screams โcrashโ .. "manipulation!", you switch off the noise and get exposure to value. Letโs start with a nice micro cap. This stock now has a number of reasons to be bullish, they include:
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI) breakout.
2. Oscillators with strong positive divergence against price action.
3. Money Flow Index (MFI) resistance breakout as sellers sell into legacy support! (emotions).
4. Dividend paying out 7.73%
Conclusions
In summary, the deep and sustained decline in RGP's price over the past several years appears to be showing credible technical signs of potential exhaustion. The convergence of a bullish RSI breakout, strong positive momentum divergences, and a resilient Money Flow Index amid heavy selling pressure suggests the weakest hands may finally be exiting. While the broader narrative remains skeptical, these technical conditions, combined with a compelling dividend yield, create a classic contrarian setup. The proposed 160-250% return forecast represents a full reversion to prior trading ranges, offering a significant risk/reward proposition for those willing to bet on a mean reversion. The trade thesis is simple: the panic appears to be over, and the charts are now hinting it's time for the rebuild to begin.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.. thereโs a market crash coming dinโt you get the memo?
Is it probable? No.
Ww
MFI breakout on legacy support
=============================================
Disclaimer
Let's be utterly, painfully clear, shall we? This is not advice. This is an idea, a thought, a whimsical little fart of speculation into the hurricane of the market. I am not your financial advisor, your fiduciary, or your slightly more sensible mate down the pub.
You are considering buying shares in a company that has fallen 80% and whose primary export is PowerPoint presentations.
You could lose all your money. All of it. This could go to zero. It could go to negative zero. It could be de-listed and replaced by a crypto token for a failed metaverse accountancy firm. If that happens, don't come crying to me. You clicked on this. You read it. The only guarantee here is that there are no guarantees, only varying degrees of hilarious misfortune. Now, proceed with the terrified caution of a man trying to pet a wasp.
Am having far too much fun writing these.
AMD Is Up 100%+ Over 12 Months. What Its Chart Says NowHigh-end chip designer Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD has risen more than 100% over the past year, outpacing the S&P 500 and setting an all-time high in October. Let's see what its chart and fundamental analysis say heading into this week's Q4 earnings report.
AMD's Fundamental Analysis
AMD will release results after the closing bell on Tuesday, with analysts expecting the firm to post $1.32 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $9.7 billion of revenue.
That would represent 21.1% gain from the year-ago period's $1.09 of adjusted EPS, as well as better than 26% year-over-year growth from Q4 2024's approximately $7.7 billion in revenue.
But very interestingly, Wall Street doesn't seem especially certain about what they expect AMD to report.
Eighteen of the 37 sell-side analysts that I'm tracking who cover AMD have revised their earnings estimates to the upside since the quarter began, while 16 analysts have cut their forecasts. Just three have left their estimates unchanged.
AMD's Technical Analysis
So, what does AMD's chart say going into earnings? Let's have a look going back about four months and running through Monday morning (Feb. 2):
This chart shows AMD's Oct. 29 $267.08 all-time intraday high at left, and some readers might see a potential double-top pattern of bearish reversal above.
They wouldn't be wrong -- at least not yet. But what I think I see is a cup-with-handle pattern with a $267 apparent pivot. This is usually understood as a bullish set-up.
AMD has already taken back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with green line). It's also reclaimed its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," denoted by a blue line). All of that tends to get swing traders and institutional investors on the same page in favor of a stock.
Now let's look at those two averages' relative positions.
The green line has recently crossed over the blue line, as the blue line was pivoting from trending lower to trending higher. This is referred to as a "mini golden cross" or "swing traders' golden cross." That's a medium-term bullish technical signal.
Also note that AMD's Relative Strength Index (or "RSI," denoted by the gray line at the chart's top) has been running strong, but just below technically overbought levels.
Meanwhile, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is postured very bullishly.
For one thing, the histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is now well above the zero-bound.
Additionally, the 12-day EMA (the black line) is running above the 26-day EMA (the gold line), with both lines above zero. That's all bullish as well.
An Options Option
Some options traders who are bullish on AMD heading into earnings but don't want to plunk down the capital for an equity stake could likely utilize a bull-call spread in this scenario. That's where you go long one call and short another at a higher strike price, but where both have the same expiration date.
Here's an example:
-- Long one AMD call with a Feb. 6 expiration (i.e., after this week's earnings report) and a $252.50 strike price. This cost about $11.75 at recent prices.
-- Short one AMD Feb. 6 call with a $267.50 strike price (i.e., close to the chart's apparent pivot). This would bring in roughly $6.15.
Net Debit: $5.60.
The trader in this example is laying out a $5.60 net debit (the maximum theoretical risk involved) to try to bring back $15.
If successful, the trade will bring in a $9.40 maximum profit at expiration ($15 minus the $5.60 net debit). This will happen if AMD closes above $267.50 at expiration.
If unsuccessful, the trade will incur a maximum theoretical loss of the $5.60 net debit. This will occur if AMD is trading at or below $252.50 at expiration.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long AMD at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved.
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Will You Miss PEPEโs Next Explosion? Smart Money Is Already In!Yello Paradisers! Are you watching this closely enough? Because #PEPE respecting critical ascending support, and if you're not prepared, you might miss out on a huge opportunity. Additionally, we are seeing selling climax has been formed, a classic probability that institutional buyers are stepping in. This is where things start to get exciting.
๐#PEPE has just formed a classic selling climax, followed by a climactic action candle with ultra-high volume a textbook sign of accumulation. This is the kind of behaviour weโve seen over and over again when smart money starts positioning quietly before the real move begins.
๐After the selling climax, #PEPE successfully swept liquidity of selling climax with effort vs result test a strong possibility that weak hands are out and stronger ones are stepping in. If momentum sustained, the next probability of potential target lies at 4760, a major structural and resistance zone.
๐#PEPE overall structure is bullish on higher time frames and on retracement it respecting the ascending support. #PEPE holds momentum within the within the order block zone the setup remains high probability targeting an initial upside move toward 4500, a key moderate resistance and structural level.
๐If #PEPE fails to hold bullish momentum and a momentum candle closes below 3800, the current bullish probability becomes invalid. In that case, we could see further downside pressure.
That is why Paradisers, we are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities only on confirmations.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success๐ด
BTCUSDT Price Action Tightens at Key SupportBTCUSDT continues to trade within a broader corrective structure after reacting from the main supply zone near ATH. Price is currently respecting a rising support trendline while compressing below the weak supply zone, forming a higher-low sequence within a corrective channel.
As long as base support holds, a continuation toward the weak supply zone around the 108K region remains viable. However, failure to hold this structure opens the door for a deeper bearish extension toward the projected demand area near 76.5K.
Market direction from here will be dictated by acceptance or rejection at current levels, making this a critical decision zone for the next major move.
GBP/JPY Upside Scenario | Technical & Macro Alignment๐ GBP/JPY "THE DRAGON" - BULLISH SWING/DAY TRADE SETUP | Thief Trader Strategy ๐ฏ
๐ MARKET OVERVIEW
Asset: GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) - "The Dragon" ๐
Market: Forex - Major Cross Pair
Trade Type: Swing / Day Trade Opportunity
Bias: BULLISH ๐
Strategy: Thief Layering Method + Moving Average Pullback Confirmation โ
๐ฏ TRADE PLAN BREAKDOWN
๐ Entry Strategy - "Thief Layering Method"
The Thief Strategy utilizes multiple limit orders (layering/DCA style) to build positions at strategic levels. This approach minimizes risk while maximizing entry opportunities during pullbacks.
๐ Multiple Buy Limit Layers:
๐น Layer 1: 210.000
๐น Layer 2: 210.500
๐น Layer 3: 211.000
๐น Layer 4: 211.500
๐น Layer 5: 212.000
Note: You can add more layers based on your risk tolerance and account size. Scale in gradually as price pulls back to your levels! ๐ฐ
๐ฏ Take Profit Target
TP: 217.000 ๐
โ ๏ธ Police Force Zone Alert! Strong resistance + overbought conditions + bull trap potential exists near this level. Secure profits wisely! Lock in gains and don't get greedy - the market rewards those who escape with the bag! ๐ผโจ
Dear Thief OG's: This is MY target, but YOUR money = YOUR rules! Take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Trade at your own risk! ๐
๐ Stop Loss
SL: 209.500 ๐จ
Protect your capital like a professional thief protects the loot! Set your stop loss below key support to avoid unnecessary losses.
Dear Thief OG's: This is MY stop loss level. You can adjust based on YOUR risk management and trading plan. Remember: Survival > Being Right! ๐ก๏ธ
๐ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
โ
Bullish Plan Confirmed via Simple Moving Average (SMA) Pullback
โ
Price showing bounce from support zone
โ
Higher lows forming - bullish momentum building ๐
โ
Trend continuation pattern identified
โ
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (approximately 1:3+) ๐ฒ
๐ฑ CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
Understanding correlated pairs helps you confirm your directional bias and avoid overexposure!
Positive Correlation (Move Together):
๐ฌ๐ง GBP/USD โ If Cable rises, GBP/JPY likely follows (GBP strength)
๐ช๐บ EUR/JPY โ Similar JPY weakness dynamics
๐ฆ๐บ AUD/JPY โ Risk-on sentiment indicator
Inverse Correlation (Move Opposite):
๐บ๐ธ USD/JPY โ If rising, confirms JPY weakness (bullish for GBP/JPY)
๐ด JPY Index (DXY inverse) โ Watch Yen strength/weakness
Key Dollar Pairs for Context:
๐ต GBP/USD (Cable): Shows pure GBP strength vs USD
๐ต EUR/USD: Risk sentiment gauge for European currencies
๐ต DXY (Dollar Index): Overall USD strength measurement
๐ Key Point: If GBP/USD is bullish AND USD/JPY is bullish = DOUBLE confirmation for GBP/JPY upside! ๐๐
๐ FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS (Real-Time Considerations)
๐ฌ๐ง GBP (British Pound) Drivers:
โ
Bank of England (BoE) Policy Stance:
BoE maintaining restrictive rates to combat inflation
UK inflation showing resilience vs Europe
Rate cut expectations pushed further into 2025
โ
UK Economic Data to Watch:
๐ UK GDP Growth Reports
๐ UK Employment/Wage Data
๐ UK Retail Sales & Consumer Confidence
๐ญ UK PMI (Manufacturing & Services)
Recent Context (Check Latest Updates!): UK economy showing resilience, wage growth remains elevated, supporting hawkish BoE stance = GBP strength potential ๐ช
๐ฏ๐ต JPY (Japanese Yen) Drivers:
โ ๏ธ Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy:
BoJ exiting ultra-loose policy but SLOWLY
Yield curve control adjustments ongoing
JPY remains sensitive to risk sentiment
Interest rate differential vs other majors = JPY weakness
โ
Japan Economic Data to Watch:
๐ Japan CPI & Inflation Data
๐ Japan GDP Reports
๐ฆ BoJ Policy Meetings & Governor Ueda Statements
๐ Tokyo Core CPI (leading indicator)
Recent Context (Check Latest Updates!): BoJ moving toward normalization but lagging other central banks = continued JPY weakness vs higher-yielding currencies ๐
๐ Global Risk Sentiment:
๐ Risk-On Environment = JPY weakness (funds flow to higher-yielding assets)
๐ Risk-Off Environment = JPY strength (safe-haven flows)
๐ฏ Current Sentiment: Monitor global equity markets & VIX volatility
๐
UPCOMING KEY EVENTS TO WATCH:
๐ Always check economic calendar before trading!
Bank of England Interest Rate Decisions & MPC Votes
UK Inflation Reports (CPI/PPI)
Bank of Japan Policy Meetings
Japan Inflation Data
Global Risk Events (Geopolitics, Fed Decisions impacting risk sentiment)
โก Pro Tip: Avoid holding positions through high-impact news unless you're comfortable with volatility! ๐ข
๐ THIEF TRADER WISDOM & MOTIVATION:::::
๐ "The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." - Warren Buffett
๐ "In trading, the amateur acts on hope; the professional acts on probabilities." - Thief OG Mindset
๐ฅ "Plan the trade, trade the plan, and steal profits like a professional!"
๐ "Patience, discipline, and risk management - the holy trinity of profitable trading!"
๐ฐ "Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered. Take profits when you can!"
๐ฏ "Success is not about being right 100% of the time; it's about cutting losses fast and letting winners run!"
๐ก๏ธ "Your capital is your lifeline - protect it at ALL costs!"
โ ๏ธ RISK DISCLAIMER
YOUR MONEY = YOUR RULES = YOUR RESPONSIBILITY ๐ฏ
๐ฌ FINAL WORDS
The Dragon is awakening! ๐๐ฅ Will you join the hunt or watch from the sidelines? The setup is clean, the levels are marked, and the plan is solid. Now it's YOUR turn to execute with discipline!
Remember: Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and most importantly - stay profitable! ๐ช๐ฐ
๐ฌ Let's Connect!
๐ฅ Like this idea? Smash that LIKE button! ๐
๐ข Want more? Drop a FOLLOW for daily setups! ๐
๐ญ Questions? Comment below - let's discuss! ๐จ๏ธ
๐ Turn on notifications so you never miss a Dragon setup! ๐
๐ Happy Hunting, Thief OG's! ๐
USDJPY H4 | Heading Towards 50% Fib ResistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise towards our sell entry level at 155.64, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 157.27, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 153.53, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
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Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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XLM/USDT - Reversal Opportunity or Bearish Continuation?XLM/USDT on the Weekly (1W) timeframe is currently in a major corrective phase after failing to continue its previous bullish impulse. Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, indicating that selling pressure remains dominant.
However, price is approaching a very strong historical demand zone, which previously acted as the starting point of a major rally.
---
Pattern Explanation
The price structure shows:
Distribution โ Breakdown โ Downward Retracement
After a strong impulse from lower levels, XLM failed to maintain a higher structure and formed a descending structure
Price is currently retesting the previous base / long accumulation zone
The yellow zone at 0.095 โ 0.0775 serves as:
Strong Weekly Demand
Long consolidation base (accumulation zone)
An area with significant historical price reactions
This is not a random support area, but a multi-year structural support.
---
Key Levels
Weekly Resistance
0.22 โ 0.25 (minor resistance)
0.32 โ 0.40 (previous distribution zone)
0.55 โ 0.63 (major high)
Weekly Support (Critical Zone)
0.095 โ 0.0775 (yellow box / main demand zone)
A valid breakdown below 0.0775 would be strongly bearish
---
Bullish Scenario
The bullish scenario becomes valid if:
Price holds the 0.095 โ 0.0775 area
A weekly rejection / long lower wick appears
Followed by a weekly close above 0.12 โ 0.13
Step-by-step upside targets if a bounce occurs:
1. 0.17 โ 0.20 (relief rally)
2. 0.25 โ 0.32
3. Strong extension: 0.40 โ 0.55
Technically, the yellow zone represents the best riskโreward area for medium- to long-term accumulation, as long as support holds.
---
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario will be confirmed if:
A weekly close breaks below 0.0775
The demand zone fails to absorb selling pressure
If a breakdown occurs:
The weekly structure shifts into a full bearish continuation
Further downside potential toward:
0.065
0.055
Even an extreme move toward the psychological level at 0.05
A breakdown of the yellow zone means the long-term accumulation structure has completely failed.
---
Conclusion
XLM/USDT is currently at a major decision-making area.
The 0.095 โ 0.0775 zone is the last stronghold for buyers on the weekly timeframe.
Holding โ potential reversal & recovery
Breakdown โ deep bearish continuation
This is not an area for FOMO, but a zone to observe price reaction and confirmation.
#XLM #CryptoAnalysis #WeeklyChart #SupportResistance #Stellar #Altcoins #PriceAction #MarketStructure #XLMUSDT #DemandZone
XAUUSD - BUYLooks like we had a bit of a drop
But as long as you were not over extended on the amount of trades verses your account balance.
Meaning you were able to with stand far bigger draw down than you would ever think as I have mentioned in recent post such as this you will still be alive.
I tried getting back in too early so got a bit stung - no one thinks price will ever fall so low but it does - I will need to try scalping on strong rallies on the way back up.
We were having a blow off top prior to this - then Whamo NY pulled the rug.
Supposedly Kevin Warsh - sounding the complete opposite to what Drumpf would put in as a Fed Chair so we know that's not correct.
He will be dropping Int Rates faster than you can say Drop Interest Rates - He is a puppet as per usual.
Anyway projected on the chart is 2 previous Drops adjusted to fit so I am guessing somewhere in the middle.
All drops return to previous highs in Gold and Silver it is statistically known.
And then some on top again - all time highs
Capture profits on the way and constantly get back in as you see fit is often a good tactical play I hear.
Treat carefully choppy waters ahead for a bit ๐






















