Bullish momentum expected?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3913
1st Support: 1.3753
1st Resistance: 1.4152
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Community ideas
Bearish momentum to extend?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverrse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5831
1st support: 0.5675
1st Resistance: 0.5889
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US 30 UpdateNext move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay discipline. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Market structure was bullish.
2. H1 support area fresh and unmitigated.
3. Hidden OB formation.
4. Wait for retracement and confirmation.
This is not a financial advise take it with your own risk. Let's see how it will work.
BTC LONGBitcoin broke above EMA100 with strong volume — confirming a bullish trend shift on the 4H chart.
Now the key is watching for a retest near 113k before continuation to 114k–117k.
EMA structure is turning bullish — but if BTC loses 111k, it may signal a false breakout. 🚀
#Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #BTCAnalysis #BitcoinBreakout
METUSDT: short setup from daily support at 0.5067BINANCE:METUSDT.P is consolidating near its lowest price point. Buyers show no attempt to absorb the decline, indicating weak demand. A continuation of the downward move is likely. The key reference level is 0.5067. Low volatility before the breakout remains an essential condition.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Asset decoupled from the market
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Prolonged consolidation
Consolidation with price compression (squeeze)
Closing near the level
No reaction after a false break
Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
XAUUSD 4D Market OutlookReversal Top Signals Correction Ahead as Fed Cut Nears
Gold surged to an all-time high early last week but reversed sharply, forming a weekly closing price reversal top, a potential warning of a near-term pullback. The rally had been fuelled by expectations of Fed rate cuts and robust central bank demand, but with sentiment stretched and no fresh catalyst, traders took profits.
Despite softer inflation data that reinforced expectations of a 25-basis-point Fed cut at the October 28–29 meeting, gold failed to recover lost ground. Strength in equities and a modest rebound in the dollar weighed on the metal, suggesting buyers may wait for **lower entry levels.
The Fed’s easing stance is now driven by a weakening labour market rather than inflation. Slower job growth and large downward revisions to payrolls have prompted Powell to act pre-emptively. While this longer-term dovish outlook supports gold, the short-term technical picture favours consolidation.
Technical Outlook
The reversal top pattern isn’t confirmed yet, but continued selling would likely target $3846.50, then the 61.8% retracement near $3720.25. Unless the Fed signals a more aggressive easing path, gold may remain under **short-term corrective pressure** before resuming its broader uptrend.
WUSDT 1D#W is holding above the broken descending resistance on the daily chart, and a bounce is expected from here. For the bullish scenario to be confirmed, it needs to reclaim the daily SMA200. If that happens, the potential targets are:
🎯 $0.1006
🎯 $0.1294
🎯 $0.1526
🎯 $0.1758
🎯 $0.2089
🎯 $0.2510
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
Ripple vs Tether: Key Technical Levels Every Trader Should WatchXRP/USDT | "RIPPLE vs TETHER" Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
📊 Plan:
We’re eyeing a bearish confirmation if candles break below the 0.786 Fibonacci zone + SMA breakout @ 2.8300. At that point, sellers could gain momentum and dominate short positioning.
💡 Thief Strategy Highlight → Using a layered entry style (multiple limit orders). This method allows staggered entries rather than “all-in at once.”
🎯 Layered Short Entries (Sell Limits):
2.9300
2.9000
2.8800
2.8600
(You can expand layers based on your own strategy adjustment.)
🛑 Stop Loss (Thief SL):
Placed near 3.0000 — but ⚠️ please note: Risk management is personal. Thief OG’s — make your own choices. My SL is just an example.
✅ Target (Thief TP):
The “police barricade” (aka strong resistance zone with overbought pressure + possible trap) aligns around 2.6500. That’s where profit-taking may be wise before liquidity hunters catch us.
Again, this is flexible — adjust TP to your own risk/reward plan.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
$BTC/USDT → Major market leader, XRP often follows Bitcoin’s momentum.
$ETH/USDT → Correlation with altcoin sentiment; strong ETH moves ripple across XRP.
$ADA/USDT & $SOL/USDT → Competing Layer-1s, often mirror similar retail/institutional flows.
$XLM/USDT → Direct cousin of XRP, highly correlated in macro movements.
Watching these can help confirm broader market bias & correlation flows.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief style trading strategy shared just for fun & community engagement. Not financial advice. Manage your own risk, make your own decisions.
#XRP #Ripple #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #DayTrading #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCommunity #TradingStrategy
Gold Trade Plan 26/10/2025Dear Traders,
ased on Trump's initial comments regarding a trade war agreement with China, we will likely see selling pressure at resistance levels. The first area where the price is likely to react well is the 4200–4220 range. Considering the high liquidation above this level, I expect a 300–500 pip drop in the first reaction to this range. Also, the FOMC meeting on Wednesday is very important.
Regards,
Aireza!
$DECK is getting ridiculously cheap- NYSE:DECK fundamentals are in tact and investors have panic sold shares because of tariff fears which are overblows.
- NYSE:DECK has a long runway to grow internationally
- NYSE:DECK might close the gap below and then close the earning gap above before next earnings.
- NYSE:DECK earning reaction was most likely a kneejerk and definitely overblown.
- NYSE:DECK has pending share authorization which they will employ to scoop cheap shares and boost EPS.
- NYSE:DECK doesn't have debt therefore a pristine balance sheet as well
BTC/USDT: Bearish Drop to 108,500?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is signaling a bearish breakdown on the 1-hour chart , where price is trapped in a descending triangle formed by a downward trendline and an upward trendline, with increasing pressure at the convergence point near resistance—indicating potential for a downside continuation if sellers dominate. This classic pattern suggests weakening bullish momentum amid recent pullbacks.
Entry zone between 112,500-114,000 for a short position. Target at 108,500 near the support zone, offering a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 . 📊 Set a stop loss on a close above 114,500 to protect against an upside breakout. 🌟
Look for confirmation on a break below the entry with surging volume, capitalizing on Bitcoin's current choppy range.
Fundamentally , Bitcoin has seen high volatility recently, hitting new all-time highs above $125K earlier this month before dropping to around $105K, now stabilizing near $111K amid mixed macro signals and uncertainty from large holder movements. Additional catalysts include ancient wallet awakenings transferring billions in BTC and ongoing debates on tokenized gold versus Bitcoin's value. 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: $112,500 – $114,000 (short zone near resistance)
❌ Stop Loss: Close above $114,500
🎯 Target: $108,500 (major support area)
💎 Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:2 – clean, structured short setup within a bearish pattern.
What's your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
EURGBP Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.873.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.876 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTC market snapshotS&P 500 and Dow Jones closed the week at new highs. There is a strong chance we will open higher on Monday, but as we can see, both #Bitcoin and the indexes are overheated. The world is ruled by Trumppump - anything can happen. No matter how much people shout about eternal hodl and a strong economy, the reality is quite different. It can hit hard - my shorts are suffering, but I’m not changing direction
BTCUSD set to rise above $126k?First drop from $124k to $113k from weekly chart it is one single bearish drop, later price move to create a new higher high to $126k
from $126k to $104k stong liquidity sweep.
Currently market is bouncing off the level crossing around $113k and possible cross above $126k? as there is stong liquidity grab from lowest level, it is of high probable price to continue to rise above the level.
Gold Trading Strategy for Next MondayGold Trading Strategy for Next Monday
Looking ahead to gold prices next week, the market is currently experiencing a combination of short-term technical adjustments and long-term positive factors.
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold prices have formed a converging triangle pattern between the key support level of $4,000 and the near-term resistance level of $4,180.
Large Range: $4,000-4,180
Small Range: $4,050-4,150
Policy Expectations: The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but the US government shutdown has delayed the release of key economic data, leaving the market in a "data vacuum." Divergence on the future policy path has exacerbated short-term volatility.
Geopolitical: Events such as the deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations continue to create uncertainty, boosting gold's safe-haven demand.
Central Bank Gold Purchases: A Goldman Sachs report indicates that global central banks are expected to continue their gold purchasing trend, which will provide solid support for gold prices from the perspective of long-term demand and market sentiment.
Long-term bullish
The current technical picture shows typical consolidation characteristics:
Range: Gold prices have formed a range-bound trend between $4,000 and $4,180. On shorter timeframes, the market may also fluctuate within a tighter range, such as $4,050-4,100-4,150.
Market Structure: After the previous sharp rise in gold prices, the market needs to experience volatility to digest profit-taking and accumulate energy for subsequent directional choices.
Trading Strategy for Next Monday:
Given the current volatile market, "buy low, sell high" is the core strategy. The key is to seize trading opportunities on both sides of the range.
Shorting the upper range limit:
Sell: $4170-4180
Stop loss: Above $4200
Target price: $4120 / $4080 / $4050
Longing the lower range limit:
Buy: $4015-4025
Stop loss: Below $4000
Target price: $4050 / $4080 / $4100
Key Points:
Breakout follow-up: Closely monitor price tests of the range boundaries.
If gold prices break below the $4,000 support level, investors should avoid blindly buying on dips and remain vigilant to the risk of further declines.
Conversely, if gold prices break through and stabilize above $4,180, investors may consider buying on the trend, targeting the previous high.
Silver Strategy Map — Thief Layers, Smart Targets, and Risk Zone📊 XAG/USD “Silver vs U.S Dollar” — Metals Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
🔑 Plan: Bullish Setup
This setup follows the “Thief Strategy”, which means using layered limit entries to scale into the trade. Instead of going all-in at one level, we “steal the entries” across multiple layers.
💰 Layered Buy Limit Entries (Example Setup):
46.200
46.400
46.600
46.800
47.000
👉 You can increase layers as per your own plan and risk style.
🛑 Stop Loss (Protective Exit): 45.600
(This is my thief SL — but you’re free to adjust as per your own risk appetite.)
🎯 Target Zone: 49.000
⚠️ Around 49.300, we see a “Police Barricade” (heavy resistance + overbought conditions + potential trap).
That’s where profits should be taken — escape with gains before the trap closes!
Why This Setup?
Support Zones: Strong accumulation zones forming near 45.600–46.000.
Trend Bias: Silver remains bullish in the medium-term metals market outlook.
Layering Strategy Advantage: Reduces entry risk and allows better average fill.
Profit Zone: 49.000 aligns with strong supply area + RSI extension risk.
🔗 Correlation & Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold vs USD): Gold often leads Silver’s moves — watch Gold for early signals.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): A weaker USD usually boosts metals.
TVC:PLATINUM & CAPITALCOM:PALLADIUM : Industrial metals correlation — strong moves here can influence Silver sentiment.
TVC:SILVER Futures: Always track COMEX Silver contracts for volume confirmation.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📌 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy, created just for fun and educational sharing. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk.
#XAGUSD #Silver #Metals #TradingStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #Gold #DXY #Forex #Commodities
Bitcoin reclaims $111,000.
Friday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was the only official economic data released during the US government shutdown.
According to the latest CPI report from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday morning, inflation was slower than many economists had forecast. The announcement boosted the market, as weaker-than-expected inflation strengthened the case for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the end of the month. Following the report, Bitcoin briefly climbed above $111,000, gaining 2.27%, before retreating to $110,000.
September's CPI rose by only 0.3%, pushing the annual inflation rate to 3%. Experts had forecast a 0.4% increase, which would have pushed the annual rate to 3.1%. Core inflation, which excludes more volatile categories like food and energy, rose by 0.2%, but also ended at an annual rate of 3%. Economists had expected slightly higher figures of 0.3% and 3.1%, respectively.
With the US government shutdown entering its 24th day, other official economic reports have been suspended. The exception is the CPI data, which was originally scheduled for release on October 15th. The Federal Reserve will use the report to guide its interest rate decision next week. All forecasts point to a policy rate cut, with the CME Fed Tool indicating a 96.7% probability of a rate cut. At the time of writing, both cryptocurrency and stock markets were reacting positively, with the broader crypto market up 1.74% and all major stock indices in the green.
However, some question the accuracy of the CPI data and are even wary of the generally dovish sentiment behind the expected rate cut.
“Even when measured as annual price increases, the CPI, by design, underestimates them, with September’s 3% year-over-year increase, 50% above the Fed’s 2% target,” wrote gold investor Peter Schiff. “Nevertheless, the Fed intends to cut rates again, adding fuel to the inflation fire it has ignited.”
According to Coinglass data, the total value of open futures contracts climbed 2.92% to $71.5 billion over the 24-hour period. Liquidations echoed yesterday’s levels, totaling $66.05 million. Short traders dominated, losing $49.81 million in margin, while long investors lost the remaining $16.24 million. Let's address a question many people are asking:
Why did Bitcoin break through $111,000?
Lower-than-expected inflation data has boosted hopes for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the end of this month.
What did the latest CPI report show?
The CPI rose just 0.3% in September, bringing the annual inflation rate to 3%, below economists' expectations.
How did the market react?
Both the crypto and stock markets rallied, with Bitcoin rising over 2% and the overall crypto market up 2.16%.
What happens next?
With the probability of a rate cut priced in at 96.7%, traders expect Bitcoin to remain strong amidst monetary policy easing.
XAUUSD-Double Top Reversal & Potential Bullish Rebound SetupGold (XAUUSD) has confirmed a Double Top pattern, with the neckline breakout leading to a notable downside move. After hitting support near the 4061–4014 zone, price is now showing possible consolidation with signs of a potential bullish rebound.
Resistance Zone (Neckline Retest): 4145 – 4150
Immediate Support: 4061
Major Support: 4014
If price respects the support area and forms a higher low, a bounce toward the neckline resistance could trigger bullish continuation toward 4200+ levels.
A breakdown below 4061 may extend bearish pressure toward 4014 support.
Waiting for confirmation around support or a clean rejection from key levels can help avoid false entries.
EUR/USD: The Ultimate Stop Hunt Setup is Cooking!🚀 EUR/USD: The Ultimate Stop Hunt Setup is Cooking! 🎣 BULLISH BIAS CONFIRMED! ✅
Are you ready to connect the dots on EUR/USD? 🤯 This chart isn't just drawing lines; it's plotting the path of Smart Money. 🧠 We're seeing a classic setup brewing that could launch us into the 1.16800s after clearing a key pool of liquidity. 💰
The Setup Breakdown: 👇
SMT Divergence is the Signal: Price has already shown a Bullish SMT (Smart Money Technique) divergence against the DXY (Dollar Index). This is a HUGE clue 🕵️♀️ suggesting the real move is to the upside. ⬆️
The Magnet is Below: 🧲 We're consolidating now, but the real target for a sweep is the area around 1.16000. This zone contains a trifecta of institutional levels:
The Previous Daily Low (Liquidity target). 💧
A clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) on the 1H to be filled. 🕳️
A CRTL (Candle Rotation Theory Low) to be respected. 🛡️
The Anticipated Hunt & Rally: 💥
Look for price to make a final, aggressive push down, sweeping the low and filling the 1H Bullish FVG right into our Point of Interest (PO3) around 1.16009.
This is the perfect Turtle Soup setup—a false break to trap sellers. 🐢🥣
From this launchpad, expect an explosive expansion that takes out the current high at 1.16477 and drives price toward the next major draw-on-liquidity near 1.16800! 🚀
🎯 Key Levels to Watch:
1.16009Point of Interest (PO3)ENTRY ZONE.
Look for a low timeframe MSS (Market Structure Shift) here after the sweep.
👀1.16477 Current High First Target. Price must clear this to confirm expansion.
🔓1.16800Draw on Liquidity Final Target. The ultimate price objective for this move. 🏆
Posting daily setups.
Greetings,
MrYounity
$CIFR – First 20 SMA Test + Flag Breakout SetupCipher Mining ( NASDAQ:CIFR ) is shaping up beautifully here — a flag breakout pattern forming right after a healthy pullback to the 20 SMA, something we haven’t seen during this entire run.
🔹 The Setup:
Pulled back from $22 → $15, finding strong support right at the 20 SMA.
Now back above the 9 EMA, showing buyers are stepping in early.
The chart has a tight flag pattern, ready to expand if crypto momentum holds.
🔹 Crypto Sector Context:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH both ripped over the weekend — classic sign of renewed risk appetite.
The entire crypto stock basket looks strong, and NASDAQ:CIFR + NASDAQ:IREN are the leaders.
This is the first real 20 SMA test of the move — often the best risk/reward entry point as dip buyers who missed the run jump in.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry Zone: Watching for dips Monday or Tuesday to build a position near the 9 EMA.
2️⃣ If It Gaps Up: I’ll skip swing entries and just day trade it — avoid chasing strength.
3️⃣ Stop: Under the 20 SMA — clear line of invalidation.
Why I Like This Setup:
First 20 SMA retest = historically powerful spot in trending names.
Tight flag structure with crypto sector tailwinds.
Market psychology favors second-wave momentum plays like this one.
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