GOLD Very Bullish , Can We Buy Again And Get 200 Pips ?Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3639.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it and we have a Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation ,and also we have a reversal pattern and the price closed above neckline , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy from 3639.00 when the price back to retest it , we need the price to go back and retest it and give us a good bullish price action and then we can enter , we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
6- Reversal Pattern .
Community ideas
RSI retest + MACD cross + Engulfing Candle + EMA bounce = A+So errors were made tonight, I haven't entirely been following my own trading plan. Back on track with this A+ setup however.
RSI has been climbing back up, beautiful bullish engulfing candle was formed, and then MACD finally crossed back over to bullish. Also price bounced off the EMA200 on M15.
1:3. TP at edge of FVG.
ES - September 10th - Daily Trade Plan September 10th - 5:45am EST -
Volatility should arrive with PPI & CPI today and tomorrow. I will not go into too much detail about my trade plan yesterday as you can read it under the (Related Publication Section). A couple of highlights, 6493 & 6505-08 have been 2 key levels so far this week. Why? Institutions have been buying at these levels and price has kept moving higher. As you know by now, my edge is buying after the Institutions and riding the wave higher. I do NOT short ES as I wait for short squeezes as a safer way to enter and ride the waves up in bull/bear markets. The past couple of days have been pretty boring price action. We have chopped retail investors up all week as price has ping ponged back and forth between my levels, but more importantly between 6493-6523. We finally broke out overnight and hit our first target of the week, which was also last week's high at 6544.
What is the plan for today? 8:30am, we have a big data report. I will not be trading before the report and will be waiting on price to settle out after the NYSE open. That is one of my rules on data & volatility events.
Overnight low was 6526 with the high being 6544. We have to remain bullish until proven otherwise, so the targets in green above are still in play this week. How do we get to those targets? Ideally, we get a big flush, scare retail traders, let them pile in short, flip the script, short squeeze and ride higher. If you have been trading ES for any length of time you know that if price is flushing, you get out the way. Do not be a hero and try to pick when price will reverse. Identify levels that have high probabilities, watch the reaction at that level, then enter based on your edge.
Key Support Levels - 6530, 6526, 6523, 6517, 6504-08, 6490
Key Resistance Levels - 6544, 6549, 6555, 6562, 6578+
The white trend line is the magnet above that I believe we are heading for at some point this week or into the Fed meeting next week.
After the PPI release and by 9am, we should have a good sense for what price is looking to do. Any flush of 6526 and reclaim should be a good level for a move higher. We could see price sell off all the way down to the white trend line around 6474 area, flush and then recover a level in blue to continue higher.
IF, price does flush 6490 and we are accelerating into it, I would be patient and wait to see what it does. While yesterday we flushed, recovered for a nice 50 point move higher, we might get a nice bounce, but liquidity continues to be taken each time we visit this level and when we do lose the level, I anticipate a multi-level loss.
IF, price can flush and reclaim the red or blue levels, those are always my highest quality spots I am looking to ride higher. The yellow levels are very important support and resistance levels that you can get reclaims of and move higher. They can also be choppy and harder to enter without a short time frame edge for entry. It is all based on your strategy, goals and edge of getting points from ES.
Size down today, price could lose 100+pts or run 100+pts higher. Do not be a hero. Wait for your levels and edge to enter and make sure you take profits at the next level higher.
I will post updates after PPI and around 10am after NYSE has settled out.
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Couple of things about how I color code my levels.
1. Purple shows the weekly High/Low
2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post)
3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows)
4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest.
5. White shows the trendline from the August lows.
BITCOIN Is this the last rally of the Cycle??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has held its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) to perfection and closed last week in green for the first time after 3 straight red 1W candles.
As discussed in previous analyses, the 1W MA20 is critical to BTC's bullish trend as it is the trend-line that supported every final parabolic rally on its previous Cycles.
Even on the current Bull Cycle, it has been the first (and main) level of Support during the entirety of the 3-year Channel Up. The second one is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and was the ultimate Buy Signal on all three occasions it was hit (or approached), which coincided with a 0.382 Fibonacci retracement test.
Since the last contact the market had with both the 1W MA50 and 0.382 Fib (April 07 2025 Low), Bitcoin has been trading within the Channel's 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci range, which is the zone that has dominated the price action for most of the Bull Cycle. It broke below or above it 4 times, twice below it in the early stages of the Channel Up and as the Cycle's strength accelerated, twice above it to form Higher Highs.
Those Higher Highs have been the mid-Cycle 'Profit taking Zones' (red Triangles), where traders/ investors were encouraged to book quarterly profits and wait for a lower buy opportunity o the 1W MA50/ 0.382 Fib Support Cluster.
Once again, this is were we expect this upcoming final BTC rally to peak. Technically, even if we see a highly aggressive rise starting now, this Zone should be at $140k and above. Profit taking is a personal matter to each trader, depending on their risk tolerance and how low/ soon they entered the market, but this chart can serve as a reminder on their profit taking strategy.
So are you booking your profits soon for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Shiba Inu (SHIB): Expecting a Strong Bounce and Break of 200EMASHIB has shown a repeating pattern where each bounce ended near the 200EMA, but this time things look different. We are now getting closer to both the phantom support and the 200EMA, creating a clear zone of pressure.
If buyers manage to push through this area, we could finally see a strong breakout โ with next targets set at 0.000020 and 0.000024.
Swallow Academy
Gold at Crossroads: Tensions Mount, PPI LoomsHello traders, itโs going to be a key session. Letโs unpack the story:
๐ Geopolitical Shockwave Fuels Gold
An attack in Qatar today added another layer of tension to already fragile markets. Safe-haven demand spiked, driving Gold to a fresh ATH at 3674. Risk flows are now elevated, and traders are bracing for what comes next.
๐ Structural Map โ Where We Stand
Gold is currently boxed in between two macro fortresses:
๐ผ Upside Fortress: 3675โ3700 supply wall, with higher resistance at 3715โ3725.
๐ฝ Downside Fortress: Strong demand at 3595โ3580, and the deeper HTF stronghold around 3555โ3535.
โ๏ธ Intraday Battlefield
The short-term fight is locked between 3630 and 3650.
Holding above 3650 โ opens the road back into 3700.
Losing 3630 โ exposes Gold to a deeper dip toward 3595.
The broader bias remains bullish, but only if buyers defend 3630 with conviction.
๐
Core PPI Ahead
Tomorrowโs Core PPI release could act as the spark that decides this standoff. If inflation surprises higher, USD strength may pressure Gold lower. If weaker, Gold could break higher and extend into uncharted territory.
๐ฏ What This Means
Gold is caught between supply and demand fortresses. With geopolitics and news in play, this is no ordinary consolidation.
๐ฌ Do you expect Gold to push straight into 3700+, or will it reload lower before the rally continues?
๐ Drop a like if this gives you clarity.
๐ Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper maps and HTF breakdowns.
Together we sharpen the edge, one level at a time ๐โจ
Nasdaq Eyes 24,240 ATH as PPI LoomsUSNAS100 โ Overview
The Nasdaq 100 maintained bullish momentum, retesting support at 23,695 before pushing higher again.
Technical Outlook:
๐ As long as price trades above the 23,870 pivot, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward a new ATH at 24,090 โ 24,240.
๐ If the PPI release comes in hotter than expected, it may weigh on the index. A confirmed stabilization below 23,860 would open the way for a pullback toward 23,690.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 23,870
Resistance: 24,090 โ 24,240
Support: 23,695 โ 23,510
Bias: Bullish above 23,870; bearish correction only if price stabilizes below 23,860, with deeper downside toward 23,690
Gold testing highs, possible pullback below $3,675๐ Market Overview:
Gold surged to an all-time high at $3,673.95/oz on September 9, 2025, driven by Fed rate-cut expectations, USD weakness, and strong central bank demand.
On September 10, gold is consolidating around $3,635/oz, with markets awaiting key US inflation data.
๐ Technical Analysis:
โข Key Resistance: $3,675 โ $3,700
โข Nearest Support: $3,600 โ $3,620
โข EMA: Price remains above EMA 09 โ bullish momentum intact.
โข Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Technicals still show Strong Buy signals, but overbought conditions suggest short-term pullback risk.
๐ Outlook:
Gold may pull back in the short term if sellers defend the $3,675โ$3,700 zone, but a breakout above this level could trigger another rally toward $3,720โ$3,750.
๐ก Trading Strategy Suggestion:
๐ป SELL XAU/USD: 3697 โ 3700
๐ฏ TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
๐ SL: 3703
๐บ BUY XAU/USD: 3617 โ 3620
๐ฏ TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
๐ SL: 3614
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1704 pivot level
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1730
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1690
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD (Gold) 15M chart XAU/USD (Gold) chart with volume profile zones and marked demand areas.
3,664 โ 3,668 (as shown in the box at the right).
Hereโs the target analysis based on the visible levels:
Immediate Support Zone (Demand Zone): 3,650 โ 3,655
Upside Target Zones (Supply/Resistance from Volume Profile):
1. First target: 3,620 โ 3,625
2. Second target: 3,580 โ 3590 (stronger supply area marked in green at the top)
S&P 500 to 7000 over the next 60 daysYeT another contrarian idea as so many on the platform publish S&P 500 โshortโ positions. Just as with the NASDAQ 100 idea, many paper hands were flushed out of the market earlier in the year. Now they wait with cash as the market grinds higher. Others throwing themselves into Put options.
What next? First the basic question trend and support/resistance.
The Trend
Higher lows have been printed consistently since the April sell off. The trend is up.
Support & Resistance
Look left. Multiple levels of past resistance now confirm as support (blue arrows). How is it possible to be bearish?
Sentiment
As with the NASDAQ 100 idea, much of the retail market maintains a short bias with the Put/Call ratio far into the bearish territory. Historically, when put/call ratios spike above extreme levels, the S&P 500 rallies for weeks to months after.
Why 7000?
The breakout above the prior all time high of 6150 sent the market into price discovery. Selling pressure is largely absent with the April flush out leaving Wave 5 to develop. The uptrend channel will now not find resistance until the upper side of the channel, which is conveniently enough the Fibonacci 1.618 extension @ 7k.
Why 60 days?
Specifically this is a timeline defined by the US debt markets, which is for another post.
Conclusion
The S&P 500 climbs a wall of worry as confidence in the US markets evaporates. Loud bearish calls dominate the headlines, which is understandable. However the chart tells the real story: higher lows, confirmed supports, sentiment extremes, and extension forecasts all align with continuation.
A move to 7000 area is very probable, what the market has in store afterwards is perhaps the bigger story, which is for another time.
Is it possible for the market to correct to 6200 and below like many are calling for? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!๐ XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
๐ฏ Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy ๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ โ Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk โ ๏ธ)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 ๐ช๐ฐ
โก Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan โ adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
๐ Why This Plan? (Thiefโs Market Analysis)
๐ Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 โ $3,644.56
๐ง Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
โก๏ธ Retail crowd is heavily short โ Contrarian bullish setup.
๐ฆ Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
โก๏ธ Institutions are firmly positioned long โ
๐ก๏ธ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) โ Calm market backdrop
๐ Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
๐ Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
๐๏ธ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought โ manage exits smartly
๐ฅ Related Markets to Watch
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
EURUSD Approaching 1.18 โ Buyers in ControlEURUSD continues to show a firm upward bias on the daily chart. Price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, with Tenkan crossing Kijun and the cloudโs leading edge widening; Chikou Span hangs above recent candles, reinforcing bullish momentum. Since August lows, the pair has consistently made higher lows and is now pressing against the 1.176โ1.180 zone. Support is clearly seen at FVG clusters around 1.166โ1.168 and 1.158โ1.161, with pullbacks absorbed swiftly by buying pressure.
Immediate resistance lies at 1.176โ1.180; a daily close above this could accelerate movement towards 1.183โ1.185 and potentially 1.190โ1.195. On the downside, 1.170โ1.168 acts as a short-term equilibrium. Only a close below 1.166 would signal weakening momentum and increase the risk of sliding back to 1.161โ1.158.
$AVAXUSD: Price Memory๐๏ธ Research Notes
Financial markets as complex adaptive systems that spontaneously organize themselves into critical, chaotic, or ordered states.
In this idea I'd like to focus on price memory - concept that the market's current and future price movements are influenced by its own history, rather than being completely random. The EMH argues that prices are a random walk, with no "memory" of the past. My research based on the FMH, explicitly rejects this notion. The very presence of fractal patterns (earlier works) is evidence that price changes are not independent of one another and that the market has a geometric memory of its own behavior .
Let's cut to the chase
Object of observation: LT Compression
I'm concerned with the properties of price dynamics that are preserved under continuous deformation, which allows to validate structure.
Extending the structure to uncover to which extent these recurring processes unfold in respect to historic measurements. (Made the gradient of breakout texture with neutral colors so it's not mistaken with me providing signals)
Oil Prices Rise on Geopolitical FactorsOil Prices Rise on Geopolitical Factors
As the XBR/USD chart shows, Brent crude opened this weekโs trading around $65.70, but today the price is near $66.80 (around +1.7%).
Oil is being pushed higher by geopolitical factors, including:
โ Israelโs strike on Hamas leadership in Qatar;
โ Trumpโs calls for Europe to impose tariffs on buyers of Russian oil.
It is also worth noting that over the weekend an OPEC+ meeting took place. Although the decision was made to increase production, the volumes were smaller than analysts had expected.
Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart
After the surge of extreme volatility at the end of July, Brent crude price fluctuations have been forming a descending channel (shown in red), with the following developments:
โ in September the price tested the lines dividing the channel into quarters (2 September โ QH test, 5 September โ QL test);
โ this weekโs rise in oil looks like a return to the median, where supply and demand tend to balance out (in other words, where market participants more often agree on a fair price).
From a bullish perspective:
โ the $65.00 level appears to be an important support, having already proved its strength in August and September;
โ the sequence of higher highs and lows AโBโCโDโE suggests that pullbacks have been roughly half the size of bullish impulses โ a sign of strong demand.
From a bearish perspective:
โ August price action suggests that a bear flag has formed as an interim correction within the prevailing downtrend;
โ the $67.50 level may act as strong resistance, as supply forces there were able to trigger a bearish breakout of the pattern.
Taking the above into account, we could assume that Brent prices may stabilise around the median in the short term, before sliding along it downwards โ unless the balance of supply and demand shifts sharply (for example, under the influence of new geopolitical factors or the release of major economic indicators).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY Sell zone to look forWith NFP 22k weaker job data, USDJPY along with DXY rejected from the higher price to the major direction of the trend. Price has got strongly rejected from the monthly, weekly and daily level of resistance. As price approaching the high liquidity zone 147.87, we may expect a strong rejection from the higher price.
147.87 can be a sell level upon price action confirmation.