EUR/AUD Bullish EURAUD - Overall the market has been selling since August 25, but I believe we may be in store for a bullish reversal as price has seemed to respect the 1.78000 QP, and we are now seeing a HL around the demand zone 1.78600 - 1.78500. We need price to close and give a HH at above the supply zone to confirm Bullish bias. Looking for a potential buy setup at the demand zone, stop loss at 1.78450; TP @1.79000. Price already mitigated the previous LL and so Im not anticipating price to come back to this zone after the heavy buy volume that looked like it swept sellers who anticipated price would continue to drop
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Weak Dollar, Strong Pound – Next Leg HigherWeak Dollar, Strong OANDA:GBPUSD FX:GBPUSD
The last major decline unfolded as a clear zigzag, while overall price action remains bullish. This setup provides strong grounds to expect another push to new highs.
🔹 Wave structure
The base scenario suggests the development of a ending diagonal. Currently, wave C within the third wave is in play, supporting the case for continued upside.
🔹 Fundamentals
– Fed rate cuts should keep pressure on the dollar.
– Weak labor market data further adds to dollar weakness.
– Over the next 1–2 months, dollar weakness is likely to remain the dominant theme.
📈 Focus stays on GBP moving toward new local highs.
MARKETS week ahead: September 8 – 14Last week in the news
The previous week was marked with surprisingly low August Non-farm payrolls of only 22K new jobs in the U.S. Figures increased market expectations that the Fed will cut rates at the FOMC meeting in September. Market reaction at Friday's trading session was strong. The S&P 500 reached another all time highest level and then tumbled back toward the 6.481, within the same day. The 10Y US Treasury benchmark dropped down from 4,2% to 4,0%. Although the US Dollar remained relatively flat during the week, the price of gold reached a new all time highest level, ending the week at $3.586. This week the crypto market was left aside, with BTC closing the week by testing the $110K.
U.S. labour market data took centre stage in the markets last week. On Wednesday, the JOLTs Job Openings report showed 7.181 million positions for July, falling short of the expected 7.3 million. Friday delivered another surprise, with August Non-Farm Payrolls revealing just 22K new jobs, which was well below the 75K anticipated by the market. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate edged up by 0.1 percentage points to 4.3%. Average hourly earnings rose by 0.3% in August, marking a 3.7% y/y increase. A significant drop in the US jobs data increased market expectations that the Fed will now certainly have a good grounds to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at September FOMC meeting.
Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz cautions that bond markets haven’t fully accounted for the weakening U.S. fiscal outlook, particularly the temporary boost from tariff revenues that won't last as businesses readjust supply chains. He suggests that the current projections are overly optimistic and that the true financial position of the U.S. may be significantly worse. Stiglitz’s remarks signal that investors should brace for deeper fiscal and inflationary risks than markets currently anticipate
There has been a lot of media coverage related to the announced split of shares of Kraft Hainz, aimed to unlock brand value. Shares of the company were losing value during the year, with a stock loss of around 21% over the period of the past year. Famous investor Warren Buffett commented on the split, expressing disappointment, noting that breaking up will not resolve the deeper challenges the company is facing. The proposed spin-off will create two distinct, independently traded entities, one centered on sauces and spreads, the other on grocery staples, a strategy aimed at unlocking shareholder value after years of sluggish performance.
The European Commission has levied a €2.95 B (US $3.45 B) antitrust fine against Google for abusing its dominance in the adtech market by favouring its own services, marking the company’s fourth major EU penalty. Regulators have given Google 60 days to propose remedies to end these self-preferencing practices, warning that failure to comply could lead to divestitures. Google has announced plans to appeal the decision, calling it unjustified and warning it could harm numerous European businesses. Meanwhile, the U.S. President has criticized the penalty and threatened retaliatory trade measures, escalating tensions between the U.S. and the EU.
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market remained relatively calm during the previous week. Investors were more concerned with surprisingly weak US jobs data, increasing expectations that the Fed might make a move in rate cuts at their September FOMC meeting. They were positioning accordingly, in which sense US equities, bond and gold markets were affected. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by modest 1% during the week, adding $28B to its total market cap. Daily trading volumes dropped to the level of $222B on a daily basis, from last week's $311B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +16%, with a total funds inflow of $513B.
For the week, crypto coins showed mixed performance, with a blend of gains and losses across major and altcoins. BTC had steady movements, with a weekly gain of 1,4% and an inflow of $30,5B. This week, ETH was a modest losing side of -1,4% (-7,5B). Major altcoins on the market finished the week relatively flat. Market favorites Solana, ADA, XRP, BNB all finished the week almost without a change from the end of the previous week. Avalanche managed to add 3,3% to its market value. At the same time, Maker had an excellent week with a gain of 13,1%. Monero was traded higher by 4,4% and Filecoin was up by 2,7%. Another coin with a significant weekly gain was ZCash, with a surge of 11,3%.
Although the value of coins remained relatively flat, there has been increased activity with circulating coins. This week Stellar managed to add 1,1% new coins to the market. Miota`s number of coins closed the week higher by 0,8%. This week Filecoins added 0,2% to its total circulating coins. XRP should be also mentioned, as this coin continues to increase its number on the market, this week by 0,2%.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market showed some divergence from BTC and ETH price movements, following developments on the spot market. Bitcoin futures experienced consistent gains across all maturities, with w/w increases ranging around 2,7%. Futures with maturity in December this year closed the week at $114.205, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $121.000.
In contrast, ETH futures saw moderate declines across the board, with w/w changes around 0,4%. For the moment, the market is showing subdued expectations for ETH in the near to mid-term. However, ETH futures continue to hold strongly above the $4K mark. December 2025 finished the week at $4.435, while December 2026 was last traded at $4.780.
TNSR (SPOT)BINANCE:TNSRUSDT
#TNSR / USDT
Entry range (0.1070- 0.1170)
SL 4H close below 0.1030
T1 0.1400
T2 0.1600
T3 0.2000
T4 0.2500
2 Extra Targets is optional 0.3800 and 0.5200
_______________________________________________________
Golden Advices.
********************
* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
Dogecoin Price Eyes $0.248 After BreakoutBINANCE:DOGEUSDT trades near $0.231 after a 6% daily bounce, breaking out of an inverse head-and-shoulders on the 4-hour chart. The target from this setup is $0.248, about 7.4% higher. Momentum is backed by EMA crossovers, with the 20 EMA already above the 200 EMA and more bullish crossovers lining up.
Dip buying adds weight to the move. The Money Flow Index trends higher, and both long-term and short-term holders have increased their positions. Still, traders must watch $0.210 as the first warning level, while a drop under $0.204 would fully cancel the bullish view.
BREAKING: Grayscale just filed for Chainlink $LINK ETF🚨BREAKING: Grayscale just filed for Chainlink CRYPTOCAP:LINK ETF with the SEC.
🟩20% + correction from previous monthly level Given
🟩Clean falling wedge & continuation pattern 📈
🟩Weekly ichimoku flipped bullish
🟩Long term uptrend keep supporting prices
🚀Next step: 30$+
Key support to be maintained for bull scenario:
20.00 - 19.50$
BTCUSDT (Daily)### 🔎 **Chart Context**
* Pair: **BTC/USD**
* Exchange: **Binance**
* Timeframe: **1D (Daily)**
* Current price: \~**112,231**
* Bitcoin is consolidating above the **111,000 support zone**, while the projection targets **130,500** as the next major upside level.
* The structure remains **bullish**, with higher lows intact and fair value gap (FVG) marked below.
---
### 📊 **Key Observations**
1. **Market Structure**
* Last major swing high: **123,731**.
* Recent correction found support near **111,971 – 111,917**, forming a higher low.
* Uptrend remains intact above **100,000 – 104,500 key supports**.
2. **Support Zones**
* **111,900 – 111,500**: Immediate intraday support.
* **104,553 – 100,424**: Strong demand zone aligning with EMA cluster.
* **98,385 – 99,500**: Historical support + fair value gap.
3. **Resistance Zones**
* **119,900 – 123,731**: First resistance block.
* **130,500 (TP)**: Chart projection and major liquidity target.
* Above 130K → possible extension toward **136,000 – 140,000**.
4. **Fair Value Gap (FVG)**
* Marked between **98,000 – 104,500**, which could be retested if BTC fails to sustain current support.
---
### 📈 **Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)**
* BTC holds above **111,900** support and pushes higher.
* Path: Retest **119,900 → 123,731 → breakout toward 130,500** (main TP).
* If momentum continues, rally could extend toward **136K – 140K**.
---
### 📉 **Bearish Scenario (Risk Case)**
* Breakdown below **111,900** opens path toward:
* **104,500 – 100,400 demand zone**.
* If this fails, price could dip into **98,000 – 99,500 FVG fill**.
* Structure flips bearish only if BTC closes below **98K** on daily.
---
### ⚡ **Trading Plan**
* **Long Setup (Preferred):**
* Entry: 111,900 – 112,200 retest (confirmation bounce).
* TP1: 119,900
* TP2: 123,731
* TP3: 130,500
* Stop: Below 109,500
* **Short Setup (Countertrend):**
* Entry: Rejection at 123,700 – 124,000.
* TP: 111,900 → 104,500
* Stop: Above 125,500
---
### ✅ **Conclusion**
BTC/USD daily chart shows **bullish continuation bias**. Holding above **111,900** strengthens the case for a rally toward **119,900 → 123,731 → 130,500**. A deeper retest into **104K – 100K demand zone** would still be healthy as long as price stays above **98K**.
XAG/USD Technical + Macro Analysis ¦ Bullish Layer Strategy⚡ XAG/USD Silver Swing & Scalping Trade | Thief Layer Strategy
🛠️ Trade Plan (Bullish Pending Order)
Entry (Breakout Trigger): $41.400 ⚡
Layered Entries (Thief Strategy):
$41.000
$41.200
$41.400
(You can increase/reduce limit layers based on your own plan — confirm after breakout. Set TradingView alarms for alerts.)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): $40.600 (after breakout confirmation)
⚠️ Adjust your SL according to your own risk tolerance.
Target (Exit Zone): $42.200 🎯
Resistance + overbought + trap zone = take profit opportunity.
💡 Thief Strategy = Using multiple buy limit orders (layering style entries) to scale into position at breakout confirmation levels.
🔎 Why This Plan (Thief Style)
✅ Technical breakout aligned with resistance test.
✅ Fundamentals & sentiment confirm upside bias.
✅ Layering entries reduce risk & capture volatility.
✅ Plan respects upcoming macro events → CPI & Fed.
📊 XAG/USD Real-Time Data
Daily Change: +0.56% (▲ +0.23)
Day’s Range: $40.54 – $41.34
52-Week Range: $27.70 – $41.49
Year-to-Date Performance: +42.32% 🚀
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
Stock Market Sentiment: Greed (53/100) 📈
Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (0/100)
Drivers:
Weak US labor data → boosting Fed rate cut expectations.
S&P 500 above 125-day MA → bullish momentum.
Low VIX → reduced fear.
📉📈 Trader Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders:
Bullish (Long): 60% 😊
Bearish (Short): 40% 😰
Institutional Outlook:
Technical Bias: Strong Buy ✅
🌍📉 Fundamental & Macro Drivers
Fed Rate Cut Probability (Sep 2025): 100% ✅
US Dollar Weakness → supports precious metals.
Upcoming Events:
📅 Sep 11: CPI Report (volatility risk).
📅 Sep 16–17: Fed Meeting (critical rate decision).
Industrial Demand: Electronics + solar keeping silver in steady demand.
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish (Long) 🐂
Score: 75/100 (Strong upside potential).
Why Bullish?
Technical indicators = Strong Buy signals.
Fed dovish stance → USD weakness.
Geopolitical risks → safe-haven demand.
Risks: Hot CPI data → possible USD rebound.
💎 Key Takeaways
Silver is up +42% YTD → momentum intact.
Breakout levels align with Thief Layer Strategy.
Fed meeting (Sep 16–17) = major catalyst.
CPI data (Sep 11) = short-term volatility watch.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
AMEX:SLV (Silver ETF)
COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures)
COMEX:SI1! (Silver Futures)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Silver #XAGUSD #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #Scalping #Commodities #Breakout #LayerStrategy #Fed #CPI #Metals
Dow Jones Outlook: Bullish Above 45,465, Bears Eye 45,285US30 – Overview
The Dow Jones recorded a new ATH on Friday and has since retested and stabilized above 45,465.
Technical Outlook:
📈 As long as price holds above 45,465 (pivot), bullish momentum is expected to continue toward 45,680 → 45,860.
📉 A confirmed stabilization below 45,410 would shift momentum bearish, targeting 45,285 → 45,110.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 45,465
Resistance: 45,680 – 45,860
Support: 45,285 – 45,110
4h Retest and TargetThe S&P had broken above a point where sellers came in previously, but could not push price down, hence the consolidation where the red and green boxes are drawn. Price came back down, tested the previous consolidation area, buyers stepped in and price held. (Looking at the wick, it's possible to have entered and been stopped out, but as it moved back up, could've looked for a re-entry and stop below the wick)
Friday had its push up, consolidated, and so far on Monday has held its gains. If I were in at the retest area, this new consolidation area is where I'd put my stop and use previous all time highs as the target.