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Pandemic

COVID-19 pandemic and not epidemic, exponential ant not gaussianThe COVID-19 is pandemic and not epidemic because it touches all continents all around the world. It is exponential ant not gaussian because there is a second wave in a lot of countries. But maybe the first wave never stopped, and we are testing more and more people. Maybe the curve with continue to grow but start to flatten, nobody is able to predict the future. Just don't bet against the trend, apply the maximum security to yourselves and only yourselves (until it goes to 0 with 100% of recover and 0% of death ?). There is not plot, nobody is lying, governments and people have just no ideas of what will happen because we are facing something imprecise.
CLong
by Nugacity_Fracedinous
Utilities could substantially outperform this yearUtilities traditionally are a recession safe haven, although in March they fell along with the broader market. There is reason, however, to think they will outperform going forward. According to an analyst poll conducted by FactSet, analysts expect utilities to be the sector least affected by the pandemic, with 2020 earnings down only 1.6% from pre-pandemic forecasts. The next strongest sector, information technology, is expected to take a 6.5% hit. Of the S&P 500 companies that have confirmed their previous 2020 guidance, 53% are in the utilities sector. Here's the link to the FactSet poll: www.factset.com Although earnings forecasts for the sector are down only 1.6%, utilities stock prices are down about 16% from their pre-pandemic peak. That suggests that utilities are now trading at a significant discount. Additionally, RYU has a nearly 3% dividend yield and has been a growth sector due to the widespread adoption of renewable energy technologies by both corporations and governments. In 2019, the utilities sector roughly doubled its earnings over the previous year. In terms of technicals, utilities recently made a bullish MACD cross on the weekly chart. There's a little bearish divergence on the histogram, and the daily MACD is below the signal line, which makes some short-term price weakness a real possibility. For the longer term, however, the technical setup looks good. RYU is sitting atop a block of support on the volume profile, whereas to the upside there's much less volume profile resistance. Note that RYU is not optionable. If you're like me and you'd like to buy some long-term (2022) option calls, you could look at the XLU S&P 500 utilities fund. I prefer equal-weight funds because they tend to outperform long-term, but in addition to being optionable, XLU has a better dividend yield and a better expense ratio than RYU.
AMEX:RSPULong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
Starbucks COVID 19 Analysis June 2020Still not convinced the growth isn't just a pullback to test again the $50 price or to even fall beyond $50. Now, $50 looks like a strong resistance zone. More like a reasonable price. Being not a essential commodity, there may be a stronger hit to the stock price if unemployment affects their clientele at a level in which they would have to further restrict their spending on nonessential items. Still very interested to see what happens once 2nd quarter of this year closes and earnings are disclosed.
NASDAQ:SBUX
by Aizakku
2
Delta Airlines Post COVID 19 thoughts June 2020If looked from the perspective of Fibonacci... chances are DAL prices during COVID 19 align with a 78% retrace line. Those also seem to match resistance around the initial trading values of this stock. There is a good chance that during June and follow on months, this price will continue to grow and test the $50 price. At least from my perspective. Whether if it only tests the $50 to later come back down or just go back to previous price ranges, there may be a profit benefit here. The next months behavior really depends on what is going to happen around the Pandemic itself and associated travel restrictions. As well as how humans may fear traveling in the short term. It seems that a buy at current price range may reward with short term growth. If it happens, it can potentially be protected with a sell limit in case prices fall again. Another strategy may be to buy and just sell with the price hits the $50 range. It'll all depend on each individual's preference: Do you want the shares for the long term (and take advantage of current bargain prices)?; Or do you want to profit with volatility?
NYSE:DAL
by Aizakku
5
American Dollar versus Brazilian Real.Well, finally institutions stopped selling and maybe starting to buy dollars again here in Brazil. Simple analysis, after this massive selloff of USD, RSI is pointing to a recovery ahead of price AKA bullish divergence. Not only that, prices is testing a previous range high zone, and converging with this really oversold RSI. I believe it is a good time to stack some USD for the long run, as the caos in the world is just getting started !
BMFBOVESPA:DOL1!Long
by TradesafariSocial
Is the worst over?Hi Guys, Hope you are all fine & well. Here just some infos. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:VIX
by cozzamara
EURUSD: some infosHi Guys, the increase in volatility triggered by the pandemic event this year occurs when US Presidential election are 6 months away. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
by cozzamara
1
Long USDZAR DailyFX:USDZAR has recently entered a consolidation zone that concludes the is indecisiveness in the market mainly because of the corona virus pandemic. An Ascending Triangle is formed that proves bullish movement to continue. Rising Volume combined with the ascending triangle indicates that Bulls will most likely win this round. Another strong factor to consider is that FX:USDZAR is in a uptrend and therefore a buy order makes more sense. Take Profit targets will be recommended at R19.00000
Long
by OT_Forex
DXY: some infosHi Guys, the increase in volatility triggered by the pandemic event this year occurs when US Presidential election are 6 months away. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities. IMHO: The point of trading is to make money. To make money you must have money. Depending on the money at your disposal, you can decide what to do and how to do it. By having stops you decide how much you are willing to lose. By having targets you decide how much you want to earn. Be disciplined with your protocol and with your strategies for trading. Sometime you win, sometime you lose. Don't be greedy. Be realistic. Be wary but not afraid. Be curious. Use your brain. As long as your working process make sense and your spirit is calm, everything will be fine. Be patient and be prepared for any circumtances.
TVC:DXY
by cozzamara