GOLD - The battle for 4400. Will the growth continue?FX:XAUUSD starts the week of 2026 with a rise of more than 1.5%, staying above $4,400 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in Latin America
Geopolitical crisis: US-Venezuela, Donald Trump threatened new military intervention if the interim government does not comply with Washington's demands.
Expanding risks: Trump hinted at Colombia and Mexico. The situation between Russia and Ukraine remains tense. Against this backdrop, investors are actively shifting funds into defensive instruments, including gold and the US dollar
Important US labor market data is expected this week, which could add to volatility. Venezuela has set up a commission to free Maduro, indicating a further escalation of the conflict.
Gold remains a priority for investors amid unprecedented geopolitical uncertainty. Short-term corrections are possible, but the overall uptrend is likely to continue, especially if the conflict in Latin America escalates
Resistance levels: 4440, 4470, 4519
Support levels: 4400, 4373
If the bulls keep gold above 4410-4400, then in the short and medium term, gold will be able to continue to grow despite the fact that the daily ATR has already been exhausted. Local and global trends are bullish...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Parallel Channel
EURJPY - Correction (hunting for liquidity) before growthFX:EURJPY is entering a correction amid an uptrend that has been ongoing since March last year. Zone of interest: 183.0
Amid the growth of the dollar, the euro is entering a correction, but the main trend of the index is bearish.
The key area of interest and liquidity for the currency pair is 183.43 - 183.15. A false breakout/long squeeze and holding the price above this level could trigger further growth. Locally, we have a correction against the backdrop of a global bullish trend
Resistance levels: 184.26, 184.82
Support levels: 183.43, 183.15
A pullback on a bullish trend is an additional opportunity to enter the market at a favorable price. Focus on support at 183.43 - 183.15 (additionally 183.0)
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETHEREUM - Consolidation near 3150 ahead of rallyBINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is rising after breaking through trend resistance and consolidating. The main trend remains bearish, but there are local indications of bullish support. The 3150 trigger is ahead.
Bitcoin is strengthening amid geopolitical nuances, acting as a hedging factor (locally). A rise in the leading cryptocurrency could support Ethereum, which, in turn, could trigger a breakout of 3150 and a subsequent rally.
Ethereum is consolidating near 3150, forming resistance (a trigger). Technically, consolidation continues, and the coin may test local lows at 3120-3100 before retesting 3150 and continuing the rally.
Resistance levels: 3150, 3200, 3270
Support levels: 3120, 3100, 3077
If the pullback is not deep and the price quickly returns to retest 3150, then we can continue to monitor the coin, waiting for a signal to long...
If the bulls hold the price above resistance after breaking through 3150, this move could trigger continued growth toward 3200-3270.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Natural Gas At Crucial Levelwww.tradingview.com
Natural Gas recent Daily Move is at crucial Juncture and at Interesting confluence
1. Break out of Bigger Parallel channel
2. Retest of the channel and raise
3. Break of Smaller Parallel Channel
4. Todays Daily candle retesting 0.9 of Fib.
Entry - 3.959
Targets - 4.656, 5.618,
Long term Targets -- 6.634 ( Minimize to see the confluence of Fibonacci's.
Stop Loss -- 3.685
Long Term View
www.tradingview.com
EURUSD: Fake Breakout at Resistance Signals Move Toward 1.1680Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded inside a clear downward channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure during that phase. After forming a base, price broke out of the descending channel and transitioned into a strong upward channel, confirming a shift in market control toward buyers. This bullish leg was supported by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, showing healthy upside momentum. As price approached the key Resistance Zone around 1.1770–1.1780, bullish momentum started to weaken. Multiple attempts to break above this resistance resulted in fake breakouts, signaling strong seller interest at the highs.
Currently, following these rejections, EURUSD failed to hold above the upper boundary of the ascending channel and broke below short-term support, indicating a loss of bullish structure. Price is now compressing below resistance and forming a structure that resembles a triangle breakdown, suggesting increasing downside pressure. Below current price, a well-defined Support Zone around 1.1680 stands out as the next key area where buyers may attempt to defend and slow the decline.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1770 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the broken channel / triangle resistance, the bias favors sellers. Any pullbacks toward resistance that show rejection can be considered short opportunities, with downside continuation toward the 1.1680 Support Zone as the main target.
However, a clean breakout and acceptance back above resistance would invalidate the short scenario and signal a potential return to bullish continuation. Until then, structure and price action favor further downside or corrective movement lower.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSDT Pullback to Buyer Zone $87,900 Before Next ExpansionHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSDT (3H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is trading within a broader consolidation phase following a strong bearish impulse earlier in the chart. After the sell-off, price found a clear pivot low, from which buyers stepped in and initiated a recovery. This recovery led to a breakout above a key structure level, confirming a shift from bearish pressure into stabilization. Following the breakout, BTC moved into a well-defined range, highlighting balance between buyers and sellers. The lower boundary of this range aligns with the Buyer Zone around 87,300, which has acted as a strong support area with multiple successful defenses. Each dip into this zone has been met with buying interest, confirming it as a key demand area. On the upside, price remains capped by the Seller Zone / Resistance around 89,800–90,700, where selling pressure has repeatedly limited further advances. More recently, BTC has started to form a rising support line, indicating gradually strengthening bullish pressure. Price is currently trading above this support line and holding above the Buyer Zone, suggesting that the latest pullbacks are corrective rather than impulsive. The overall structure shows compression between rising support and horizontal resistance, often a precursor to an expansion move. My scenario: Bitcoin may first attempt a corrective pullback toward the Buyer Zone (TP1) around 87,900, which aligns with a key horizontal support level and the lower boundary of the recent consolidation structure. This area has already shown strong demand in the past, making it a high-probability reaction zone. As long as price approaches this zone without strong impulsive bearish momentum, the move can be viewed as a healthy retracement within the broader consolidation / emerging bullish structure. A clear bullish reaction from the Buyer Zone—such as long lower wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or strong impulsive candles—would signal that buyers are still in control. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Setup Explained
Dow Jones broke and closed above a resistance line of an
expanding wedge pattern.
An occurrence of a consequent change of character suggests
a highly probable bullish continuation.
The market will most likely reach 48527 soon.
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GOLD - Trading range 4300 - 4400. Interest in hedge assetsLet's consider FX:XAUUSD before the opening of the trading session. The main nuance is how the market will react at the opening after the increase in geopolitical risks due to the actions of the US...
Starting January 5, liquidity will begin to grow in the market after the Christmas and New Year holidays. However, the year is starting with an increase in geopolitical risks due to US actions in Venezuela... The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is still not progressing in negotiations, which also creates additional risks. The Pacific and Asian sessions may be reactive...
The dollar is forming a correction within a downward trend, but it will be necessary to monitor the index's reaction to the US geopolitical actions that took place on Saturday. The growth of the index may put pressure on the metal...
Gold is forming a trading range of 4300-4400. Globally, we have a bullish trend, but locally, gold is forming a correction. BUT! It is necessary to monitor the price reaction relative to 4315-4300 from the opening of the Pacific, Asian, and European sessions....
Resistance levels: 4355, 4400, 4440
Support levels: 4315, 4302, 4275
Accordingly, based on the available technical and fundamental data, we can assume that there may be a bullish run from the 4300 zone. I do not rule out an attempt to retest 4300 - 4275 (long squeeze) before growth...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Short: Rejection from Supply – 4,340 Demand as TargetHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. After an extended bullish phase, Gold was trading inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming strong buyer control and a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. During this phase, price respected the channel structure multiple times, using the lower boundary as dynamic support. Before the impulsive move higher, XAUUSD also formed two visible consolidation ranges, indicating accumulation prior to expansion. A clean breakout from the upper range triggered strong upside momentum and accelerated price toward the upper channel boundary.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading near the Demand Zone around 4,340, which aligns with a rising trend line and a previous reaction area. A recent dip below this level resulted in a fake breakout, followed by a quick recovery back above demand, suggesting buyers are still active in this zone. Price is now reacting upward from demand, but remains capped below the 4,400 supply area, keeping the structure corrective rather than fully bullish.
My scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,400 Supply Zone, the bias favors sellers. I expect price to show rejection signals in this area—such as long upper wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or failed breakouts—followed by renewed downside pressure. The first downside target is a move back toward the 4,340 Demand Zone. A clean breakdown and acceptance below this level would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper move toward lower support levels. Manage your risk!
Ethereum Inside the Decision ChannelShort-Term Technical Analysis (Days to Weeks)
On the daily timeframe, ETH is trading inside a large ascending channel (purple box). After a decline from the channel’s upper boundary, price is now sitting near the mid-channel support and internal dashed trendline, aligned with the moving average (orange). This area represents a critical decision zone.
Bullish Short-Term Scenario:
A sustained move above $3,150–$3,200 and a bullish reclaim of the moving average could trigger a new upward leg toward the upper channel boundary.
Bearish Short-Term Scenario:
Failure to hold above $3,000 and a breakdown of the internal trendline could open the door for a deeper pullback toward the channel low.
Short-Term Target:
$3,800–$4,200
Short-Term Stop-Loss:
Daily close below $2,900
Long-Term Technical Analysis (Months to 1 Year)
From a broader perspective, ETH remains structurally bullish but range-bound. Price action inside the channel suggests controlled accumulation/distribution rather than a strong directional trend.
Bullish Long-Term Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above the ascending channel could launch ETH into a powerful trending phase with new all-time targets.
Bearish Long-Term Scenario:
A breakdown below the channel floor would signal structural weakness and a deeper corrective phase.
Long-Term Target:
$5,200–$5,800
Long-Term Stop-Loss:
Structural break below $2,300
Fundamental Analysis (Brief)
Ethereum remains the backbone of the Web3 ecosystem:
• Growing adoption of DeFi, NFTs, and Layer 2 solutions
• Net supply reduction through fee-burning mechanisms
• Potential institutional inflows via ETH-based ETFs
• Core infrastructure for smart contracts and tokenized economies
Key risks include L1 competition and broader crypto market conditions.
Final Takeaway
ETH is sitting at a major inflection zone:
• Holding mid-channel support favors a move higher
• Breakdown increases downside risk toward channel lows
At this level, waiting for confirmation offers the best risk-to-reward setup.
EURUSD Holding Buyer Zone - Rebound Toward 1.1780 in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure after a strong upside move from the lower levels. Earlier, price advanced inside an ascending channel, confirming sustained buyer control and a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Following this impulsive rally, EURUSD broke above a key structure level and transitioned into a consolidation phase near the highs. Currently, price is reacting around the Buyer Zone near 1.1740, which aligns with a key Support Level and a previous breakout area. This zone has already shown multiple reactions, indicating active demand. Above, the market remains capped by a descending Resistance Line and the Seller Zone around 1.1780, where selling pressure previously caused a rejection. The recent move into support appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a pause within the broader bullish trend. My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1740 Buyer Zone, the bullish structure remains intact. A strong reaction from this area could lead to another push toward the 1.1780 Resistance Level (TP1). A confirmed breakout and acceptance above resistance would open the door for further upside continuation. However, a decisive breakdown below the buyer zone would weaken the bullish setup and signal a deeper corrective move toward lower support levels. For now, price remains at a key decision area, with buyers defending structure while consolidation continues. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
ADAUSDT the 0.33 to 0.66 is easy now ADA is currently trading at the $0.33 level following a notable decline. This zone may now represent a potential reversal area, with the next key technical target positioned near $0.66—a 100% appreciation from current levels.
For this bullish scenario to materialize, confirmation through price action and volume is required. A sustained move above near-term resistance with increasing buying volume would signal a reversal in momentum and could mark the beginning of a new upward phase.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BITCOIN - Flat holding back the market. Focus on 90K...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is forming a local uptrend, based on cascading support generated by the market during low (holiday) liquidity.
Fundamental support for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market is still absent, or not felt. Accordingly, it's too early to talk about a bullish reversal, rally, or pump. The daily chart shows a downtrend and consolidation in a flat/symmetrical triangle pattern. The zone of interest (liquidity area) is 89950 - 90600. A false breakout/short squeeze could shift the imbalance toward bears and trigger a reversal and decline within the current trading range, which in turn could trigger a decline in the altcoin market.
Resistance levels: 89950, 90600, 91900
Support levels: 88000, 86800, 85000
A localized upward movement amid a global downtrend, as long as this zone is not broken, can be considered a counter-trend correction. A short squeeze through the liquidity zone could trigger a bluer price move toward lower zones of interest, such as 88K - 85K.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
ETH - the Calm before the Storm!From a structure point of view, ETH remains bullish, trading cleanly inside a flat rising channel.
The lower bound of the channel continues to act as support, keeping the broader bullish bias intact.
🔑 The key level to watch is the red structure zone.
For the bulls to truly take over and push price toward the upper bound of the channel, we need a clear break and hold above that structure. That’s the trigger that shifts ETH from consolidation into expansion.
Until then, expect chop and buildup... not weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTCUSDT Long: Demand Support Intact, Next Test at $89,000Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. After a strong bearish impulse, Bitcoin was trading inside a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained seller control. This bearish phase ended with a clear breakdown and a sharp reaction from a key pivot low, where buyers stepped in aggressively, marking an important structural shift. From this pivot point, BTC transitioned into a consolidation phase, forming a broad range, which signals balance between buyers and sellers after the impulsive move. Price respected both the upper and lower boundaries of this range multiple times, confirming it as a valid accumulation zone. Eventually, Bitcoin broke below the range briefly, but this move was quickly absorbed by buyers near the Demand Zone around 86,800, leading to a strong recovery and reclaim of structure.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the rising Demand Line, having confirmed a breakout and subsequent retest. Price is gradually moving higher toward the Supply Zone near 89,000, where multiple tests and rejections have already occurred. This area represents a key resistance, with sellers actively defending it, as shown by repeated reactions and failed continuation attempts.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 86,800 Demand Zone and respects the rising demand line, the bias remains bullish and corrective pullbacks are likely to attract buyers. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 89,000 Supply Zone would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, failure to hold demand and a breakdown below the demand line would invalidate the bullish scenario and shift focus back toward range lows. For now, price is compressing between demand and supply, and a decisive move is likely ahead. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD: Rejection at 4,350 Resistance Signals Further DownsideHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD previously traded within a well-defined upward channel, confirming a strong bullish structure during that phase. Price then broke down from the channel, signaling a loss of bullish momentum and a shift in market control. After the breakdown, Gold attempted to recover but was capped by a clearly defined Resistance Zone around 4,350, which previously acted as a key level during the range phase.
Currently, price formed a lower high and transitioned into a downward channel, confirming bearish continuation. Multiple breakout attempts above descending resistance were rejected, reinforcing seller dominance. The market is now trading below the former resistance, with structure favoring further downside pressure. Below current price, a Support Zone near 4,280 is visible, acting as the next key area where buyers may attempt to slow the decline.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,350 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the downward channel, the bearish bias remains valid. Any pullbacks into resistance that show rejection can be viewed as short opportunities, with downside continuation toward the 4,280 Support Zone as the primary target.
However, a clean break and acceptance above resistance would invalidate the short scenario and suggest a potential shift back toward consolidation or recovery. Until then, structure favors sellers, with momentum aligned to the downside.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Fake Breakout at 4,520 - Price Tests Buyer Zone at 4,260Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a broader ascending channel, confirming a dominant bullish structure despite the recent sharp pullback. After a strong impulsive rally, price respected the channel support and continued forming higher highs and higher lows, highlighting sustained buyer control throughout the trend. Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the broken channel support and has entered the Buyer Zone around 4,260, which aligns with a key Support Level and a prior breakout area. This zone represents an important reaction area where buyers may attempt to regain control. The projected path suggests a possible corrective bounce from this level, but overall price action remains vulnerable as long as it stays below the former resistance and channel structure. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,520 Seller Zone and fails to reclaim the broken channel support, the bias favors further downside or consolidation. A clean hold above the Buyer Zone could trigger a short-term rebound toward the mid-channel area, while a decisive breakdown below 4,260 would open the door for a deeper corrective move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
[COIN] 2-Year Channel Support Meets Deep Value (P/E ~20)The Setup:
Monthly Ascending Channel Since Jan 2024, COIN has traded within a clean ascending channel. We are currently testing the $217–$200 support zone.
Key History:
In April 2025, price staged a "fakeout" below the channel before rebounding. I expect similar volatility at the $200 level.
Invalidation:
A monthly close below $200 breaks the 2-year structure.
The Fundamentals:
Deep Undervaluation While the technicals test support, the valuation presents a rare divergence:
Value: COIN P/E is currently ~20x, significantly lower than the S&P 500 average of ~31.3x.
Growth: Coinbase's "Everything Exchange" strategy is scaling. The Base L2 blockchain and institutional tokenization services provide a diversified revenue floor that didn't exist in previous cycles.
My Strategy (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: Accumulate in the $217–$200 range.
Target: $500 (+140%) near the channel's upper resistance.
Stop Loss: Decisive close below $195.
My opinion only. If you think I'm wrong, I probably am.
Is Vishnu Chemicals gearing for a breakout of its 15Y channel?TL;DR: The Double Breakout Alignment
Vishnu Chemicals is currently exhibiting a rare confluence of multiple timeframes. We are seeing
a) Macro : a 3.5Y pre-breakout channel buildup at the boundary of a massive 15-year ascending channel
b) Medium term : within the aforementioned 3.5Y channel, we see a 6-month horizontal pre-breakout buildup occurring inside a 1.5-year horizontal range.
When these "gears" align at a major resistance, the potential for a structural transition is at its peak.
THE ANALYSIS
We use a three-step top-down filter to determine if a stock has the necessary macro tailwinds before zooming into the technical "readiness" of the setup.
Step 1: The "Forest to the Trees" Filter (Are there tailwinds)
The Forest (Nifty 50): The broad market remains structurally robust, coiling near record highs and positioned for a potential Stage 1 (basing/accumulation) to Stage 2 (uptrend) breakout.
The Trees (Chemical Sector): Selective chemicals are showing high relative strength as they transition out of multi-year bases.
Conclusion: Market conditions are ripe to look for strong setups in quality chemical stocks
Step 2: Big Picture Placement (Weinstein Stage Analysis)
We use the Monthly chart to identify the stock's dominant long-term structures.
The 15-Year Super-Channel: VISHNU has been operating within a dominant ascending channel stretching back to 2008. This macro structure acts as our primary roadmap.
The 3.5-Year Coiling: Since 2022, the stock has been coiling in a secondary 3.5-year ascending channel. Crucially, this absorption has been occurring at the boundary of the 15-year macro range. This looks like a "prebreakout buildup" before price decisively leaves the macro channel behind.
In stage analysis terms - it looks like a stock ready to break from a continuation pattern into strong uptrend (Stage 2)
Step 3: Near-Term Structure & Signal (pre-breakout PA analysis)
We zoom in on the price action of the last few years to gauge the "readiness" of the breakout.
The 1.5-Year Range: Price has spent ~546 days in a horizontal range
The 6-Month Pre-Breakout Buildup (PBO): A critical signal is the PA of the last 6 months - we see a tight buildup right at the ceiling of the 1.5-year range, and importantly, above an upsloping 20-month EMA.
The 2-Month Squeeze: The last 2 months (Nov & Dec 2025) especially are very interesting - tight bodied "doji" candles & extremely low volumes.
These 3 elements : a clearly defined range + prebreakout buildup + tightening squeeze - all make this a prime candidate for a potential breakout.
Step 4: Key Fundamental Drivers
Niche Monopoly: India’s largest and a top 4 global manufacturer of Chromium chemicals (~60% domestic market share). High entry barriers due to complex chemistry and environmental regulations.
The "Jan 2026" Trigger: Completion of the South African Chrome Mine acquisition (scheduled for Jan 2026). This is a massive backward integration move that secures 30 years of raw material and insulates margins from volatile global ore prices.
De-leveraging Success: A masterclass in debt management; Debt-to-Equity has plummeted from over 1.5 to ~0.25 in recent years.
Earnings Momentum: Q2 FY2025-26 saw a 44% YoY surge in Net Profit, significantly outpacing revenue growth (~18%), proving that operational leverage is kicking in.
The Gist: We are witnessing a 6-month squeeze inside a 1.5-year range, which is part of a 3.5-year coiling phase—all occurring at the boundary of a 15-year macro channel. When these "gears" align at a major resistance, the resulting resolution is typically powerful and structural.
Timeframe: Monthly. Patience is key as this macro resolution unfolds.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market investments are subject to risk; please consult a SEBI-registered advisor and perform your own due diligence before making any decisions.






















