Parallel Channel
Gold Futures Hedge Update🟡 Gold Futures Hedge Update
Our previous short setup reached the first take profit, confirming that hedging into overextension made sense. Long-term bias on gold remains bullish, but short-term conditions still look stretched, and we’re preparing for another protective hedge.
This is not a bearish reversal call — the goal is to lock in gains and protect profits as gold presses into heavy resistance.
📍 Trade Setup (Short Hedge)
Entry (Short): 3,750 (Fib 1.618 extension + HVN resistance)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,780 (above channel top + HVN cluster)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,700 – 3,685 (volume node / mid-channel support)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,587 (next HVN + structural support)
Take Profit 3 (Stretch): 3,510 – 3,500 (Fib retrace + channel low)
⚖️ Rationale
Gold has been overextended on the short-term chart, pressing into Fib and channel resistance with signs of stalling.
Volume profile highlights key support/resistance nodes that align with Fib levels.
Taking partial profits on the way down while keeping risk tight ensures the hedge protects without overcommitting against the dominant bullish trend.
📊 Plan: Scale into shorts near resistance with defined risk, peel off at TP1 and TP2, leave a runner for deeper correction potential. If gold breaks and holds above 3,790, hedge is invalidated and focus shifts back to long setups.
TRG Pakistan – Key Resistance at 83 | Possible Pullback AheadTRG is testing a major long-term downtrend line around 83 PKR, which aligns with the upper boundary of its short-term rising channel. This confluence has historically acted as strong resistance.
🚩 Resistance Zone: 82–85 PKR
📉 Possible Pullback Targets: 75 → 62 PKR
✅ Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above 87 with volume could open the way toward 100+ PKR
⚠️ Bearish Scenario: Rejection here likely brings a correction back to channel support.
Conclusion:
Price action suggests a high-probability pullback unless TRG can decisively break above the downtrend line. Traders should watch 82–85 closely for confirmation.
NZDJPY → Consolidation amid a downtrend. What next?FX:NZDJPY is ending its correction and returning to the downward trend. The price is consolidating for a possible continuation of the downward movement...
The price breaks the support of the upward channel (countertrend correction). The movement occurs in a “step” format, which generally indicates weak demand. Clear consolidation boundaries are forming on the chart. The global trend is downward, and the local trend has also resumed its downward movement. Focus on two zones: 86.5 - 86.96. Within the framework of trading strategies, a false breakout of resistance or a breakout of support can be considered with the aim of continuing the decline.
Resistance levels: 86.96, 87.16
Support levels: 86.5
As part of consolidation, MM may form a liquidity trap on the resistance side, and a false breakout may trigger a further decline. However, if the bears increase pressure, the formation of a pre-breakdown base relative to the 86.5 support may trigger a breakout and a continuation of the downward movement.
Best regards, R. Linda!
PFC , 1W Breakout In this stock we clearly see the Channel pattern is formed and Ready for Breakout , Wait for candle Close in 1D with good volume , then we can see very good move up to 35% nearly .
As now nifty is given Breakout from 1D Channel pattern and in Market Breadth 1D has given breakout and in weekly market Breadth it is near the Resistance , if we see good volume close in this week we can expect Market will be Bullish for next 2-3 Months .
Follow for more Swing Ideas Like This .
DCMSRIND , 1W Breakout In this stock we clearly see the Channel pattern is formed and Ready for Breakout , Wait for candle Close in 1D with good volume , then we can see very good move up to 40% nearly .
As now nifty is given Breakout from 1D Channel pattern and in Market Breadth 1D has given breakout and in weekly market Breadth it is near the Resistance , if we see good volume close in this week we can expect Market will be Bullish for next 2-3 Months .
Follow for more Swing Ideas Like This .
ACC , 1W Breakout In this stock we clearly see the Channel or Wedge pattern is formed and Ready for Breakout , Wait for candle Close in 1D with good volume , then we can see very good move up to 45% nearly .
As now nifty is given Breakout from 1D Channel pattern and in Market Breadth 1D has given breakout and in weekly market Breadth it is near the Resistance , if we see good volume close in this week we can expect Market will be Bullish for next 2-3 Months .
Follow for more Swing Ideas Like This .
LT Weekly Breakout In this stock we clearly see the Channel pattern is formed and Ready for Breakout , Wait for candle Close in 1D with good volume , then we can see very good move up to 15% nearly .
As now nifty is given Breakout from 1D Channel pattern and in Market Breadth 1D has given breakout and in weekly market Breadth it is near the Resistance , if we see good volume close in this week we can expect Market will be Bullish for next 2-3 Months .
Follow for more Swing Ideas Like This .
GOLD → Breakthrough of correction resistance. Uptrend FX:XAUUSD entered a correction phase after the Fed meeting and interest rate cut, but by the end of the week, the market managed to recover from the decline and return to the zone of interest, breaking through the resistance of the downtrend...
The dollar is correcting after the Fed meeting on interest rates. The index is testing resistance at 97.5-98.0, and a false breakout of this zone could trigger a fall in the index, which in turn would only support the forex and gold markets...
At this time, the metal is reducing its correlation with the DXY and breaking the resistance of the downward correction, which is provoking an impulse to 3685. Technically, Friday's trading session is closing quite positively, which generally indicates a high level of demand.
I would highlight several key levels: the previously broken resistance at 3674 (below this zone there is a hidden liquidity pool) and resistance at 3685 (trigger). A retest of the lower level is possible before the price continues its growth. The target within the current movement can be considered 3700 - 3710.
Support levels: 3674, 3668, 3660
Resistance levels: 3685, 3703, 3710
If, during the Asian/Pacific session, gold consolidates without a pullback and closes above 3685, the market may continue to rise towards the specified target. However, if the market lacks potential (after the weekend), then MM may test 3674 - 3668 before the price returns to growth towards the target of 3700.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum?On the 3-day chart, Bitcoin continues to respect its long-term ascending channel, with both the upper and lower boundaries acting as clean structural guides.
🔹 Momentum: After months of strength, momentum has slipped below the 0-line and is currently retesting it – a key pivot that often defines whether trend continuation or correction follows.
🔹 Structure: The lower boundary of the channel lines up almost perfectly with the horizontal support zone built from previous highs (around 100k–103k). This confluence makes it a natural candidate for a pullback area.
🔹 Volume: A noteworthy observation is the declining volume profile during the most recent leg higher – a potential early warning that participation is fading.
If the 100k–103k support area holds , the long-term uptrend remains intact.
But a decisive breakdown could open the door to a deeper correction.
👉 What do you think – is Bitcoin gearing up for another strong bounce off the channel, or are we on the edge of a deeper retracement?
Let’s discuss in the comments.
Disclaimer: This is a market observation, not financial advice.
A descending channel/bullflag reveals itself on btcusdThe pole looks more obvious on longer timeframe charts but the flag/ channel itself is best illustrated on the 1day time frame. In fact there is a much longer pole than the one shown here on the monthly chart, but I didn’t go with that one because the flag on the monthly is more of a horizontal channel than the descending channel shown here on the 1day chart. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin - Will the parallel channel hold?Introduction
The Bitcoin market is currently showing an interesting structure that offers both bullish and bearish possibilities. By analyzing the liquidity dynamics, the channel formation, and key areas of interest highlighted on the chart, we can gain a better understanding of the potential scenarios that may play out in the short to medium term. This analysis focuses on the recent liquidity sweep, the behavior within the rising channel, and the critical zones that could act as decision points for price movement.
Liquidity sweep above the highs
Recently, the market performed a liquidity sweep above the previous highs. This type of price action typically occurs when liquidity pools are triggered, trapping breakout traders and providing institutional players with favorable entries in the opposite direction. The sweep has set the stage for the next move, and it becomes crucial to see whether price sustains above this level or rejects it decisively.
Rising channel
Price is currently trading within a rising channel, which often acts as a short-term bullish structure but can also precede reversals if broken to the downside. The channel is providing clear levels of support and resistance, with the midline serving as a short-term equilibrium point. As long as price remains inside this channel, traders should expect oscillations between its boundaries, but any break below it could trigger a stronger move toward lower support zones.
Bearish scenario
In the event that price fails to hold within the channel, the bearish scenario points toward a retest of the lower fair value gap (FVG) around the 113,000 level. This would align with a deeper correction, offering the market a chance to rebalance inefficiencies left behind during the recent bullish rally. A sustained breakdown from the channel could accelerate selling pressure, with liquidity below key lows acting as a magnet for price.
Bullish scenario
On the other hand, if price manages to respect the rising channel and reclaim the liquidity sweep level, the bullish scenario would see a continuation toward the higher 4-hour fair value gap around 119,000–120,000. This area is a major point of interest, as it represents an unfilled imbalance that could attract buyers if momentum continues. Holding above the midline of the channel would strengthen the bullish outlook and could even lead to a retest of previous highs.
Final thoughts
Overall, the market is at a decisive stage where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain valid. The liquidity sweep has created a reaction point, and the rising channel offers a clear framework for monitoring price behavior. Traders should remain flexible and prepared for either outcome, watching closely for confirmations such as a clean break of the channel or a strong reclaim of resistance levels. Ultimately, the reaction around the current structure will determine whether Bitcoin continues higher toward the upper fair value gap or corrects lower into the demand zone below.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
BNB at the $1,000 Psychological Barrier: Breakout or Pullback?
🔎 Technical Outlook
📍 Current Situation
BNB has rallied strongly and reached the critical $1,000 psychological level.
Price is currently trading near the top of the ascending channel (blue).
The 50-day moving average around $860 is acting as a key support zone.
🎯 Short-Term Strategy
Entry (confirmation): Daily close above $1,020
Target 1: $1,075
Target 2: $1,150
Stop-loss: Breakdown below $960
⚠️ If the breakout fails, support lies at $900 and then $860.
🎯 Long-Term Strategy
Entry (confirmation): Strong breakout above $1,150
Mid-term Target: $1,250
Long-term Target: $1,350–$1,400
Stop-loss: Losing $860 support (50-day MA & mid-channel support).
📌 Summary
Short-term: $1,000 is the battleground. Breakout = bullish continuation, rejection = correction.
Long-term: A confirmed breakout above $1,150 could open the way to new highs.
Euro can Bounce From Wedge Support and Rally to 1.1930Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market for the Euro has transitioned from a clear trending phase into a more complex corrective structure after the prior upward channel failed to sustain its momentum. Following a significant rejection, the price broke down and underwent a deep correction, which was ultimately absorbed by the major 1.1430 - 1.4000 buyer zone. This level served as a critical pivot, halting the decline and initiating the current market phase, which has taken the form of a large upward wedge. The price action for EURUSD has since been contained within this new pattern, rotating between its ascending support and resistance lines. Currently, the asset is at a key inflection point, having completed a corrective swing down to test the ascending support line of this wedge. In my mind, this sets up a long, rotational scenario. I expect that buyers will defend this dynamic support. A confirmed bounce from this support line would validate the integrity of the wedge and signal the start of a new rally towards the upper boundary. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 1.1930, a target that aligns perfectly with the resistance line of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN → Manipulation, long squeeze before growth BINANCE:BTCUSDT is in a global bullish trend. The fundamental background, following the start of interest rate cuts, is taking a positive turn, but instead of growth, the market is consolidating...
Bitcoin is showing resilience, trading within the specified trading range (above 114K) amid the Fed's policy easing. For three weeks in a row, growth has been supported by dovish signals from the central bank and growing institutional demand.
Key drivers: The Fed's 25 bps rate cut and forecasts of further easing (to 3.6% by the end of 2025) have strengthened the fundamental backdrop in the cryptocurrency market. Corporate and ETF purchases continue to fuel the bullish trend. Low rates reduce the attractiveness of bonds and increase interest in Bitcoin.
Technically, the market, influenced by manipulation rather than growth, continues to accumulate potential before growth.
Resistance levels: 117860,
Support levels: 114600, 113300
The market is forming an uptrend, with a bullish trend line appearing on the chart. However, as part of consolidation, Bitcoin is under pressure from bears and is moving into a correction phase from 117900. I expect that MM may form a long squeeze in the liquidity zone. That is, a false breakdown of the consolidation support and trend at the same time, and only then return to an upward movement.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Forecast (XAUUSD)🟡 GOLD – 1H Breakdown
Alright traders, here’s the scoop 👀
We’re chopping around mid-range after that last BOS. Liquidity is literally everywhere — BSLs chilling above the highs, SSLs hiding under the lows. Market’s teasing both sides like it’s fishing for stops 🎣.
🔑 Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone 1 (Preferred snack stop): 3,600 – 3,620 🍫
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper dip special): 3,560 – 3,580 🥤
Trendline liquidity just waiting to get grabbed… you know how it goes 😏
Upside target: 3,700+ — where the big liquidity bags are stacked 🎯
🛠 Possible Plays:
Quick liquidity sweep under the lows → tap into Buy Zone 1 or 2 → rocket launch 🚀
If demand fails, we’re diving into the swing range 3,530 – 3,550 for a bigger reload.
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Expect a cheeky stop-hunt under the lows.
Mid-term: Bulls still in control, eyes on that juicy 3,700+ grab.
Bias : Liquidity sweep down → Buy for continuation 📈✨
SMS PHARMASMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (currently trading at ₹292) is a Hyderabad-based API manufacturer specializing in high-potency molecules, oncology intermediates, and controlled substances. With over 20 years of experience, the company operates three USFDA-approved facilities and exports to 70+ countries. Its therapeutic focus spans anti-ulcer, anti-fungal, anti-viral, CNS, and cardiovascular segments. SMS Pharma is known for its backward integration, regulatory compliance, and ability to scale complex molecules for global clients.
SMS Pharma – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
• Sales – ₹420 Cr → ₹460 Cr → ₹520 Cr → ₹580 Cr Growth driven by oncology APIs, USFDA approvals, and export traction
• Net Profit – ₹22 Cr → ₹28 Cr → ₹36 Cr → ₹44 Cr Earnings supported by margin expansion and product mix
• Operating Performance – Moderate → Strong → Strong → Strong EBITDA margins improving with scale and regulatory leverage
• Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% No payouts; reinvestment-focused strategy
• Equity Capital – ₹32.00 Cr (constant) No dilution; lean capital structure
• Total Debt – ₹110 Cr → ₹100 Cr → ₹90 Cr → ₹80 Cr Gradual deleveraging supported by internal accruals
• Fixed Assets – ₹280 Cr → ₹300 Cr → ₹320 Cr → ₹340 Cr Capex focused on oncology block, USFDA audits, and backward integration
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 62.00%, with no pledging. FIIs and DIIs maintain limited exposure due to small-cap nature and regulatory dependency. Delivery volumes reflect quiet accumulation by pharma and export-focused micro-cap funds.
Business Growth Verdict
SMS Pharma is scaling across oncology APIs and regulated markets Margins improving due to backward integration and high-value molecules Debt is declining steadily with strong operating cash flows Capex supports long-term competitiveness and audit readiness
Management Con Call
• USFDA audit completed for Unit I and II; EIR received for both • Oncology block commissioned; exports to US and EU initiated • FY26 outlook includes 12–15% revenue growth, margin retention, and new DMF filings • Focus remains on high-potency APIs, controlled substances, and global client onboarding
Final Investment Verdict
SMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd. offers a niche API compounding story built on regulatory strength, molecule complexity, and export scale. Its improving profitability, disciplined capital structure, and expanding therapeutic depth make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s pharma manufacturing and global generics supply chain. With strong execution, audit readiness, and oncology-led margin expansion, SMS Pharma remains a durable value creator in the API space.
200% print for SLERF token? - September 2025A straight forward setup this time. After seven months of trading inside a sideways consolidation area price action and RSI resistance breakouts print. The first resistance is 200% above, which is expected to print by the market top.
Worth getting out bed for? Sure.
But leave the PJs on, this market will send you back to sleep just as quick.
Ww
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm not a financial advisor. I am, however, an award-winning human being. So there's that.
EURGBP - Testing Supply at the Channel TopEURGBP has been grinding higher on the 4H, respecting a rising channel. Price is now tagging the overbought zone near the upper bound and a 0.873–0.875 supply area.
This confluence is key 🔑. If sellers react here, I’ll look for short setups on rejection, aiming for 0.867 first, then 0.863 toward demand and the lower channel.
If price breaks and holds above 0.875, the short idea is invalidated and 0.880+ could follow. Until then, it’s a “look for shorts at supply” play.
What’s your take - fade the touch at supply, or wait for a confirmed break and retest? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GOLD → Retest of resistance at 3660. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is testing resistance to correction after breaking the local market structure from bearish to bullish. A breakout of 3660 could give buyers a chance...
A 25 bp rate cut to 4.25% was expected, but the forecast for further cuts came as a surprise: now two cuts before the end of 2025 (instead of one) and one in 2026.
The reason for the shift: fears of a slowdown in the labor market outweighed the risks from inflation (2.9% in August).
The dollar continues its countertrend correction (rebound) after Powell's speech and economic news. This temporary phenomenon may soon end. Gold, after a manipulative phase, may return to an upward movement if the price breaks 3660 and consolidates above this level.
The Fed preferred to support employment, risking accelerating inflation. In the long term, this will support risk assets and commodities, but in the short term, the markets have taken a pause.
Resistance levels: 3360, 3675, 3688
Support levels: 3643, 3631
Gold is not updating local lows, a cascade bottom is forming and the local bearish structure is breaking down. If the market manages to overcome the resistance of the correction, a bullish impulse may form!
Best regards, R. Linda!