Parallel Channel
Looks goodDescending channel about to be broken out. The 13 support level is holding up very well. Lots buyers in that area. Next stop after the breakout the 16 level. SL triggers if a daily candle breaks down and closes under the support level. This stock is very volatile, wait until it the daily candles closes to trigger the SL.
GOLD → Consolidation before growth FX:XAUUSD is correcting from 3895 and forming consolidation with a key support area at 3854, below which lies a huge pool of liquidity. A deep correction is unlikely due to ongoing risks.
The suspension of NFP publication due to the shutdown and inflation creates uncertainty for Fed policy, as does weak employment data...
However, the resumption of government work will allow the publication of data on unemployment claims and factory orders, so increased volatility in the markets is to be expected on Thursday/Friday...
The correction in gold is a temporary pause. As long as US fiscal risks, labor market weakness, and geopolitical tensions remain, the uptrend will remain intact. The $3850 level is the nearest support.
Resistance levels: 3871.6, 3895, 3900
Support levels: 3854.5, 3831.3
The most likely scenario at the moment is a long squeeze in the 3854.5 liquidity zone before continuing to rise beyond 3900...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD | Retest of Broken Channel Reinforces Bear CaseDespite market hopes for multiple BoE rate cuts, the September meeting disappointed. The Bank held rates at 4% and slowed its QT pace — a signal of policy caution rather than hawkishness.  Two committee members pushed for cuts, but the broader tone emphasized sticky inflation — especially in services and food — keeping constraints on GBP strength.
Technical Lens
• Price has broken decisively below the ascending channel that had underpinned the recent GBPUSD rally.
• The pair is now retesting the lower trendline of that channel from below, which is acting as resistance — a classic break-then-retest setup.
• Momentum indicators (e.g. RSI) show room for further downside, with no signs yet of bullish divergence.
• Should resistance hold on the retest, it would add weight to the view that the earlier upside leg is exhausted and that the next impulse is lower.
Scenarios
• If resistance holds (retest fails): The broken channel becomes a barrier. We lean toward a resumption of downside — targeting the ~1.3100 region as the next structural zone.
• If buyers reclaim the channel (close back inside): A short-term bounce is possible, but the macro framework and internal momentum remain hostile to sustained GBP upside. Any rebound is likely capped by the same former channel boundary.
Catalysts to Watch
• UK inflation data (CPI, PPI, services inflation) — stickiness could delay dovish expectations.
• BoE communication or minutes — changes in nuance could shift market expectations.
• US / Dollar strength or weakness (as GBPUSD also reacts to broad USD moves).
• Risk sentiment or spillovers from global macro shifts.
XAUUSD Short: Targeting 3800 on a Corrective MoveHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been operating within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish trend. This structure has guided the price higher through a series of impulsive moves and pullbacks, with buyers maintaining the initiative throughout this phase.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point at the top of this channel. The price has rallied to directly test the channel's ascending supply line after a strong run-up. This is a key area where sellers are expected to emerge and challenge the prevailing bullish momentum.
My scenario for the development of events is a short-term corrective move from these highs. I expect that sellers will defend the supply line and reject the price, initiating a downward rotation back towards the channel's support. A failure to break out higher would confirm a temporary correction is underway. The take-profit is therefore set at 3800, targeting the major demand zone. Manage your risk.
GOLD → Correction before growth and breakthrough of 3900...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new high of 3895. The dollar is recovering from its decline, and gold may form a correction. As prices rise, economic risks associated with NFP and the US government shutdown are increasing
The suspension of NFP publication deprives the Fed and markets of a key benchmark for the labor market, increasing demand for defensive assets. The probability of a rate cut in October is estimated at 100%. Mixed JOLTS data (weak hiring) and fiscal risks are weighing on the USD, which in turn supports gold.
Thus, the shutdown creates ideal conditions for gold to rise — uncertainty about Fed policy, a weaker dollar, and a flight to safety. Breaking through the $3900 level seems a likely scenario.
Resistance levels: 3900, 3925
Support levels: 3871, 3854, 3831
A correction is forming after a small rally in the European session. Before continuing its growth, the market is entering a correction/consolidation phase. I have indicated the key support levels on the chart. If the bulls manage to keep the price above these zones, then we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDCAD → A false breakthrough will trigger a decline FX:NZDCAD is forming a countertrend correction with the aim of retesting key resistance and the liquidity zone amid a global downtrend.
A reaction to the support zone is forming. The price is recovering, but within the global downtrend. The countertrend movement may end in the resistance zone of 0.811 - 0.8125
The global trend is downward, but we are seeing a rebound within the retest of the channel support. There is a fairly large pool of liquidity ahead, which is capable of stopping the price from rising at a high speed. A false breakout of 0.811 - 0.8125 could trigger a decline.
Resistance levels: 0.811 - 0.8125
Support levels: 0.8056, 0.8030
A false breakout, consolidation below the specified zone, and a price close below the level could trigger a further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold (Rose ) and SPX ( Jack ) relationship. 1/Oct/25XAUUSD ( Rose ) and SPX ( Jack ) since dunno when they are in closed relationship on "Titanic Ship".. But.. That "shxx" is obviously tilting heavily into 1 side.untill early/mid Oct at 7000 and 4000 nautical And when.Jack and Rose probably have to perform "you jump I jump"..But after that they will "ride" different "ships"..Where one still on sinking ship , the other is riding into "Titanic" sky ship"...
GOLD → Liquidation, but there is still a chance for growth...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high of 3871.6, marking its best month in 14 years (+12% in September). However, against the backdrop of high risks, the market is experiencing profit-taking and a deep correction. What next?
The high probability of a shutdown from October 1 is weighing on the dollar. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October is 90%, despite cautious comments from the Fed.
New tariffs on timber and furniture (from October 14).
Data from China: PMI growth (Manufacturing to 51.2). All this supports the bullish trend in gold. However, the end of the quarter, anticipation of NFP (but in the event of a shutdown, the publication of employment data will be suspended).
Technically, as part of the correction, the price is testing the upward support line, and the price reaction to the 3790-3780 zone will give hints about further movement...
Support levels: 3791, 3783
Resistance levels: 3831, 3847
A false breakdown and the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the specified support zone could trigger a recovery phase within the bullish trend. However, a quick return to support could trigger an attempt to break through and correct to 3759-3738.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Correction before the breakout of 114.5KBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after the end of the correction, is forming a 3.5% rally and testing the important milestone of 114,600. It was not possible to break through the level without consolidation and at such a high speed. How long will the correction last?
Bitcoin is testing mirror resistance and, after a strong rally, was unable to continue its growth. The reason for the halt is a huge liquidity pool above 114,600. A pullback is forming. Earlier, the price ended a 3-week correction by breaking through the downward resistance. We can assume a change in sentiment towards the buyer...
Technically, the price is changing the nature of the market to bullish after the formation of a reversal structure accompanied by a bullish run. The 2-week high has been updated.
Resistance levels: 113850, 114620, 115900
Support levels: 113100, 112300, 111800
As part of the correction, the price may test the 113K - 112500 zone before returning to growth. If the market holds the price above 112K - 113K, it will confirm the bullish sentiment, and the positive fundamental background will support further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDCAD: Important Breakout Confirmed 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD completed a correctional movement within a bullish flag pattern.
A confirmed violation of its resistance line with a daily candle close above that
suggests a highly probable bullish continuation.
The next strong resistance is 0.925.
It will be the next goal for the buyers.
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Johnson & Johnson Wave Analysis – 30 September 2025
- Johnson & Johnson broke key resistance level 180.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 190.00
Johnson & Johnson recently broke sharply above the key resistance level 180.00 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 3 at the end of August).
The breakout of the resistance level 180.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from April.
Given the predominant daily uptrend, Johnson & Johnson can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 190.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5.
Aberdeen Group Wave Analysis – 30 September 2025
- Aberdeen Group broke daily down channel
- Likely to rise to resistance level 200.00
Aberdeen Group continues to rise after breaking the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from August (which enclosed the previous medium-term ABC correction (2)).
The breakout of this down channel accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of September.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Aberdeen Group can be expected to rise further to the next round resistance level 200.00, the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 205.00.
Exxon Wave Analysis – 30 September 2025- Exxon reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 110.00
Exxon recently reversed from the resistance area between the strong resistance level 116.60 (former monthly high from June), upper daily Bollinger Band and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from August.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the (C)-wave of the previous long-term ABC correction 2 from April.
Given the strength of the resistance level 116.60, Exxon can be expected to fall to the next support level 110.00.
NZDUSD → Rebound from support. Focus on 0.5800FX:NZDUSD is undergoing a correction amid a rebound in the US dollar, testing trend support and forming a reversal pattern. The fall in the dollar may support price growth.
The dollar is correcting, which gives the forex market a chance. After retesting the support of the downtrend, the New Zealand dollar is forming a rebound. A reversal pattern and a breakout of resistance at 0.58 will return the price to the trading range, confirming a false breakdown of support and potentially triggering growth.
The global trend is neutral, and locally we have the boundaries of a downward channel. However, a false breakout of trend support could shift the angle of imbalance towards the buyer, allowing the price to rise.
Resistance levels: 0.580
Support levels: 0.5771, 0.575
A breakout of resistance at 0.58 and a close above this level would be a strong signal of readiness for growth. However, before that, the price may test support at 0.5771 (break-even zone).
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Will the bulls be able to maintain the bullish trend?FX:GBPUSD slows down in the 1.334 zone amid a sharp decline. The market is testing trend support against the backdrop of a bullish run in the DXY due to confusing data from Powell...
The dollar continues its countertrend correction and is approaching resistance as part of the rally. A fall in the DXY will resume the growth of currency pairs.
The pound sterling is currently testing trend support and the trading range. The focus is on the 1.334 - 1.337 zone. If the bulls keep the price above this range, it will confirm the false breakdown and may trigger growth within the bullish trend.
Powell has confused the market with his statements and further policy. We have been observing the market's reaction over the past few days...
Support levels: 1.334, 1.3315
Resistance levels: 1.337, 1.346
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 1.3315, but a return of the price to the range and consolidation of the price above the 1.334-1.337 zone will confirm the false breakdown and may give buyers hope that this, in turn, could lead to a recovery.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDJPY → Consolidation amid a downtrend. What next?FX:NZDJPY is ending its correction and returning to the downward trend. The price is consolidating for a possible continuation of the downward movement...
The price breaks the support of the upward channel (countertrend correction). The movement occurs in a “step” format, which generally indicates weak demand. Clear consolidation boundaries are forming on the chart. The global trend is downward, and the local trend has also resumed its downward movement. Focus on two zones: 86.5 - 86.96. Within the framework of trading strategies, a false breakout of resistance or a breakout of support can be considered with the aim of continuing the decline.
Resistance levels: 86.96, 87.16
Support levels: 86.5
As part of consolidation, MM may form a liquidity trap on the resistance side, and a false breakout may trigger a further decline. However, if the bears increase pressure, the formation of a pre-breakdown base relative to the 86.5 support may trigger a breakout and a continuation of the downward movement.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDUSD | RBA Holds but Strikes Hawkish Tone – 0.68 in Sight?
Macro Hook: The RBA kept rates steady but signaled concern over sticky inflation and a resilient jobs market, adding a hawkish tilt despite ongoing economic uncertainty.
Technical Lens: AUDUSD has been firm into the decision, with markets now reassessing downside easing bets. Near-term resilience keeps focus on higher levels, with 0.68 eyed as the key medium-term zone.
Scenarios:
If incoming inflation/jobs data stay firm → AUDUSD may extend toward 0.68.
If softer prints revive easing bets → pullbacks likely as market reprices cuts.
Catalysts: Watch upcoming Australian CPI and labor market data, plus Fed tone on USD side.
Takeaway: 0.68 remains the key decision point for AUDUSD in Q4.






















