USD/SEK on the daily chart quite an easy one....price has bounced between each strong zone before...its a waiting game...if price goes into either zone we will look to either go long or short...patience is the key here...
EURUSD Has established a very powerful resistance level around the 1.15 price point. A well placed pitchfork depicts EURUSD's steadily ascending price range for the last 6 Months. A break in this price range would serve as a signal to sell, as it hints that EURUSD is not ready to begin a long term rally and may fall to parity. Conversely, a clean break above close...
SO MY USD/JPY SHORT TO 122 HAS MOVED TO TARGET IN A COUPLE OF DAYS THANKS TO THE GAP DOWN ON THE OPEN. NOW I AM NEUTRAL THIS PAIR AWAITING PRICE TO SIGNAL THE NEXT MOVE. WEEKLY TIMEFRAME IS STRILL BULLISH BUT USD HAS BEEN WEAKER LATELY AND A POSSIBLE REVERSAL IS ON THE CARDS.
AS YOU CAN SEE IN THE SHOT I AM SIMPLY WAITING FOR A TRENDLINE BREAK IN EITHER...
I have been frustratingly short this pair around 2 months now and eating the negative carry. As you can see this is a weekly chart and as a swing trader over the last 2 years I've been learning the value of patience. The potential for an aggressive move to the downside here is good, although IMO this pair tends to be very choppy.. so maybe an ideal trade to learn...
1. Potential bullish Wolfe Wave
2. Wave 4 is due its decline
3. Strong resistance @ 0.78 level.
4. Price Action indicating Bulls are losing steam on all TFs.
Based on Wolfe Wave rules, one must enter on wave 5. However if you can spot the geometry early and forecast where Wave 4 will begin then why not enter at wave 4?
R
IM ALREADY SHORT IN THIS PAIR BUT IF PRICE RETRACES AND TAKES ME OUT OF THE TRADE THEN THE NEXT LEVEL I'D LOOK TO SELL IS AT MY CLUSTER ZONE/SELL ZONE. IVE GOT LOADS OF CONFLUENCES AT THIS LEVEL WHICH ARE THE 0.5 AND 61.8 FIB, SUPPORT TURNED RESISTANCE STRUCTURE LEVEL, MAJOR TRENDLINE, DYNAMIC RESISTANCE (50 MA) AND A NICE PSYCHOLOGICAL ROUND NUMBER (1.03000)....
textbook setup. Price has failed to break the 1.10 psychological barrier several times so this could be a nice level to go short with a nice 1:3 risk to reward. if price does manage to break out of this barrier then next resistance to look to get short is at 1.11294 which is also in confluence with the 61.8 fib level.
08:00 am: This week will be eventful. Fed is expected to remove the "patience" from its interest rate policy statement. If so, markets will expect a rate hike in Jun Fed meeting. This is likely to put pressure on the markets in the intermediate term as the expected rate hike, the first since 2006, will be perceived as a game changer.
If the above unfolds, USD...
price is pulling back into nice structure level which would be a good opportunity to get long. Buyers are clearly defending this level as they dont want price to drop into the area where Canada cut interest rates. I.ll be watching for a buy signal at this level eg bullish hammer or engulfling pattern. My long term target is still at 1.30 but i.ll be targeting...
