NYSE:PBR En mi opinión estamos a punto de ver cómo supera nuevamente la línea de retroceso de Fibonacci de 0,236. Desde el 16/05/2018, que superó ese valor por primera vez, volvió a superarla 5 veces más. Luego de superarla cayó bastante fuerte todas las veces. En este caso, veo que es distinto debido al impulso con el que viene tomando el MACD como indicador de...
FX_IDC:USDBRL
EL RECRUDECIMIENTO DE LA GUERRA COMERCIAL ENTRE EEUU Y CHINA HABILITO LA ONDA DINAICA DEVAUATORIA DE MONEDAS EMERGENTES QUE CATAPULTARA EL CLIMAX DE LA CRISIS FINANCIERA 2019-2022.
EL DOLAR EN BRASIL HABILITANDO EL HCH INVERTIDO DE LA SECUENCIA DE ONDA III QUE LO LLEVE RAPIDAMENTE HACIA UN TARGET DE 5,40 REALES.
RESISTENCIA TECNICA EN EL AREA...
I'm long oil, gold and #PBR here, reduced my gold exposure to 75% of the portfolio today and going with 25% exposure to oil.
I think #USOIL bottomed after hitting long term support at the lows in the last two days. It could also be the bottom for global equities but not as sure about that one.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
... for a 1.07 per contract.
Metrics:
Probability of Profit: 64%
Max Profit: $107/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 10.94/~2.00 on margin
Break Even/Cost Basis in Shares if Assigned: 10.94/share (a 12.13% discount over current spot).
Theta: 1.28
Delta: 39.24
Notes: "Wheeling" this small high implied vol underlying, with the basic cycle being short put, run...
... for a 10.02/contract debit.
Max Profit: $98/contract
Max Loss: $1002/contract
Break Even/Cost Basis: 10.02/share
Theta: 1.23
Delta: 46.78
Notes: High rank and implied (84/57). Going with the cost basis reduction setup without a timer on it ... .
sell 4 pbr 3.86% 12 oct 11 call
sell 4 pbr 3.86% 12 oct 11 put
credit received 7.83
theta 11.17
delta -0.41
probability of profit 57%
initial margin 872.14
looking to manage at 25 credit received
sell 4 pbr 12 oct 11 call
sell 4 pbr 12 oct 11 put
credit received 7.83
theta 11.17
delta -0.41
probability of profit 57%
initial margin 872.14
looking to manage at 25 credit received
... for a .58/contract credit.
Max Profit on Setup: $158/contract (the width of the spread plus the credit received)
Max Loss on Setup: $958 (assuming you do nothing and the underlying goes to zero)
Break Even: 9.42
Delta: 47.77
Theta: .62
Notes: A small buying power effect, cost basis reduction setup in a high implied volatility petro underlying battered by...
Brazil is extremely washed out, but it has held a long term support level so far. I think odds are the market turns up from here.
I'm long $PBR in particular, since it is showing tremendous relative strength vs the brazilian market, and it has a long way to go to catch up to oil, closing the gigantic spread it now has. The situation with the CEO resigning caused...
With various things Brazilian in implosion mode, it's no surprise that PBR and EWZ have high implied volatility here.
PBR:
Bullish Assumption Setups: The July 20th 30 delta 9 put is paying .43/contract, resulting in an 8.57 break even, which isn't very compelling, but might appeal to some smaller account holders who are willing to hold the short put until near...
Copper has once again fired an uptrend signal, similar to what happened during November 2016 and July 2017. If we track the relationship between copper and $EEM, $SPY, $PBR and $USOIL, we can see that every time copper breaks out into a trend, there is a bottom in in emerging markets and oil, and $SPY receives a boost if bullish, or, could form a turning point as...
We are long here from 9.66ish, sadly I couldn't publish before cause I was on the go, but well. My clients and me already bought. Now it's back over the monthly mode, and a key earnings support level, so if holding over this zone,it should be safe to accumulate positions in this stock, now that buyers capitulated with news of the CEO resigning. Debt restructuring...
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