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Pivot Points

BTC Faces Heavy Resistance as New Whales Target $99K Break-EvenOn-chain data signals growing resistance for Bitcoin near the $99,000 level. Recent whale investors accumulated BTC at higher prices and now sit in unrealized losses. As price attempts to recover, many of these holders may look to exit at break-even, turning $99K into a key psychological and technical barrier. Realized Price Data Highlights Selling Risk The data focuses on short-term whale holders, typically wallets holding between 100 and 10,000 BTC for less than 155 days. Their realized price currently sits around $99,000, meaning any move toward that level could trigger selling pressure. Similar setups in past market cycles repeatedly stalled price advances as underwater holders rushed to cut losses. Whale Concentration Amplifies Market Impact Recent analysis shows that new whales now control close to half of Bitcoin’s realized capitalization. This shift increases their influence over short-term price action. If a large portion chooses to sell at break-even, volatility could spike rapidly, especially during low-liquidity conditions. What This Means for Bitcoin Price Action While selling pressure poses a risk, it does not automatically signal a cycle top. If new whales hold through resistance and absorb supply, it could indicate growing market maturity. A clean break above $99,000 would likely require sustained spot demand or institutional inflows to overpower defensive selling. Bitcoin Analysis Going Forward Bitcoin price behavior near $99K will act as a key confirmation level. Rejection could extend consolidation, while acceptance above it may flip resistance into support. Traders and investors will closely monitor whale behavior as Bitcoin approaches this zone.
SP:SPXLong
by CryptoLifeone
CGPT (ChainGPT) Main Trend. Channel. AI. January 11, 2026Time frame: 1 week. Another project under the hype of AI, which is developing slightly now and will grow strongly in the future. A descending channel in which a descending wedge is forming (the second wave of the structure). A breakout of the wedge (dynamic resistance) is a trend reversal. I showed two options (working for a breakout): 1) a breakout of the wedge from the current zone (internal support of the channel of the large formation). 2) a breakout of the wedge near the external support zone of the ascending channel of the main trend.
CRYPTO:CGPTUSDLong
by SpartaBTC
2
AITECH Main trend Channel Wedge. Reversal zones. AI. 30 07 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Main trend. Huge pumps for hype. The price is driven up on dexes, and profits are realized on centralized medium and low liquid exchanges. Important. Twitter (X) of the project has 560 thousand subscribers. That is, at the right time there will be a flow of positive news for subscribers who are former holders, or potential buyers (there are most of them, they buy only very expensive ones) and pumping as before, but by a smaller percentage. And while in the ascending channel, the decline phase forms a descending wedge in the secondary trend. A triangular formation has formed in the local trend. The logic of the reversal zones is shown with arrows. What is it. From the marketplace: Solidus AI Tech is building one of Europe's first Web3-based AI infrastructures, powered by a state-of-the-art, green HPC data center. The $AITECH token powers an ecosystem of products that combine AI utilities, scalable computing, and Web3 tools, empowering developers, enterprises, and institutions to easily build, deploy, and scale AI solutions. With the support of major partners including NVIDIA, IBM, Fetch.ai, Tron, BNBChain, Binance Wallet, Trustwallet, and many more, Solidus AI Tech is becoming one of the most advanced and adaptable Web3 AI token projects, positioning itself among industry leaders.
CRYPTO:AITECHUSD
by SpartaBTC
3
SHELL Main Trend. Channel Platform AI. January 10, 20253-day logarithm. Current decline from the high (not a listing squeeze) is -91%. This is low for such liquidity, but if there is a breakout of the local downward trend, the trend will reverse first to the channel resistance, and then we'll see. Percentages from key support/resistance zones for clarity and for building your trading and money management tactics. What is it? MyShell is a platform for AI users, enabling anyone to create, share, and own AI agents. The team combines AI and blockchain through agent frameworks, open-source models, and a community of AI creators. MyShell also provides users with AI-powered entertainment and useful features, offering shared ownership.
SLong
by SpartaBTC
Monthly Structure Tightening — Wave 5 LoadingDDT is forming a clean Elliott Wave contracting triangle as a Wave 4 consolidation. As long as Wave E pulls back without breaking the Wave C low, the structure remains valid and a continuation breakout becomes the higher‑probability path. The simple triangle thrust target is marked on the chart, while the broader range target will depend on where Wave E completes. Key areas of interest for a potential Wave E low include: A rally from current levels that sees the January candle break and close above the Wave D high, signalling early strength and a possible premature completion of Wave E. A continued pullback toward the ~$8.46 region, ideally accompanied by declining volume and narrowing candle spreads, which would align with classic Wave E behaviour inside a contracting triangle. If the structure holds, the next move should be the Wave 5 breakout.
ASX:DDRLong
by AlvinDeo96
GRT Main Trend (addition) Double Bottom + Triangle 08 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Main trend . Supplement for clarity to the previous idea for this cryptocurrency, published 23 02 2025 Everything is essentially the same, the new idea is made to visualize the trend, nothing more. GRT Main trend. Line chart, price now Secondary . Big double bottom (in any case, with local scenario A or B, it will be realized in the medium term). Local trend (price movements in the trend minimum zones before a big pump). Triangle above the Gann fan ray (see the previous idea, where this tool of the logic of movement in the trend is shown). The second wave of the triangle is formed. A downward breakout is a descending pennant, which is the removal of longs under the pattern of a larger scale of historical minimums. A upward breakout is the realization of the triangle targets, and the price movement to the descending line of the main trend +80-100%
CRYPTO:GRTUSDLong
by SpartaBTC
5
MEW Main Trend. Memcoin. 2025 07 02Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Cat in a dogs world (MEW) X -133 thousand subscribers (this is not enough). Reduction from the maximum -87%. For such assets, this is not enough. I imposed a descending channel on the chart (current descending trend of the main trend), and a horizontal one, if by some miracle this local Ross hook is broken upwards (not forming a local head and shoulders), not only to the resistance of the secondary trend (red line), but to break through it. Percentages to key zones of support/resistance levels are shown for clarity. After the downward trend is broken, such "psychological-fundamental" assets are usually pumped up by +800-1000% from the minimums or more. Low liquidity, and the contingent of people who subscribe to these projects, allows this to be done easily at the right time: "the hamster is not scared". After pumping — a slow death, with pumps an order of magnitude smaller. Therefore, do not forget to sell in the alt season. When working with such cryptocurrencies by liquidity, observe money management, use partial entry or on a breakout. Do not use margin leverage, as there may be snot in any direction for a large percentage, which will lead to liquidation "out of the blue".
by SpartaBTC
WULF Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:WULF 🎯 Price appears exhausted at the upper channel boundary. The Elliot wave pattern completes a leading diagonal, which hints at higher to go, but after a deep wave 2 pullback, which could end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $8, but a more likely target is the 0.5 Fib at $5.84 with downside momentum, also the weekly 200EMA. Breaking out above the channel would change the count and structure and be very bullish. 📈 Weekly RSI is oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing. 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back above $18 Safe trading
NASDAQ:WULF
by Maddox_Metrics
1
MARA Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:MARA 🎯 Mara remains at the golden pocket support and channel lower boundary. It is below the daily pivot and 200EMA, showing the bears are in control. Price appears to be in an Elliot wave B, restricting upside targets to the 1:1 Fibonacci extensions at $106. 📈 Weekly RSI is nearing oversold with room to fall but has bullish divergence 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below wave (II), $3.07 Safe trading
NASDAQ:MARA
by Maddox_Metrics
IREN Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:IREN 🎯 Price has overextended in a macro wave 3, the strongest and most powerful move described as a “wonder to behold” by Elliotticians. Initial downside targets for wave (4) have been hit $39, the next is 0.382, $26. In the long term, we have higher to go in wave (5) with a target of the R2 weekly pivot, $111. 📈 Weekly RSI hit overbought with no divergence 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we continue into price discovery Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
HUT Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:HUT 🎯 A large bearish engulfing candle at major resistance saw the price drop back into the range, but the price wasted no time continuing its wave III uptrend. The next target is the $82 all-time High Volume node. 📈 Weekly RSI hit overbought and is now showing unconfirmed bearish divergence, which can take weeks to play or be negated 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below the weekly pivot, $30 Safe Trading
NASDAQ:HUT
by Maddox_Metrics
COIN Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:COIN 🎯 Coinbase is still in a wave 2 (V), finding support at the orange trend line and weekly 200EMA, just below the weekly pivot, in the golden pocket. There is a lot of confluence here to suggest a bottom will form. Wave (v) has a target of the R3 weekly pivot at $701. 📈 Weekly RSI is below the EQ with room to fall, though it often bottoms around this area and never reaches oversold. 👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (IV), $149 Safe trading
NASDAQ:COIN
by Maddox_Metrics
8
CLSK Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:CLSK 🎯 Price attempted to break out of the macro triangle upper boundary but was rejected. Breaking above wave D at $24 is key to trigger the next thrust towards $42, then $80 all-time High Volume Node. Triangles are penultimate patterns found before a final strong move. Price found support at the weekly pivot and 200EMA. 📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence below the EQ, but with no strong reaction yet. This can take months to play out. 👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave E, $5.97, keeping the wave E alive. Safe trading
NASDAQ:CLSK
by Maddox_Metrics
2
CIFR Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:CIFR 🎯 CIFR remains in a wave (4) of 3 range, near the all-time high. Wave 4s are expected to be drawn out, often being a triangle or flat correction, where most traders give their money back to the market due to whipsaw and fakeouts. 📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence above the EQ, but with no strong reaction yet. This can take months to play out sometimes. Falling below the orange trend line will negate this divergence. 👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $6.35 Safe trading
NASDAQ:CIFR
by Maddox_Metrics
BTDR Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:BTDR 🎯 After a 500%+ rally to all-time high, BTDR gave back most of its gain in a single week, alongside Bitcoin, undoing all that hard work. Price is currently finding support just above the weekly 200EMA and low-cap golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. The macro structure is still bullish with a series of higher highs and higher lows. Wave C of (C) appears to be underway with a target of the R3 pivot at $44 once momentum to Bitcoin and AI returns. The weekly pivot is the next resistance, $15. 📈 Weekly RSI is below the EQ with plenty of room to fall until oversold, though historically it never quite reaches this low. 👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave (B), $6, and the structure will start to look bearish. Safe trading
NASDAQ:BTDR
by Maddox_Metrics
Deep Structure, Clean Risk, Big PotentialAVL is starting to look genuinely interesting here. Yes, it’s a small‑cap, highly speculative commodity play, but the structure developing on the chart is hard to ignore. The current accumulation range shows multiple Phase B rallies, which deviates from the generic Wyckoff schematic most traders are familiar with. Those repeated bumps strongly suggest the Composite Operator was distributing into breakout enthusiasm, while retail money chased the early strength. Once that liquidity was absorbed, price unwound into a clean corrective leg. That pullback from the May 23 high appears to have completed into the July 25 low, which is now acting as a potential Last Point of Support (LPS). LPS identification is rarely obvious in real time, but there are constructive signs here: - the descending trendline has been broken - demand is beginning to show up on the right side of the structure - the reaction into the LPS held above the prior support shelf From a technical perspective, this gives traders a valid long setup with risk defined beneath the LPS. That said, there’s still a realistic scenario where price rejects this area and rotates lower toward the S1 yearly pivot, forming a deeper Spring. For that to unfold, we’d need to see a decisive move down followed by a monthly close back inside the range. If that happens, the following month’s open becomes the high‑probability entry and the risk‑to‑reward expands significantly. This idea gains further weight when you look at the new yearly pivot structure. When price moves sideways between the yearly pivot and S1, it often tests the nearest pivot first. In this case, the yearly pivot, before driving into S1 and then launching back above the pivot zone. It’s a behaviour almost no one understands, yet AVL is following it cleanly, and it aligns perfectly with the potential Spring scenario. There’s still plenty to play out, but whether the LPS holds or we get the deeper Spring, the chart is offering some attractive upside targets. These are large TPs, not guarantees — simply the major resistance zones that stand out on the chart. In short: LPS may already be in → early long with tight risk. Spring still possible → deeper test into S1 before the real markup. Pivot structure supports both paths, with the Spring offering the cleaner confirmation. Either way, AVL is entering a part of the cycle where the chart finally matters again. *Please note arrows are not time based just overall price path expected
ASX:AVLLong
by AlvinDeo96
SUI M30 FVG Rejection and Continuation Setup📝 Description On the M30 timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:SUI is pressing into a clear H1 supply / Order Block while still trading under a descending structure. The current pause under the zone looks like a controlled reaction rather than acceptance, keeping the probability of a downside continuation toward lower inefficiencies active. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bearish while below the 1.82 area Preferred Setup: • Entry: 1.8 (30m FVG rejection) • Stop Loss: Above 1.815 • TP1: 1.784 • TP2: 1.764 • TP3: 1.745 ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Reaction inside an unmitigated H1 Order Block / supply • Downside targets align with M30 inefficiency (FVG) and liquidity draws • No bullish CHOCH/BOS confirmed to justify a reversal narrative ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary CRYPTOCAP:SUI is reacting at a higher-timeframe supply zone, and as long as price stays capped below the H1 OB, the move is treated as a pullback. Rejection from this area keeps TP1–TP3 in play, with 1.745 as the deeper draw. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Stronger USD supports tighter financial conditions, reducing risk appetite. In this environment, risk assets like crypto remain vulnerable, keeping SUI biased to the downside. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
OVID Therapeutics (OVID) - Biotech with strong nervesOVID Therapeutics is a biotech company focused on developing treatments for rare neurological and genetic disorders. On the monthly chart, OVID has broken above a long-term descending trendline and is currently retesting it from above. The key support zone sits at 1.45, while the latest close at 1.67 confirms structure preservation. Volume expanded on the breakout and faded during the pullback, indicating a healthy retest. Monthly MACD remains above zero and shows bullish divergence, while RSI holds above 50, confirming a shift in market phase. Volume profile suggests a potential magnet zone above current prices if support continues to hold. Fundamentally, the company remains unprofitable, which is typical for a development-stage biotech. Q4 2025 EPS is expected at −0.11, revenues are minimal, but debt levels are manageable and cash reserves provide operational runway. This is a higher-timeframe positioning idea, where the market begins to reassess the asset after a prolonged downtrend. Biotech is never comfortable, but this is how monthly reversals usually start.
NASDAQ:OVIDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
A buying opportunity has formed on FET (4H)A clear bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has formed on the chart, created with strong momentum from buyers. This shift in market structure indicates that bullish participants are gaining control and that the probability of continuation to the upside has increased. At the moment, price is trading around a key level, an area that has previously acted as an important decision zone for the market. Holding and accepting value above this level strengthens the bullish scenario and increases the likelihood of further upward movement. Above the current price, there is a large liquidity pool formed around recent highs. This liquidity has not yet been taken and may be swept in the near future, which often acts as a catalyst for an impulsive bullish move. We have identified two entry zones on the chart. Rather than entering aggressively, it is recommended to enter positions using a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) approach within these areas to manage risk and reduce exposure to volatility. Targets are clearly marked on the chart. Once price reaches Target 1, consider taking partial profits. After securing some gains, the stop loss should be moved to break-even, allowing the remaining position to run with reduced risk while targeting higher levels. As always, proper risk management is essential, and patience in execution will be key for this setup. If you would like us to analyze a coin or altcoin for you, first like this post, then comment the name of your altcoin below.
by iMoneyTeam
MOCA Looks Bullish (4H)Given that it has reclaimed a key level, formed a bullish CH on the chart, and there is no significant supply near the current price, we can consider a buy/long position on MOCA. We have two entry points where you should enter using DCA, and the targets are marked on the chart. A 4-hour candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Long
by behdark
1
STX Sharp Rebound: Demand Zones Ahead (4H)STX has recently experienced a very sharp and notable upward movement, showing strong bullish momentum. However, for those looking to re-enter the market, it is important to wait for a minor price-time correction. This correction would allow for a healthier entry and reduce the risk of chasing the current momentum. Following the main CH (Consolidation/Channel), the market reacted sharply to the upside, reclaiming several key areas that had previously acted as supply zones. These reclaimed areas have now turned into demand zones, which makes them important levels to watch for potential re-entry opportunities during pullbacks. Traders can look for swing trades by buying at these demand zones when the price returns to test them. We have identified two primary entry points for potential purchases. To manage risk effectively, it is recommended to use Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) when entering these positions, rather than committing the full amount at a single level. This approach reduces exposure to sudden price reversals and helps optimize the average entry price. Profit targets have been clearly marked on the chart. Traders should consider taking partial profits at the first target and moving their stop loss to break-even to protect capital. For those with a more conservative risk profile, it is also entirely reasonable to close the full position at the first target, locking in profits without waiting for higher levels. It is important to note that this outlook will be invalidated if a 4-hour candle closes below the defined invalidation level. Such a move would signal a potential shift in market sentiment and should prompt traders to reconsider their positions. Overall, this setup presents a structured approach to swing trading, combining technical levels with risk management strategies. By carefully monitoring the demand zones, pullbacks, and targets, traders can participate in potential upward moves while maintaining a disciplined and risk-aware strategy. If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you. This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
by behdark
2