$SPY over $700 in the next ~2 weeks? A 9% move from low?Now that the downside target in SPY hit last week, I think it's time for the blow off top to take place.
I favor a move from here that brings us to the two upper resistance levels.
The next key date that I have on the chart is October 27th, as of now, I think it's possible that we see at least one of the two levels to the upside get hit prior to that for a final move in SPY.
The marked box is the resistance level and I don't really see price exceeding those levels.
If those levels are tagged, then I think that sets up a move lower to the bottom supports, but let's focus on the upside first.
Pivot Points
$NVDA final leg higher? Over $200?The move down on Friday looks like it marked a low to me and that we could see our final move higher from here.
It's been my idea that we see a blowoff top over the next couple of weeks, so I think these levels in the box will mark the top.
I think it's most likely that we get somewhere between the $222 level and $232 level, but I've marked off other levels just incase.
I've taken some calls, let's see how the move plays out from here.
GOLD – Bullish Above 4011 Ahead of Tariff TensionsGOLD – Outlook
Gold remains supported by bullish momentum ahead of the renewed tariff tensions between the U.S. and China.
These developments are expected to strengthen safe-haven demand, keeping gold on track toward new all-time highs if momentum continues.
Technically, as long as the price trades above 4011, the bullish trend is likely to extend toward 4040 and 4058, with potential continuation toward 4092.
A bearish correction would require a 1H candle close below 4011, which could trigger a move down to 3980, and below 3965 the decline may extend to 3944.
Gold will likely trade sensitively in the short term, reacting to any new statements from President Trump or updates on the tariff situation between Washington and Beijing.
Pivot Line: 4011
Resistance Levels: 4040 / 4058 / 4092
Support Levels: 3980 / 3965 / 3944
📈 Summary:
Bullish bias remains above 4011, targeting 4058 → 4092, while a close below 4011 may trigger a short-term correction.
BAT Resilient Post-Liquidation: Swing Trade PotentialWhile most altcoins broke its range lows and printed fresh lows following the October 10th liquidation flush, BAT held its ground and gained! This is a very bullish signal.
The weekly candle closed strong on increased volume, signaling quiet accumulation beneath the surface. No need to overcomplicate: this setup speaks for itself.
Minimal range target: 0.2786
Stop loss options:
Simple: use the weekly swing low
Advanced: refine on the daily TF for tighter SL and improved R:R
This structure offers a clean swing setup with asymmetric potential.
long XAUUSDGold (XAUUSD) Analysis
Price has pulled back to the 4060 zone.
On the 5-minute timeframe, a bullish reversal pattern has appeared, suggesting the end of the correction phase and the potential start of a new upward move.
✅ If price holds above 4060, we can expect the bullish trend to continue.
🔹 The 4060 area is acting as a key short-term support level.
RIOT.. Nothing changed, $40 targetNASDAQ:RIOT broke out through resistance earlier than expected! A retest of the High Volume Node as support is highly likely event and price has a little down to go to get there. It may even be front run today.
RSI is overbought with no bearish divergence and can persist here for months in trending asset.
Wave II is underway and the next target is $40 High Volume Node resistance and the R5 daily pivot.
Safe trading
XRP, Terminal move complete. New all time high?What a mess Friday turned out to be with a recording breaking liquidation event with the numbers still growing - bigger than FTX!
SUNK COST FALLACY: THE DAMAGE IS DONE, DO NOT PANIC IN AND OUT OF POSITIONS.
So many alt-coins proved there is nothing but thin air holding them up - no real demand whatsoever! I'll take a look at some charts today. Now these wicks can be classed as 'anomalies' in technical analysis but in this case i think we've revealed some of the strong tokens now with real backing.
It is expected that with such large wicks we at least test the centre of the wick on one more terrifying shake-out that isnt actually as bad as the one we just has but feels it because traders and investors are been kicked while their down in a state of panic.
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CRYPTOCAP:XRP showed a lot of weakness on that dump hitting the High Volume Node target and macro 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $1.5, a target i was laughed at for posting a couple of weeks ago! The more 'bullying' that takes place the more I assign probability of hitting that target. Sentiment wins.
Price left a long lower wick which is likely to be revisited as we are now in a bearish structure. The $2 High Volume Node is the likely target. Price is tough quadruple resistance - daily 200EMA, channel lower boundary, High Volume Node and S1 pivot. Lots of supply may come in here.
Wave 2 appears to be complete so once we have one more fearful move down we may accelerate to new all time highs.
RSI hit oversold but with no bullish divergence.
Safe trading
GOLD (XAUUSD): New ATH & Next Resistances
As I predicted, Gold updated the ATH this morning.
The next strong resistances that I see are:
Resistance 1: 4098 - 4103 area
Resistance 2: 4148 - 4153 area
Get ready for more growth.
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EURAUD: Another Gap to Trade Today 🇪🇺🇦🇺
EURAUD formed a gap down opening.
My signal to buy will be a bullish breakout of a minor intraday horizontal resistance.
An hourly candle close above 1.78375 will confirm a violation,
a bullish continuation will be expected at least to 1.79 level then.
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How to find algorithmic levels of support and resistanceUsing repeating pinpoint levels to form meaning of opens and closes around these levels give you an advantage in your analysis.
As price gives us clues to what levels are affecting price, we should mark the new candles that are responding to these levels by breaking and retesting these very levels.
Please let me know your thoughts! 🙏🏾
Banknifty Weekly Outlook (13th Oct – 17th Oct 2025)The Bank Nifty ended the week at 56,609.75, gaining +1.84%
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
56,492 – 56,729
This is the crucial price band to watch. A breakout or breakdown from this blue-shaded zone could define this week’s directional bias.
🔻 Support Levels:
S1: 56,136
S2: 55,662
S3: 55,030
🔺 Resistance Levels:
R1: 57,088
R2: 57,566
R3: 58,135
📈 Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If Bank Nifty sustains above the pivot high of 56,729, buyers could push the index toward R1 (57,088). A breakout above this zone may open the path to R2 (57,566) and R3 (58,135).
❌ Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below the pivot low of 56,492 could trigger profit booking. The index may then retest S1 (56,136), with further weakness extending toward S2 (55,662) and S3 (55,030).
Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
Nifty 50 Weekly Outlook (13th Oct – 17th Oct 2025)The Nifty 50 ended the last week at 25,285.35, gaining +1.57%.
🔹 Key Levels for this Week (13th – 17th Oct 2025)
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
25,206 to 25,365 – This blue-shaded range is the critical decision-making zone. A sustained move beyond this range could define the market’s direction for the upcoming week.
🔻 Support Levels:
Support 1 (S1): 24,969
Support 2 (S2): 24,653
Support 3 (S3): 24,365
🔺 Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1 (R1): 25,605
Resistance 2 (R2): 25,925
Resistance 3 (R3): 26,320
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If Nifty sustains above the pivot zone high of 25,365, it may continue its upward momentum toward R1 (25,605). Further strength could take the index toward R2 (25,925) and R3 (26,320).
❌ Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below the pivot low of 25,206 could trigger selling pressure. On the downside, the index may test S1 (24,969), with extended weakness dragging it toward S2 (24,653) and S3 (24,365).
Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
Fear-Fueled Shakeout Sets the StageMassive liquidation shook the crypto space on Friday, October 10th with nearly $20B flushed out. But while the masses panicked, the charts show smart money buying.
LINK printed a textbook high-volume spring out of the range, signaling smart money absorption amid capitulation. The weekly candle closed deep into the range, reinforcing the idea that this wasn’t random volatility, it was structured accumulation and shakeout.
Volume on the Spring exceeded that of the Selling Climax (SC), which sets the stage for a potential retest. But don’t anchor to the $7.64 wick, that’s an anomaly. Instead, watch for price to revisit the EQ of that wick zone to form a higher low (HL) and validate the test.
This setup offers a compelling Risk-to-Reward profile. If the structure holds, a minimal very simple range target sits around ~$66. from here price could go much higher but one step at a time.
EURCAD| Bullish Intent LoadingPair: EUR/CAD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview:
Higher timeframe shows strong bullish momentum, breaking significant highs with structure clearly favoring continuation. Price remains aligned with smart money’s directional bias.
MTF Insight:
Price retraced into discounted areas, fully aligned with HTF bullish intent. Sell-side liquidity (SSL) has been swept, and price is now resting within the refined order block — setting up for the next bullish leg.
LTF Confirmation:
Lower timeframe shows a breached lower high, now running toward higher highs. Once a clean microstructure setup forms, buy positions can be considered in line with the bullish continuation.
Entry Zone:
Refined OB in discounted area post-liquidity sweep — awaiting LTF confirmation.
Targets:
Recent highs and unmitigated HTF supply zones.
Mindset Note:
Patience and precision are key — let smart money dictate timing, and the next bullish push will follow the structure naturally. 🚀
GBPAUD| Bearish Intent LoadingPair: GBP/AUD
Bias: Bearish
HTF Overview:
Higher timeframe shows strong bearish pressure, with structure trending down and premium levels intact. Smart money remains in control, steering the market toward continuation.
MTF Insight:
Mid timeframe confirms that buy-side liquidity has been swept, aligning with the higher timeframe bearish narrative. Price structure has been refined, offering extra confluence for potential continuation.
LTF Confirmation:
Looking for lower timeframe shift — CHoCH or break of a micro higher low — before committing to short entries and letting the next leg unfold.
Entry Zone:
Premium area post-liquidity sweep, waiting for precise LTF validation.
Targets:
Key recent lows and unmitigated HTF demand zones.
Mindset Note:
Stay patient and let smart money dictate. Timing is everything — once LTF confirms, the next bearish leg will flow naturally. 🚀
EUR & AUD| Bearish intent LoadingPairs: EUR, AUD
Bias: Bearish
HTF Overview:
Higher timeframes are showing bearish intent, with price structure favoring downside continuation. Premium areas are intact, and smart money is clearly steering the directional bias.
MTF Insight:
Mid timeframe shows buy-side liquidity has been swept, fully aligning with higher timeframe bearish context. Structure has been refined, and we are currently sitting in premium — extra confluence for potential continuation setups.
LTF Confirmation:
Waiting for lower timeframe shift — CHoCH or break of a micro higher low — to confirm short entries and continuation of the drop.
Entry Zone:
Premium area post-buy-side liquidity sweep, waiting for LTF validation.
Targets:
Recent lows and unmitigated HTF demand zones.
Mindset Note:
Let smart money lead. Patience and proper timing are key — once the LTF confirms, the bearish leg will follow the structure naturally. 🚀
GBP| Bullish Intent LoadingPair: GBPJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview:
Higher timeframe continues to show bullish intent, breaking significant highs and putting in a major high. Structure favors continuation, but the current order block isn’t in an ideal HTF area for strong respect. Smart money still controls directional bias, but patience is required.
MTF Insight:
On the mid timeframe, price has jumped higher and decisional and extreme order blocks have been refined. I’m watching the key OB, but truthfully, I don’t expect it to hold fully. Lower timeframe testing will reveal whether smart money chooses to defend it.
LTF Confirmation:
Once lower timeframe confirms via CHoCH or micro lower high break, I’ll engage precision entries aligned with the bullish leg.
Entry Zone:
Refined mid timeframe OB — waiting for price to rest and mitigation to occur.
Targets:
Above recent highs and unmitigated high timeframe supply zones.
Mindset Note:
Let smart money dictate the pace. Patience is key — the bullish continuation will reveal itself once mitigation completes. Stay disciplined, let the market tell its story. 🚀
EURJPY | Bullish Intent LoadingPair: EURJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview:
Higher timeframe continues to show strong bullish intent, maintaining premium delivery with structure favoring continuation. Institutional order flow still supports upside expansion, confirming smart money’s control over directional bias.
MTF Insight:
Price is currently dropping toward discounted areas — aligning with the higher timeframe bullish narrative. After a clean sweep of sell-side liquidity (SSL), I’m now waiting for price to reach and rest within the refined OB zone. That mitigation will complete the rebalancing needed before continuation setups form.
LTF Confirmation:
Once price taps into that OB and confirms a CHoCH or break of a micro lower high, I’ll look to engage precision entries within the bullish leg for continuation.
Entry Zone:
Discounted OB zone post-liquidity sweep — awaiting mitigation and structure shift.
Targets:
Liquidity above recent highs and unmitigated 4H supply zones.
Mindset Note:
Let smart money handle the delivery. Timing is everything — once mitigation completes, the next bullish leg will be written in the structure. Let’s go. 🚀
EURGBP| Smart Money Cooling Before the Next WavePair: EURGBP
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview:
Price continues to show bullish intent on the higher timeframe, maintaining structure and building pressure toward premium levels. Institutional momentum remains clear, with each retracement respecting demand.
MTF Insight:
Sell-side liquidity has been taken cleanly, and price has reacted from a solid order block area. Since that mitigation, lower timeframes have been showing consistent bullish continuation structure — each leg printing in green as order flow holds steady.
LTF Confirmation:
Currently watching an internal order block forming within the active bullish leg. Once price taps and mitigates that refined zone, I’ll expect continuation toward higher liquidity targets. Timing and patience are key — we’re minutes away from potential confirmation.
Entry Zone:
Internal OB inside the current bullish leg, awaiting refined 5M CHoCH for confirmation.
Targets:
Liquidity above the recent structural high.
Mindset Note:
No need to rush — the setup’s already written. Let smart money handle the delivery. Until then, we chill and observe precision. 💎
USDCAD | Bullish Continuation Awaits Smart Money ConfirmationPair: USDCAD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview:
Higher timeframe remains decisively bullish, with structure continuing to break significant highs. The overall momentum still supports upside delivery, showing smart money maintaining control of the directional flow.
MTF Insight:
Currently waiting for sell-side liquidity to be taken before looking for fresh long opportunities. Price has a decisional and an extreme order block marked — ideal zones for potential mitigations once liquidity is swept. These areas will serve as key points of interest for the next phase of continuation.
LTF Confirmation:
After liquidity is cleared and price falls into one of the OB zones, I’ll be watching for a lower timeframe change of character. Once the lower high is breached, I’ll refine entry within that bullish leg for precision buys.
Entry Zone:
Decisional → Extreme OB range after liquidity sweep.
Targets:
Liquidity above recent highs aligning with the higher timeframe continuation move.
Mindset Note:
Patience until mitigation. Let smart money lead direction — the best trades come when timing and structure are in full alignment.
USDJPY| Let Smart Money LeadPair: USDJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview:
Higher timeframe structure remains firmly bullish, with price continuing to break significant highs. Momentum reflects institutional strength, suggesting smart money is still favoring upside delivery.
MTF Insight:
Currently seeking a healthy pullback to rebalance structure and take out sell-side liquidity. Eyes are on the mid-timeframe order blocks — specifically the decisional or extreme zones — for potential mitigation and continuation setups.
LTF Confirmation:
Once price taps into a refined OB within those zones, I’ll wait for a lower timeframe CHoCH to confirm the handover back to buyers before initiating long exposure.
Entry Zone:
Discounted OBs inside the MTF mitigation area (decisional → extreme).
Targets:
Liquidity above recent swing highs — continuation toward unmitigated 4H supply.
Mindset Note:
Discipline over prediction — let smart money dictate direction. The market always reveals its hand after liquidity has been swept.
GBPUSD| Structure in Sync with Smart Money FlowPair: GBPUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview:
Price continues to display strength, breaking through significant highs and sustaining bullish momentum. We’ve recently tapped into a major high timeframe order block — a key zone where smart money tends to position continuation legs.
MTF Insight:
From that HTF OB, we witnessed a clear change of character (CH) followed by a break of meaningful highs. Price has since retraced into discounted territory, mitigating lower OBs that align with the internal structure and continuation narrative.
LTF Confirmation:
A fresh lower timeframe CH is developing. Once that CH is confirmed and order flow aligns, I’ll be anticipating a clean pullback entry within the bullish leg for continuation toward higher liquidity zones.
Entry Zone:
Discounted OBs within the current structure range — awaiting refined 5M confirmation for execution.
Targets:
Liquidity above recent swing highs.
Mindset Note:
Patience is key here. Let structure finalize the CH and confirm alignment across timeframes before pressing the buy trigger. Smart money rewards timing, not haste.






















