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Dow Jones v/s Gold Ratio — History Repeating?Currently both DJI & Gold are at there peak levels, but the ratio has already breached a historical support, signaling further downfall. Whenever the Dow-to-Gold ratio tests or breaks the 12.0 level, stories are created in history. * 1929: Great Depression hit — stocks crashed, gold outperformed. * 1973: Oil shock & stagflation — gold surged as inflation soared. * 2008: Global Financial Crisis — stocks collapsed, gold became the safe haven. - 2020: COVID tested the level but failed to break it. Now, in 2025, the ratio has again breached the historic level of 12.0 — the same zone that preceded past market meltdowns. Each time stocks looked strong relative to gold, the cycle turned * Gold rallied. - Stocks corrected. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- What is the Dow-to-Gold Ratio? Dow/Gold Ratio = Value of Dow Jones Index ÷ Price of Gold (per ounce) This ratio tells us how many ounces of gold it takes to buy one unit of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. For example: If Dow = 46,000 and Gold = 4000 → Ratio = 11.5. That means it takes 11.5 ounces of gold to buy one unit of Dow. If the ratio falls to 6, which the chart is signaling, then it will mean: 1. Stocks might weaken or 2. Gold might become stronger or 3. If both weaken, then stocks will fall more than gold ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Interpretation 1. Whenever the ratio is high, it means stocks are expensive compared to gold (risk-on period) . 2. Whenever the ratio falls, it means gold is outperforming stocks (risk-off, crisis or correction phase) . Overall, the Dow to Gold ratio suggests that this is not a normal period - a period of crisis & correction - a risk-off period Each time this ratio reached around current levels, a major stock market downturn followed
TVC:DJIEducation
by Nadia_farhat
Tracking Stagflation with this Ratio - Crude, Copper, Gold RatioHow to Spot Stagflation? One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio. • Gold reflects real money and investor confidence. • Copper tracks recession. • Crude oil represents inflation pressures. When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains. What could trigger it? Copper Oil Futures & Options Ticker: HG Minimum fluctuation: 0.0005 per pound = $12.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
2
QQQ NOTICE TREND LINE SUPPORT I have now started to position for the transition in the markets I have moved out of all calls again for the 4 time in 4 days each of the trades made $$ . but today is day 39 TD of the rally . And I am looking for a TOP in day 40 TD I have now moved to 40 today then 75% MOC in spy and qqq 5550 555 560 QQQ puts 2026 time zone and 650 in spy . The trendline has held rather nice to help make some nice $$ and we if bullish should now be in early wave 3 of 5 of 5 of 5 .So why buy puts NOW simple answer is It could still be wave c up for wave B or wave D. and That today is day TD39 I have posted a possible Major top due on td 40 and The spiral hold up into june 6th to 9th .I know my risks and am willing to start taking the same stand and positions as I did 11/29 12/6 and feb 18th based on the wave structure and PUT /CALL model . I am willing to This is not for all traders . But I am turning down in NYSI and the NYMO is showing buying is running out but bullish call buying is nearing the two last TOPS . I have 25 % cash and will wait for two things One put call drops to 60 on 5 day or 10 day at 65 second daily RSI is no confirmation . 3rd the qqq reaches 531/534 knowing it could extend to 541/555 and similar in sp cash or the DJI prints a .786 this is a lot but it is part of the game plan best of trades WAVETIMER
NASDAQ:QQQ
by wavetimer
1
Ratio Charts in TradingView and IAAbove you can see the Bitcoin to Ethereum ratio chart. Ratio analysis between two or more symbols is a critical method for comparing the strength and weakness of assets relative to each other. TradingView offers basic capabilities for this task, but with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) and custom scripts, much more advanced and creative analyses can be conducted. Here are some practical ideas: 1. Creating Conditional Ratio Scripts 2. Comparing Relative Averages and Issuing Smart Signals 3. Calculating Composite Ratios of Multiple Assets 4. Smart Alerts Based on Price Pattern Breakouts For more information, search Google for "How to Use Ratio Charts in TradingView: A Hidden Gem for Traders."
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by mostafadehghan321
2
Some say bitcoin is an un-correlated asset. What about XRP ???This chart clearly shows how XRP is uncorrelated to the price of the S&P !! Some experts in crypto say that Bitcoin is an un-correlated asset. However, if bitcoin is, XRP is even more so. The chart moreover shows how the price of XRP broke out of an 7 YEAR BEAR FLAG !!! It broke down decisevely in november 2024. At the present moment it is making a halt, drawing a bear flag (n° 2) as it did after it broke down of a very similar bear flag in March of 2017 (n° 1). How do you think this will resolve ? Any more questions ? This is a very bearish chart - for the SPX !!!
SP:SPXShort
by Dangermousebanana
Russell 2000 $IWM Trending UP versus Nasdaq $QQQ Here is a ratio chart of the Russell 2000 Index etf called AMEX:IWM and the Nasdaq Composite Index etf called $QQQ. The NASDAQ:QQQ returns over the past 7+ years have been extraordinary while the AMEX:IWM has been stagnant at best and hasn't beaten inflation. That ratio of performance has just turned in a way that suggests the AMEX:IWM will outperform the NASDAQ:QQQ for the next 11 weeks to the tune of 10%. The ratio has already moved up last week by 4% of the 10%, so there is only another 6% to go for this signal. If there are any pullbacks of 1%-2%, those would be lower risk entries as the distance to the "stop" level at 0.45 vs 0.4704 last would be less. The target is 0.51 vs 0.4704 last. So follow this ratio for the next 10 weeks and see if even more relative outperformance happens. Over the next few years, it is possible for AMEX:IWM to do 50% better than $QQQ. We would need lower oil prices and lower interest rates and some rational pricing in the big tech names that are over $10 trillion dollars now for 3 companies: NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT and $AAPL.
AMEX:IWMLong
by timwest
1
Silver/Gold Ratio signals Lower Interest Rates AheadWhen OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver) does well relative to OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold), it means the economy is strong and interest rates tend to rise when that happens. The opposite is also true. When Silver is weak relative to Gold, interest rates tend to fall. See how it works historically? The 1997 drop in rates when the silver/gold ratio shot up is the rare exception Why does it work? Silver is an economic metal used in industry and gold is a precious metal which used to be used for technology in the 1970's. Well - it shows now that rates should be going down because the economy is flat, weak or recessionary. However you want to label it, the economy can afford lower interest rates. This LONG TERM indicator has worked quite well and deserves to be on your list of indicators to track the likely path of interest rates. OF COURSE, the more important factor is WHO is at the head of the Fed. Lower rates would make sense especially if the profligate Government spending machine slows down its aggressive spending. The global war on covid didn't help and the clear message that the market is telling us is that we needed to slow down the price hikes but we now have a US Gov't deeply in debt and struggling to be able to justify lower rates. Here's to clarity on the future moves by the Fed, which if you were just looking at this indicator you would be cutting rates steadily for the foreseeable future. Cheers, Tim 11:47AM EST January 28, 2025
OANDA:XAGUSD
by timwest
17
G&S ratio rising could be bearish on metals medium termThe G&S ratio is back above resistance (now support) and wants to break out of the bullish wedge in dark rose color. If that happens, an inverse H&S formation could play out and shoot us up (blue line) to the extension of the rising resistance of the (yellow) bearish rising wedge. This would mean a last hurray spike of the ratio, to touch the apex a last time before falling again. The final fall of the G&S ratio would then signal the risumption of the bull market and the further collapse in the G&S ratio would signifie a raging bull market for precious metale (both silver and gold - but especially silver). The bull market in metals is unavoidable with the current macro sitauation. However its resumption could be delaid if this set up plays out.
TVC:GOLDSILVERLong
by Dangermousebanana
Could XLM be about to M A S S I V E L Y outperform XRP ??1 I am bullish both XRP and XLM 2 Both currencies make out 65% of my entire portfolio. 3 I have 40% XRP and only 20% XLM However, I guess XLM Stellar could massively outperform XRP in the future. XRP just happened to break out from an important multi year resistance this pas week ! So I am wildly bullish on XRP. However the ratio betwen XRP and XLM suggests that XLM will be the winner in the near term. The OVER PERFORMANCE will be at least by a factor of 2. However, chart (inverse Head and Shoulder) is suggesting that XLM will be more valueable than XRP in the long term.
COINBASE:XLMUSDLong
by Dangermousebanana
11
Gold is surging while Crude Oil is laggingHere is a ratio chart of Gold OANDA:XAUUSD and Crude Oil $USOIL. Historically you can see it goes to extremes. Especially in 2020 when crude oil went to zero (and negative). I cut that spike out of the chart so hopefully it shows here. When the Global Financial Crisis in 2008-2009 hit, crude oil hit $140 and gold was low which set up the bottom of this chart on the lower-left. Crude was expensive and gold was cheap. The opposite happened during Covid when crude plunged and gold stayed relatively calm. These are generational trades that can make traders rich but they take too long for the average small investor to stay focused and take advantage of these setups. With Gold now at the upper end of the range of this ratio, it is time to start looking elsewhere to protect your wealth. Can this ratio continue higher? Yes, of course. I point it out as a starting point for your trading. If you are just getting long gold up here now, you need to understand where the historical range is for this ratio and decide if you want energy to keep you warm and let you travel or do you want a store of money. It is always a trade-off between the two. You can't live with only one of these commodities. Cheers. Tim 12:33PM EST, October 22, 2024
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by timwest
3
Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment. The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory. Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by MorMedia