Trading breakouts in summer: Japan’s index pushes higherSummer breakouts are tricky with low market participation, but Japan’s stock index just cleared a major level. Whether it’s a rectangle or inverse head and shoulders, the breakout looks valid. We explore how to manage risk, trim stop losses, and aim for a solid reward ratio. Will this push continue?
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Rectangle
Educational: how to spot bitcoin tops before they happenBitcoin is rising, but how far can it go? In this video, I walk through key tools to spot local tops, including funding rates, Twitter sentiment, and pattern targets. We also discuss setups in XRP and Solana, and what to watch ahead of the US crypto regulation update on July 22.
Dow Jones breakout targets 44K and beyondThe Dow Jones is finally breaking out, and the chart suggests a 3 to 4 percent move higher is in play. We analyse the key patterns, trade setups, and risks ahead including market seasonality, war headlines, and economic data. Bitcoin, EURUSD, and Nasdaq also showing strength. Is this the start of a bigger rally?
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
War shock moves EURNZD: breakout targets 196.69The US strike on Iran hit risk currencies hard. NZD, AUD, and JPY dropped, while EURNZD broke out of a rectangle pattern. We analyse the setup, target at 196.69, and possible entry zones. Would you trade this in wartime volatility?
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Ethereum set for breakout? Watch this 27-day patternEthereum is forming a 27-day pattern that could trigger a major breakout. After last week's failed move in Bitcoin, Ethereum now sits at a critical level. A breakout above 2741 could signal the start of a big rally, especially if US deregulation news lands. Could this be the beginning of a big move? Watch the full analysis and share your thoughts in the comments.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Tesla rebounds after 55% grash, can it keep climbing?Tesla stock is bouncing back after a rough start to 2025. Following 58 days of sideways trading, a breakout has triggered a 27% move. What is next and is too late to trade?
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
ETHUSD breakout ahead of US deregulation deadline?Ethereum and Bitcoin are gearing up for a bullish breakout as sideways price action and rising RSI hint at a bullish shift. Upcoming US deregulation, tax reform, and renewed China-US talks could trigger the next big move, with ETH potentially outperforming BTC.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Bank of England cuts rates but does no pivot, GBPUSD surgesThe Bank of England cut rates to 4.25% but held off on signalling faster easing. GBPUSD is rallying as traders unwind bearish bets. Add to that a new US-UK trade deal, and the pound could see further upside. Watch for a breakout above 1.3440 that could target 1.38 or even higher.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GBPUSD triple top forming? Big move coming after BoE rate cut?GBPUSD is forming a triple top with a smaller rectangle near key resistance at 1.34, with a potential breakout targeting 1.4780. Next up are the BoE and Fed rate meetings, which could easily trigger the move.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
BTC tries to break out of rectangle, eyes 3% rallyBitcoin is breaking out from a tight range with a potential 3% move to 98,500, but it needs to gain momentum fast to avoid a false breakout.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
EURUSD Set for Breakout? Technical Patterns Point to Big UpsideEURUSD is showing signs of a breakout, with technical patterns pointing towards 1.22. Our analysts explains the setup, risk levels, and how traders can approach this opportunity.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
USOIL - Bracketing A Breakout Opportunity As traders we want to be predictive in our analysis and reactive in our execution. And there is no easier way to follow through with this concept then on a bracketed breakout trading opportunity.
Oil has recently been on a short-term bullish run which has ended with price entering a period of consolidation. Consolidation leads to expansion so I do expect a future breakout to occur.
The question however is in which direction. If I knew the answer I would bet everything I have including the house and the kids on it but unfortunately I don't. (and my wife would kill me).
What I do know, is that there's a good chance that the market will give us a clue of what direction it wants to continue in and that's what I'm waiting for with this trading opportunity.
If you have any questions or comments please leave them below & be sure to show some love by hitting that LIKE button before you go.
Akil
NZD/USD: Last chance for USD bulls?NZD/USD is nearing a key resistance level, the last line of defense for the USD bulls. A break below could trigger further USD weakness, pushing NZD/USD higher. Where do you think the market is headed? Share your thoughts in the comments!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
AAPL and MSFT Reading Charts For Better Entries and ExitsOptions Trading Strategy Using Ichimoku Cloud, 200 SMA & Monthly Contracts
(Following Your 3 Trading Rules)
This strategy adapts the Ichimoku Cloud & 200 SMA trend-following method for trading monthly options contracts with a focus on high-probability setups. It leverages time decay (theta), trend strength, and proper timing to maximize gains while reducing risk.
🔹 Strategy Overview
We will trade monthly options contracts using:
Trend confirmation via Ichimoku Cloud & 200 SMA
Directional bias based on price positioning
Entry timing rules to avoid low-probability setups
Theta-friendly positioning (avoiding weeklies to reduce time decay risks)
📈 Trading Rules & Setup
(My 3 Golden Rules)
🚫 No trading on Mondays → Avoids choppy market structure from weekend gaps.
🚫 No trading on Fridays → Avoids gamma risk and weekend time decay.
⏳ No trades before the first 15-minute candle closes → Ensures market direction is established.
📊 Selecting the Right Option Contract
For monthly expiration contracts, select options that:
Expire within 30 to 60 days (avoid weekly contracts to minimize rapid time decay).
Are slightly in-the-money (ITM) or at-the-money (ATM) for higher delta (0.55–0.70).
Have open interest >1,000 and a tight bid-ask spread to ensure liquidity.
Example: If today is June 11, trade the July monthly contract (third Friday of the month).
📉 Bearish Put Play (Short Trade)
200 SMA Bias: Price is below the 200 SMA
Ichimoku Cloud Confirmation:
Price is below the cloud
Tenkan-sen is below Kijun-sen (bearish momentum)
Chikou Span is below price from 26 candles ago
Future cloud is red
Entry Trigger (After First 15 Min Candle):
Price pulls back into the Kijun-sen but rejects it
OR price breaks below the cloud after a weak consolidation
Enter PUT contract (monthly expiration)
Stop Loss & Take Profit:
SL: Above Kijun-sen or recent swing high
TP: First at the cloud’s lower edge, second at a key support level
Exit before Theta decay accelerates (last 14 days before expiry)
📈 Bullish Call Play (Long Trade)
200 SMA Bias: Price is above the 200 SMA
Ichimoku Cloud Confirmation:
Price is above the cloud
Tenkan-sen is above Kijun-sen (bullish momentum)
Chikou Span is above price from 26 candles ago
Future cloud is green
Entry Trigger (After First 15 Min Candle):
Price pulls back into the Kijun-sen but holds
OR price breaks out above the cloud
Enter CALL contract (monthly expiration)
Stop Loss & Take Profit:
SL: Below Kijun-sen or recent swing low
TP: First at the cloud’s upper edge, second at a key resistance level
📊 Trade Management & Adjustments
Rolling: If trade is profitable near expiry but not at the full target, roll to the next monthly contract.
Closing Early: If the trade is at 70-80% max profit, close early to avoid decay risk.
Cutting Losses: If price closes inside the Ichimoku Cloud, consider exiting early (trend loss warning).
🛠 Why This Works for Monthly Options?
✅ Avoids time decay risks of weekly options by trading monthly contracts.
✅ Uses strong trend confirmation from Ichimoku & 200 SMA.
✅ Only trades at high-probability times, avoiding choppy Monday & Friday moves.
✅ Allows scaling into strong trends rather than short-term noise.
USDSEK could jump 5%, learn why. With many top markets trading sideways, we explore USDSEK, which has gained 11% in recent weeks. Is it sustainable given global risks? Probably not. But how can we trade it? Watch the video to find out.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Nikkei 225 Drops Below Key Levels – What’s Next? The Nikkei 225 has broken out of its previous range, and key levels suggest potential downside risk. With Japan raising interest rates and Trump commenting on the yen, market dynamics are shifting. Technical analysis indicates a possible move lower, targeting the September 6th low. Should traders expect further declines, or will the index recover alongside U.S. stocks? Share your thoughts below!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Bitcoin breaks 95-day range – bulls need to brace for painBitcoin has finally broken out of its long-standing range, but it’s not the move bulls were hoping for. With a potential drop to FWB:73K , we break down key levels, shorting opportunities, and what bulls need to watch for a reversal.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Learn why the Nasdaq 100 could be about to soarThe Nasdaq 100 is showing an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout toward 23,100. Trade war concerns with Mexico and Canada have eased, while China has worked around tariffs by shifting production to other countries. A break above 21,962 could push prices up 5.3%, but rising inflation near 2.9% might force the Fed to consider rate hikes. Jerome Powell’s testimony tomorrow will give us a better idea of what’s next for markets.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Ethereum's 50% Drop: What’s Next for Crypto Traders?Ethereum and altcoins have been crushed, down 50% from the highs. Many jumped in on the trendline break in January, but with Bitcoin stuck in a range and tariffs looming, it was a risky move. Now, the focus is on what’s next. Will US deregulation help? Could inflation and economic policies push markets lower? A breakout may take time, possibly in a few weeks. Buying dips is tempting, but without strong signals or a major shift, caution is key.
Watch the video to learn more.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
US vs CA, MX trade war: What can we learn from it?In this video, we look how we could have avoided problems when trading the USDCAD, and how the outcome of the trade war, can be used to trade better in the future.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Bitcoin flat, altcoins crash: key levels to watch for a reboundBitcoin is trading sideways, while altcoins are struggling, with some down as much as 80%.
What key levels should we watch to spot a potential trend reversal in Bitcoin? And what fundamental factors could drive a bullish shift?
Watch the video to find out!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
USDCAD could soar if tariffs are implemented this weekendWatch out video to learn more.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.