Rectangle
XAUUSD | Breakout Above Supply Zone – Targeting 4140–4150 NextGold has successfully broken above the supply zone (4020–4060), confirming a bullish structure shift after multiple rejections in the past week. The clean breakout now opens the path for a liquidity grab toward 4140–4150, aligning with higher timeframe inefficiencies.
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Retest of 4040–4060 (previous supply turned demand)
Bias: Bullish continuation
Target 1: 4129 (intra-day liquidity level)
Target 2: 4153 (major HTF resistance)
Invalidation: Below 4020
The Swing Strategy, I been usingZone‑to‑Zone Trading
1.1 Drawing the Zones
What is a zone?
A price area (not a single line) where the market repeatedly reacts: flips from support→resistance (S/R) or resistance→support (R/S), stalls, or coils.
Priority by timeframe:
Monthly ≥ Weekly ≥ Daily ≥ Hourly. Higher‑timeframe zones carry more weight.
How to mark zones
Start on monthly, and highlight obvious S/R bands.
Drill down to weekly, refine, or add.
Drill down to daily, refine, or add.
Drill down to hourly for tactical entries.
Clues for a quality zone
Prior breakout level that later flips to S/R on retest and consolidates before resolution.
Clear historical reaction clusters (wicks, bodies, or gaps).
Visible “sensitivity” (multiple rejections/holds in the same area).
1.2 Trading the Zones
Entry: Wait for local consolidation near a zone, then take the breakout.
Stops:
Conservative: Below the box low (consolidation floor).
Tight: Mid‑box (accept higher stop‑out rate, better R).
Filter:
Longs only above 50 SMA, shorts only below 50 SMA (trend filter).
1.3 Range vs. Exact Level
Treat zones as bands, not one price tick. I would take the pivot close to the opening of the first red candle if it's a bullish pivot.
At times a single line is acceptable (e.g., clean, repeated close‑basis pivot), but default to ranges.
2) Box System
2.1 Market Phases
Sideways (consolidation) → build energy (boxes form between zones).
Trending → series of HH/HL (up) or LH/LL (down).
2.2 Trend Structure
Trends breathe via consolidation → expansion → consolidation.
Breakouts can:
Go with no retest
Retest the boundary and go
Brief incursion back into box, then full resolve
The first inner zone inside the box is critical: if a new uptrend is valid, the price shouldn’t revisit below it.
Stops: below that first inner zone.
Note: Zone‑to‑Zone shines in non‑trendy markets (FX, many dividend names).
2.3 Types of Boxes
MA roles (fractal):
9 SMA → short‑term momentum
50 SMA → intermediate momentum
21 SMA → the inflection between 9 and 50; often reacts first
2.3.1 Base Box
Both the 9 & 50 SMA flatten for an extended period.
Highest stored energy; breakouts can start major trends.
2.3.2 50 SMA Box
Sideways price, 9 SMA flat, 50 SMA rising/falling into price as dynamic S/R.
Breakout after the 50 SMA reaches the box.
2.3.3 9 SMA Box
Shorter coil (≈ 3–4 candles).
9 SMA catches up; breakout follows.
Shortest consolidation; quicker moves.
2.3.4 9 vs 50 Comparison
9 SMA trend: 2× HH/HL supported by 9. Parabolic (≈20% of cases): each candle’s low should not undercut the prior candle’s low.
9 SMA box: brief sideways until 9 SMA “tags” price → quick reaction.
50 SMA boxes: longer coil; 50 “arrives,” 9 often flat.
Base box: 50 is inside & flat; price crossed above/below multiple times.
2.4 System Objectives Checklist
Trend-following or mean-reversion?
Entry conditions?
Exit logic?
System expectancy?
Risk model?
Entries
Box breakout (bullish): Prefer consolidation at the top‑right of the box before break → higher probability.
Zone‑to‑Zone: Look for a lower‑TF coil at a higher‑TF zone → break of coil for entry.
Profit & Exits
Next zone target; or
Exit when an uptrend fails to make an HL (i.e., breaks prior swing low).
Stops
Box breakout: Below the first inner zone or box low.
Zone‑to‑Zone: Based on the lower‑TF coil used for entry.
Position Size = 4% per trade or less.
2.5 Trading the Boxes
Four box archetypes: 9 SMA, 21 SMA, 50 SMA, and Base.
Base Box
More false starts; longest runs when it goes.
Prefer equity or bull‑put spreads; ride while price > 50 SMA.
50 SMA Box
The first 50‑box after a base is the most reliable.
Daily 50‑box usually follows 3–4 weeks of coil; expect ≈1.5–2 weeks of trend leg.
Tactics: Stock and swing options (expiry ≈ coil length or slightly more).
9 SMA Boxes
Breakout leg ≈2–3 days, then another coil.
Tactics: Scalps with 1–1.5 weeks to expiry; 1–2 OTM strikes.
Quick Summary
Base: most power, least timing precision.
50: first after base = best reliability; second is weaker.
9: short, sharp, tactical.
2.6 Overall Market Environment
If indices trend up above the latest daily zone, 8/10 breakouts can succeed.
If indices chop under the latest daily zone, expect ≈5/10 to work.
Compare QQQ vs. SPY strength to gauge risk‑on/off.
Rules of thumb
Upside bias: Index above the latest daily zone (or proxy 9 SMA if approximating).
Scalping bias: Above the latest hourly zone.
2.7 Box System & Long‑Term Investing (LTI)
Markets are fractal; weekly = daily = hourly in pattern, not speed.
Trend rule: in an uptrend, price should not break prior swing low (mirror for downtrend).
Trailing stop logic
Uptrend: trail to recent swing low once confirmed.
Downtrend: trail to recent swing high.
MA benchmarks:
Hard breaks of 9 SMA → likely consolidation.
50 SMA for longer bias.
Caveat: large‑cap growth rarely trends cleanly down (index dependency & fund flows).
2.8 Watchlist Creation
Three steps
Scan sectors for consolidations (boxes).
Check relative strength vs. SPY (e.g., XLK/SPY).
Review the top 10–20 holdings.
Tiers
A‑List: Box about to break + high options liquidity.
B‑List: Box about to break but low options liquidity.
C‑List: Boxes are still developing.
2.9 Role of the 21 SMA
Acts as the inflection between 9 and 50.
The highest failed‑break probability occurs at 21 boxes.
After a 9‑trend ends, watch 21 for the reaction:
Back to recent highs and breaks, or
Failed break; or
Reject at 9 after 21 reactions.
2.10 SPX Intraday Scalp Pattern
Don’t chase the open; wait 1–2 hours for the market to form an intraday box (2–3 h coil).
Enter as the range breaks: you benefit from direction and rising IV (“double whammy”).
2.11 SQUEEZE Pro Indicator (SQZPRO)
Concept: A squeeze occurs when Bollinger Bands compress inside the Keltner Channels (BB inside KC) → energy building.
Dot codes (suggested):
Green: No squeeze
Black: Mild squeeze (BB within 2 ATR KC)
Red: Tight squeeze (BB within 1.5 ATR KC)
Yellow: Very tight (best odds for expansion)
Heuristic: The tighter the compression, the stronger the potential release.
2.12 Backtesting & Strategy Creation
Use TradingView Replay. Segment by regime (bull, bear, or chop).
Test entries, exits, and risk variants.
Purpose: build statistical confidence to keep your “monkey brain” from hijacking.
2.13 QQQ vs SPY for Intraday
SPY: S&P 500 (market‑cap weighted, broader economy).
QQQ: NASDAQ‑100 ex‑financials (tech‑heavy, risk‑on).
Scenarios
Bullish clean: QQQ > SPY, and both above hourly 9.
Bearish clean: QQQ < SPY, and both below hourly 9.
Chop, green day: Market up but QQQ < SPY → grindy.
Chop, red day: Market down and SPY < QQQ → grindy.
Read strength: Compare % change vs prior close.
2.14 Gaps: What & Why
Markets aren’t 24/7; exogenous events (earnings, geopolitics) reset expectations → open ≠ prior close.
How to trade gaps
Treat the gap range as support (gap‑up) or resistance (gap‑down); draw a gap box.
Unfilled gaps are potent S/R. Above, a bullish gap favors continuation until filled.
If the gap is huge, rely on historic zones to seed new levels within.
2.15 Scalps vs Swings
Scalps: minutes–hours; TF ≤ 1h.
Swings: days–weeks; TF ≥ 1h (prefer daily baseline).
Drill down one TF for refined entries; manage to the anchor TF.
Expiration (rules of thumb)
Stocks (scalps): Mon/Tue → same‑week; Wed/Thu/Fri → next‑week.
Indices (scalps): 1–2 DTE, 1–2 OTM.
Swings: Expiry ≥ consolidation length (often 1–1.5× coil duration).
2.16 Which Timeframe Should You Trade?
Real Trading Hours, 1-2 HR → Day trading & scalps (≤1h TF).
After Hours, 1–2 hr → Swings (≥1 hr, ideally daily).
Less than 1 HR → Multi‑week swings or LTI (weekly charts).
GOLD (XAUUSD): Deep Consolidation
This week is very slow for Gold.
The market is stuck within a wide horizontal range on a daily time frame.
With the absence of high impact US fundamentals, I think that probabilities will be high that the market will keep consolidating.
The best strategy to follow for now is to look for trading opportunities from the boundaries of the underlined parallel channel: selling from the resistance and buying from the support after a confirmation.
As the price is closer and closer to the resistance, wait for its test and then look for selling.
That is the plan so far.
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Webull Chart - Robinhood Competitor?Calling all matadors, we got a bull to corral.
I've charted some levels of interest for a speculative hold. Many view webull as a potential competitor for robinhood, although fundamentally, bull is in no-where near in the financial position that hood is in terms of free cash flow and expenses (or innovation as far as I've seen).
This could make a great swing trade on pure technicals. If the brokerage industry sees a period of exuberance(like we've seen in the quantum space), bull could catch a bid. This could also occur if we see a rotation out of hood.
I would love to pick up some shares or calls if the name completes a look below and fail of the anchored volume profile's value area low(around $12.28). or a LBAF of the box bottom @ $10.20.
So far webull has been consolidating. I believe a hold above the VPOC (volume point of control @ $15.43), a breakout of the lower boxes and reclaim of the larger upper box around $18.33-$18.87, could see a push to the mid 20s and 30s at least.
If we are following box rules for that potential trade, then I would not be surprised if bull goes to the box midpoint @ $48.97.
If this thing holds above the VPOC around $15.43 or does a LBAF of either $12.28 or $10.20 it's ripe for picking imo.
Now this is pure speculation, and my analysis could be a shack of shit, who knows, BUT if these set ups present themselves, I would like to roll the dice.
~ The Villain
EURAUD Wave Analysis – 4 November 2025
- EURAUD reversed from support level 1.7600
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.8085
EURAUD currency pair recently reversed from the support zone between the support level 1.7600 (lower border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the pair has been trading from June) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous short-term impulse wave A.
Given the strength of the support level 1.7600 and the bullish euro sentiment seen today across the FX markets, EURAUD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.8085 (upper border of the active sideways price range).
Updated BTC Box - BTC Box 2.0Hella levels to this shit.
BTC's been struggling in the upper box for a while.
Previously achieved a look below and fail but could not go beyond the box's midpoint.
To summarize a bullish event occurred without producing a bullish result. That is objectively bearish to me.
I would like to see how BTC reacts to the previous lows and if we revisit that old bear trap from a year ago.
Maybe we get another look below and fail but I will continue to evaluate.
For now I just want to share the updated levels.
EURCAD: Consolidation Trading 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD is trading in a horizontal range.
The price has just tested its support.
There is a high chance that the price will bounce from that
and reach a resistance of the range soon.
Goal - 1.621
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ZS - 14 months RECTANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
The Interesting part of the marketHello traders, so guys I applied my strategy to this baby and it did work out.. Observe that sui came down hugely before I think it's getting back at it's fit...
The current leap BYBIT:SUIUSDT broke the structure it had and now it's a run, keep a good eye on BYBIT:SUIUSDT
Tesla Macro ChartSharing my Macro Chart.
Use this as a reference for the levels of interest mentioned in my previous tesla post. Added a 30 minute box within the weekly balance box.
I like to personally use this chart to monitor levels intraday on the 30 minute or to plan major shorts or buys.
Some of these levels were drawn a year ago probably but I hope you'll find them useful.
~The Villain
The Chart Talk - Nifty Sideways Broken Despite Huge Gapup !🧭 The Chart Talk – What Market Told Us Today By M Dhanushkumar
Welcome to The Chart Talk – What Market Told Us Today!
Nifty opened with a gap up of nearly 200 points, showing early bullish sentiment. However, after the strong open, the market moved sideways for most of the session, indicating indecision among traders.
Later, Nifty broke the sideways range on the downside, confirmed the move with a retest, and then continued lower to make the day’s low — a clear sign of weakness and profit booking after the early gap-up rally.
This price action shows how the market shifted from early optimism to selling pressure as the session progressed.
Let’s see how it reacts around today’s low in the next session — whether it holds as support or continues the downtrend.
If you found this useful, hit the like, follow for more daily chart talks, and feel free to ask your doubts in the comments!
📈 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Tsla - Box is Box?I have what seems like a thousand tesla charts now...and they are all telling me tesla needs to have a seat soon.
Tesla has been consolidating on the daily timeframe for quite a while now.
What happens if we continue to see presistent failures at the top of box or a look above and fail on the weekly? I'd put my money on a return to value.
At some point, tesla should revert back to the mean and I will be there waiting to LEAP at the opportunity(get it?).
I would love tesla around the weekly volume point of control around $245 area (this may shift as the days go by). If tesla retests the weekly value area high around $314 and is rejected then we may take a trip down to VPOC town.
Granted, for any of this to happen, we would need technicals to cooperate, meaning a LAAF of box and failure to hold the midpoint($384ish), as well as a turn in sentiment.
This could happen this fall or next march, who knows, but I'll be there when it does.
~The Villain
2380 Technical Analysis: Weekly Bullish Breakout in Play2380 (Rabigh Refining & Petrochemical Co.)
Price has broken out of a bullish rectangle pattern on the weekly timeframe, supported by bullish divergence and strong volume. On the monthly chart, it has formed a double bottom and hidden bullish divergence, while continuing to move within a long-term range between 26 and 6 since 2009.
Price is trading above the 55 Fibonacci EMA on the weekly chart — a level it has historically respected as dynamic support and resistance. It has also given a breakout from the daily trendline, further strengthening the bullish structure.
Buy 2 is positioned lower in case of a healthy pullback for a stronger average. TP1 aligns with the rectangle projection, while sustained momentum could open room for price to extend toward 15, 19 and 23.
Recommended Levels:
Buy 1: 9.04 (CMP)
Buy 2: 8.40
Stop Loss: Closing below 7.60
Take Profit 1: 11.00
Take Profit 2: 15.00
Take Profit 3: Ride the trend with a trailing stop
Financially, the stock isn’t too strong — only free cash flow from operating activities and overall FCF remain positive on a quarterly basis.
Potential remains strong technically as long as price sustains above the 55 EMA. Happy trading!
LLY - Beware the MotherbarTaking a closer look at the Eli Lilly chart and noticed that there is a box setup forming on the daily time frame. Specifically this box is the product of a mother bar.
If you take a look the last 4 daily candles have more or less traded within the body of the XXL green candle on the left.
I would be mindful of this mother bar/box in the coming week. Don't get too bulllish at the top or two bearish at the bottom.
I suggest also taking a look at SPY's chart as there is a similar pattern forming, albeit a much more defined motherbar.
A look above and fail of $824 could make a great short, or a look below and fail of $763(A+) or $773(B+) is a great long.
The trendline also sits near that low so if the LBAF plays out that is another supporting confluence for this trade.
Three Paths, One Plan – Walmart (WMT) Weekly Battle MapWalmart just broke to new all-time highs after building a strong base since February. This is a major technical moment — a clean structure that gives us three possible scenarios for the upcoming weeks:
🟢 Scenario 1 – Strong Breakout
Price keeps pushing higher with wide candles, confirming strength.
Plan: Stay long. Add on a clean retest of the pink zone if a color change confirms continuation.
Stop-Loss: Below the green line (~$101).
Target: $120–$125.
🟡 Scenario 2 – False Breakout / Loss of Momentum
If the next few candles stay small and the breakout fades, momentum dries up.
Plan: Reduce exposure or sell into a rebound to manage damage.
Defense Zone: $104–$105.
🔴 Scenario 3 – Stop & Reversal
If next week’s candle completely erases the breakout bar with a violent move, that triggers a reversal short.
Condition: Full candle wipeout with a close below the breakout body.
Target: Lower base of the range around $93 ±.
🎯 Final Take
As long as price holds above the pink zone ($105–$107), bias remains bullish.
Only a strong rejection and weekly close below $101 would confirm a reversal toward $93.
EURUSD – Triple Top Zone Formed | Correction Expected Before FX:EURUSD
📊 📉
Market Overview
EURUSD continues to respect its ascending structure but is currently struggling to break above the top resistance, forming equal highs — a liquidity trap area.
A clean rejection here could drive price toward the 1.1620–1.1610 demand base before the next bullish impulse.
Buyers are expected to re-enter at this region to continue the broader bullish leg.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → After correction to 1.1620–1.1610, expect move toward 🎯 1.1650 | 🎯 1.1680
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Break below 1.1600 may shift structure toward 1.1560 zone
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 1.1645 – 1.1650
Support 🟢 1.1620 – 1.1600
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Decision Zone Ahead | Bulls Holding DemandTVC:GOLD
Market Overview
Gold has shown repeated rejections from the demand base, confirming aggressive buyer interest.
Every retest of the yellow box created higher lows, showing accumulation before a potential expansion toward new highs.
If bulls hold above 4 200, continuation toward the 4 228–4 235 zone (previous all-time-high region) is expected.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1 4 218 | 🎯 Target 2 4 230 | 🎯 Target 3 4 240
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Rejection from decision zone → Retest of 4 185 then 4 165
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 4 218 – 4 230
Support 🟢 4 185 – 4 165
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Ebay Wave Analysis – 14 October 2025
- Barclays reversed from key support level 87.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 94.20
Ebay recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 87.00 (lower boundary of the sideways price range from August), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
The upward reversal from this support area created daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Ebay can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 94.20 (which stopped earlier waves a and B).
Nzd/Usd - Bounce or BreakSupport Zone (Blue Box):
This area shows multiple rejections of lower prices (marked with “S” and triple taps), forming a Triple Bottom or potential Inverse Head & Shoulders structure, hinting at bullish reversal potential.
Resistance Zone (Red Box, labeled "R"):
This is a supply zone where price previously consolidated before continuing lower. Now price is testing it again. A break above this zone could signal trend reversal and continuation to the upside.
Two Potential Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Price breaks above Resistance (R).
Could trigger buy entries, targeting the next resistance (marked “TARGET” above).
Confirmation would be a strong candle close above the red box and EMA crossover.
Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection
Price rejects the Resistance zone.
Could trigger short entries if price breaks below the support (S).
Target is the lower support zone (marked “TARGET” below).
Key Levels
Resistance (R): ~0.56940 - 0.56960
Support (S): ~0.56830 - 0.56860
Trade Ideas (Not Financial Advice)
Bullish Setup
Entry: Break and retest above 0.56960
Stop-loss: Below 0.56890
Target: 0.57100+
Bearish Setup
Entry: Rejection at resistance, break below 0.56830
Stop-loss: Above 0.56960
Target: 0.56650






















