When Chips are down; invest if you can and hedge if you must. Having soared in 2020 & 2021, semiconductor shares tanked brutally as tremors from geopolitics, sinking consumer confidence and bloated inventory struck.
Q4 overhang is dragging the industry down in the near term, which might have set a bearish outlook in the short-term, but times are changing....
Stagflation bros in shambles...Crude oil seems likely to collapse from here, which might be a tailwind for earnings over time. Inflation hysteria had reached insane levels, and perma bears and perma oil bull Canadian Fintwit types/value investors and other assorted flavors of losers of the 2009-2021 market had flocked to the theory that we would get stagflation...
I'm short $AAPL here, I think it is at risk if tensions escalate further with China, after $NVDA and $AMD were banned from exporing sensitive AI related gear to China. The chart shows a weekly down trend has popped and a monthly decline can confirm on close if it stays down long enough. Downside is substantial, as seen on chart, the last weekly trend hit the...
