RKLB train is ready to departNASA awarded Blue Origin a firm-fixed-price contract worth up to $700 million on September 1, 2026, to design, build, launch, and operate the Mars Telecommunications Network (MTN) orbiter, beating out competing bidder Rocket Lab (RKLB). The news was most likely known ahead of time and triggered consistent selling at around $80 down to $60.
Now, at the bottom of the short term downtrend, we see new announcements.
- Berenberg initiated coverage on the U.S. and European space sector, assigning a Buy rating to Rocket Lab (RKLB).
- ARK Invest doubled down on two high-growth targets, purchasing $38.1 million in Block and $12.8 million in Rocket Lab USA while simultaneously reducing its stake in several major tech stocks.
- Rocket Lab reached a major milestone by successfully deploying its 94th Electron rocket, carrying a new Earth-observation satellite into orbit for Synspective.
RKLB is ready to move up very soon. The chart looks attractive in a number of ways:
- Confluence: Order block fill around low $60s and price nearing ascending trendline support
- Price is trading below volume POC around $80
- MFI is depressed into oversold territory
- RSI is curling up to go higher
- ASTS and RKLB seem to trade as a pair and they share a similar chart structure. The fact that ASTS popped today is another reason to turn bullish here.
I suspect the price is going to zigzag possibly forming an ABC pattern starting from tomorrow until earnings in an ascending triangle. Since the last ER dumped despite positive results, I imagine the next ER has a higher chance of making a 10-25% move. Perhaps, we'll see $100 then.
Rsioversold
How to Trade RSI Divergence at Key Support Zones**🚀 How to Trade RSI Divergence at Key Support Zones**
The high-probability framework for combining momentum indicators with structural price action. Here is a 4-step framework to spot high-confluence reversal setups using RSI Divergence on key demand levels.
---
### **1. Identify Major Support & Resistance**
Before looking at indicator signals, map out your key structural levels. Locate high-timeframe demand zones or strong support where price has historically reacted.
* **Key Demand Zone:** Look for clear horizontal support levels (e.g., 4,450 – 4,460 on XAU/USD).
* **Order Flow Alignment:** Ensure the level aligns with major structural support or institutional liquidity pools.
> **Golden Rule:** *Never trade RSI signals in mid-air. An indicator signal is only valid when it occurs directly inside a key price zone.*
---
### **2. Check for Extreme Oversold Conditions**
Once price aggressively drops into your predefined support level, evaluate the Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum.
* Look for RSI readings dropping sharply below **30** (hitting extreme levels like 21.00 - 25.00).
* Extreme oversold readings indicate momentum exhaustion, signaling that sellers are overextended into support.
---
### **3. Confirm Bullish RSI Divergence**
Compare the price lows against the RSI indicator lows inside the support zone:
* **Price:** Making lower lows or equal lows at the support zone.
* **RSI Indicator:** Making higher lows (rising momentum).
* **Significance:** This divergence proves institutional accumulation is taking place—selling volume is drying up while buyers are quietly stepping in.
---
### **4. Optimal Entry & Risk Management Sequence**
Wait for price action confirmation before executing your position:
1. **Trigger:** Wait for a 30M bullish reversal candle (Pin Bar or Engulfing) closing inside the support level while divergence is active.
2. **Stop Loss (SL):** Place strictly below the invalidation level (recent swing low under support).
3. **Take Profit (TP):** Target the nearest dynamic moving average or the previous lower high/liquidity pool.
---
**Disclaimer:** *This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always follow strict risk management principles.*
Hut price target $100Hut just showed a signal to buy on MACD, confirmed by earlier signal on RSI stochastic. It should mean at least a temporary reverse of the current down trend.
Bellow 81 is a support, that was formed back in May. And arround 100 there is a sell block.
With the current price about 86, we are looking for a potential move up for a little over than 15%.
Stop loss can be set up bellow the local minimum at 76.
This could be a potential candidate for a wheel option play. Selling puts for 9/18 at 75 currently can give you about $380 premium. 80 follar strike provides about $560. And if you don't mind to be assigned and own the stock, the 85 dollar strike do over $800 premium, bringing down the share price to under $77, which stands near the support.
VWRSI Crossovers & Extremes (Trading Tops & Bottoms)Stop Trading RSI Too Early — Wait for the Release 🚦
Most traders buy at oversold and sell at overbought. That often gets them in too early—or out of a strong trend too soon.
VWRSI improves the timing by waiting for momentum to leave the extreme and confirm with a cloud color change.
🔵 Blue dots on the chart was added to show you how the chart reacted to the horizontal yellow (extreme release & color change).
🟢 Bullish setup
VWRSI exits oversold + Cloud turns green
🔴 Bearish setup
VWRSI exits overbought + Cloud turns red
Trim, exit, or look for short setups
The chart shows why the best trade is often not at the extreme—but after momentum confirms the turn.
ONDS is ready to popONDS has been heavily shorted, but the long-term story is only improving. In various interviews, I've watched the CEO deliver a compelling story for the future and it seemed ONDS has a chance to become a drone empire. I was so convinced that I decided to invest my 401K and ROTH accounts in ONDS.
On the technical front, I see we may be ready to start a bull run.
- 61.80% retracement from all time lows to recent highs
- RSI is oversold
- SMI is ready to move up after a failed attempt in early July
- Descending trendline will soon be tested and broken
- The last three candles are identical to a morning (doji) star pattern
Being patient and sitting through short-term volatility is the key to success. ONDS issued long-dated common stock warrants with an exercise price of $28.00 per share as part of a major $1 billion institutional financing package that closed in January 2026. This will be a potential 10x banger in the years to come, so $28 is not the upper ceiling.
ONDS is ready to pop as early as Tuesday or Wednesday (July 21-22).
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 11 — Core IndicatorsLesson 11 - Core Indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands)
Difficulty: Intermediate
The indicators on your chart are built from the same price data you already see. The four covered here are among the most widely followed in technical analysis — knowing how to read them can add useful context to your setups.
🔵 WHAT INDICATORS ACTUALLY DO
An indicator does not see the future — it reorganizes past price (and sometimes volume) into a different visual form. That can make certain conditions easier to spot: fading momentum, stretched moves, or quiet periods before expansion.
Two useful categories to keep in mind:
- Oscillators (RSI, Stochastic) — move between fixed bounds; often more useful in ranging markets
- Trend/momentum tools (MACD, Bollinger Bands) — follow price openly; often more useful for reading trend strength and volatility
No indicator needs to be traded on its own. Most experienced traders use them as context on top of the structure you learned in earlier lessons.
🔵 RSI — RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX
RSI measures the speed of recent price changes on a 0–100 scale.
- Above 70 → often described as overbought (momentum stretched to the upside)
- Below 30 → often described as oversold (momentum stretched to the downside)
Important nuance: in a strong trend, RSI can stay overbought or oversold for a long time. A high reading alone is not a sell signal.
One of the more widely watched RSI signals is divergence — price makes a new high while RSI makes a lower high (or the reverse at lows). This can suggest momentum is fading, especially when confirmed by a reversal pattern from Lesson 7.
🔵 MACD — MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGENCE DIVERGENCE
MACD builds directly on the moving averages from Lesson 10. It shows the relationship between a faster and a slower average of price, plus a signal line and a histogram.
Common ways traders read it:
- MACD line crossing the signal line — can indicate a shift in short-term momentum
- Histogram shrinking — the current push may be losing strength
- MACD crossing the zero line — often read as a broader momentum shift
Because MACD is built from moving averages, it lags by design. It tends to work better for confirming momentum than for picking exact tops and bottoms.
🔵 STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR
The Stochastic compares the latest close to the recent high–low range: readings near 100 mean price is closing near the top of its recent range, near 0 means the bottom.
- Above 80 / below 20 → commonly used overbought/oversold zones
- %K crossing %D inside those zones → a frequently watched trigger
Stochastic tends to shine in sideways markets, where price rotates between support and resistance (Lesson 3). In strong trends it can stay pinned at extremes, so many traders only take its signals in the direction of the larger trend.
🔵 BOLLINGER BANDS
Bollinger Bands wrap a moving average with an upper and lower band that expand and contract with volatility.
- Wide bands → volatile conditions
- Narrow bands (the "squeeze") → quiet conditions that often precede expansion — direction unknown until price shows its hand
- Band walk → in strong trends, price can ride along one band for extended periods; touching a band is not by itself a reversal signal
A squeeze followed by a decisive close outside the bands, supported by volume (Lesson 9), is one of the more commonly watched volatility setups.
In the chart above: notice how the bands tightened in late December while price moved sideways — quiet conditions. The expansion arrived in late January with a strong break to the downside. The squeeze suggested a bigger move may be building, but the direction only became clear once the break happened.
🔵 COMBINING THEM WITHOUT CLUTTER
More indicators does not mean more clarity. A practical approach:
- Pick at most one oscillator and one trend/volatility tool
- Let structure lead: levels, trend, and volume first — indicators as confirmation
- Avoid stacking indicators that measure the same thing (RSI + Stochastic together mostly repeat each other)
🔵 COMMON MISTAKES
- Selling just because RSI is above 70 in a strong uptrend
- Taking every MACD crossover in a ranging market, where whipsaws are frequent
- Treating a Bollinger Band touch as an automatic reversal signal
- Loading five indicators and losing sight of price itself
🐳 PRO TIPS
- Divergence signals often carry more weight on higher timeframes — a 4H or daily divergence tends to matter more than a 5-minute one.
- When an oscillator signal appears at a level you already marked (Lesson 3) inside a clear trend (Lesson 2), the context is doing most of the work — the indicator is just the trigger.
- Try removing all indicators for a week and trading structure only, then add one back. Many traders find this reveals which tool actually helps them.
- Default settings (RSI 14, MACD 12/26/9, Stochastic 14/3/3, BB 20/2) are a starting point — consistency matters more than optimization.
If this lesson helped you, drop a comment with the indicator you rely on most — and let us know which topic you want covered next. 🐳
Full Trading Roadmap | Classical TA Course
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 01 — Mastering the Chart
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 02 — Mastering Trends
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 03 — Support & Resistance
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 04 — Price Channels
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 05 — Single Candle Patterns
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 06 — Multi-Candle Patterns
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 07 — Reversal Chart Patterns
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 08 — Continuation Chart Patterns
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 09 — Volume Analysis
Trading Roadmap | Classical TA · Lesson 10 — Moving Averages
Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳
China H Shares ($CHINAHHKD) Update: Approaching 100% Fib China H Shares ( OANDA:CHINAHHKD ) Update: Approaching 100% Fib & Macro LTB – RSI Oversold Triggers Imminent +6% Bounce Fractally
### 🇨🇳 China H Shares Index ( OANDA:CHINAHHKD ) Daily Technical Update (Ref: CHINAHHKD_2026-06-19_08-59-57.png)
We are releasing a high-priority structural update on the China H Shares Index ( OANDA:CHINAHHKD - OANDA) on the Daily (1D) timeframe. Our previous bearish targets are on the verge of full completion as the index flushes into a major multi-layered institutional demand cluster.
The index is currently trading down heavily at **7,949.3 (-1.85%)**, rapidly accelerating into our primary exhaustion zone.
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### 🔍 The Convergence Zone: 100% Fibonacci & Descending LTB
The immediate price action is diving straight into a high-probability technical reversal nest (highlighted by the lower green circle):
1. **Quantitative Target:** The **1.0 Fibonacci expansion node sits exactly at 7,849.1**, acting as a mathematical terminal point for this downward leg.
2. **Dynamic Support Line (LTB):** This level perfectly intersects with the lower parallel boundary of the primary descending macro channel (the lower red diagonal LTB).
3. **Institutional Trend Filter:** The broader trend remains lower underneath the flat **200-period EMA (purple line at 8,727.0)**, which defines this upcoming setup strictly as a tactical mean-reversion counter-trend play.
---
### 📊 RSI Oversold Analogy: The March 2026 Fractal
The momentum metrics are flashing an intense exhaustion signal that cannot be ignored by swing traders:
* **The RSI Metric:** The **14-period RSI has plummeted to 28.73**, driving deep into extreme **Oversold territory** (lower green circle).
* **The Historical Analogy:** We point out an explicit structural fractal from **March 2026** (noted on the chart). The last time the daily RSI swept into this exact oversold depth, it triggered an aggressive institutional volume absorption. That specific footprint generated a sharp, rapid counter-trend recovery of **+6.37% (+534.4 points) within just 13 trading sessions**.
### Tactical Outlook & Execution Strategy:
The matrix is heavily overextended to the downside. Chasing shorts at the current print carries a highly unfavourable risk/reward profile. Instead, we are shifts our bias to **Alert/Watch** for a sharp technical bounce.
We are actively scanning lower timeframes for immediate volume reversal signals, long-wick candle rejections, or initial accumulation bars inside the **7,900 – 7,849** node. A defensive long position with a concise structural stop below the 1.0 Fib line offers a highly asymmetric risk profile targeting a mathematical mean-reversion bounce back toward local resistance.
---
📊 **ChartPro Data** | By Rogerio Zaglia
*Asian Indices Architecture, Fractal Momentum Studies & Systematic Cluster Sourcing.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
XAG/USD: The Fed hit the reset button the real trade begins!Silver is not broken; it is on sale. The metal has gone through one of the toughest macro environments that it could have experienced in the course of 48 hours –a hard stance from new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh on rates being lifted at least twice before end-year, and then a peace deal between the US and Iran that takes away the geopolitical premiums supporting it. The combination led to a one-day 4.95% slide from $85.08 on the open down to $75.03, pulling price further back to the $68.80 level and erasing several weeks of gains. While to an uninformed observer this might appear to be a market ready to roll over, anyone who knows how silver ticks will understand that this is a perfect setup. A fifth consecutive yearly supply deficit in the amount of 46.3 million ounces expected by 2026 according to the Silver Institute still remains unaltered. The AI infrastructure build-out taking place through its industrial demand has not altered, nor have China’s investments in energy storage technology.
The daily chart finds itself at an extremely important crossroads. Although the short-term losses are obvious in terms of EMA 9 and EMA 20 , which form the ceiling resistance, EMA 200 serves as a strong foundation level. The RSI at 40.24 is nearing oversold levels ; an area that has typically attracted disciplined institutional buying and implies that the market has not been abandoned by investors. Although the MACD line and signal indicate a bearish setting, the fact that the histogram is shrinking implies that the downward momentum is slowing down.
Trade recommendation
Direction : Long
Entry : $67.50 – $69.50
Primary target : $75.00
Secondary target : $80.00
Stop loss: $64.60
Technical scenarios
Bullish recovery : RSI approaches the 38–40 support zone before curling higher. Stabilization above $67.50, supported by easing oil inflation from the Iran deal, allows silver’s monetary and industrial demand drivers to reassert control.
Consolidation grind : Prices range-bound between $67.50 and $72.00 as the market digests geopolitical and central bank signals. This represents accumulation rather than trend reversal; the long entry thesis remains intact.
Bearish breakdown : A daily close below the $64.60 EMA 200 signals a failure of the structural bull thesis. This scenario requires a breakdown of the Iran ceasefire and hawkish escalation from the Fed. In this event, support shifts to the $60–$63 range.
Google (Alphabet) in consolidating channel, bounce off 50-Day MAHey guys/gals.
I'm keeping this one really simple - no over exaggeration or technical indicators that will overcomplicate things.
We can see that NASDAQ:GOOG ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) recently entered a downward consolidation channel, which is quite common after a strong run up. The pullback looks controlled, and Google showed a lot of strength considering Friday's NASDAQ:NDX slump of 4%.
The technical picture on the daily chart is quite simple, with Stochastic RSI suggesting oversold territory. The most recent bounce within the downward channel also appeared to happen for two reasons: a bounce of the 50-Day SMA (white line) and a bounce of the support level around $350.
Multiple signs of strength/support like this is what makes me quite bullish, though cautiously depending how this upcoming week looks.
Note: Not financial advice - please do your DD as well before making an investment/trading decisions!
NATGAS:What is the Shoulder season? Trading the TransitionThe shoulder season includes the periods of Spring (March to May) and Autumn (September to November) where demand is lower.
Important Trader Concepts:
Bearish Trend : Low demand in case of moderate weather usually makes the prices fall.
Storage Builds : The market tends to build supplies. High stockpiles may create capitulation stages in the price.
Technical Stability : The prices tend to trade in narrow descending channels while waiting for the next weather event.
Knowing the shoulder season is crucial for timing momentum plays and the last flush before Summer prices.
Natgas: $2.87 resistance test , 3 scenarios to watchThere is no doubt that the US Natural Gas is at the panic selling phase. With the current price at $2.72, the market price seems to be testing its lower end of the normal seasonal range. This is due to the persistent decline in the low-volume season where any anxiety about international supply does not seem to matter.
On the technical end, the $2.74 area is a vital point for the bulls. The market is trapped in a descending channel with the 50-day EMA being a barrier that has capped every recovery attempt since early in March. The RSI is reading at 50.49. After having resisted at the 50-mark, the indicator signals that the asset still needs to drop by another 6-10 points before reaching the zone of deep oversold levels..
Trade recommendation :
Direction: Short
Entry Zone: $2.72 – $2.95 .
Target: $2.45
Stop Loss: $3.12.
Technical Scenarios:
Bearish:
Trigger: A clean break and daily close below $2.45.
Potential Outcome: Acceleration toward $2.15 as technical stops are triggered.
Mean Reversion:
Trigger: RSI drops below 30.
Potential Outcome: A tactical short squeeze rally toward $3.10 to retest the 50-day EMA.
Sideways Consolidation:
Trigger: Price remains trapped between $2.50 and $2.95.
Potential Outcome: Choppy trading as the market digests the current storage overhang.
MN HOLDINGS - Selling Pressure Exhausted?MN HOLDINGS - CURRENT PRICE : RM1.52
Company profile : MN Holdings Bhd is a competent solution provider specializing in infrastructure utilities construction, with a primary focus on the power industry in Malaysia. It offers engineering services and solutions, supported by the necessary machinery, labor, and expertise for successful project execution. The Group mainly serves customers in the power, gas, sewerage, and telecommunications sectors within Malaysia. Its operations are organized into main reportable segments, including underground utilities engineering services and solutions; substation engineering services and solutions, including trading and supplying; and investment holding and management services. The majority of revenue is generated from the substation engineering segment.
TECHNICAL VIEW :
MN Holdings is currently in a healthy medium-term uptrend and has pulled back to a high-probability support zone.
Why this setup looks attractive:
1️⃣ EMA 200 Reversal Zone
Price is trading near the EMA 200, which has acted as a strong dynamic support previously (green highlighted area). Past pullbacks to this level have led to rebounds.
2️⃣ Volume Expansion
Recent candles show higher trading volume (look at red arrow), suggesting institutional interest / strong participation near support — often seen before a price rebound.
3️⃣ RSI at Oversold Area (~30)
RSI is currently in the oversold zone. Historically, every time RSI reached this level, price rebounded higher (look at orange circles). This increases the probability of a technical bounce.
Trade Plan (Swing Setup):
🟢 ENTRY PRICE : RM1.50 - RM1.52
🎯 Target 1: EMA 50 around RM1.66
🎯 Target 2: Previous resistance near RM1.80
🛑 Invalidation / Support: RM1.40 (strong horizontal support)
Summary : Price is resting near strong support (EMA 200 + horizontal support), selling pressure looks exhausted (oversold RSI), and buyers are stepping in (high volume). This creates a favourable risk–reward setup for a technical rebound.
📌 Always manage risk and follow your trading plan. This is a technical view, not financial advice.
CPB at disgustingly low pricesCPB is a crazy buy (imo) right now. It is currently at 2003 prices, ~1990 prices when adjusted for inflation. Also consider that since 1990, it has decreased outstanding shares from ~400 million shares to ~300 million shares. This shows that beyond the straightforward discounted price comparison, each share controls somewhere around 20-30% more of the company, i.e., each share is more valuable. Further consider that their revenue has increased consistently the last few years (~8 billion in 2018 vs ~10 billion today) (I cannot find historical data back to 1990 unfortunately). If that is not enough for you, take a look at their dividend yield at over 7% right now. Momentum traders are all out because it has been bearish for years. Now is the time to step in if you're a dividend trader or value trader. Yes, their margins have been cut a bit from inflation and tariffs, but CPB has survived many recessions and maintained consistent dividends through them.
Personally, I feel so confident on this trade I finally decided to give options trading another go. If you're unfamiliar with futures or find them to be too risky, you can skip this paragraph. I bought a January 2028 call with strike price of $30 for $1.45. If it has a massive up day after all this selling, this can easily be a quick 100% profit. If I understand chatGPT correctly here, its IV is relatively low because it has been consistently going down, so there's profit on the volatility in addition to the actual price movement (delta I think?).
If all of this is not enough to convince you CPB is priced at criminally low prices, consider the fact that they have fallen about 15% in the last week despite only seeing ~5% drop in profit margins. What is the justification for that kind of tumble, especially on a blue-chip food stock?
Also, just look at that crazy low RSI on the month chart, literally at historic lows for the company (feel free to look at other time frames, they are also pretty beaten down).
The biggest potential issue I see is that they do have a relatively high amount of long-term debt historically from recent acquisitions, but almost everything else about this trade looks insane to me.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content on this post is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. You should consult with a professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs.
BITCOIN usually bottoms just after THIS happensSuper simple big picture analysis
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) log chart - long term rising trendline + weekly oversold RSI.
In the past it has either made a low concurrently with the RSI max oversold level OR it has formed RSI bullish divergence whereby price makes one more swing lower while RSI stays out of oversold terriroy forming a higher low.
Theese are the 2 long term bullish setups.
If these fail.. IMO... timberrrrrrr
But's that's just my thoughts, what do you think? Pls share
Waiting for capitulation for a generational buyLooks bearish, all over, apart from one thing: the RSI has finally reached oversold territory. While we are likely to go lower before rebounding, this looks more like a generational bottom than a dead cat bounce bottom style that is forming, due to the significant sell-off that has already occurred. Anything below $60K in this time-frame is a buy, even if only to see rejection around $100K.
Bitcoin Weekly Downtrend Liquidity Zones RSI WeaknessOn the BTCUSDT weekly timeframe, the market structure clearly shows a continuation of the downtrend with consistent lower lows. The RSI is gradually moving toward oversold territory, signaling sustained weakness rather than a reversal. At the same time, selling liquidity is slowly drying out, which often precedes deeper liquidity hunts before any meaningful recovery.
From a liquidity perspective, the 70K zone has already been cleared. The next major liquidity pool is visible around 60K, followed by a deeper zone near 44K. In an extreme macro scenario such as a recession or global risk-off event, Bitcoin could revisit the 30K region, with a very low-probability extension toward 18K–19K. These levels are not predictions but possible downside liquidity targets based on historical price behavior.
At this stage, price discovery remains bearish, and there is no confirmation of trend reversal. A sustainable upside move is unlikely without a strong weekly candle close reclaiming key resistance levels. Until that confirmation appears, expectations should remain conservative.
From a long-term accumulation perspective, the 50K–40K range stands out as a high-probability cost-averaging zone, provided the market stabilizes within this region. Patience is critical, as early entries without weekly confirmation carry higher risk.
This bearish outlook is not sudden. The downside scenario was highlighted earlier, starting from late September and October, and the market continues to respect that structure. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining where the next major higher-timeframe support forms.
ETH at Major Demand Zone | Oversold RSI Signals Potential BounceEthereum is currently trading at a major high-timeframe demand zone, highlighted in green. This level has acted as a strong support area multiple times in the past, consistently producing bullish reactions after deep pullbacks.
An important confluence to note is the RSI dropping below 30, signaling oversold conditions. Historically, on this chart, every instance where RSI fell below 30 resulted in a noticeable price bounce, indicating downside exhaustion and aggressive dip-buying from this zone.
With price now revisiting this proven support while momentum is oversold, the probability of a short-term to mid-term bounce increases, provided this demand zone holds.
Key Points:
- Price at a strong, well-tested HTF support/demand zone
- RSI below 30, historically followed by bullish rebounds
- Sellers showing signs of exhaustion at key structure
We should wait for confirmation, such as bullish candle closes, momentum shift, or structure reclai,m before entering. A sustained breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would invalidate the bullish bias.
Cheers
Hexa
Netflix More Downside? Always consider the MACRO.Hello. With Netflix's recent buzz, its a stock that everyone is hyperfixating on. With no surprise ofcourse, and like everyone else i do consider it now more than ever a stock to have our attentions on and observe.
Million dollar question literally. Is now the time to BUY? Being such a powerhouse many people DCA into this stock regardless. But i say WHY just DCA. Why not consider the most optimal area to buy? Maximize your capital....
So my opinion, i do believe it is a little too early to answer this question. From what i can gather on the Macro (1 week timeframe in this example).
We have reached a Support area for sure. But in order to consider this area as a potential Long area, we need more data in the form of solid bullish candle prints on 1 week timeframe.
I would also like a test of and breakout/confirmation of the resistance trendline pushing us down. This would ease me out of defence and into buy.
AND most importantly the RSI indicates a longer period of sell off as per PREVIOUS Price data or history of netflix. BUT do note that previous history is not an indication that price action will repeat exactly how it did before. BUT we do have to consider it.
WE have just pierced the 20 level, and technically RSI can get to lower levels.
Previously we continues to sell off for 188 days after piercing the 20 level.
This may hypothetically coincide with price moving towards and attempting to test support at the previous Major Support trendline.
Well all things considered. We must be patient, humble ourselves and CONSIDER EVERYTHING.
Tune in for more analysis as i continue to put attention on and observe Netflix.
GBPNZD pullback to key higher TF MAsWaiting to see if GBPNZD pulls lower into these 3 higher time frame moving averages. The daily 200SMA, weekly 50SMA and monthly 10EMA have lined up for what could be a glorious long setup. 1H & 4H RSI oversold with the daily nearly in this area as well. Watching closely.
BTC 80% Chance of Another Low, BUT First...On 11/22/25 , Bitcoin experienced a relatively rare event: the Daily RSI dropped below 26 . On the Coinbase COINBASE:BTCUSD chart, this has occurred only 20 times historically since December 2014. By analyzing the price action following each occurrence, we can estimate the probability of future behavior when RSI reaches these extreme levels.
The results of each occurrence are summarized in the table shown on the chart.
The table includes:
Dates when RSI fell below 26
Whether price eventually made a lower low ( 16 out of 20 times, or 80% )
Maximum bullish move from the Daily swing low close to the highest wick before correcting (average +16% )
Time to reach that swing high (average 8 days )
Time to reach a new lower low (average 22 days )
The 16 times price eventually made lower low are marked with red or purple vertical lines . The 4 times it did not make a lower low are marked with green vertical lines .
Key Observations
When RSI drops below 26, it typically signals strong bearish momentum , but it is also often followed by a bullish RSI divergence as price forms a higher low in momentum. Historically, a lower low formed 80% of the time , suggesting a high probability of another downside move for BTC in the weeks ahead.
At present:
RSI bottomed at 22.93 on 11/22/25
BTC has already rallied ~11% from the swing low
We are currently at day 21 without a new lower low
All of these metrics remain well within historical norms .
However, there is an interesting nuance. Of the 16 cases where a lower low eventually formed , only 4 took more than 20 days to do so . In all 4 cases (marked with purple vertical lines) , BTC tested the Weekly 12 EMA before making the next leg lower (with a minor exception on the11/24/19 case, where a marginal lower low formed before a strong push above the Weekly 12 EMA).
The Weekly 12 EMA currently sits around $100,000 , suggesting BTC may test this level before any further meaningful correction.
ACTIONALBLE SCENARIOS
If this is a bear market:
Passive investors: Continue dollar-cost averaging at your preferred interval.
Active investors: Consider taking partial or full profits if BTC trades above $100,000 . Set calendar alerts for October 2026 and/or below $50,000 to resume heavier accumulation when BTC may bottom this bear cycle.
Swing traders: Consider Long setups below $86,800 with a stop-loss at $83,500, targeting the Weekly 12 EMA (~$100,000) , with an extended target around $101,000 .
If this is still a bull market:
Price will likely make a lower low to below $80,000 before a bullish move.
Passive investors: Continue dollar-cost averaging.
Active investors / swing traders: Continue accumulating below $86,800 , with heavier accumulation around $78,370 .
Hope this study helps add context to current price action. Trade safe everyone, PEACE.
Nasdaq MomentumFollowing the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision, the ''RSI'' on the 4-hour chart is near the oversold zone. Price action has respected the key support area, as evidenced by multiple long lower wicks, indicating strong buying interest at these levels. Additionally, the ''Institution Radar'' indicator suggests that volume is well synchronized with price movement, implying transparent market participation and confirming the bullish momentum. Overall, these factors collectively support the likelihood of a near-term upward price continuation.






















