Still in hedge short to protect US stock profits, but from the looks of $ES and $CL $USDRUB is going to 100. Could test the middle of the channel like it did last time or breakout from the falling wedge shortly. Ready to flip long.
I updated the chart as structure changed from earlier pattern (see related). Double three W-X-Y extended the consolidation. I think crude oil (see related) will dip again so its natural that USDRUB will move higher for ruble weakness.
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Watch for the pullback to meet the Ruble for the price range 72-69 during this year.
RUB had a great volatility in the last month. After performing whole impulse (87 or about), a relative stability will come....
There is a strong Resistance Key Level 75.484. If the price will back to it we can look for Buy entry. The best trade will be after the false breakout. Push like if you think this is a useful idea! Before to trade my ideas make your own analysis. Write your comments and questions here! Thanks for your support!
Previous ideas reached the targets (see related). But this pair didn't fully emerge therefore I expect it to retest the former top of Y2016 at 85.90. It will be wave 5. Wave 4 is unfolding now and it could be flat/zigzag or a triangle as in the larger degree preceding correction.
This pair hit the target set in my earlier post (see related). But it looks like it is not yet done. There is an ABC flat correction building on the chart and wave C down is pending. After that the move up could emerge to hit 80 - at that level the large second leg would hit 1.272 of the first leg up and 0.618 of the move preceding the current flat correction.
So many talks about RUB and Oil last days. Well, as for oil - was waiting this downtrend since January , a lot of people told me that im incorrect and USOIL will go up... now its about 30$ per barrel, and im sure that this is not the end ( ofc oil will make a correction before going down again). And now ruble . In 2018 we've made wave (1) and whole 2019 was a...
USDRUB PAIR IS FORMED BEARISH DRAGON PATTERN. TARGET 58.
Not financial advise. Similarity between $USDTRY and $USDRUB -Violation of symmetrical triangle -Fib 0.705 taken out -Clean breakout on Weekly/other Macro Target 1: aiming for the highs, of course. FX_IDC:USDRUB
As widely expected USDRUB selling off from the 64.2x highs and a good time to collect half our chips from the table. Well done sellers, a textbook zigzag and flawless trade since the channel breakup so far. The spike was a textbook flushout with US sanctions acting as the catalyst. For those tracking the previous diagrams the flows are wide open in the...
As widely expected we got a test of the highs at 64.2x once the channel was broken (see diagram). The ladder is light and I like to play this tight range and look for a test of the lows. "Eyes here, looking to sell 64.2x on the day..." - This is currently in play, although risk is showing now signs of abating the low sizings are keeping a test of the lows on...
I will keep this one quick as it is Friday afternoon... its clear that high beta has been in demand from some faster hands of late. Nothing of meaningful weight in the ladder, I think we will test the highs before pulling back. Another technical break to the topside in play with some strong US data. This looks set to test the highs in USDRUB for now. Tactical long...
A very advanced playing field in commodities and commodity currencies and with offshore sharks on the sell side in USDRUB there is a lot more room to go. The highs at 63.50 will act as strong resistance while to the downside initial targets located at 62.7x, 61.5x and the final swing clear at 60. This is the same levels from the previous diagram: No surprises...
I expect the reversal soon as strong bullish divergence has been accumualted on MACD and the price almost reached the trendline support, which was awaited earlier (see related chart). The wave Y (yellow) could rocket to the RUB 76 area where Y=W. It will be a huge devaluation.
Pattern: Channel Down on 1M. Signal: Bullish and bearish reversal once the MACD shifts to bearish. Ideally near the red resistance zone. Target: 61.000.