RUSSELL targeting 2600 on this Bullish Leg.Russell 2000 (RUT) has been trading within an 8-month Channel Up since the April 07 market bottom and following its latest correction (Bearish Leg), it recovered this week its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), having already started the new Bullish Leg.
The minimum rise a Bullish Leg had within this pattern has been +13.73%. As a result, we expect the current one to hit at least 2600. Notice also the 1D MACD Bullish Cross, which has always been a confirmation of a new rally.
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Russell
RUSSELL 25-year Channel Up giving a Sell Signal soon.Russell 2000 (RUT) has been trading within a 25-year Channel Up since the March 2000 High, which was the Top of the A.I. Bubble. Since then it only broke once during the 2008 Housing Crisis. Once recovered, it has used all standard macro levels of Support as short, medium and long-term buy entries respectively, with those being the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
The April 2025 rebound, which is the market's most recent rally, took place right on the 1M MA100. The index is however approaching the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up, which since the 2000 High, has provided almost all rejection points, being the strongest Sell Signal (exception 2021, which was the mega-pump recovery following the March 2020 COVID flash crash).
As you can see, the market has historically started a correction on the 2nd test/ rejection on the 0.236 Fib. Out of those 3 corrections, two of them took place after the index broke above the 0.236 Fib and one just below it. All however have pulled-back to at least the 0.382 (blue) Fib. The key here however is to determine the exact High so that you can draw the 0.382 Fib retracement.
The only condition that most likely won't be fulfilled (as it happened on all previous cases), is that the 1M RSI most likely won't break above the 70.00 overbought level before the correction happens. So there's question mark there.
As for our Target, we expect at least 2230 (Fib 0.382) to get hit around mid 2026.
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Russell 2000: Is the lagging small-cap about to charge higher?Russell 2000 is the laggard, while the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow scale new record highs.
Could small caps be next to break out?
While all major US equity indices are hitting new all-time highs, the Russell 2000 is still consolidating just below resistance. This sets up a pivotal moment for traders as the Fed decision looms and Q4 earnings heat up.
Price is holding above the lower trendline of a potential ascending triangle pattern, with buyers defending support and momentum building for a potential breakout above peak resistance.โ
RSI on a daily basis sits in the mid-50s (neutral), but with room for renewed upside if a breakout occurs. Alternatively, a reset down to oversold could lead to a short-term decline of around 5% to the prior bottom.
But Octoberโs strong earnings and increased bets on Fed rate cuts provide a positive tailwind for small caps this quarter.โ
Watch for a shift in flows from big tech and mega-caps to small caps if market breadth improves post-Fed.
Keep an eye on the top, as a breakout could open the door to new all-time highs and fresh momentum for the Russell 2000. Donโt miss the rotation potential as Q4 trading picks up.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Ethereum VS. Russell 2000 Russell 2000 index and Ethereum charts follow a strikingly similar pattern.
Both assets peaked in November 2021 and then entered a prolonged correction. Interestingly, both formed major lows around April 2025.
The Russell 2000, just before breaking through the 2021 ATH resistance area, retested the demand zone, just as CRYPTOCAP:ETH is currently doing.
This similarity suggests that Ethereum could be poised for a strong breakout, following in the footsteps of the Russell 2000.
History is sometimes more than just a coincidenceโฆ
RUSSELL Will it correct this time also?Russell 2000 (RUT) has been trading within a Channel Up since late April and right now its current Bullish Leg is about to test the pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line).
It has completed a +9.01% rise from the August 20 Low, which is the same increase of the previous (August 01 - 13) Bullish Leg and that has been the 'weakest' one out of all Legs of the Channel Up (+11.07%, +10.93% and +10.33% the others).
As a result, we can start thinking about taking profits on this run and an upcoming new pull-back (red Bearish Leg/ Channel Down) within a Sell Zone that extends up to +11.07% (2500).
Within this Zone, any rejection we get, we are targeting 2380, which is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level applied on the minimum +9.01% rally.
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Breakout attempt by $RUSSELL. Can it do it? Supported by $DXYIn this blog space we have been watching the Cup and Handle pattern in the small cap index $RUSSELL. Back in July 15 we said that there is a major resistance @ 2400.
$RUSSEL: Completion of Cup and Handle formation or higher? for IG:RUSSELL by RabishankarBiswal โ TradingView
But as we are near the top of the previous high and towards the end of the completion pattern of this major Cup and handle formation for almost 3 years, we must see which direction the index will resolve. For that we need to investigate US Dollar index $DXY.
We have been bearish on TVC:DXY with 95 as our short-term target. Currently @ 97 this 2% down movement can provide major boost to risk assets and $RUSSELL.
TVC:DXY : New lows begets new lows. ECONOMICS:USM2 : Why is it increasing? for TVC:DXY by RabishankarBiswal โ TradingView
With major Fed decision coming next week and weakness by TVC:DXY we can say the path of least resistance for IG:RUSSELL is upwards and breaks above the major resistance in this cup and handle pattern.
Verdict: IG:RUSSELL can go higher if TVC:DXY goes lower and Fed cuts. Once above 2400 then we are in price discovery mode for $RUSSELL.
Heartland Express, Inc. $HTLD ~ B Wave ~ Then more correcting...Heartland Express, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of short-to-medium haul truckload carrier services. It offers long haul truckload and regional truckload transportation. The company was founded by Russell A. Gerdin in 1978 and is headquartered in North Liberty, IA.
The Ghost of 1986-1987 Stock Market Overlay onto $IWMThe 1986-1987 stock market advance was 48% as measured by the S&P500 Index SP:SPX from the low in late 1986 which peaked in August 1987 and crashed into October 19th's spectacular 20% decline in one day.
The advance in the Russell 2000 Index from the low in 2023 to the high in 2024 was 51%, topping the 48% gain in the SP:SPX and the meltdown wasn't as spectacular, but it was similar.
There were similar patterns in fears of trade wars, US dollar declines, new tax laws going into effect back then and tax laws sunsetting this time. Those you can go into by reviewing my other charts I have published over the years here.
I stretched the 1987 pattern to fit the low to the high, so it isn't "exactly" the same time day-to-day for this pattern.
I found it interesting because the chart of AMEX:IWM all by itself had the same "look" to me as the 1987 bull market and crash so I decided to put it together for you all here to see.
I would expect a choppy market from here on as people adjust to the new uncertainties. Sellers of this decline will be shy to reinvest anytime soon and buyers are likely afraid to step up and get aggressive with so much uncertainty.
Sentiment as measured by AAII shows an extremely fearful and reluctant investor class, which is typical to see at major market bottoms.
Wishing everyone peace and prosperity!
Tim West
11:17AM EST April 24, 2025
RUSSELL: Short term consolidation before ATH test.Russell is technically neutral on its 1D outlook (RSI = 55.323, MACD = 20.400, ADX = 20.042) as for the whole month of May it is trading sideways inside the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200. April's bottom and the subsequent RSI DB rebound, is very much like the October 27th 2023 bottom. The rebound that was followed, also had the index consolidate between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 and soon after it resumed the uptrend to cross above the R1 level (prior High) before pulling back to the 1D MA50 again. Based on that we remain bullish on Russell, aiming for the R1 (TP = 2,470).
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RUSSELL 15-year Cyclical pattern calls for enormous growth.Russell 2000 (RUT) made a massive rebound on last month's candle on the 1M MA100 (green trend-line), closing above it and maintaining the long-term price action above this Support since the March 2020 COVID crash.
Practically that was the only time the 1M MA100 broke since the October 11 recovery, which was the start of a 15-year Cyclical Pattern that initiates Bull Cycles after 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) ad then 1M MA100 rebounds that peak on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Last month's rebound sets the stage for a post-COVID type recovery, especially if the Fed cuts the Interest Rates on their next meeting. The 2.0 Fibonacci extension is a little bit over 3500, which is our long-term Target.
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$RUSSELL in a bounce back mode. But upside is capped @ 2400 IG:RUSSELL 2000 after failing from the highs of 2400 on Dec 2024 which it revisited after 2 years the index made a low of 1700 in April which was the lows of this major cup and handle formation pattern the index has been doing for the last 2 year. We discussed this Cup and a probable handle forming in this blog space for the index IG:RUSSELL a couple of times. As the index is completing its lows of the handle formation in April and off of its lows, we can expect some major move to the upside in this relief rally for $RUSSELL. On the weekly RSI the index touched 20 which marked a multi-year over sold positioning in the index itself.
But the question is where does the index go from here ? The fundamental analysis of the Cup and handle pattern will tell us that the index must touch the top of the pattern first where the future direction will be decided. In the medium term the index must touch 2400 again before we can make a long term bullish or bearish call. For now, the upside of this handle pattern will continue.
Verdict: IG:RUSSELL can touch 2400 before facing major resistance
RUSSEL / IWM IDEAovernight bounce off 15m demand im sized im very lightly due to it being an over night trade (I have a high loosing percentage trading Asia Session.) Simple play if volatility can kick in towards London/NY session. No PT if this starts working, I will just let it run until 5m structure is broken.
US2000 / RUSSELL2000 Index Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค ๐ฐ๐ธโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the US2000 / RUSSELL2000 Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (1900) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
๐I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss ๐: "๐ Yo, listen up! ๐ฃ๏ธ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout ๐. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to ๐, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like ๐คช - just don't say I didn't warn you โ ๏ธ. You're playin' with fire ๐ฅ, and it's your risk, not mine ๐."
๐ Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (1780) Day / Swing trade basis.
๐ SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 2030 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ฐ๐ธ๐ตUS2000 / RUSSELL2000 Index Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
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โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ
This RUT/NDX ratio may convince you to buy NASDAQ aggressively.Nasdaq (NDX) has been under heavy selling pressure in the past 30 days. This short-term pull-back however is nothing but a buy opportunity on the long-term, and this study shows you why.
The answer lies on the RUT/NDX ratio which shows that this may be the time to get heavier on tech. The use of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) is due to the fact it represents a wider array of companies. Naturally over the years (this 1M chart shows data since 2006), the ratio declines within a Channel Down as historically the riskier tech sector attracts more capital and grows more.
However there are instances where Russell gains more against Nasdaq. We are currently though at a time where this isn't the case as the ratio seems to be ready for decline following the completion of a consolidation that on previous fractals (March 2015, September 2008) was bearish, thus positive for Nasdaq.
As you can see, this movements can be grasped by the Sine Waves, though not perfectly, but still good enough to understand the cyclical pattern we're in, also with the help of the 1M RSI Triangles.
Nasdaq (which is represented by the blue trend-line) has started massive expansion Channel Up patterns following this unique signal given by the RUT/NDX ratio. The first was right after the 2009 Housing Crisis bottom and the second during the 2015/ 2016 E.U., VW and Oil crisis.
The key here is on the 1M RSI. The Triangle is about to beak to the upside and every time this happened in the last 20 years, it coincided with a pull-back on Nasdaq (blue circle) similar to the current one. What followed was massive rallies each time.
As a result, this could be an indication that even though the tariffs have rattles investor confidence lately, this is an opportunity for a strong buy position for at least the rest of the year.
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Timing the Markets with Consumer SentimentBusinesses and producers around the world always cheer when U.S. consumer sentiment is in the 80 to 100 zone, as U.S. consumers play a big part in the global economic ecosystem.
The United States remains the largest consumer market in the world, but since the pandemic, this index has not recovered above the 80 level.
Does it mean that, there is a risks economy to enter into a recession?
How can we use this index to time our investments and trades?
E-mini Russell Futures
Ticker: RTY
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 index points = $5.00
Micro E-mini Russell Futures
Ticker: M2K
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
โข What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
โข Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Trading competition: www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
RUSSELL: Targeting at least 3,000 end of yearRussell 200 may be almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.476, MACD = -14.090, ADX = 24.893) but still neutral on 1W as the 1W MA50 continues to hold since November 2023. The price action is exactly around the middle of the 16 year Channel Up and since the September 2022 low, we've been on the new Bull Cycle / bullish wave. The Cycles are repetitive and so far in these 16 years we've had another three similar phases of growth. The 1W RSI indicates that the current will top near the end of 2025. All prior have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension but since the pace of the current Bull Cycle has slowed down, a TP = 3,000 will be much more suited as the target of this Cycle.
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RUSSELL 15-year Cycles holding perfectlyIt has been 6 months ago (August 15, see chart below) when we updated our long-term call on Russell 2000 (RUT) based on a 15-year Cyclical pattern:
As you can see, since we introduced this long-term commitment on Russell back on October 07 2023, the index made a remarkable recovery and now the final step is to break above the previous All Time High (ATH) and turn it into the long-term Support.
That is what happened on all 3 of its previous Cycles (only broken temporarily during the COVID flash crash). As long as the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, we expect the pattern to hold once more and fulfil the 2.0 Fibonacci extension condition as the near Cycle Top. Our long-term Target remains 3500.
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RUSSELL 2000 One last Resistance remains before mega rally.Russell 2000 (RUT) gave us an excellent buy signal on our last analysis (October 22 2024, see chart below) exactly on the 1D MA50 and within 5 weeks it hit our 2465 Target:
The price almost immediately pulled back, showing the efficiency of our Target placement and the pattern that has now prevailed is the Channel Up that started more than a year ago (October 27 2023).
The recent Higher Low of this pattern was exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the pattern's bottom. The 1D RSI showcased a Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows) against the price's Lower Lows as an early buy signal, which was confirmed on the January 14 2024 1D MACD Bullish Cross. As you can see, all Bullish Crosses below a 0.0 MACD, have been technical buy signals.
What remains is for the price to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the level that is causing a rejection today. Once recovered, we expect the index to complete at least a +21% rally from the recent bottom, the minimum of the previous 3 rallies, and target 2600.
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RUSSELL 2000 ACCURATE TREND CAUGHTRUSSELL 2000!
So much happened in the last 2 weeks! And we were able to catch most of the profits that it offered!
Started off with a good SHORT position giving us around 50 points (2%+)
Following with a bullish reversal with 55 open P&L so far!
Applied on 15 minute time frame using Risological Options Trading Indicator.
Russell 2000, on a 15-minute timeframe, delivered a perfect shorRussell 2000 SHORT Trade:
Russell 2000, on a 15-minute timeframe, delivered a perfect short trade using the Risological Swing Trader, achieving all targets in a seamless bearish move.
The trade unfolded with precision, as the Risological Swing Trader pinpointed the entry and accurately mapped the downward trajectory. Each target was hit with remarkable accuracy, reflecting the tool's power in identifying high-probability trades.
Enjoy and have a great weekend!
2025 is the year of the SMALL CAPS! 26% Higher2025 is the year of the SMALL CAPS! 26% Higher
Russell 2000 - AMEX:IWM AMEX:TNA ๐ค๐งข
2025 is the year of the SMALL CAPS!
While some are saying the Small Caps run is over, I say we are going 26% HIGHER!!!
You have to understand that the Russell has lagged the ENTIRE market over the last two plus years and they have a lot of catching up to do. You either get that through AMEX:IWM running up to the NASDAQ:QQQ , the Q's falling down to meet the Russell, or them meeting halfway.
I believe we are going to get a decent size pullback on the Q's eventually but for right now I say the Russell runs FAST to catch the runner that is fading.
The chart also tells us everything we need to know.
- H5 Indicator is GREEN
- Cup n Handle Breakout with a successful retest...You now what comes next! โ๏ธ
- Wr% has it's consolidation box and is thriving.
- Free roam on the ATH's space ๐
๐ฏ $259
๐ $306
NFA






















