Introduction
The Santa Claus rally, a well-documented phenomenon in the financial markets, particularly in the context of the E-mini S&P 500, presents a captivating study of market behavior during the holiday season. This rally, often characterized by an uptrend in the stock market, offers a confluence of joy and opportunity for traders and investors alike. Our...
Will we have a Santa Claus rally this year?
Statistics say, it is likely but let's start from the beginning...
The Santa Claus rally is when stock prices, both locally and globally, tend to go up and end the year on a positive note.
Now, why does this happen? Here are some ideas:
Holiday Cheer:
During the holiday season, people generally feel more...
With inflationary expectations low, a decrease in CPI and Core CPI, a likely slowing in interest rate hikes, there's too much positive news in the short term to ignore the likelihood of a near-term rally. Still, some hinges on Jerome Powell's outlook tomorrow, but I expect him to keep language as soft as his last speech. Last month, he was still very domineering...
As we approach Christmas, for yet another year, we wonder if Santa is real, or rather if the Santa Claus Rally is real.
Some hypotheses about the Santa Claus rally include the lowered Institutional liquidity as traders go on holiday (just like us, soon!). That leaves the retail crowd, proven to be bullish on just about anything, pushing markets higher. There...
