UNITEDHEALTH UNH Long Scenario based on Seasonality and FractalsFrom a fractals Perspective I expect  a chance for around 30% gain from an upcoming upmove.
From a Seasonal Perspective I expect a retracement mode until End of Mid/September and then upside until early December.
I hope we make the bigger upmove in this time and complete that move otherwise this fractals target could take some time/moths/years.
Feel free to like / support the Idea, leave a comment or contact me in the chat.
Good luck to all
*this is not a trade call*
Cheers!
Sector
UNITED HEALTH UNH - Two scenarios based on my understanding a sescenario a:
coming back to the 50% or 0.618 retracement then up, then in a typical seasonal bearish period down until beginning of october
scenario b:
First target could be at the descrending trendline then retracement until beginning of october
to the 50% or 0.618
this is of course not a trade call or advide. for educational purpose only...
please comment or chat with me about it!
cheers!
Sector Rotation Analysis: A Practical Tutorial Using TradingViewSector  Rotation Analysis: A Practical Tutorial Using TradingView 
 Overview 
Sector rotation is an investment strategy that involves reallocating capital among different sectors of the economy to align with their performance during various phases of the economic cycle. While academic studies have shown that sector rotation does not consistently outperform the market after accounting for transaction costs, it remains a popular framework for portfolio management. 
This tutorial provides a step-by-step guide to analyzing sector rotation and identifying leading and lagging sectors using  TradingView .
  
 Understanding Sector Rotation and Economic Cycles 
The economy moves through distinct phases, and each phase tends to favor specific sectors:
 
 1.  Expansion : Rapid economic growth with rising consumer confidence.
    - Leading Sectors: Technology   AMEX:XLK , Consumer Discretionary   AMEX:XLY  , Industrials   AMEX:XLI 
 2.  Peak : Growth slows, and inflation may rise.
    - Leading Sectors: Energy   AMEX:XLE  , Materials   AMEX:XLB 
 3.  Contraction : Economic activity declines, and unemployment rises.
    - Leading Sectors: Utilities  AMEX:XLU , Healthcare  AMEX:XLV , Consumer Staples  AMEX:XLP 
 4.  Trough : The economy begins recovering from a recession.
    - Leading Sectors: Financials  AMEX:XLF , Real Estate  AMEX:XLRE 
 
  
 Step 1: Use TradingView to Monitor  Economic Indicators 
Economic indicators provide context for sector performance:
 
 GDP Growth : Signals expansion or contraction.
 Interest Rates : Rising rates favor Financials; falling rates benefit Real Estate.
 Inflation : High inflation supports Energy and Materials.
 
  
 Step 2: Analyze Sector Performance Using Relative Strength 
Relative Strength RS compares a sector's performance against a benchmark index like the 
  SP:SPX  This helps identify whether a sector is leading or lagging.
 How to Calculate RS in TradingView 
 
 Open a chart for a sector  TSXV:ETF , such as  AMEX:XLK  Technology.
 Add  SP:SPX  as a comparison symbol by clicking the  Compare ➕  button.
  
 Analyze the RS line:
    - If RS trends upward, the sector is outperforming.
    - If RS trends downward, the sector is underperforming.
 
 Using Indicators 
 
 e.g.: You may add the  Sector Relative Strength   indicator from TradingView’s public library. This tool ranks multiple sectors by their relative strength against  SP:SPX 
  
 Additionally, you can use the  RS Rating  indicator by @Fred6724, which calculates the Relative Strength Rating (1 to 99) of a stock or sector based on its 12-month performance compared to others in a selected index. 
  
 
 Example 
In early 2021, during economic recovery,  AMEX:XLK 's RS rose above  SP:SPX , signaling Technology was leading.
 Step 3: Validate Sector Trends with Technical Indicators 
Technical indicators can confirm sector momentum and provide entry/exit signals:
 Moving Averages 
 
 Use 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages SMA.
 If a sector  TSXV:ETF  trades above both SMAs, it indicates bullish momentum.
 
 Relative Strength Index RSI 
 
 RSI > 70 suggests overbought conditions; <30 indicates oversold conditions.
 
 MACD Moving Average Convergence Divergence 
 
 Look for bullish crossovers where the MACD line crosses above the signal line.
 
 Example 
During the inflation surge in 2022,  AMEX:XLE  Energy traded above its 200-day SMA while RSI hovered near 70, confirming strong momentum in the Energy sector.
  
 Step 4: Compare Multiple Sectors Simultaneously 
TradingView allows you to overlay multiple ETFs on one chart for direct comparison:
 
 Open  AMEX:SPY  as your benchmark chart.
 Add ETFs like  AMEX:XLK ,  AMEX:XLY ,  AMEX:XLU , etc., using the  Compare  tool.
 Observe which sectors are trending higher or lower relative to  AMEX:SPY 
 
  
 Example 
If  AMEX:XLK  and  AMEX:XLY  show upward trends while  AMEX:XLU  remains flat, this indicates cyclical sectors like Technology and Consumer Discretionary are outperforming during an expansion phase.
 Step 5: Implement Sector Rotation in Your Portfolio 
Once you’ve identified leading sectors:
 
 Allocate more capital to sectors with strong RS and bullish technical indicators.
 Reduce exposure to lagging sectors with weak RS or bearish momentum signals.
 
 Example 
During post-pandemic recovery in early 2021:
 
 Leading Sectors: Technology  AMEX:XLK  and Industrials  AMEX:XLI 
 Lagging Sectors: Utilities  AMEX:XLU 
 
Investors who rotated into  AMEX:XLK  and  AMEX:XLI  outperformed those who remained in defensive sectors like  AMEX:XLU 
 Real-Life Case Studies of Sector Rotation 
 Case Study 1: Post-Pandemic Recovery 
In early 2021, as economies reopened after COVID-19 lockdowns:
 
 Cyclical sectors like Industrials  AMEX:XLI  and Financials  AMEX:XLF  outperformed due to increased economic activity.
 Defensive sectors like Utilities  AMEX:XLU  lagged as investors shifted away from safe havens.
 
  
Using TradingView’s  heatmap feature , investors could have identified strong gains in  AMEX:XLI  and  AMEX:XLF  relative to  AMEX:SPY 
 Case Study 2: Inflation Surge in Late 2022 
As inflation surged in late 2022:
 
 Energy  AMEX:XLE  and Materials  AMEX:XLB  outperformed due to rising commodity prices.
 Technology  AMEX:XLK  underperformed as higher interest rates hurt growth stocks.
 
  
By monitoring RS lines for  AMEX:XLE  and  AMEX:XLB  on TradingView charts, investors could have rotated into these sectors ahead of broader market gains.
 Limitations of Sector Rotation Strategies 
 
 Transaction Costs : Frequent rebalancing can erode returns over time.
 Market Timing Challenges : Predicting economic cycles accurately is difficult and prone to errors.
 False Signal s: Technical indicators like MACD or RSI can produce false positives during volatile markets.
 Historical Bias : Backtested strategies often fail when applied to future market conditions.
 
 Conclusion 
Sector rotation is a useful framework for aligning investments with macroeconomic trends but should be approached with caution due to its inherent limitations. By leveraging  TradingView ’s tools, such as relative strength analysis, heatmaps, and technical indicators, investors can systematically analyze sector performance and make informed decisions about portfolio allocation.
While academic research shows that sector rotation strategies do not consistently outperform simpler approaches like market timing or buy-and-hold strategies, they remain valuable for diversification and risk management when used judiciously.
Healthcare Sector Poised For A 7% to 15% Rally Into Early 2025My continued research to help traders shows the US Healthcare and Biotech sectors are poised for a very large rally phase into early 2025.
Particularly, XLV and XBI seem uniquely setup to rally more than 9-10% over the next 60 to 90+ days.
This video explains how I use my Adaptive Dynamic Learning Predictive Modeling system to find opportunities other people miss. 
Using technology, predictive modeling, and inference engines like this is one advantage I have because I can build any type of technology or system I like - and use it on any symbol or interval I like.
Now is the time to prepare for the big moves headed into 2025. Follow my research if you want to target the biggest price swings in the markets.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Special Analysis on DQ - it is about time!Some time ago, a good friend tol me about buying DQ. That's when I started tracking for this friend's benefit, and offering my own perspective. Real as it was, previous calls were pretty on the spot and DQ dropped significantly since I started looking at it on occasion.
I am looking at it again now... and I see nice things for a bullish run to commence soon.
1. A double bottom formed
2. on the back of Bullish Divergences of both MACD adn VolDiv indicators. (See green arrows below)
3. XLE and friends like BTU (just posted) and ENPH are showing their own bottoming out.
4. Projected to about 29ish and then possibly to above 40 in the longer run. For this, we need the bottoming pattern to complete and start a proper bull rally, which is then likely to be clearer to double-triple the current price of today.
Time to really look and maybe accumulate if you ask me. 
Big Swing Trade Opportunity in ASHOK LELANDAshok Leyland is around the medium support 
With the support EMA is also working and we are getting support around the same level 
Support levels are 155-160 
We can see jump upto 210 level in coming weeks 
Thank You !! 
Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered analyst. Do your own research before taking any investment decision.
EICHER Motors is around Long term support Eicher Motors is around the medium term support !! 
Stock has never broken support working from 2020 
Log Chart support is working beautifully and has support around 3500-3600 
On a Linear Chart stock has made 2 support and recently short term support working 
Linear chart support is around 3480-3520 !! 
Stock is Goof until support is intact !! 
Thanks !! 
Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered analyst. Do your own research before taking any investment decision.
LWL.N0000LWL will be bullish in upcoming days. LWL needs to close daily candles above 50+ (above 50, 200 MA lines)
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions. 
XLY WCA - Inv H&SSector: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund
Ticker: XLY
Exchange: NYSE Arca
Industry: Exchange-Traded Fund
 Introduction: 
Welcome to our weekly technical analysis. Today, we're looking at the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY), listed on the NYSE Arca exchange. The weekly chart is currently exhibiting an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
 Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern: 
An inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is typically seen during periods of market consolidation following a downtrend. It signals a potential reversal, characterized by three troughs, with the central one (the head) being the deepest, and the two on the sides (the shoulders) being shallower and roughly equal in depth.
 Analysis: 
Previously, the XLY sector was in a clear downward trend, as represented by the blue diagonal resistance. However, the emergence of an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern during the consolidation phase suggests a potential bullish reversal. Impressively, the right shoulder is higher than the left shoulder, adding to the bullish sentiment.
Furthermore, the price has broken above the 200 EMA and the horizontal resistance at 153.40, reinforcing the bullish environment. The current consolidation at this previous resistance level, indicated by a dragonfly doji, may solidify the breakout. However, confirmation will only come with the closure of the current candle.
Should the breakout hold, the price target is set at $177, indicating a potential upside of approximately 16.7%.
 Conclusion: 
The weekly chart of the XLY sector reveals an intriguing setup in the form of an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. This may signal profitable trading opportunities in stocks within this sector over the coming weeks.
 As always, this analysis should be used as part of your overall market research and risk management strategy, and not as direct trading advice. Remember, trading carries risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. 
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
XLC Sector WCA - Inv HS Sector: Communication Services (XLC)
 Introduction: 
Hello everyone! Today, we're analyzing the weekly chart of the Communication Services Sector (XLC). After a clear downward trend, we observe a potentially bullish reversal marked by a variation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
 Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern: 
Typically, an inverted head and shoulders pattern serves as a bullish reversal signal, suggesting a shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.
 Analysis:
 
The XLC's price action has been forming a variation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern over the past 342 days. With a recent breakout above the horizontal neckline at $60, the price is decisively above the 200 EMA, supporting a bullish market environment.
The projected price target based on this pattern is $75, which equates to a potential increase of around 25%. From this analysis, we infer that the Communication Services Sector may outperform in the coming weeks or even months. Therefore, it might be worthwhile to pay closer attention to the individual stocks within this sector.
 Conclusion: 
The weekly chart of the XLC sector has shown a confirmed bullish reversal signaled by an inverted head and shoulders pattern. With a successful breakout above the neckline already in place, this could indicate a continuing bullish trend, suggesting that it may be an opportune time for long positions in this sector.
As we expect the Communication Services Sector to potentially outperform in the coming weeks or months, investors might consider focus on individual stocks within this sector for investment opportunities.
 As always, your own research and risk management strategies should guide your investment decisions. 
Thank you for tuning into this analysis. Don't forget to like, share, and follow for more insights into the market. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
PPG Industries WCA - Rectangle Reversal PatternCompany: PPG Industries
Ticker: PPG
Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Materials
 Introduction:
 
Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze PPG Industries' chart on the weekly scale, focusing on a classic price pattern called the "Rectangle Pattern." PPG Industries is a global supplier of paints, coatings, and specialty materials, traded on the NYSE under the ticker PPG.
 Classic Rectangle Pattern: 
The classic rectangle pattern is a chart pattern formed when the price of an asset moves between two parallel horizontal lines, representing support and resistance levels, over a period of time. It reflects a consolidation phase where the market is undecided about the direction of the trend and can serve as a reversal or continuation pattern depending on the context.
 Analysis: 
PPG Industries offers an excellent example of a rectangle pattern serving as a reversal pattern. The overall trend has been bearish since 07/06/2021, with the rectangle emerging as a consolidation pattern during this period. This 399-day-old pattern demonstrates clear touchpoints on both the lower and upper boundaries, which are situated at 107 and 138, respectively. Recently, the price broke out of the rectangle and is now retesting the multi-month resistance-turned-support, suggesting a potential trend reversal. All of that happens above the 200 EMA. 
 Price Targets and Resistance Levels: 
The price target for this pattern is set at 168.55, which translates to a 22.13% increase from the current level. On the way to the target, we may encounter resistance at a supply zone near 168, which should be monitored closely.
 Conclusion: 
The PPG Industries weekly chart showcases a textbook example of the rectangle reversal pattern, indicating a potential trend change from bearish to bullish. As the price has broken out of the rectangle and is currently retesting the former resistance as support, traders should keep a close eye on the development of this pattern. Remember to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
 Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading.
 
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
what would continuation toward contango look like?spot is having a time catching up with price, and this is one of my favorite derivatives. if the turnaround is going to continue to break out, and we pull back to a comfortable level keeping the uptrend daily i would follow the uptrend with leverage. im excited about the current daily pattern being a sign that a snap back to the bulls could happen tuesday, and im also excited about a lot of potential shorts of equity in the index. im just as excited about going long around emas and trendlines holding bull in the overall index. using fib im aiming for bear weekly highs as well as the 1 and the 1.618 as long as we are beating the regressive bottom and accute trend angle.
maybe uranium becomes an epic short againthe bull market turn around in uranium has made the news, and outlasted a broader energy sector comeback. technicals are threatening a reversal bac to bears, and the monthly-quarterly view is making a breakdown. if we maintain these resistances then i am betting on a massive short play in uranium in a 5 year daterange. short urnm and long ery on breakouts on down days in broader market.
NVIDIA and AMD Are Breaking Important Bullish LevelsAMD and Nvidia stocks are breaking higher this week, possibly ready for more gains as the recent corrective pullback to 140 and 60 USD appears completed. More upside here can be positive for cryptos about I talked in our webinar this Monday, here on tradingview. 
Grega
I put link below if anyone is interested in recording.
www.tradingview.com
Daily Sector Watch : Will Eutelsat Communications recover?Our 2 leading sectors are Crypto and Space at the moment. While Weed stocks have not shown any sign of recovery yet.
Todays stock pick is ETCMY , a space stock that has been underperforming the rest of the sector for a while and is stuck at a support area. 
Let's compare the index to the stock:
Index:
  
Stock:
  
 Below a closer look at the 5 sectors. Bright color means bullish activity on a stock. 
🟢WEED STOCKS TOP 10
  
 
  Teradyne
  Curaleaf Holdings
  Green Thumb Industries
  Trulieve Cannabis Corp
  Canopy Growth Corp
  Verano Holdings Corp
  Cronos Group Inc
  Tilray Brands Inc
  Cresco Labs Inc
  SNDL Inc
 
🔴CRYPTO COINS TOP 10
  
 
  Bitcoin
  Ethereum
  Binance Coin
  XRP
  Dogecoin
  ADA
  Matic
  Tron
  Dot
  Solana
 
🟣INDEXES
  
 
  US30
  S&P 500
  FRA40
  GER30
  NTH25
  ASX200
  EUSTX50
  JPN225
  HK50
  Banknifty
 
🔵SPACE STOCKS TOP 10
  
 
  Iridium Communications Inc
  Ses
  Rocket Lab USA Inc
  Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc
  Viasat
  Maxar Technologies
  Eutelsat Communications
  Astra Space Inc
  Sats
  Planet Labs
 
🟤RETAIL FOOD STOCKS TOP 10
  
 
  Kroger Company
  Albertsons Company
  Sendas Distribiduira S A
  Sprouts Farmers Market
  Grocery Outlet Holdings
  Weis Market Inc
  Ingles Markets Inc
  Arko Corp
  Companhia Brasileira De Distribuidao American
  Beyond Meat






















