BITCOIN The August-September bottom cheat sheet!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just entered its 2-year Buy Zone, which is a Higher Lows belt that has priced its last 3 major bottoms and since the November 2022 Bear market bottom, has been the most optimal long-term buy entry.
A very interesting fact is that the August - September period since 2023 has been such a bottom formation, with the 1W RSI Support Zone, providing an additional confirmation for a long-term buy entry, also present during the March - April 2025 Tariff led correction.
As a result, it is highly likely to start seeing the new Bullish Leg starting by the first 1-2 weeks of September, with the previous two rising by +96.86 and +105.80% respectively. That suggests that BTC could marginally surpass $200k before the Cycle peaks. That would also be just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from Aprils Low, similar to the December 2024 High.
So do you think $200000 is possible for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Signals
Fed Chairman 'Paves Way' for Rate Cut in SeptemberGold prices started the new week in the US market slightly down. Last Friday, the market reacted positively to the speech of the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole conference. Mr. Powell signaled that the Fed could cut interest rates as early as the September meeting, helping the stock market recover and putting pressure on the USD.
However, investors are still worried about the uncertainty. Inflation in the US is higher than the target of 2% and the labor market is showing signs of weakness. This has left Fed policymakers divided on the view of cutting interest rates.
The Fed chairman has "paved the way" for a rate cut in September. This decision has provided support for many assets, including gold.
Lingrid | BNBUSDT Buying Opportunity In Consolidation ZoneBINANCE:BNBUSDT is pulling back after hitting the higher high near resistance and is now testing the key support region around 800. The structure shows a downward trendline acting as pressure, while the broader setup still respects the long-term upward channel. A rebound from the current zone would set the stage for a push toward 880 as long as support holds. Momentum remains bullish in the larger channel context despite short-term corrective waves.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Rebound from 800 support
Buy zone: 800–805
Target: 880
Invalidation: Below 710
💡 Risks
Breakdown below 800 could shift the structure bearish.
Macro-driven volatility from U.S. inflation data or Fed comments.
Strong resistance at 880–930 may cap upside momentum.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EUR-GBP Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 0.8651 from where
We are already seeing a
Local pullback and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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Gold Update – Correction Complete, Acceleration Ahead?1. Yesterday’s setup
In yesterday’s update, after reviewing Gold in other currencies and concluding the bigger picture remains bullish, I pointed out that on XAUUSD a correction was normal after Friday’s huge rise. I highlighted the 3350 zone as the level where bulls should look for opportunities.
2. What happened overnight
Overnight, Gold delivered exactly that: a violent drop into 3350, immediately followed by an even more violent reversal that erased the move and spiked price up to 3385.
3. Current situation
At the time of writing, XAUUSD is trading around 3375. With the 3350 low now in place, we can reasonably consider the correction complete.
4. Key levels ahead
For a true bullish confirmation, clearing the 3380–3390 zone is essential . If this breakout occurs, I believe the 3400 level won’t act as much of a resistance, but rather as a point of upward acceleration.
5. Trading plan
My bullish view is unchanged. Buying dips against 3350 remains the strategy. For targets, a reasonable objective — if 3380–3390 gives way — is the 3450 zone.
6. Final note
Gold has shown its hand: buyers are here, defending the key level. Now it’s about confirmation above resistance — once that happens, momentum could take us higher, faster. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD spikes after Trump's move, with technical conditionsOANDA:XAUUSD surges after Trump's move, US President Donald Trump decided to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over allegations that she falsified mortgage records. The news affected the US Dollar index to fall sharply in early Asian trading on Tuesday (August 26), while spot gold prices rose nearly 35 dollars.
On Monday evening local time, US President Trump posted a letter to Federal Reserve Governor Cook on the social media platform Truth Social, stating that he would remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook from his position, effective immediately.
Trump stated in the document: "By virtue of the authority vested in me under Article II of the United States Constitution and the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, as amended, I hereby order to immediately remove Mr. Cook from his position on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Given Mr. Cook’s fraudulent financial conduct and potential criminal conduct, I have no confidence in his integrity.
At the very least, these actions expose his serious negligence in financial dealings and call into question his competence and credibility as a financial regulator.”
“The American people must have full confidence in the integrity of those who set policy and oversee the Federal Reserve,” Trump said. “Given his fraudulent and even criminal conduct in financial matters, they cannot have that confidence, and I have no confidence in his integrity.”
The move comes after the U.S. Justice Department said it plans to investigate Cook after Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte filed criminal charges alleging possible mortgage fraud.
Bloomberg News reported that the investigation is the latest in a series of moves by the Trump administration to increase regulatory scrutiny of Democratic figures and put pressure on the Federal Reserve.
TVC:DXY Falls Sharply, Gold Price Spikes Nearly $35 in Short Term
The US Dollar Weakens Against All Major Currencies After Trump Fires Federal Reserve Governor Cook. Bloomberg said Trump's move has undermined people's confidence in the US Dollar, the world's reserve currency.
Cook’s departure is bad for the Dollar as it opens the door for President Trump to appoint a new governor who may be more inclined to cut interest rates. This further challenges the independence of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the cornerstone of the Dollar’s safe-haven status, and this could lead to further sell-offs in the Dollar, and of course, gold, which is directly correlated to the Dollar, will receive support from this.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold briefly surged above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level after the news but has now pared its intraday gains back below the said Fibonacci retracement level.
However, it is also achieving the initial technical conditions for a bullish outlook in the short term with price action above the EMA21 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving above 50, an RSI above 50 with some significant slope would be a reliable signal for momentum support.
In terms of the overall technical picture, gold has not yet established a specific long-term trend with a sideways accumulation state that has lasted for the past few months, depicted by the green rectangle.
Therefore, short-term trades are preferred in the current technical context, and the key points for this trading day are listed below.
Support: 3,350 – 3,310 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3407 - 3405⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3411
→Take Profit 1 3399
↨
→Take Profit 2 3393
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3364
Gold Faces Short-Term Cooling: Watch the Gap at 3,355–3,345Hello everyone, looking at this H2 chart, what do you see in XAU/USD?
Technically, gold has just spiked sharply and is now trading narrowly just below 3,372–3,375 USD. The spike left a very clear bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 3,355–3,345 USD. On the Ichimoku cloud, the price has just slightly exceeded the cloud’s edge, but the forward kumo is fairly flat – a setup that often “pulls” price back to test the gap before any further breakout.
Above, the old supply FVG around 3,372–3,375 USD still shows where price was restrained, with a series of short-bodied candles and long upper wicks. Below, the green FVG at 3,355–3,345 lies near the cloud’s edge – a new equilibrium formed after the spike.
What stands out is how price is “holding its breath” just below 3,372 while the flat kumo stretches ahead and the FVG sits right beneath: this trio often signals a technical retracement to fill the gap at 3,355–3,345 before the market decides the next move.
Watch price action around 3,372 closely: if rejected at the old supply FVG, the likelihood of a pullback to 3,355 → 3,345 is high. Only a firm H2 close above 3,372 would brighten the chance of continuing to 3,380.
What do you think about this gap-fill scenario? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
Pullback Eyes 1.166–1.162Hello everyone,
The recent spike stalled near 1.173–1.175, forming long upper wicks and lower closes – showing buyers were absorbed at higher levels. The 1.166–1.162 area, aligned with dense liquidity and the Ichimoku cloud edge, acts as a short-term balance zone. A retracement toward 1.166, potentially extending to 1.164–1.162, appears likely.
Macro factors support this pullback: after Jackson Hole, the Fed’s cautious rate-cut message is largely priced in. Early-week USD strength paused upward momentum, while upcoming U.S. data – including New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence, preliminary GDP, unemployment claims, and core PCE – may reinforce USD and push EUR lower.
NZD-JPY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY was making a
Strong bullish rebound
But the pair is trading in a
Downtrend so after it hits
The horizontal resistance
Above at 86.827 from where
We will be expecting a
Bearish move down
Sell!
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EUR-USD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a sharp
Move down in one candle
Which looks very risky
But the pair is also locally
Overbought and as a horizontal
Support level is ahead
At 1.1592 we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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S&P (CASH500) | 30min Inverse Head & Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today’s trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
Following Friday’s sharp rally after Jackson Hole, the S&P 500 may be forming a bull flag. If confirmed, this setup could drive an equal measured move higher, with the inverse head & shoulders pattern acting as a potential breakout structure.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.6
Entry: 6460.1
Stop Loss: 6453.8
Take Profit 1 (50%): 6481
Take Profit 2 (50%): 6489
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Always wait for confirmation of breakout patterns to avoid false moves.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
US30: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 45,456.4 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 45,530.6 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 38.918 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17041 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17160.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,372.49 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,369.27.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Is it about to experience a big drop??The EURUSD pair has been consolidating under moderate pressure since the June 30 (weekly) High with its 1W RSI basically ranged since April 14.
We have seen this sequence of sideways 1W RSI trading after hitting the overbought (70.00) level another 3 times in the past 8 years. All of those times, the market priced a long-term Top there or shortly after.
In all instances, the first Target was the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), with the price even going as low as the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
If the Top this time was already priced in June, then we should be expecting a Target of at least 1.1200 on the medium-term, which would be a potential contact with the 1W MA50 and marginally above the 0.382 Fib.
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