$50 Silver"Decade of zero returns" for the stock market = Shortening Bear Market for Commodities
Price target = $50 
Fractal backbone + Room in technicals for such move.
Price target was established in June 2021. 
Time frame pushed up in anticipation of 2023 bear.
Silver
BRIEFING Week #40 : What could cause VIX>100Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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SILVER The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
 My dear friends, 
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 47.990 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish 
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish  continuation.
Target -47.247
Recommended Stop Loss -4848.0
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
 WISH YOU ALL LUCK 
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🏆 Friday’s Close & Recent ATH: 
Gold (XAUUSD) closed Friday at $3,886.8, after printing a session high near $3,891.9. The latest all-time high is ~$3,896.5 (Thu), putting $3,900 squarely in play as the next psychological milestone. YTD performance remains extraordinary (≈+47% in 2025). 
 📈 Trend Structure: 
Price continues to track a well-defined ascending channel on 1H/4H with a clean impulsive leg out of the last consolidation. Market character = higher highs / higher lows, persistent dip-buying, and strong trend adherence into quarter-turn levels (25/50 handles).
 🔑 Key Resistance Levels: 
The most critical resistance now sits at $3,900 (psychological + round-number supply). Beyond that, watch the ATH band $3,896–$3,898 and Friday’s spike high $3,892. Break/acceptance above opens $3,925–$3,950 as measured-move extensions, with $4,000 as a probable magnet on momentum follow-through. 
 🛡️ Support Zones: 
Immediate supports step down as follows: $3,872–$3,860 (intraday pivot), $3,858–$3,853 (multi-day base), $3,840–$3,838 (Fri low). Deeper structural shelves: $3,825–$3,820, $3,804, $3,791, $3,777. A sustained break below $3,838–$3,825 would signal a more meaningful corrective phase. 
 ⚖️ Likely Scenarios: 
•	Scenario 1 (Base Case) – Pullback then push: Controlled dip into $3,858–$3,838 to reload bids, then rotation higher toward $3,900+.
•	Scenario 2 – Straight break: Quick clearance of $3,892/ATH $3,896–$3,898 → $3,900, unleashing a momentum run into $3,925–$3,950.
(Overbought signals persist, but structural demand keeps dips shallow.)
 📊 Short-Term Targets: 
On continuation: $3,892 → $3,900 → $3,925 → $3,950, with $4,000 as stretch if acceptance holds above $3,900. On retrace: $3,858 → $3,840 → $3,825.
 💡 Market Sentiment Drivers: 
•	Shutdown-driven data delays & uncertainty are boosting safe-haven bids; Friday’s NFP was delayed, reinforcing cut expectations. 
•	Rate-cut odds remain elevated into October, keeping the opportunity cost of holding gold low (FedWatch/BofA commentary). 
•	Official-sector demand stays constructive (central banks resumed net +15t buying in August per WGC), underpinning dips. 
•	Macro/geopolitical risk + tariff chatter continue to provide a tailwind; 2025’s ~47% surge underscores the regime shift. 
 🔄 Retracement Outlook: 
A tag of $3,858–$3,853 (multi-day pivot) or a stop-run to $3,840–$3,838 is a typical “healthy” pullback zone inside trend. Swift reclaim of $3,858/53 after a liquidity flush often precedes fresh ATHs.
 🧭 Risk Levels to Watch: 
Holding above $3,858–$3,838 keeps the bullish structure intact. Failure/acceptance below $3,825 shifts risk toward $3,804 → $3,791 → $3,777 and opens the door to $3,759–$3,738.
 🚀 Overall Weekly Outlook: 
Gold remains in a power-trend with $3,892/ATH $3,896–$3,898 → $3,900 as the immediate battleground. Expect orderly, buyable dips while those supports hold; topside roadmap favors $3,925–$3,950 with $4,000 viable on a decisive breakout/acceptance.
________________________________________
 🗺️ Key Gold Levels Map  — Primary Supports & Resistances (Updated to Fri Close $3,886.8):
Primary Resistances: 3892 (Fri high) → 3896–3898 (ATH band) → 3900 → 3925 → 3950 → 4000. 
Primary Supports: 3872–3860 (intraday) → 3858–3853 (multi-day base) → 3840–3838 (Fri low) → 3825 / 3819 → 3804 / 3791 / 3777 → 3759–3738 (deeper control). 
Bullish flip/validation: Sustained acceptance ≥3900 turns dips into buys toward 3925–3950.
Bearish line-in-sand: Daily close <3825 weakens the trend; <3791 confirms a broader corrective swing.
SILVER:  Short Trade Explained
 SILVER   
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
 SUGGESTED TRADE: 
Swing Trade
Sell SILVER
Entry Level - 47.990
Sl - 49.279
Tp - 47.443
 Our Risk - 1% 
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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#SILVER XAG/USDChart Setup
Asset: Silver (Silver / US Dollar - XAG/USD)
Timeframe:12 Month (very long-term view from 1954 onwards)
Scale: Logarithmic chart, which effectively shows long-term percentage growth.
Major Breakout: The chart shows silver breaking out of a multi-year consolidation pattern that formed after the 2011 peak. This pattern resembles a bull flag or a large pennant.
Resistance Becomes Support: Once Silver has decisively broken above the critical horizontal resistance level around $50, which was the peak in 1980 and 2011. This is a very strong bullish signal.
Ascending Channel: The price is trading within a well-defined, multi-decade ascending parallel channel. Currently, it has broken above the channel's midpoint, suggesting a move towards the upper boundary is possible.
Projected Path: I expect the price to confirm the breakout by potentially retesting the ~$50 level as support before continuing its upward trajectory.
Fibonacci Targets: A Trend-based Fibonacci extension tool is used to project future price targets.
Next Target Zone: The primary target is set around $130.
Long-Term Potential Targets: Much higher, longer-term targets are identified at approximately $783 and $4,752.
Silver Weekly Chart Short Position after longs are out in profitSilver Weekly Chart Short Position after longs are out in profit
Since the breakout, silver has already moved 200% of the breakout range, meaning that anyone who bought the breakout has effectively doubled their money, assuming they placed their stop loss below the previous low.
When such a move occurs, we typically see massive profit-taking from large buyers, which almost always leads to a strong correction before the market attempts another leg higher.
In fact, this could mark the end of the upward move, with the price likely to fall back toward the 42.00 area before any renewed rally attempt.
Silver - Eventually new all time highs!🪚Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) might soon break out: 
  
 🔎Analysis summary: 
 If we look at the bigger picture, Silver has been consolidating for the past couple of decades. But with the recent strong rally of about +50%, Silver is once again heading back to the previous all time highs. Despite a potential short term correction, Silver remains totally bullish though. 
 📝Levels to watch: 
 $42, $34 
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
SILVER: Bulls Are Winning! Long! 
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 48.307 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver resistance retest at 4745The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4595 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4595 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4745 – initial resistance
4822 – psychological and structural level
4886 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4595 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4555 – minor support
4525 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4595. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold and silver break records: what is behind the price increaseTVC:GOLD   TVC:SILVER  
Gold recently broke historical records, exceeding $3,850 per ounce, and silver later followed suit, reaching a maximum of $47 per troy ounce.
At first glance, it may seem that this is a signal for investors to urgently increase the share of precious metals in their portfolios in order to profit from the growth. But let's take a closer look at what is behind this increase and what risks this story entails.
 Reasons for the gold rush 
First and foremost, this rise in gold prices is linked to geopolitical tensions, particularly the situation where the world is beginning to divide into “risk zones” and “stability zones”. Amid such instability, it is not surprising that central banks and investors are looking for reliable assets, and gold is still a classic “safe haven.”
Another reason for the rise in gold is the decline in interest rates, which the market is actually underestimating. The history of the last hundred years shows that gold rises steadily when interest rates fall. And given that Trump continues to put pressure on the Fed, it is quite likely that they may be lowered again, thereby creating even more favorable conditions for the metal. Add to this rising inflation, and it is safe to say that this will only push gold prices higher. As a result, the forecast of $3,900 per ounce in the third quarter may well become a reality.
The current trade wars, which are worsening the economic situation around the world, are adding fuel to the fire. Because of these conflicts, fiat currencies such as the dollar are constantly losing position. And as soon as the US currency begins to decline in value, gold begins to rise in price — not so much in itself, but relative to the depreciating currency.
As for production, this factor is not currently key to the growth of gold. It is clear that a serious redistribution of spheres of influence is taking place in Africa, and it seems that this will only get worse. Therefore, while we are seeing geopolitical divisions in Europe, Africa is gradually transforming from a problem region into a zone of high instability, which makes owning assets there riskier and gold even more expensive.
 Silver – betting on production 
Silver, in turn, is becoming more expensive for completely different reasons. If gold is considered a barometer of crises, silver is more tied to progress in industry. Electric cars, batteries, solar panels, electronics – silver is needed everywhere.
However, it is important to maintain a sober view here, as the potential for a sharp increase in the price of silver is very limited. The market for electric cars and batteries is already largely saturated, and new technological breakthroughs are still only on the horizon. Silver is also strongly linked to the state of the global economy, which, in turn, leaves much to be desired. As a result, the volatility of silver prices can be 2-3 times higher than the gold prices. In addition, the influence of the US on global supply chains makes any forecasts for silver highly unreliable.
 How to invest in these metals? 
When it comes to buying physical gold, it is more suitable for collectors or people from countries where gold has special significance, such as India, China, or Arabic countries. But buying it to store at home or elsewhere does not make much sense due to the high cost of storage. The same applies to silver: it can be purchased in physical form, but silver coins are often more expensive than the spot price of the metal due to production and distribution markups. And again, storage and even insurance costs should be taken into account.
Therefore, it is more rational to consider both gold and silver through the exchange. There are three main ways to invest. The first one is gold and silver ETFs. This is the most convenient and accessible option, suitable even for beginners, as there are many large and reliable securities with different terms and conditions. The only downside is that investing in ETFs does not give investors direct access to these metals.
Shares in gold mining companies are also suitable for investing in the yellow metal. With silver, this option can be even more risky and volatile than buying ETFs. Therefore, investors are better off paying attention to gold mining companies such as Newmont  NYSE:NEM  (USA), Barrick Gold  TSX:ABX  (Canada), Freeport McMoRan  NYSE:FCX  (USA), and others. We have already discussed some of them in more detail here. However, to invest in their shares, you need to have a very deep understanding of the market. Despite being linked to gold, the shares are still traded on a stock exchange, whose index can either rise or fall.
The last option is to buy gold and silver futures, for example, on the Chicago Stock Exchange. But this method is even more complicated and is suitable for even more experienced investors.
As a result, whichever investment method investors choose, they need to be careful in any case. Gold, of course, looks attractive and can strengthen a portfolio amid falling interest rates and a weakening dollar. But it is worth increasing your share gradually, as record prices are usually followed by a correction. Silver has the potential to grow a little more, but we shouldn’t expect too much from it.
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCHF🙌  Stop!Loss  team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the  USDCHF  currency pair☝️
 Potential trade setup: 
🔔Entry level: 0.80043
💰TP: 0.81096
⛔️SL: 0.79260
 "Market View"  - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬  Description:  The USDCHF currency pair is likely to break out of the upper border of the downtrend channel, based on the accumulation formed today. Buy priorities are supported by the highly likely mid-term bullish potential of the USD, and the Swiss franc is also likely to lose ground against the dollar.
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Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: SILVER🙌  Stop!Loss  team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for  SILVER ☝️
 Potential trade setup: 
🔔Entry level: 46.69523
💰TP: 44.62143
⛔️SL: 48.59440
 "Market View"  - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬  Description:  The buying culmination is also approaching its final phase in silver. Currently, silver has formed a bearish divergence, suggesting a downward technical reversal. The medium- and long-term priorities are more confident for sellers, but short-term factors also seem to indicate selling.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: GBPUSD🙌  Stop!Loss  team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the  GBPUSD  currency pair☝️
 Potential trade setup: 
🔔Entry level: 1.34096
💰TP: 1.32908
⛔️SL: 1.35270
 "Market View"  - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬  Description:  As with the euro, sell priority is looked for in the pound. A potential short-term entry near the 1.34000 area is being monitored. A pending order is used for a more conservative entry, and the best option is to wait for the price to close below this area and then look for a sell trade.
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Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
SILVER Local Short! Sell!
 Hello,Traders!
SILVER  is about to reject the horizontal supply zone after liquidity sweep, confirming Smart Money distribution. Price is set to rebalance inefficiency with target aligned near $4,690. Time Frame 3H.
 Sell!
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Trader Tilki’s GOLD-XAUUSD Breakdown: Silent Storm Brewing📊 XAUUSD – GOLD Critical Breakout Analysis
Hey Guys,  
By popular demand, I’ve prepared the latest breakout analysis for XAUUSD-GOLD. Your support means a lot to me, so I’m sharing this breakdown based on your requests.  
🔹 Buy Scenario  
If we get a candle close above 3878.0, the first target will be 3900.0.  
🔹 Sell Scenario  
If price closes below 3850.0, then gold’s target level will be 3816.0.  
Every single like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.  
Thanks to everyone showing support 🙏
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short! 
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 47.830 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDJPY🙌  Stop!Loss  team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the  USDJPY  currency pair☝️
 Potential trade setup: 
🔔Entry level: 148.918
💰TP: 151.289
⛔️SL: 147.342
 "Market View"  - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬  Description:  The price has returned to the previously formed accumulation below the 149 level. Despite this, buy prioraty is saved. The market context continues to indicate that buyers are more likely to be strong than sellers. Two buying scenarios are being looked for (see chart). The primary scenario is a potential trade on a breakout of the 149 area, while the alternative scenario is the formation of another false breakout of the lower accumulation border at 146.300 - 149.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Will US government shutdown add further fuel to silver’s rally?
 Concerns over a weakening US labor market, expectations for further Fed rate cuts, and heightened government shutdown risks have fueled sustained demand for silver as a safe haven.
September ADP private payrolls fell by 32,000, the steepest drop since March 2023, while August figures were sharply revised from a 54,000 gain to a 3,000 loss, underscoring labor market softness.
Meanwhile, the shutdown has officially begun after bipartisan talks failed to reach an agreement, with the key uncertainty now being its duration. A shutdown lasting more than a month could have widespread economic repercussions.
 
 XAGUSD sustains its uptrend above EMA21. The diverging EMAs indicate to a potential expansion of bullish momentum. If XAGUSD closes above EMA21, the price may advance toward the psychological resistance at 48.00. Conversely, if XAGUSD breaks below EMA21, the price could retreat toward the support at 46.00.
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long! 
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level 
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of  47.276 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 47.837.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER (XAGUSD): ALL-TIME HIGH AHEAD! 
A bullish rally may temporarily stop soon as Silver
is approaching a major resistance cluster based on a current All-Time High.
48.0 - 50.0 zone will be an important structure from where the market may retrace.
After a pullback from that, be ready for another bullish wave and a breakout of the underlined area.
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SILVER Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) 
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 4,618.3.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 4,656.5 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. 
 Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,733.3
Target Level: 4,466.5
Stop Loss: 4,911.7
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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