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Why Silver Crashed and What's Next?I was a buyer of TVC:SILVER well before it traded around $25/oz, when inflation was grinding higher and money printing hadn’t let up. The narrative was everywhere years ago, yet silver continued to lag gold. Then the switch flipped and price went parabolic driven by geopolitical tension and excessive leverage.
The nomination of new Fed Chairman (Kevin Warsh) is known having a hawkish sentiment and market interpreted it as more hawkish on rates, this boosted the US dollar which then puts pressure in commodities such as silver and gold.
Silver’s 30% drop wasn’t random. It was a textbook correction after an overextended run, profit-taking kicked in, the dollar strengthened on Fed news, gold rolled over, and leverage was forced out. Once momentum flipped, the blow-off top unwound fast and that’s exactly what the chart is showing now.
Also higher trading cost (CME raised the margin requirements on silver futures) pushed some trades out of leveraged position, thus amplifying selling pressures when price of the silver turned.
My bullish thesis doesn't change.
I will wait for the buy zone to be built again. I will wait to retest that lows again ($70-71 level) volatility to get compressed at that level and price hold for a few sessions. We want that price action to become boring again, just like before, that boredom is where accumulation happens.
So for those who wants to add in their positions, stay patient.
For those who missed the recent bull run, be patient.
There will be another one.
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Silver Squeeze: Breakout or Sharp Breakdown?Silver is moving inside a triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. XAGUSD is getting squeezed between resistance coming down from around 96 and support coming up from around 61. Right now, it’s trading near 73 to 74, which is the middle of the range and not a good place to trade since there is no clear direction.
Recent price moves have been slow and messy, showing the market is still in a correction and not a strong trend.
From a wave view, this looks like a complex correction, and the triangle seems close to finishing. There could be one more move up, possibly a fake breakout, to trap buyers before price drops again.
Unless silver clearly breaks and holds above resistance, the overall view is still bearish. If the XAGUSD gets rejected from the upper area, it could fall toward 60 to 55.
For now, expect choppy and confusing moves. It’s better to wait for confirmation instead of guessing early.
We will update further information soon! Technical Analysis: Silver (XAG/USD) - Daily (1D) TimeframeTVC:SILVER OANDA:XAGUSD
Silver is currently trading at $61.13850 on the daily timeframe, maintaining a macro-corrective posture after peaking close to the $120 level earlier in the year. The market structure is systematically bearish in the medium term, respecting a dominant descending trendline that connects a series of lower highs.
Key Technical Elements
Macro Descending Resistance: A clean, multi-month blue trendline anchors the bearish trend. Until this structural boundary is broken on high volume, sellers remain in control of the broader momentum.
Immediate Overhead Resistance: A strong horizontal supply block is mapped out around the $70.00 psychological level, which previously acted as structural support before being broken to the downside.
Key 1D Support Block: A significant demand zone is established around the $50.00 region. This serves as a primary structural target for the current leg down.
Liquidity Area: Positioned just beneath the daily support block, this area marks a pool of sell-side liquidity where early buyers' stop-losses and breakout sellers' sell-stop orders reside.
Anticipated Price Action & Projection
The path outlined by the white trajectory lines on the chart projects a classic liquidity-hunting, institutional accumulation model:
1. The Preliminary Drop to 1D Support
The price is expected to decline toward the daily demand zone at $50.00, prompting a minor, short-term technical bounce as retail buyers attempt to defend the horizontal support.
2. The Liquidity Sweep (Stop-Hunt)
Following a brief relief rally, the market is projected to flush aggressively below the support block into the "liquidity Area." This stop-hunt is engineered to neutralize retail long positions and capture deep discount pricing for institutional accumulation.
3. The Breakout & Structure Shift
Once the liquidity is swept, a violent V-shaped reversal is expected to push the asset back up, breaking cleanly through the dominant descending blue trendline and rallying toward the horizontal resistance at $70.00.
4. Retest and Macro Expansion
After encountering selling pressure at $70.00, a corrective pullback will likely occur to retest the broken trendline or newly formed daily support. A successful hold here will confirm a structural shift from bearish to bullish, paving the way for a massive macro expansion targeting a return to the $120.00 psychological peak.
Conclusion
The daily chart for XAG/USD suggests a bearish continuation in the short term toward the $50.00 handle, but the ultimate objective appears to be a deep liquidity grab before a major macro reversal. Patience is required to wait for the sweep of the liquidity area and a subsequent daily close back above the trendline to confirm the start of a high-probability macro long position. OANDA:XAUUSD Long 
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ETH/USDT Bullish Continuation Setup – Eyes on $1,844 Resistance
ETH/USDT has transitioned from a strong downtrend into a bullish market structure after breaking above the Ichimoku Cloud and printing a powerful impulsive rally. Price is currently consolidating within a highlighted range around the $1,790–$1,800 area, indicating accumulation before the next directional move.
The projected path suggests a minor pullback toward cloud support, followed by renewed buying pressure. As long as price remains above the cloud and key support zone near $1,780, the bullish bias remains intact.
**Target:** 🎯 **$1,844.84**
**Key Levels:**
* **Support:** $1,780 – $1,760 (Ichimoku Cloud support)
* **Current Price:** ~$1,796
* **Target:** $1,844.84
* **Major Resistance:** $1,875 – $1,890
**Outlook:**
A successful hold above cloud support could trigger a bullish continuation toward **$1,844.84**, with a potential extension into the higher resistance zone near **$1,880** if momentum strengthens.
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Final Downside Silver Target Nearly Hit!Trading Fam,
I don’t have anything much different to say here than what I just posted regarding my gold analysis. Basically this. I had two targets to the downside just as I did with gold. Between the first downside target and the second downside target, I have been DCA’ing in. My second downside target for silver was nearly hit today. Will silver drop lower? Unknown. And that is why it is not a bad idea to be at the DCA stat rn. Once we pop to the upside of this triangle, a safe upside target on silver is $120. But, as with gold, I think silver will go higher. Much higher, in fact. And this could all potentially occur before the year ends.
The U.S. dollar will continue to devalue, increasing inflationary pressure and concerns. The safe havens are precious metals. But with silver, we will also see strong demands from tech, AI, nuclear power, etc. Silver will fly!
Take care, my friends. And happy trading.
✌️Stew Long 
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Scared of a Market Crash? Answer: SILVER, $SLV $AGQTVC:SILVER AMEX:AGQ AMEX:SLV Just like Gold exploded higher in late 2025 through early 2026 — delivering one of its strongest performances in decades with massive gains, repeated all-time highs, and prices surging well over $5,000/oz at peaks — TVC:SILVER , AMEX:SLV , AMEX:AGQ is perfectly positioned to follow the same pattern and potentially outperform it significantly.
While gold captured the safe-haven spotlight, silver combines monetary demand with powerful industrial leverage (solar, EVs, AI/electronics). This dual driver often leads to sharper, more explosive moves once momentum kicks in.
Silver Market Fundamentals & Outlook (as of late May 2026):
Current Price: Trading around $74–$77/oz
2025 Performance: Up over 140–160% in one of the strongest years on record
Market Structure: Sixth consecutive annual supply deficit expected in 2026 (~46–67 million ounces)
Heavy Buying from China: Record imports in 2026 — China imported ~836 tons in March alone (highest monthly total ever, 173% above 10-year seasonal average), with Q1 imports exceeding 1,600 tons driven by both industrial and investment demand.
Key Demand Drivers: Surging industrial use (solar panels, EVs, AI/electronics) + rising investment demand (bars, coins, ETFs).
Supply Constraints: Mine production largely flat; recycling unable to keep up with demand
Gold/Silver Ratio: Currently around 55–62:1 (still room for further compression in a bull market)
Analyst Outlook 2026: Many forecasts $90–$120+, with bullish targets as high as $135–$300+ in extreme squeeze scenarios. Michael Oliver, a financial analyst and founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, who predicted Silver going past $100 before the Metals Bull Run, suggests that if gold reaches the $8,000 to $10,000 range, the historical gold-to-silver ratio implies that silver's catch-up move could rapidly push it into the $300-$500/oz range.
AGQ 2x Leveraged Silver: Sitting at around $120/share, these could easily surge past $1,000-$1,200 if Silver breaks $300/oz.
Impact of Rate Cuts Under Kevin Warsh:
Kevin Warsh, who just took over as Fed Chair in mid-May 2026, is generally viewed as more market-friendly and growth-oriented than Powell. Markets are pricing in the possibility of 1–3 rate cuts in the second half of 2026 (especially if inflation cools or economic data softens post-SpaceX IPO volatility).
Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver.
Weaker USD and lower real yields historically drive strong precious metals rallies.
Silver benefits even more than gold due to its industrial leverage.
Silver could be the perfect safe haven asset in case of a major market correction or profit-taking rotation following the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO (expected mid-June 2026). After the summer hype or toward September–October, any broad market selling could drive strong flows back into silver as investors seek protection — just like we saw with gold during previous periods of volatility.
Why Silver is Primed for More Upside:
Persistent global supply deficits draining inventories for the 6th straight year.
Record heavy buying from China — pulling physical silver from global markets at unprecedented levels.
Explosive industrial demand from green energy and tech sectors
Strong investment flows into physical silver and ETFs.
Potential for further gold/silver ratio compression, following gold’s massive 2025–2026 move
Macro support from Fed policy, geopolitics, and dollar weakness. Long 
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