Black FridayUp to 80% OFF

Smartmoney

EUR/USD Rejected Hard at 1.19 COT (Commitment of Traders) Euro FX: Non-commercials slightly reduced longs (-789) but increased shorts significantly (+2,625). Commercials added both longs (+4,978) and shorts (+3,375), signaling hedging but with a defensive bias. → Net positioning remains positive on the Euro, but short pressure is increasing. USD Index: Non-commercial longs rose (+1,541), while shorts decreased (-1,009). → USD strengthened by large speculators. 📌 Interpretation: Imbalance in favor of the Dollar, with the market turning more cautious on the Euro. FX Sentiment 55% short EUR/USD vs 45% long. 📌 Retail is slightly skewed short → often contrarian → could support limited upside, but not extreme. Seasonality September is historically weak for EUR/USD (-0.01/-0.012 over 5–10 years). October is also negative, while November–December historically show rebounds. 📌 Short-term seasonal bias (September–October) remains bearish. Price Action Strong rejection from the 1.1850–1.1900 supply zone. Currently testing the 1.1740 area. Bearish structure with probable downside targets at demand zones: 1.1650 → first key level. 1.1550 → deeper bearish extension if USD strength persists. Only a stable recovery above 1.1820 would invalidate the bearish scenario. Trading Outlook Main Bias: Bearish in the short term (Sep–Oct), supported by COT (USD strength), negative seasonality, and technical rejection. Contrarian Risk: Slight retail shorts could trigger minor rebounds, but overall setup favors selling rallies.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
12
A Major New Straddle Just Hit Platinum — Here’s What It MeansAfter yesterday’s CME session, a significant options portfolio appeared in platinum (PL) with expiry in 75 days. Structure: A classic Straddle, opened at the central strike Cost: A hefty $2 million Break-even points: Lower: 1443 Upper: 1907 (Marked on the futures chart) At first glance, this looks like a bet on massive volatility — profit only kicks in after price moves beyond either break-even level. But here’s the catch: If you’re thinking "How can anyone profit from such wide boundaries?" — 👉 You're thinking in the right direction. The owner likely doesn’t need price to go beyond these levels. Instead, they’re positioning for a smarter play. Once price approaches either boundary closely, the straddle can be transformed using synthetic logic: Near 1443 → convert into a risk-free Сall Near 1907 → convert into a risk-free Put These synthetics would be immediately at breakeven — no losing leg. Just pure directional exposure, funded by the original premium. Given the size, this is not retail. This is someone who knows exactly what they’re doing — and will act rationally near these extremes. 📌 So what does it mean for us? These break-even levels aren’t just technicals — They become high-probability zones for trade entries: Short setup near 1907 Long setup near 1443 I’d recommend watching both closely. I certainly will planning my trades around them.
NYMEX:PL1!Long
by ClashChartsTeam
3
NZD-CAD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! NZDCAD taps into demand and holds structure, with Smart Money accumulation pointing to higher pricing. Imbalance fills hint at continuation toward premium levels. ------------------- Stop Loss: 0.8105 Take Profit: 0.8158 Entry: 0.8136 Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
2
CHF-JPY Short From Supply Ahead! Sell! Hello,Traders! CHFJPY is about to retest the horizontal supply area, where Smart Money seeks to mitigate orders. A rejection from this zone signals distribution, with price likely to rebalance inefficiency toward 184.95. Time Frame 3H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
NZDUSD: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the NZDUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
1
EURCAD: wedge at the top with bearish divergenceThe EUR/CAD pair has been trading within an ascending channel, but the 4H chart shows a rising wedge pattern, typically a reversal setup. Attempts to sustain above 1.64 have failed so far, while the CCI indicator shows a series of bearish divergences, highlighting weakening bullish momentum. Technically, the likelihood of a decline after the wedge breakout is high. Initial targets lie at 1.6260, followed by 1.6080, and deeper at 1.5780. A retest of the broken level (re-entry) is possible before the downward move accelerates. From a fundamental perspective, the euro remains pressured by weak macro data and a cautious ECB, while the Canadian dollar is supported by stable oil prices and a firm Bank of Canada stance. This divergence in fundamentals strengthens the bearish case. It’s a classic situation where the market tempts traders into expecting a reversal, but confirmation is still required. As always, emotions aside — we wait for clear signals before acting.
Short
by InvestWorld_777
GBP-NZD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! GBPNZD rejected a premium supply zone after liquidity sweep, confirming smart money distribution. Price aims to rebalance inefficiency below, with sell-side liquidity at 2.3074 in focus. ------------------- Stop Loss: 2.3152 Take Profit: 2.3074 Entry: 2.3120 Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1