Gold Weekly Outlook ( FOMC Week )Hello traders,
Another week and most importantly its FOMC week
🔸 Weekly Outlook (HTF Bias)
Trend: Bullish, but stretched into ATH zone.
Supply Zones:
3670–3720 (ATH pocket – decision zone)
3770–3800 (extension confluence)
3850–3920 (untouched liquidity cluster)
Demand Zones / Imbalance:
3590–3450 → main corrective magnet (contains EMA50)
3340–3290 → first strong HTF demand
3180–3120 & 3050–2980 → deeper extreme discount demand
Confluence:
EMA stack bullishly locked, but extended
RSI weekly overbought → exhaustion risk
Liquidity pools: above 3674 ATH and below imbalance 3450
Fibonacci: 1.272/1.618 extensions (3750/3880) align with supply above
Scenarios:
Bullish Expansion: Clean breakout above 3670–3720 → targets 3770 → 3850+
Bearish Correction: Rejection from ATH → pullback into 3590–3450 imbalance. A deeper rebalance could test 3340 or lower demand if macro turns hawkish.
🔸 H4 Structure & Trend
Trend: Still bullish (HH–HL), but slowing momentum inside supply.
Active Supply Zones:
3640–3666 → current battlefield (price inside)
3692–3720 → inducement + 1.272 Fib trap zone
3745–3785 → 1.618–2.0 Fib, expansion exhaustion supply
Demand Zones:
3600–3580 → first pullback demand
3544–3520 → EMA50 confluence, BOS origin
3500–3470 → last valid H4 demand before sentiment shift
Confluence:
EMAs locked bullish, but flattening
RSI cooling off → momentum compression
Equal highs below 3666 → inducement
Imbalances on both sides = liquidity-driven moves ahead
Scenarios:
Bullish: Hold above 3600–3580 → breakout above 3666 confirms push toward 3720/3785.
Bearish: Rejection at 3640–3666 or EQH sweep → pullback into 3580/3544, possibly 3500.
🔸 H1 Refined Levels
Premium Sell Zones:
3640–3654 → short-term liquidity wall (first seller defense)
3670–3678 → ATH trap zone (inducement risk)
3704–3720 → exhaustion zone (final upside trap)
Discount Buy Zones:
3595–3580 → first reaction base
3550–3535 → mid-range accumulation shelf
3505–3490 → deep liquidity reload zone (best RR swing entry)
Decision Zone: 3630–3608 → momentum pivot
Above 3630 → bulls in control
Below 3608 → opens reentry demand zones
🎯 Battle Plan
Bullish Play:
Look for rejections from 3595 / 3550 / 3505 with confirmation (M15 BOS or engulfing).
Above 3630 → push toward 3654 → 3674 → 3720.
Break and hold above 3674 → continuation toward 3770+.
Bearish Play:
Tactical shorts at 3654, 3678, 3720 with M15/M30 confirmation.
Targets: 3608 → 3580 → 3550.
Loss of 3490 = HTF correction mode unlocked.
✅ Overall Bias: Still bullish on HTF, but extended. Market is at a make-or-break zone (3640–3674).
⚠️ Risk: RSI overbought + inducement structure = high probability of a liquidity sweep before the real move.
📌 Key Catalyst: FOMC will likely decide whether ATH breaks cleanly or if a corrective flush into imbalance (3450–3590) happens first
SMC
EUR-JPY Move Down Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is approaching
A key horizontal
Resistance around 174.000
So after the retest a local
Pullback is to be expected
On Monday as it is a strong level
Sell!
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NZD_JPY Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair made a confirmed
Bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level
Of 87.700 so we are
Bullish biased and a
Further bullish continuation
Is to be expected on Monday
Buy!
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SILVER Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and the price
Has crossed yet another
Strong barrier of 41.60$
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
On Monday!
Buy!
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ETHUSD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 4,609.6 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 4,590.9 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 115,510.86 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 115,726.34.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD H1 Weekly Outlook – Sept 15–19, 2025Gold doesn’t drift — it declares war at every zone. Be ready.
👋 Hello traders,
This week, Gold is hovering just below its All-Time High — momentum is building, and structure is tightening. Price action is loading between high-pressure zones, waiting for a clean breakout or reversal. In this H1 outlook, we map out the tactical zones that matter: premium sell traps, mid-structure pivots, and the discount bases where liquidity reloads.
Let’s map the warzone and get ready for surgical entries 👇
🔸 1. Market Structure & Technical Bias
✅ Bias: Still bullish, but extended
EMAs 5/21/50: Bullish flow, slight slowdown
RSI: Overbought on spikes → signaling pullback risk
HTF: Still in a higher-high sequence unless 3535 breaks
Structure: Building pressure between 3608–3654
🔸 2. Refined H1 Zones
🔺 Premium Sell Zones (Above Price)
3704–3720 → Expansion Exhaustion Zone
• End-stage zone for stretched breakouts
• Likely reversal if touched aggressively
• Combines H1–H4 imbalance, extended PA
3670–3678 → ATH Trap Zone
• Surrounds 3674 All-Time High
• Likely inducement area with high-volume rejection risk
• Key for fading euphoric breakouts
3640–3654 → Short-Term Liquidity Wall
• Local OB + imbalance
• Likely to provide quick rejection for tactical short scalps
• First defense line for sellers
🔘 Decision Zone
3630–3608 → Momentum Pivot Zone
• Central battlefield of the week
• Above 3630 → bulls control
• Below 3608 → opens first reentry zones
• No raw entries here – only wait for reaction or BOS
🟦 Discount Buy Zones (Below Price)
3595–3580 → First Reaction Base
• Minor OB + unfilled imbalance
• May offer quick bounce or act as inducement trap
3550–3535 → Mid-Range Accumulation Shelf
• Key structure base after bullish BOS
• High-probability continuation buy area if respected
• EMA + RSI alignment here favors recovery setups
3505–3490 → Deep Liquidity Reload Zone
• Last clean demand before HTF bias risks reversal
• Includes wick fill + imbalance
• Strongest RR for high-quality buys
🎯 3. Battle Plan – Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario: Ride the Continuation
Hold above 3608 + bounce from 3580
→ Watch for price to reclaim 3630, then attack 3654
→ If 3674 breaks clean, next zone is 3704–3720
→ Sniper buys valid on rejections from:
3595 (scalp)
3550 (continuation)
3505 (swing entry)
Entry trigger: Bullish OB reaction + M15 BOS or bullish engulfing
Invalidation: Loss of 3490 (HTF support failure)
📉 Bearish Scenario: Fade the Top
Rejection from 3654 or 3678
→ Confirm with M15/M30 shift → target 3608
→ Loss of 3608 → unlocks 3580, 3550, and deeper
Entry trigger: Strong bearish rejection from:
3654 (first tactical short)
3678 (ATH fade)
3720 (overextension trap)
Invalidation: Clean break and hold above 3720
🧠 Final Thoughts
This week is not about chasing — it’s about waiting for structure to invite you in.
Every zone on this map is real, clean, and rooted in price logic. Watch for confirmation, avoid impulse trades, and stick to zones with meaning. Whether bulls extend the trend or sellers fade the rally, this H1 outlook is your sniper playbook.
—
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EURUSD overview 14-09-2025I am a bit confused as to whether the price will go up after breaking the 1.17008 level or will it reach 1.16520 and then it will be a good area to go up with the orderflow and this is more likely to happen and in case the price reaches this level with the Fed news it will be a very good rise
XAUUSD H4 Weekly Outlook – Sep 15–19, 2025The higher you climb, the sharper the fall... unless you know where the trap is.
👋 Hello traders,
We’re heading into a critical week for Gold, with price currently testing the ceiling of an aggressive bullish leg. In this H4 outlook, we’ll break down the 3 key supply zones above price, the demand layers below, and what to expect from market structure, reaction points, and sniper entries. Let’s map it out 👇
🔸 1. H4 Structure & Trend
✅ Trend: Still bullish – price is printing higher highs and higher lows after a strong BOS
⚠️ However: We're now inside a key supply zone, with signs of momentum exhaustion
EMAs are still locked, but flattening – indicating early compression
🔸 2. Supply Zones (Above/At Price)
🔴 3640–3666 – Active H4 Supply (Price Inside Now)
‣ We are currently consolidating inside this premium zone
‣ Multiple EQHs indicate inducement
‣ A strong rejection here may trigger pullback toward demand
‣ A clean break above → confirms bullish continuation
🟠 3692–3720 – Inducement + FVG Zone
‣ Matches 1.272 Fibonacci extension
‣ Imbalance + wick gap + low resistance
‣ Likely to act as a trap zone for breakout chasers if tested
🔴 3745–3785 – Final Expansion Supply Zone
‣ 1.618–2.0 fib projection + HTF inefficiency
‣ High-probability reversal zone if price extends bullish without pullback
‣ Only reachable if bulls dominate and structure confirms breakout above 3720
🔸 3. Demand Zones (Below Price)
🟦 3600–3580 – First Pullback Demand
‣ Minor OB + FVG from previous impulse
‣ Likely to hold first tap if 3640–3666 fails
‣ Watch for bullish reaction
🟦 3544–3520 – Internal OB + EMA50 Zone
‣ Structure-support zone + previous BOS origin
‣ Stronger continuation setup if 3580 fails
🟦 3500–3470 – Full Reaccumulation Zone ✅
‣ Clean OB + deep discount pricing + last institutional demand
‣ EMA100 confluence
‣ Final valid long zone before major sentiment shift
‣ If broken, trend may flip to bearish
🔸 4. Confluences
✅ EMA 5/21/50: Locked bullish, but flattening – signs of slowing trend
✅ RSI: Cooling off from overbought → early warning of exhaustion
✅ Equal Highs: Inducement logic building below 3666
✅ FVGs: Gaps both above and below → price remains imbalance-driven
✅ Fibonacci: 1.272 → 1.618 extensions align with supply zones above
🔸 5. Scenarios for the Week
📈 Bullish Scenario
‣ If price breaks and holds above 3666, we expect a push toward 3720, and possibly 3745–3785
‣ Ideal reentry long zones: 3600 and 3544, with confirmation
‣ Trend remains bullish above 3520
📉 Bearish Scenario
‣ Rejection from 3640–3666 or EQH sweep = short-term top
‣ Target pullbacks: 3580 → 3544 → 3500–3470
‣ Only a break below 3470 flips sentiment into correction mode
📍Price now inside 3640–3666 → this is the battlefield for the early week.
🔚 Final Thoughts
This week’s setup is clear: Gold is inside a live decision zone. Watch how price reacts — breakout or rejection will decide the next 300+ pips. Don't get baited by the EQHs... precision and confirmation are everything.
—
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GBP-USD Resistance Above! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is hovering below
The strong horizontal resistance
Level of 1.3595 so after the
Pair makes a retest of the
Resistance on Monday
We will be expecting a
Local bearish pullback
Sell!
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Bitcoin - Heading lower after hitting resistance?Introduction
Looking at the current 4-hour Bitcoin chart, we can see that price action is moving into a crucial zone. After a strong upward move, Bitcoin has reached an area of resistance where multiple factors align, making it an important level to watch. The chart highlights fair value gaps (FVGs) both above and below, which are key points that could influence the next move. By analyzing these areas, we can form a clearer idea of the potential short-term trend and what traders might expect in the coming days.
Bearish 4h FVG resistance and liquidity grab
At the moment, price is testing a strong resistance level, which coincides with a 4-hour fair value gap. This area has already absorbed much of the short-side liquidity, meaning that stop losses from traders positioned against the uptrend have been triggered. This liquidity grab often signals exhaustion in the upward move and can serve as the starting point for a retracement. The resistance zone is proving to be difficult to break, and if the market fails to hold above it, we could see a shift in momentum toward the downside.
4h bullish FVG to hold
Just below the current price, there is a 4-hour bullish fair value gap that could act as support in the short term. If buyers step in and defend this area, it may temporarily stabilize the market and create a bounce. However, if this support fails to hold, it would open the path for further downside movement. The chart suggests that a break below this level would likely drive Bitcoin toward the next major target around the $112,000 region. This makes the bullish FVG a key decision point for the market.
Target for the short
If Bitcoin cannot sustain its position above the highlighted resistance zone, the downside target becomes more clear. The lower 4-hour fair value gap, sitting closer to $112,000, is marked as the target for the short. This is where price is likely to be drawn in order to rebalance inefficiencies left behind in the chart. Traders looking for bearish opportunities would see this as the logical area to aim for, as the market often gravitates toward unfilled gaps after liquidity grabs at the top.
Final thoughts
In conclusion, Bitcoin is currently at a critical point. The resistance area combined with the 4-hour FVG has absorbed liquidity, creating the possibility for a downward move. The short-term bullish FVG below is the level to watch, as a break here could confirm bearish continuation toward $112,000. On the other hand, if buyers manage to hold the current support, the structure may remain intact and prevent deeper downside. Overall, the chart suggests that the path of least resistance may now be lower, unless the market proves otherwise by breaking convincingly above resistance.
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USOIL: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 62.548 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NG1!: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 2.961 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2.981.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NI225: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 44,768.07 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 44,532.05.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GBP_AUD Pullback Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD will soon make
A retest of the horizontal
Resistance level of 2.0460
And as the pair is trading in
A downtrend we are bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down on Monday
Sell!
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EUR-AUD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Made a bearish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 1.7699 which is now
A resistance and the pair
Is now making a local
Correction but after the
Price retests the resistance
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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EUR-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading along
The rising support line and
We are already seeing a bullish
Rebound from the support
So we think that the pair
Will keep growing on Monday
Buy!
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