Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT for 27-31 October 2025XAUUSD: BUY 4075.00, SL 4025.00, TP 4225.00
Gold starts the week near record territory, with spot prices fluctuating around $4,080 per ounce. Support comes from expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the October 28–29 meeting and the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields ahead of the decision. Headlines about a potential temporary government funding pause in the U.S. and delayed data releases enhance gold’s role as a defensive asset, while September inflation came in slightly below expectations, reinforcing the case for policy easing. In addition, fund inflows into gold have stayed strong after October’s price spike.
The fundamental backdrop remains constructive: World Gold Council data point to renewed net purchases by central banks late in the summer, and October saw more active investment flows into “paper” gold as market volatility rose and real yields eased. Risks to this view include a more cautious Fed tone and a brief dollar rebound after the decision, but these are offset by steady institutional demand and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
Trade idea: BUY 4075.00, SL 4025.00, TP 4225.00
#SP500: BUY 6785, SL 6705, TP 7025
U.S. equities enter the week on strong footing: the S&P 500 holds near 6,790 after softer September inflation data and lower government bond yields. Markets are focused on the Fed’s October 28–29 decision; the prevailing view anticipates another rate cut, which would reduce borrowing costs and support the valuation of future earnings. The reporting season is in full swing, with expectations for double-digit earnings growth for 2025 and a busy week of results from index constituents.
Fundamentally, the index benefits from a combination of easing rate pressure, resilient profit expectations in sectors tied to digital infrastructure and AI-related investment, and a broadly steady consumer backdrop. Key risks include any prolonged disruption to federal services that could distort the macro data flow, and the chance of tighter corporate guidance given currency strength and fluctuations in global electronics demand.
Trade idea: BUY 6785, SL 6705, TP 7025
#BRENT: SELL 66.30, SL 68.00, TP 61.20
Brent trades around $66 per barrel. The weekly news flow is mixed: on one hand, infrastructure risks linger in the Black and Baltic Sea regions; on the other, international agencies flag accelerating supply growth alongside moderate demand. The earlier OPEC+ decision to allow a marginal output increase and revised surplus projections effectively cap prices despite sporadic supply disruptions and sanctions-related headlines.
By late October, industry assessments imply a gradual rebuild in inventories and a softer price path into Q4, albeit with elevated headline-driven volatility. Additional pressure comes from a cooler global backdrop and rising non-OPEC+ production, while any Fed rate cut would only partly lift the commodity complex. Short-position risks include an escalation of geopolitical tensions that threatens exports and an unexpectedly sharp draw in weekly U.S. stock data.
Trade idea: SELL 66.30, SL 68.00, TP 61.20
Sp500index
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Wait For Valid Buy Setups!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P500 closed last week at ATHs. I expect more of the same next week.
Look for valid dip buying opportunities, my friends.
If the market disrespects the +OB, then buys become invalidated.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S%P DROP AND GIVE ME 50....50K PLEASE LOLBias is BEARISH!
Hear me out tho lol!
First, we never predict; we estimate and wait! Price will tell us where it wants to go. Based on my estimate, we have big news this week that does not look very positive and could negatively affect American businesses and stocks, potentially leading to central sell pressure in the market. That, paired with no significant pullback on the D/HTF's, makes me estimate we should have nice sell ops.
4H Golden zone is around 6,809-50% and 6,801-.618%! (Great buy bounce area)
after that we have some IPP'S (important price points)
6,840 If passed and closed above we can see move to even HH's!
or
If we see a rejection to 6,801 price area we can see a dump taking out session IPP's and pushing to lower FVGs! (what I want lol)
so we are going to let the market play, while we wait....and GET PAID!!
GDluckThisWeek!
Tuesday, Oct 21st Weekly Forecast UPDATES!Welcome to the Weekly Forecast Updates!
In this video, we will analyze the following markets: DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, NASDAQ, S&P500
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT for 20-24 October 2025XAUUSD: BUY 4255.50, SL 4225.00, TP 4410.00
Gold starts the new week at elevated levels: the spot price holds near $4,255 per ounce as markets continue to expect further Federal Reserve rate cuts and as long-term U.S. Treasury yields ease. Ongoing central-bank purchases and a recovery in investment demand add support: diversification of reserves and the metal’s protective role remain in focus, while trade and political tensions between the U.S. and China keep interest in safe assets alive.
Key drivers over the week include the tone of Fed remarks and U.S. inflation releases, the direction of bond yields, and news on global gold flows. Risks for long positions are tied to a slower-than-expected pace of policy easing and a firmer dollar, but steady official buying and elevated uncertainty still shape a constructive fundamental backdrop.
Trading recommendation: BUY 4255.50, SL 4225.00, TP 4410.00
#SP500: BUY 6660, SL 6640, TP 6900
U.S. equities begin the week supported by a move in 10-year Treasury yields below 4% and a heavy earnings calendar. Consensus for Q3 profits remains constructive, and investment in AI and related equipment continues to underpin demand for the largest names. By Friday’s close the benchmark hovered around 6,664; futures point to a neutral-to-positive start while investors watch this week’s macro releases.
The balance of factors favors moderate upside: easing financial conditions, stable profit expectations, and no clear signs of a sharp demand slowdown in key sectors. Counter-risks include softness in some cyclicals, occasional stress in credit, and geopolitics. In this setup, buying on modest dips with tight risk control looks reasonable.
Trading recommendation: BUY 6660, SL 6640, TP 6900
#BRENT: SELL 61.00, SL 61.30, TP 55.00
Brent enters the new week near $61 per barrel. The near-term backdrop weighs on prices: agencies and banks flag faster supply growth in 2025–2026, including as OPEC+ curbs gradually unwind and non-OPEC output rises. At the same time, demand forecasts are turning more cautious amid slower global growth and structural trends such as improved efficiency and transport electrification. Trade frictions between the U.S. and China and headlines on U.S. inventories add to buyer caution.
Overall, the supply-demand balance tilts toward surplus, limiting upside unless fresh supply disruptions emerge. Risks to short positions include sudden outages, signals of deeper OPEC+ restraint, or a quicker-than-expected demand rebound in Asia. The base case is continued downward pressure with brief news-driven rebounds.
Trading recommendation: SELL 61.00, SL 61.30, TP 55.00
BUY SPX - S&P500- Profitable trade opportunity!Based on our deep analysis we can see that SPX (S&P500) will head to the upside. Great time to BUY - it is currently in a uptrend and is holding on to powerful support levels. The next target is the resistance level to the upside. This is a great low risk high reward trade. BUY NOW!
SPX Bullish Trend / Elliot analysisOur analysis of this index suggests that we are currently in the development of a Wave 4 (W4) within the last bullish substructure of the macro fifth wave, where, in the long term, we could potentially see the end of the trend between the 7100 and 7600 levels.
At the moment, the price appears to be moving within the final substructure, which seems about to begin a Wave 4 (W4) correction.
💡 This is just my opinion — always remember to do your own analysis!
From 'pullbacks' to a 'correction' (S&P 500)Setup
Still Bullish. Be patient for entry near end of the corrective move lower
Evidence..
-Trend is up, no top pattern
-No longer 'dips' to 50 DMA, now into a 'correction' with possible move towards 100 DMA
-Large bearish engulfing weekly candle
-The 4 month old trendline has broken.
-RSI has dropped under support - but not yet characteristic of bearish trend by going oversold
-Price has landed at a demand zone under 6500 (could rebound from here)
Signal
Looking to go long on another test of the demand zone OR
at next supports found at matching lows of 6350 then 6200
EURJPY | MarketoutlookThe policy divergence between the US Fed and SNB supports the pair at lower levels.
Jobless claims dropped to 227,000 for the week ending October 19, down from 242,000 the week before, suggesting some stability in the labor market. The four-week moving average rose by 6,750, reaching 231,000, which indicates that jobless claims are still showing fluctuations despite the recent decline.
The S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 47.8 in October, up from 47.3 in September. However, this still shows that manufacturing activity is contracting for the fourth month in a row. On the other hand, the Flash Services PMI rose to 51.5, indicating modest growth in the services sector, which is important since it makes up a large part of the U.S. economy.
SPX - Bearish ScenarioContinuous three point touches along a down trend line can be seen in red
Right now price may experience this third touch on its current down trend in red.
From there I think it collapse may follow down to levels in 02 and 08 or a bit above them. (price could recover at the red line along the timeframe when covid was occurring.)
Not sure when it will occur but its going to.
Weekly timeframe
Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals StrengthBitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength 🔍📊
This chart shows the BTCUSD/SPX ratio — in simple terms, how Bitcoin is performing relative to the S&P 500. And what do we see? Clear, technical strength .
🔑 Key Observations:
• BTC/SPX is breaking out from a bullish flag structure just above the 17.30–17.48 region
• If this breakout holds, the technical target is ~26.37 — the top of the multi-year channel
• Historically, breakouts from similar zones triggered explosive upside — even during equity pullbacks
🧠 What does it mean?
Even if the S&P 500 corrects (OR LIKELY NOT) Bitcoin can still outperform, not necessarily by skyrocketing, but by falling less, consolidating, or simply staying resilient . That’s the edge of analyzing ratios, not just price.
Macro-wise, Buffett Indicator shows equities are overvalued . If capital rotates out of stocks, BTC could be a top-tier beneficiary — especially if it keeps showing this relative strength.
💬 Final Thoughts:
• Don’t analyze BTC in isolation — compare it to what it competes with
• Ratios give clarity — this one says Bitcoin’s trend vs stocks is up and strong
• Strong support sits at 14.23 , and there's open space toward 26.37 — a zone worth watching
Are you tracking this breakout? What’s your plan for Q4?
Food for Thought 🍃
“Stocks are at all-time highs. Is this the PERFECT time for big money to hedge into Bitcoin? Likely yes.”
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
SP500 Bearish Outlook With Tight SLBearish Technical Reading
• The index is currently trading near 6,728 after a strong recovery rally.
• Nearest hypothetical major resistance: 7,125 (weekly supply + marked zone).
• Nearest key support: 6,150 – 6,170 (structural pivot, last defended level).
• Breakdown from this zone could trigger a deeper correction.
________________________________________
Bearish Trade Setup (Tighter Levels)
• Entry: Short around 6,700 – 6,750 (current resistance zone).
• Stop Loss: 7,150 (above weekly resistance to avoid fakeouts).
• Take Profit 1 (TP1): 6,150 – 6,170 (structural demand, first bearish magnet).
• Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,820 – 4,850 (major demand, previous accumulation zone).
________________________________________
Logic Behind Levels
• Stop Loss 7,150 is placed above the marked resistance — if price breaks and holds above, bearish thesis weakens.
• TP1 at 6,150 matches the exact key support drawn on your chart — logical place to secure partials.
• TP2 at 4,820 aligns with historical strong demand and would only be targeted if shutdown-driven fear prolongs and selling accelerates.
________________________________________
S&P 500 – Steady Uptrend Within Rising ChannelThe S&P 500 continues to grind higher within a well-defined rising channel, holding above both the 50-day SMA (6,486) and the 200-day SMA (6,023), which reinforces the broader bullish structure. Price action has respected the channel boundaries since May, with the recent bounce off the mid-line suggesting buyers remain in control.
Momentum indicators support the bullish bias:
MACD is positive, showing steady upside momentum.
RSI sits near 68, not yet overbought but approaching elevated levels, hinting at a possible test of the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as price holds above the 6,600 zone, the path of least resistance remains higher, with the channel top near 6,800 as the next potential target. A break below the channel support, however, could trigger a corrective pullback toward the 6,450–6,500 area, aligning with the 50-day SMA.
Overall, the trend remains bullish, with dips likely to be treated as buying opportunities while the channel structure holds. -MW
Gold (Rose ) and SPX ( Jack ) relationship. 1/Oct/25XAUUSD ( Rose ) and SPX ( Jack ) since dunno when they are in closed relationship on "Titanic Ship".. But.. That "shxx" is obviously tilting heavily into 1 side.untill early/mid Oct at 7000 and 4000 nautical And when.Jack and Rose probably have to perform "you jump I jump"..But after that they will "ride" different "ships"..Where one still on sinking ship , the other is riding into "Titanic" sky ship"...
S&P500: More Upside Likely Before PullbackThe North American Mass Index kicked off the new week with some momentum, extending its climb within the ongoing magenta wave (3). For now, we anticipate this upward trend could continue before reaching a new high. Afterward, we expect a pullback as part of the subsequent wave (4), likely bringing the index into the magenta long Target Zone between 6,283 and 5,781 points. In our view, this price range offers attractive opportunities for long positions, as wave (5) is expected to follow—potentially pushing the index significantly higher and completing the larger blue wave (III). To protect newly established long positions, a stop can be set 1% below the lower boundary of the Target Zone.
The AI Bubble's Final Act: Why $SP:SPX 6,700 May Be the TopThe AI Bubble's Final Act: Why SP:SPX 6,700 May Be the Top
Unemployment + Rate Cuts = Recession (12 for 12 Since 1970)
The Death Cross Pattern
There's a simple rule that's worked for 55 years: When the Fed cuts rates while unemployment is rising from cycle lows, recession follows within 12 months - every single time.
Think of it like a doctor taking your temperature while giving you painkillers. The medicine might make you feel better temporarily, but if the fever is rising, something serious is wrong underneath.
Current Status:
✅ Fed just cut rates ECONOMICS:USINTR (September 2025)
✅ Unemployment ECONOMICS:USUR rising from 3.4% cycle low
✅ TVC:SPX at all-time high ($6,700)
Historical Result: 12/12 times = recession + 35% average equity crash
The Precedent: Crisis Follows a Script
2000 Dot-Com Bubble:
Setup: TVC:SPX at ATH (1,550), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 3.9%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting
Crisis: Technology "revolution" story breaks down
Result: -49% crash over 2.5 years
Recovery: 7 years to new highs
2008 Financial Crisis:
Setup: CBOE:SPX at ATH (1,576), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 4.4%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting
Crisis: Housing/credit bubble bursts
Result: -57% crash over 1.5 years
Recovery: 5 years to new highs
2025 AI Bubble:
Setup: SPREADEX:SPX at ATH (6,700), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 3.4%→4.2%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting ✅
Crisis: AI productivity story meets employment reality
Projection: -35 to -45% crash over 18 months
Recovery: 3-5 years (faster due to tech infrastructure remaining)
The AI Employment Paradox
The Productivity Mirage
Wall Street celebrates AI boosting productivity, but here's the paradox:
productivity gains = job losses = reduced consumer spending = recession.
Think of it like a factory owner celebrating a new machine that replaces 100 workers. Great for margins, terrible for the local economy when those 100 families stop spending.
Jobs ECONOMICS:USNFP at Risk by Sector:
Customer Service: 2M jobs (chatbots replacing agents)
Software Development: 500K jobs (AI-assisted coding reducing teams)
Transportation: 3M jobs (autonomous vehicles accelerating)
Administrative: 4M jobs (AI handling routine tasks)
Content Creation: 1M jobs (AI writing, design, video)
Total Impact: 10+ million jobs facing displacement over next 2-3 years
Why This Time is Different?
Unlike previous automation waves that created new job categories, AI is targeting cognitive work directly. A factory worker could become a service worker, but what does a displaced knowledge worker become?
Valuation Extremes: 1929 Levels with 2025 Leverage
Current Valuation Metrics:
Shiller CAPE: 38+ (higher than 1929's 33)
Buffett Indicator: 195% (market cap/GDP, historical average 85%)
Price/Sales: 3.3x (vs 1.4x historical average)
Forward P/E: 23x (on optimistic AI earnings assumptions)
Valuations today exceed 1929 by most measures - but with far more leverage embedded in the system. If 1929 was a valuation bubble, 2025 is that bubble layered with derivatives, corporate debt, and passive flows.
The Leverage Layer:
Margin Debt: $1.023 trillion (record high)( as of July 2025, ycharts )
Corporate Debt/GDP: 85% (vs 45% in 2000)
Derivatives Exposure: $700 trillion notional ( as of June 2025, BIS semiannual data )
ETF/Passive Flows: $1.5 trillion annually (forced selling on reversals)
When liquidity stress hits, derivatives amplify shocks - notional exposure dwarfs underlying assets.
Think of today's market like a house of cards built on a trampoline. Even small bounces can bring the whole structure down.
Technical Breakdown: The Charts Don't Lie
Major Warning Signals:
Market breadth has deteriorated from 90% in Q4 2024 to ~60% today,
Defensives led earlier in the year,
TVC:VIX Volatility’s floor has shifted higher
Credit risk appetite (HYG/TLT) is stretched.
Together, these signal fragility beneath the index surface.
The Three-Stage Technical Collapse:
Stage 1 - The Warning (Now-Q4 2025):
Current Level: $6,700
Initial Support: $6,200 (previous resistance)
Character: Failed rallies, rotating leadership, "healthy correction" narrative
Target: 5,800-6,000 (-10 to -13%)
Stage 2 - The Cascade (Q4 2025-Q2 2026):
Breaking Point: Below 5,800 triggers algorithmic selling
Character: "Buy the dip" stops working, margin calls begin
Target: 4,800-5,200 (-25 to -30%)
Stage 3 - Capitulation (Q2-Q4 2026):
Final Flush: Panic selling, ETF redemptions
Character: "Markets will never recover" sentiment peaks
Target: 3,700-4,200 (-35 to -45%)
The Catalyst: When Reality Meets Hype
Q4 2025 Earnings Season - The Reckoning
Companies will face impossible questions:
"You spent $50B on AI - where's the revenue growth?"
"Productivity is up 20%, why are you laying off workers?"
"If AI is so transformative, why are margins declining?"
The Employment Data Domino Effect:
October/Nov NFP: First print above 250K unemployment claims
November Consumer Spending: Down 2%+ as job fears spread
December Holiday Sales: Weakest since 2008
January Layoff Announcements: Tech companies start "right-sizing"
Think of it like the moment in 2000 when investors finally asked: "How exactly does Pets.com make money?" or 2007 when they wondered: "What's actually in these mortgage bonds?"
Sector-by-Sector Breakdown
Technology (-50 to -70%)
AI hype stocks get destroyed first
Software companies face declining growth + competition
Semiconductor cycle turns negative
Biggest Losers: NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL
Consumer Discretionary (-40 to -55%)
Unemployment hits spending immediately
High-end retailers crushed first
Auto sales collapse with higher rates
Biggest Losers: TSLA, AMZN, NKE
Financials (-30 to -45%)
Credit losses surge as economy weakens
Interest margin compression
Commercial real estate exposure
Biggest Losers: Regional banks, non-bank lenders
Relative Outperformers (-15 to -25%)
Utilities, Healthcare, Consumer Staples
Companies with genuine AI cost savings
High-dividend yielders in low-rate environment
Key Dates and Catalysts
October 2025:
Jobs report (first warning?)
Q3 earnings disappointments
Fed meeting (dovish pivot?)
November 2025:
Election aftermath volatility
Black Friday sales data
Thanksgiving week low-volume crashes
December 2025:
Year-end tax selling
Institutional rebalancing
Holiday retail reality check
Q1 2026:
Layoff announcements surge
Earnings guidance slashed
Credit events begin
The Recovery Setup
Why This Crash Creates Opportunity:
Valuation Reset: P/E ratios back to historical norms
Weak Hands Flushed: Margin traders eliminated
Government Response: Fiscal + monetary stimulus
AI Infrastructure Remains: Real productivity gains continue post-bubble
Recovery Timeline:
Bottom: Q4 2026 around 3,700-4,200
Initial Rally: 30-50% bounce over 6 months
New Bull Market: Begins 2027 with stronger foundation
New Highs: 2029-2030 timeframe
Risk Management Rules
This Analysis Fails If:
Fed pivots to massive QE before crisis
Fiscal stimulus exceeds $2 trillion quickly
AI productivity gains offset job losses faster than projected
Geopolitical crisis overrides economic fundamentals
Probability Assessment:
60%: Correction to 4,800-5,500 range (25-30% decline)
25%: Major crash to 3,700-4,200 range (40-45% decline)
15%: Continued melt-up through 2026 (soft landing achieved)
Conclusion: The End of the Everything Era
At SPX 6,700 with unemployment rising and the Fed cutting rates, we're witnessing the final act of the 15-year "everything bubble."
The AI revolution is real, but like the Internet in 2000, revolutionary technology doesn't prevent financial gravity.
The bubble is ending exactly like the previous ones - with everyone believing "this time is different" right until it isn't.
Smart money is already rotating defensive. The question isn't whether a correction is coming - it's whether you'll be positioned for it.
S&P500 CHART UPDATE !!S&P 500 Analysis
The S&P 500 is trading near 6,650, moving strongly within its ascending channel.
Support: 6,400 – key level to hold for bullish momentum.
Resistance: 6,800 – a breakout could open the door toward 7,200.
The trend remains bullish, and staying above the midline keeps upside potential intact.
A breakdown below 6,400 may signal a short-term correction.
S&P 500: Rally Stalls, but Further Upside LikelyMidweek, the S&P 500 struggled to find the momentum needed to extend its climb within the magenta wave (3). However, our primary outlook still calls for this wave to reach a somewhat higher high. Afterward, wave (4) of the same color is expected to take over, guiding the index into the magenta Target Zone between 6,283 and 5,781 points. In wave (5), another upward phase is anticipated, which should ultimately complete the broader uptrend of the blue wave (III) at an even higher price level.
S&P 500 (ES1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip! Keep It Simple!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 22 - 26th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P500 is still bullish, and there is no reason to short it.
Wait for price to pullback to a +FVG, and then look for valid buy setups on your entry TFs.
Don't jump into sells! They are against the trend and lower probability!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Market Outlook – Nifty, BankNifty & S&P 500Nifty ended the week on a positive note, closing at 25,327 – up 213 points from last week’s close. This week’s price action was once again perfectly aligned with my projected range of 25,500 – 24,700, making a high of 25,448 and a low of 25,048.
Nifty Outlook for Next Week:
I expect Nifty to trade within 25,700 – 24,900. A break below 24,900 could open the doors towards 24,600 / 24,400.
Sector Strength Check:
Looking at the monthly time frame, none of the major indices look particularly strong right now. On the weekly chart, strength is visible only in selective sectors like Consumption, FMCG, Metals, and a few Auto stocks.
⚠️ Caution: Until we see strength coming back in at least 3–4 major indices, it’s better to stay selective and avoid aggressive long positions.
BankNifty Analysis:
BankNifty has staged a sharp V-shaped recovery, but I am not fully convinced with this move.
Support to watch: 55,000 – a break below this can take it down to 54,700 / 54,600.
Resistance to watch: Above this week’s high of 55,835, it can test 56,000 / 56,400.
Expected Range: 56,400 – 54,550
India VIX Alert:
India VIX is currently near its support zone, which signals possible volatility ahead – so stay cautious.
Global Markets – S&P 500:
S&P 500 once again gave an all-time high close at 6,671 (+80 points WoW).
Breakout Levels: Above 6,671, we could see 6,689 / 6,780 / 6,930 / 6,959 (key level).
Investors holding long positions should keep a trailing SL at 6,450 to protect profits.
US500 (S&P500) Projection📊 US500 (S&P500) Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉
Asset Class: US500 CFD (SPX, SPY, S&P500)
Current Closing Price: 6,661.8 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Market Overview
The S&P500 remains highly volatile as it consolidates near all-time highs. Both bullish continuation and reversal traps are emerging.
We integrate Elliott Wave 🌊, Ichimoku ☁️, Gann 🔺, and VWAP 📏 tools to frame trade setups.
⚡ Intraday Technical Levels
Immediate Support: 6,635 – 6,610 🟢
Key Resistance: 6,690 – 6,725 🔴
VWAP Zones: Anchored support at 6,628 📏
RSI: Neutral (52) → room to swing both sides 📈📉
🎯 Intraday Trade Ideas
Buy (Scalp): 6,620 – 6,635 🛒
Target: 6,670 → 6,690 🚀
Stop Loss: Below 6,600 ❌
Sell (Scalp): 6,690 – 6,710 🛑
Target: 6,645 → 6,625 📉
Stop Loss: Above 6,730 ❌
⏳ Swing Trading Outlook
Swing Support: 6,580 – 6,520 📉
Major Resistance: 6,750 – 6,820 🚀
Ichimoku Cloud: Bullish bias (daily/weekly) ☁️
Wave Count: Elliott suggests Wave 4 consolidation before Wave 5 breakout 🌊
🎯 Swing Trade Ideas
Buy (Swing): 6,580 – 6,600 🛒
Target: 6,720 → 6,800 🚀
Stop Loss: 6,520 ❌
Sell (Swing): 6,750 – 6,820 🛑
Target: 6,640 → 6,600 📉
Stop Loss: 6,860 ❌
📐 Pattern Watchlist
⚠️ Potential Bull Trap: Above 6,725 – rejection zone
⚠️ Head & Shoulders risk: Breakdown below 6,580
📏 Gann Levels: Time cycle indicates critical reversal window next week
☁️ Ichimoku Twist: Signals momentum shift by month-end
📌 Strategy Recap
🎯 Intraday Bias: Range trade → watch VWAP flips 📊
📈 Swing Bias: Bullish above 6,600, bearish below 6,580 🔑
⏳ Patience Key: Avoid chasing breakouts without volume confirmation 📉📊
🧭 Conclusion
The US500 (S&P500) is at a make-or-break zone.
✅ Buy dips near 6,600
❌ Sell rallies into 6,750 – 6,820
🔮 Expect volatility as macro events drive direction
📊 Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and adapt quickly 🚀📉
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX/US30
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
S&P 500 (ES1!): Wait For Longs! Buy The Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19h.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P500 is still bullish, and there is no reason to short it. The Bulls are clearly in control.
As price moves from ERL to IRL, the untouched +FVG below is a great place to look for a high probability long setup.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.






















