Hi Traders, This is my view for today on ES Micro and Macro structure are both aligned. There’re few zone I’ll wait for the price to test: - 4025 for a short - 4080/90 for a short, as well - 3960 for a long (but I need a strong confirmation) Pit, Trading Kitchen DISCLAIMER: Trading activity is very dangerous. All the contents, suggestions, strategies,...
Excuse my absolutely HORRIBLE art skills😄 $VIX USUALLY stays close to a "bottom" for few days Kind of an exception = yellow We're closing in to lower end of the symmetrical triangle #VIX tends to bounce there $SPX has had issues in this area, it does look better than before Weekly volume on $SPX, see that? #stocks
Window Dressing Buoying The Markets? As we wrote in our trading plans on Tue., 03/28: "However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window dressing. We will get more clarity on this potential as we approach Friday". Our models continue to monitor the price action...
Hello traders! In previous posts about the sp500 (see links in description) we argued that some downside was coming and posted our short entry at 3994. As you can see from the main chart, we connsidered the previous upside from October's low as a corrective move with choppy price action and low volumes. We are considering different possibilities: either that move...
Choppiness to Persist Into Friday? As we wrote in our trading plans for yesterday, Tue., 03/28: "However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window dressing. We will get more clarity on this potential as we approach Friday". Our models continue to be in an...
Hello Traders, on higher timeframes CURRENCYCOM:US500 is trading on a triangle. For the moment we don't know where will be a breakout so we're trading inside of it. Next target probably the 3850 level.
In my last analyses about the SPX , I spoke about a bottom of the index. The price was in the process of breaking the resistance when I created that post. De deciding factor was whether we could create new support out of old resistance, which is happening right now. First, the lower part of the zone was touched and made the price bounce. Now, we're witnissing...
Rising Yields Back In Focus With the banking chaos now a bit settled, the markets seem to be focusing back on Interest rates (and, hence inflation). The rising yields today seem to be holding back the markets. However, our models indicate the risk for the markets to spike to the upside rather than to the downside, owing to the potential for quarter-end window...
📝The KBW NASDAQ REGIONAL BANKING INDEX is a stock index composed of regional US banks operating in one or several geographic regions of the country. These banks tend to be smaller in size than the large national banks, and generally offer banking services to businesses and individuals in their areas of operation. Index performance is affected by a number of...
Sell: 4010 or higher Stop: 4035 Notes : second sell attempt based on the model The model: The Ingenuity Trading Model is a Geometric Markov Model with specific inputs related to Price, Time, Volume , and Volatility. The model attempts to predict local minimums and maximums in price on a daily and weekly basis. A fancy way of saying a trading system that...
I think SPY is nicely following the path to reach $348 by mid-2023 to form a Double Bottom pattern: My choice for puts is as follows: 2023-4-21 expiration date $375 strike price $2.79 premium. I plan to exit fast, won`t hold until expiration. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
US500 broke out of falling channel, retested it and creating a new growing channel respecting its boundaries.
Wow! This is a first for me, in such a large timeframe. Looking at both patterns forming. The larger head & shoulders pattern may take precedence, as it is generally considered to be a more significant pattern. If the H&S pattern is confirmed, it would suggest that the uptrend is ending and that a downtrend may be beginning. However, if the Inverted H&S pattern is...
When Bank Safes Don't Feel Safe Anymore... Not just U.S. regional banks, but CreditSuisse the other day and now Deutsche Bank...investors seem to be wondering if they can feel safe with their banks, and that could lead to them first selling and then asking questions. So far, there doesn't seem to be much of a panic on the markets...yet. As we wrote in our...
Quite recently the Fed is adding $300B on it's balance sheet to save the economy from banking crisis. The move is effectively reversing the QT to temporary QE. As a result the amount of money supply circulating on the market is increase as shown on this Index Value Rainbow Indicator. Based on these fact we can expect the S&P500 index price range will be shifted up...
Hello traders! In previous posts we explained how we believed the last leg up from October's low in the SP to be a primary corrective wave (B) to the upside on overconfidence about the soft landing narrative and FED policies. You can see from this daily chart how low were volumes during this last period. We were expecting the target of this upside movement to be...
Collateral Damage or Covert Help? (after being stuck in an indeterminate state, our models are out today with their trading plans for the day) The banking meltdown seems to be the collateral damage from the Fed's battle with inflation. Chair Powell tried his best to be balanced in his press conference post-FOMC yesterday, trying to indicate his preparedness to...
Hi Traders, This is my view for today on ES Ok, the micro-structure. Is aligned to the macro one from are 4050. There is one more GAP to fill around 4080 area. Today’s target is 4090 and could be reached directly during London Session or (better to me) by a liquidity grab from 4057 or Asian Session High Level. Pit, Trading Kitchen DISCLAIMER: Trading...