When we look at the first chart the Margin Debt with brokers (aka how much the brokers are deploying margin) - we see a positive relationship with the times when brokers are on margin (aka buying a lot) and the market going up. When we analyse the Rate of Change of this stat for the last 15months we can see that currently we are getting to a state of bearishness...
Looks like Minor wave A likely finished today, next up is Minor wave B. Models point to 18-22 hours of possible duration which will likely see the bottom on Thursday. There are a three pockets of interest for the bottom. I used the green box (4281-4294) for the more conservative zone, yellow (4255-4275) for the more aggressive zone and my target is the white box...
Hello, traders. Opening a trade on SP500. We're currently in an upward trend and might encounter some liquidity grabs before a local correction from the top. Downside movement for liquidity is expected to be more challenging at the moment. I'm pinpointing the entry at the order block and setting the stop loss below it.
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 10/10 Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back (per Walmart's CEO)...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased last week. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail investors having some crystal ball into the future that...
As a future learning lesson, the below image signaled wave 3 of 3 of 3, wave 3 of 3, and the beginning of the end of Intermediate wave 3 as soon as the Intermediate wave 3 signal ended, I should have known Intermediate wave 3 was over as historically this is the signal. The bottom was inline with historical endpoints, however, I expected it to go about 50-70...
The stock had made a continued rsies in price till the recent pull back, The retest seems exhausted currently and the possibility of at least an equal or Higher highs is painting currently, Swing traders would ride the moves and with an amazing Risk to Reward ratio
Hello! I see SP500 has formed some bottom on 12H timeframe and closed beyond previous 12H High Point. Bulls are gaining more strength in this market, that has seen 3 weeks of countinious decline. It looks just about to swing higher. Taking into consideration that previous weeks NFP data came out much stronger then forecast, about 330k new payrolls added to the...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 10/06 As we published in our trading plans yesterday, Thu. 10/05: "With JOLTS on Tuesday, Initial Jobless Claims Numbers this morning, and Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow, this week is all about Jobs and Jobs. So far, there is no sign of any letting up in the strength of the Job market". This morning's much stronger than...
Is the Stock Market Dead Money For The Next 10-20 Years? So much of how our markets work is based on optimism. Can you imagine being a money manager and your entire sales pitch is some negative diatribe about how the market is going down and will continue to go down? Would you fork over your hard-earned savings based on such a story? Not a successful plan...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 10/05 With JOLTS on Tuesday, Initial Jobless Claims Numbers this morning, and Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow, this week is all about Jobs and Jobs. So far, there is no sign of any letting up in the strength of the Job market. Since our published trading plans two weeks ago pointing out that week's 4505 level as potential top...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 10/04 The lower-than-expected ADP numbers seem to be giving some hope that the bad news could soften the rising yields and the Fed going forward. The yields have already retreated this morning, and the index is trying to find a floor and rebound. Since our published trading plans two weeks ago pointing out that week's...
Today’s break below 4238 all but sealed the deal on Minor wave 4 going up higher. Most likely path now is the index is well into Minor wave 5 en route to the bottom below 4130 in the coming days. Some signs that Intermediate wave 3 does not have much more to decline is the multiple wave 3 signals visible on the Daily chart. A gap between wave 3 signals indicates...
SPX lost a key support level at the orange support zone today. I think the white trend line and yellow support zones will be key support levels if the S&P forms another dead cat bounce or is bearish tomorrow.
Hi Traders! Medium and Long-Term Trends are bullish, but in short term SP500 could remain bearish even after a pullback. If we look at daily chart, the Price Action is approaching an important support area around 4,305, if from here it triggers a bullish leg, it's possible a harmonic structure formation (for us, bearish). Having said that, we have a first Target...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 10/03 Since our published trading plans two weeks ago pointing out that week's 4505 level as potential top for the near term, the market has been in a free fall mode. Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated. The "higher for longer" monetary policy is yet to begin...
Current assumption is that Minute waves A and B are complete and the final Minute wave C should bring the market up early this week to complete Minor wave 4. The high for the week should occur prior the close on Tuesday. This analysis will point out the levels and locations to monitor for this event. An early peek of Intermediate wave 3’s final projection is also...
set up confirms on closes above 4608 and invalidates on closes below 4043
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 10/02 Since our published trading plans two weeks ago pointing out that week's 4505 level as potential top for the near term, the market has been in a free fall mode. Our models indicate 4320 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated. This morning, the index is attempting to test the 4320...