US GOVERNMENT BONDS 30 YR YIELD TVC:​US30Y

This is part of a series of charts which I will posting for the reader to make up his/her mind based on the weight of the evidence. Do note, these are weekly charts which means the implications of which will occur over the next 12, 18, 24, 36 months.

The risk sentiment environment, judging by our proprietary macro risk-weighted index (RWI measures 9 risk-sensitive assets), has now broken below the 100-hourly moving average for the first time since Sept 11. The sharp downward move implies caution around bidding up risk, and in the currency market, this might translate in reservations to be overly committed to ...

We've been reporting for over a month now how coincidental it that the risk-rally has stalled at the origin of the GFC supply imbalance 10y ago. Also, how the macro pennant seen in the weekly shows a time projection of breaking around the US mid-term election. However, with the latest rally in risk, we may be just 1 day away from that milestone to happen this ...

This is how I see it playing out. We are at or near peak business cycle

Hello everyone. Here is a trade idea on the 30 year Treasury yield. According to the weekly chart, there is a breakout of the inverted heads and shoulders of the 30 year yield. Macro Thesis: The FED controls the short term interest rate, and the long term interest rates are determined by the supply and demand, meaning the buyers and sellers of the long bond. The ...

In the following video, Ivan Delgado, Head of Market Research at Global Prime, walks us through the different scenarios that can exist when trading risk. Ivan simplifies the reading of the environment as a trader one can encounter by combining the price behavior of the SP500, US 30-yr bond yield, US Dollar index, and to a lesser extent, Gold, as it's become more ...

When experimenting with various financial instruments, one has to confess how strikingly coincidental it is that the risk-rally has stalled at the origin of the GFC supply imbalance 10y ago. At the same time, if one is to project when the macro pennant seen in the weekly may break, it also falls on the same week as the US mid-term election, which few can argue, ...

As our proprietary risk-weighted index shows, the recovery above the 100-ema in the hourly chart suggests that in the short-term, risk-seeking conditions are likely to be dominant, even if major events as the ECB, BoE or US CPI will also have a major impact in volatility. The index has been mainly assisted by the sell-off in the USD, allowing a significant ...

After cracking the 100-hourly MA, the risk-weighted index is clearly communicating that the dynamics may favor a re-adjustment higher in the value of the US dollar and the Japanese yen, given the depressed level both currencies ended at on Wednesday. The latest impulsive leg in risk FX, led by the renewed optimism over the Brexit negotiations, distorted what ...

As the trading war between the US and China edges closer, as Canada and the US struggle to hash out a NAFTA deal, as emerging currency markets implode, the markets are taking note of such fractious times by behaving based on risk sentiment. What this means is that in the short-term, if one monitors our risk-weighted index, which takes into account 9 risk-sensitive ...

As the trading war between the US and China edges closer, as Canada and the US struggle to hash out a NAFTA deal, as emerging currency markets implode, the markets are taking note of such fractious times by behaving based on risk sentiment. What this means is that in the short-term, if one monitors our risk-weighted index, which takes into account 9 risk-sensitive ...

The risk-weighted index, mainly driven by a sharp decline in the EM MSCI index, further anchored by a fall in US 30-yr Treasury yields and strength in the Yen and Swiss Franc, is communicating that the outlook for risk appetite looks quite poor this Friday and heading into next week's trading. The hourly chart has broken below its 100-hourly ema, which has been an ...

A break higher in the risk index is set to reignite further weakness in the Japanese Yen crosses. The current formation of a narrowing triangle supports the 'risk on' environment heading into Thursday. It's also interesting to see how the 100-hourly MA has been acting as a reliable indicator guiding the risk rally. Keep an eye as a measurement to assess the ...

With regards to the constructive risk profile, pay attention here. It’s important not to be too complacent as the short term recovery in the risk-weighted index occurs within a wider negative context. From a top down analysis, we've drawn a few trendlines to represent the perils that entail for risky assets each time a violation occurs, which since the GFC, tends ...

The 30 year treasury yield has traded under 3.25% for almost 4 years now. The Fed continues to hike rates on a quarterly basis and Trump is unhappy about rising rates. Every day we hear how the economy is 'in great shape', and jobs data is 'as good as it gets'. More significantly what is pushing up rates are increased treasury issuance and the Fed's ...

Set bracket orders. profit. GG. Every day. Enjoy you 300$ daily. https://www.tradingview.com/x/9YpXEX8k/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/2t4wRBrl/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/D05WZMZ3/ * I need to start doing this.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/GHYn34e5/ daily chart broke above 3.226 target could be 3.288 or greater stop below 3.2

Are we headed for a flat Yield Curve? The Yield Curve highlights the spread between short term and long term bonds and is an important indicator of economic growth. We are currently in an uptrend, with short interest rates lower than longer maturities. A flat yield curve can signal an adjustment in the economy and a shift in growth. It precedes an inverted ...