📌 This diagram portrays the final stages in the economic cycle which I called in 2019. The position arose after Equities began extending beyond reality; all sellers needed was an intending cause.
The construct of the ingredients here are clear and simple, after Fed cleared the runway till 2022 you can...
the daily chart of this market shows with a strong probability of a downward trend in the coming days but we must at the same time be vigilant of reversal of this market towards the opposite direction
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US30-year bond yields are following the uptrend that we forecasted in the post of April 28. It is currently in the final stages of minor wave 1 which is part of the 5 impulse waves that should lead yields to the area surrounding 2.44%, where intermediate wave 3 should be completed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
With the market looking ready to accept risk again, and with the economic outlook improving, I think we have a nice set of circumstances for bond prices to come back to reality and come down a bit from their stratospheric levels. That said, this is the yield chart, so that move would be represented by US30Y going up because prices move inversely to yields.
US 30yr bonds have seen a year's worth of action in the space of a month
From 1.90% to below 0.90% to back to 1.90%
In my opinion this reversal could be key for the bond bull market since the 1980s
If we get a close above 2.10% in 30yr yields I think we have seen a generational low this month
Looking at 30 year UST yields key levels are at 2.2% and 2.4% on the weekly chart.
Break and close above 2.4% could indicate we have bottomed, but close below 2.2% and we're probably heading lower, meaning the rally in yields (sell-off in bonds) was a retracement of the heavy buying buying before the rally in treasuries continues.
For those tracking the latest round of Fixed Income chart updates we have the final leg to the stool ahead right on time for NY. You will notice that on the back-end of the curve there is loud messages of a meaningful top being placed. The technical breakdown is indicating that we have another round of flattening towards key support at 32bps.
For the Chartpack...
Overall, yields around the world will continue to plummet as the world slips into a bonafide global economic crisis sometime later in 2020. While 2008 was known as the banking/financial crisis, this time around, it will be a full-blown world-wide currency crisis compounded by a plethora of social and geopolitical issues which may exacerbate into a depression by...
Dow Versus Bonds.
Measure whether Dow is overbought or oversold versus Bonds.
It doesn't matter which one we use, I just use 30 year for simplicity, similar chart for 10 year.
Able to pinpoint relative high and relative low.
Relative high region is where one needs to be cautious and take profit.
Relative low region is where dow looks cheap and may be suitable to...