Spread graphs assist precision in determining key resistance & support levels. Current economic conditions aren't promising for such volatile/unregulated assets. It is critical to point out the heavy sells over the last year matched the timing of the Russo-Ukrainian war, the rise in the cost of living, the natural end of the bull cycle* and etc. At times of stable...
I am presenting the difference between SPX (top pane) and SPX/major safe heavens (middle pane; spread graph). The pane below portrays the correlation coefficient (CC) in rsi values between the main spread graph and traditional safe heavens. Skip to the last paragraph for my forecast speculation if you are familiar with advanced spread graphs! This graph aims...
I'll cover fibonacci, volume range, general trend, macro correlation coefficient and MA analyses. This spread graph pins BTC against safe heaven assets, which include: Commodities (SP:SPGSCI), the U.S dollar (DXY/M2SL) and U.S Bonds (1/(TVC:US03Y+TVC:US02Y+TVC:US05Y+TVC:US10Y+TVC:US30Y)+1). Given representation of BTC's price accounts for various...
Hey everyone! 👋 This month, we wanted to explore the topic of interest rates; what they are, why they are important, and how you can use interest rate information in your trading. This is a topic that new traders typically gloss over when starting out, so we hope this is a helpful and actionable series for new people looking to learn more about macroeconomics and...
So in conclusion, with the merals issue, supply issue, housing issue, inflation issue, investors heads in the sand issue, tech issue, incompetent leaders (all of them) issue and FED issue. This chart being a fraction of a fraction of a percent from inversion in 10-7 and already inverted in 30-20 makes more sense then the random PPT rally an hour before close...
One of the more powerful but under-appreciated categories of patterns are very short term drift patterns in strongly trending markets. Flags, pennants and small lateral trading ranges can all fall into this category. The patterns are fractal, that is, they appear across all time frames. I find small multi drift patterns invaluable. First, they are ubiquitous....
The Fed chairman has given the market a very important clue on 13 Dec 22. At what level will he consider an interest rate cut? He said “I wouldn't see us considering rate cuts until the committee is confident that inflation is moving down to 2% in a sustained way,” meaning only if CPI is heading nearing 2% then it is hopeful to see a rate cut. Market consensus...
The Fed chairman has given the market a very important clue on 13 Dec 22. At what level will he consider an interest rate cut? He said “I wouldn't see us considering rate cuts until the committee is confident that inflation is moving down to 2% in a sustained way,” meaning only if CPI is heading nearing 2% then it is hopeful to see a rate cut. Market consensus...
What are GOVERNMENT BONDS YIELD? Bonds are Fixed Income instruments that allow investors to anticipate the flow of funds they will receive. What does an inverted yield curve mean? Put simply, this means that short-term US debt is more profitable than long-term debt. Economic theory says that in a “normal” situation, long-term lending should be more...
I received a request to update this chart. Thank you @Braeden2 The US30Y held it's wave 4 bottom in the .382% area of wave 3. The last time I posted this chart we had not yet embarked on our 5-wave pattern higher in what I'm counting as a wave 5. Today we see we have a wave 1 and 2 in place. Additionally, you'll notice how our recent wave 4 structure...
The US Government Treasury 5Y vs the US Government Treasury 30Y is now back above inverted levels and will continue this path as the FOMC hawkish rhetoric and major policy error will drive the US into a recession this year. It is in our opinion that this trade will move from inversion to +100bp as the FOMC pivots, equity markets falter and the FOMC stops their QT...
2022 has been very difficult year for traders and investors, but this new year can be much better, here we will guide you in the 2023 in your quest to learn how to trade.
Hacia adonde iran los precios en el 2023? aqui lo explicamos.
Here is our technical outlook for US30Y. US30Y is trading within a demand zone. Based on our view the price will rise. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Hello,Traders! US30 went down from the Horizontal resistance above Just as I predicted but is now Retesting a horizontal support From where a local rebound Is somewhat likely Buy! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too!
Recently I posted my analysis of the 30Y yield. That posts is here . Since then bond yields have moved higher. As I stated in my original post this could end up between 5%-6% before any meaningful pullback. Best to all, Chris
The US long term bond yields are falling, with the 30 year likely to find support at 3.1 -1.2 level before pausing, consolidating and breaking out or reversing. As you can see on the charts, 3.1 -3.2 is also previous support/resistance where the market has paused and reversed before.
This chart appears pretty well behaved. This decline in yield has come right into the .382% retracement area of wave 3 for a wave 4 bottom. If the 30Y bond continues to behave...yields are headed above 5%. To some of you reading this...that may sound like a stretch. To those who like correlations...I wonder what happens to stocks if this plays...