Hmm must admit that I was expecting to have a FIBretrace on the S&P 500 already.
The levels, to look for a FIB retracement, are now 2490 and around 2390 area (both previous tops).
We just had a bounce of 2490 level, if we close below this level during the week, then I will expect a new drop to 2390.
As before,
Shallow retracement (FIB 0,3-0,5) the bear market...
Dear friends, a very important warning to all of you.
This chart shows us that the new economic crisis is coming.
Reasons why it is here:
- 10 years of growth. We all know every 8–10 years there is a recession around the world.
- Technically, downtrend started when the price broke down 2620 level.
- Also, US government increase the interest rate to take more...
S&P500 printed this month a Death Cross (MA50/MA200) and is already -8.40% since its appearance. A similar occurrence took place in 2008 at the start of the global financial crisis. In 2008 the Death Cross resulted into a fast (around 1 month) -14.40% decline on the index and assuming that the same sequence will follow, we can expect S&P to drop below 2,400 and...
Since the price crossed the 2,603 1D Support last week, it has developed a Channel Down on 4H (RSI = 35.405, MACD = -23.590, Highs/Lows = -14.5707). According to its High/ Low sequence we can project that the next Lower Low will be completed on a -6.85% decline, i.e. 2,506.50. Use this technical suggestion with extreme caution however as the Fed Interest Decision...
It is clearly not going to stop. Continuation pattern show a target well below 50% retracement level.
I draw Fib Levels from the previus time price hit the multiyear trend line. You see it bounced at 50%. During downtrend though, to rely on support levels is a very weak strategy. It is way better to observe price action once they hit one, to see how they...
I go over the moving averages this time; as well as, looking at some Historic Chart situations leading up to the crash of 2008. We touch some correlations of BTC and the stocks. Sneak Peak of my BTC long term chart.
Enjoy,
Looking good so far if you're shorting this beast.
We have a very clear cut bear flag consolidation that makes trading very easy. It hasn't broken yet but when it does " LOOK OUT BELOW " Its measured move takes us to 230 on the SPY. Although 240 will provide some bounce as it has nice support on the left side of the chart. If 263 breaks then that we should...
The price action on 1D highlights the existence of a strong Resistance zone at 2,818.50 - 2,825.25 and a strong Support zone at 2,603.00 - 2,626.75. The current overbought Channel Up pattern on 4H (RSI = 73.422, MACD = 9.300, Highs/Lows = 46.8393) mirrors the previous one that following the test of the Support zone, it reached the Resistance zone. Following...
These markets were made to move! As discussed in my previous analysis from Septemeber we have massive bearish diveregence in the RSI on our legacy markets. Elections helped give us a reason for uncertainity but politics will not ever Trump the Charts. They will simply fulfill them. The chart is King and news and events will often confirm what the chart had...
The index has developed a Triangle on 1D (RSI = 45.946, CCI = -19.2621, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) following last week's decline near 2,670. On the positive side the 0.618 Fibonacci level (2,684.75) was only broken that one time on 1D and has since held support. If that level stays intact then the Triangle has more chances to break higher with 2,767 as the first...
TP = 2,785 hit before the index successfully made a Higher Low on the 4H Channel Up (RSI = 56.761, MACD = 13.990, B/BP = 9.0660). The two high probability scenarios arise. Either the Channel Up goes for a new Higher High or 1D consolidates (RSI = 52.278, Highs/Lows = 33.1786) the overbought STOCH, STOCHRSI (> 80.00) and Williams in a symmetrical pattern as seen on...
This chart illustrates the performance of the S&P500 index after each mid-term elections in the United States.
We can see that since 1950, in the past 17 elections, the S&P has grown in the months that followed in 16 of these occasions. The only exception was after November 2002, when the index suffered -17.62% losses in the months that followed. The rest of the...
The index successfully rebounded on the 1W support/ Higher Low cross (2,600) and immediately broke the previous 1D Channel Down (STOCH = 67.897, Williams = -37.898, B/BP = 12.6380). This is creating a very bullish long term development on S&P with a new 1D Channel Up emerging. The long term uptrend of 1M (RSI = 60.871, MACD = 144.470) should provide the necessary...
![SPX: When will we have a retrace ? [SPX]](https://s3.tradingview.com/k/KYRPqBPb_mid.png "When will we have a retrace ? [SPX]")
