S&P 500’s Rally Is Showing Its First Real CrackThe S&P 500 index ( FX:SPX500 ) had a very strong bullish run over the past two weeks, gaining more than +5%. This move appears to have happened within an ascending channel.
Currently, the S&P 500 is in the process of breaking a key ascending channel and is moving near a resistance zone($7,464-$$7,435).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like the S&P 500 has completed a five-wave impulsive move, and we should expect further correction after the ascending channel’s lower line is broken.
Additionally, since indices like the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) have a direct impact on the S&P 500 , and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 )is also rising, these factors could suggest that the S&P 500 may continue its downward move.
I expect the S&P 500 to have a bearish trend in the coming hours, dropping at least to $7,399. If the support zone($7,409-$$7,382) breaks, we could anticipate further decline toward $7,354.
First Target: $7,399
Second Target: $7,354
Stop Loss(SL): $7,487
What’s your view on the S&P 500? Can it resume its bullish trend, or should we expect a deeper correction?
Note: If tensions escalate in the Middle East in the coming days, we could see further declines in the S&P 500, similar to what happened yesterday. However, from a technical perspective, the index does appear to need a price correction.
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Stocktrading
S&P 500 Breaks Out as Bullish Momentum AcceleratesHello traders, the S&P 500 has now fully broken out of its previous consolidation range and is currently trading around the 7,400 level — marking the highest zone seen in several weeks.
What stands out technically is how cleanly price continues holding above both EMA34 and EMA89. More importantly, EMA34 has started widening its distance above EMA89, which is often a strong indication that the medium-term bullish trend is regaining momentum.
The key support area I’m monitoring right now sits around 7,250–7,180 points. This region aligns closely with the rising EMA34 and could act as the next bullish retest zone. If the index pulls back into this area without aggressive selling volume, I believe there is a strong chance buyers will step back in and push price toward 7,500 points, with 7,600 becoming the next upside target.
On the macro side, risk appetite is improving again as investors increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to adopt a softer tone later this year if inflation continues cooling. In addition, stronger-than-expected earnings from several major technology companies are providing further support for US equities.
That said, rising US Treasury yields and higher oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions still remain important risks for the stock market. If inflation reaccelerates, the Fed may be forced to keep rates elevated for longer, which could trigger deeper corrective moves across equities.
For now, the primary trend remains bullish. My preferred scenario is a short-term retest around 7,250 points before the S&P 500 extends toward fresh highs.
NU: Ascending Wedge Formation, Bearish Pressure Ahead!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about NU on the weekly timeframe perspective. In recent times I have spotted interesting setups in the whole stock market that lead to profitable trading opportunities. Currently, I follow a total return approach by considering long and short candidate stocks. NU is a candidate on the short side.
As when looking at my chart, we can watch there how NU formed this massive ascending wedge formation in which the wave count already completed. Since then, NU broke out below the lower boundary and is now forming the bearish confirmation setup. Also, the settlement below the 50-EMA in grey and the 100-EMA in red forms substantial resistances.
With the breakdown below these levels, NU activated the lower target zones. The initial bearish target zone is within the 8 area. The further bearish target zone is below the 5 area. Also, increased bearish pressure supports the downside movement. Once the final target zone has been reached, further assumptions about the bearish development need to be made.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
AAPL H4 | Bullish Continuation OpportunityThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 286.40, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 275.04, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 300.52, which is a pullback resistance.
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NAS100: The 30,000 "Blood Bath" – Psychological Ceiling or Bull We are fast approaching the 30,000 milestone on the Nasdaq-100, and the air is getting thin. While the AI-driven rally has been relentless, several technical red flags are waving as we approach this historic "round number" resistance.
The Psychological Wall: 30,000 is a massive magnet for take-profit orders and institutional short-sellers.
Momentum Divergence: Despite the price making higher highs, we’re seeing a clear MACD divergence on the daily timeframe, suggesting the "buying engine" is losing steam.
The Sentiment Trap: With the Fear & Greed Index hitting "Extreme Greed" levels, the market is primed for a "sell the news" event—potentially triggered by tomorrow’s CPI data.
Key Levels to Watch:
Major Resistance: 30,000 (The "Battleground")
Immediate Support: 29,000
Trend Validation: A break below 27,600 would confirm a structural shift from bullish to bearish.
NBIS: Ascending Channel and Bull Flag Breakout, Targets Ahead!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about NBIS from the weekly timeframe perspective. As I monitored the stock market recently, I spotted interesting stocks, forming substantial setups to convert into strong surplus trading opportunities. One of them being NBIS, the stock recently increased bullish dynamics and could form several new highs. In this case, I spotted pivotal signs that could lead to the further trading dynamics determination.
As when looking at my chart, we can watch there how NBIS formed this massive ascending trend channel. Within this channel it penetrated the upper boundary till it recently formed the breakout above the upper boundary of the channel. This simultaneously matched with the bull flag formation breakout and activation of the upper bull flag formation target zone. The trend is also held towards the upside by the 50-EMA, marked in black, and the 20-EMA, marked in green.
Right now, there are not a lot of signs of invalidation. Therefore, the trend is likely to continue in the direction it came from and not reverse immediately. The final target zone is 1000 as marked in my chart. Once this target zone has been reached, further assumptions about the bullishness can be made. An aggressive entry would be to enter the trade immediately. A conservative approach would be to wait for the pullback confirmation into the ascending trend channel.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
NIFTY WAITING FOR THE LIQUIDITY GRAB | KEY LEVEL 23,150## NIFTY WAITING FOR THE LIQUIDITY GRAB | KEY LEVEL 23,150
NIFTY is currently moving inside a liquidity zone and may first attempt to grab Previous Day High (PDH) and Previous Day Low (PDL) liquidity before making its next major directional move.
At the moment, the market structure suggests that NIFTY may need to retest the 23,150 zone before a strong bullish expansion can begin.
### Key Market Levels
🔹 23,150 → Important support and reaction zone
🔹 Below 23,383 → Bearish pressure remains active
🔹 Above key resistance → Momentum may shift bullish again
### Market View
The downside move currently appears limited, and aggressive short selling at these levels may not offer a favorable risk-reward setup.
Patience is important here. Let the market complete its liquidity sweep and wait for proper confirmation before entering fresh positions.
📈 Bias remains cautiously bullish after retracement completion.
#NIFTY #BankNifty #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingView #OptionTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #NiftyKing
Live trading on TJX Companies (TJX)TJX — Live Trade Setup NYSE:TJX
Price is currently trading near the lower boundary of the extended channel, and with one of our trading systems also triggering a buy signal, this area appears to present a potentially attractive long opportunity.
From here, price could potentially move:
first toward TP1
and then continue higher toward the TP2 zone.
As always, manage risk properly and trade according to your own strategy.
Follow proper risk and money management.
This is just my personal view, so please trade based on your own strategy and trading system.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
DANGOTE SUGAR - THE THIRD CALL IS ALREADY RUNNING.NSENG:DANGSUGAR
— How Dangote Sugar went from ₦72.50 to ₦95.30 in 9 days, why it could still have 106% left to give, and what sugar has to do with the food on every Nigerian's plate.
Let me tell you what happens when a pattern keeps working.
December 21, 2025 — I posted DANGCEM at ₦610. It ran to ₦1,100 (+93.4%).
Same night — I posted ZENITHBANK at ₦63.30. It ran to ₦136.9. +116%. Made banking history. Twice.
Both calls timestamped. Both public. Both documented.
Then on April 28, 2026, I published a third chart.
DANGSUGAR. ₦72.50.
Nine days later — ₦95.30. First target already cleared. Three more ahead. Final take-profit: ₦150.0.
That is a potential +106.9% from the published entry. And this one is still live.
BUT BEFORE THE CHART — UNDERSTAND WHAT THIS COMPANY IS.
Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc was founded in 1999 and listed on the Nigerian Exchange in 2007. It is Nigeria's largest sugar refinery. And I want you to think about what that actually means.
Sugar is invisible. That's what makes it powerful.
You don't think about sugar when you tear open a sachet of Lipton. You don't think about it when you crack open a Coca-Cola, take a malaria tablet, bite into a Rich Tea biscuit, or stir your Milo. But it's there. In every single one of those products. And in Nigeria — Africa's most populous nation, with over 220 million people — the sugar in most of those products passes through one company.
This one.
Dangote Sugar doesn't just sell to consumers. It sells Vitamin A-fortified sugar for direct household consumption. It sells unfortified industrial sugar to pharmaceuticals, food manufacturers, and beverage companies. Its supply chain touches millions of Nigerians every day — most of whom have never heard of a DANGSUGAR ticker symbol.
That invisible ubiquity is not a weakness. It is a moat.
And when a company with that kind of structural demand position in a growing economy shows up on a monthly chart looking compressed, with a long-term ascending trendline intact and a horizontal demand zone holding — you pay attention.
I paid attention. On April 28, 2026 at 13:12 UTC+1.
"...a live projection on DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY PLC published April 28, 2026, targeting Mariya Aliko Dangote's commercial mandate directly..."
THE SETUP — SAME FRAMEWORK. SAME SIGNALS.
The DANGSUGAR monthly chart was reading from a familiar page.
1. A long-term ascending trendline dating back to 2015–2016. Years of price memory confirming the structural bull bias. Despite periods of volatility and pullback, this trendline had never been decisively broken. That is not a coincidence. That is the market telling you where the floor is.
2. A thick horizontal support zone around ₦30. Not one test. Not two. Multiple defences of this level across different market conditions. When a price level survives that many attacks without breaking, it earns respect — and it earns the designation "demand zone."
3. A monthly candle in April 2026 beginning to respond off the confluence of both levels simultaneously.
The spring was loaded. I drew four targets: ₦84.80 — ₦105.4 — ₦130.3 — ₦150.0.
Published. Timestamped. April 28, 2026.
NINE DAYS. HERE'S WHAT HAPPENED.
Some calls take months to develop. This one moved fast.
Target 1 at ₦84.80 was cleared within days of the publication. Then on May 7, 2026, DANGSUGAR closed at ₦95.30 — a 4.3% single-session gain.
From ₦72.50 to ₦95.30 in nine calendar days.
That is +31.4%.
Let me contextualize that:
DANGSUGAR's four-week gain around this period was 47%. That ranked it 11th best performer on the entire NGX. Year-to-date from ₦60 at the start of 2026: +58.8%. Over the past 12 months: +167.29%.
This is not a quiet stock having a quiet year.
And we are still nowhere near the final target.
TP2 at ₦105.4 is approximately 10.6% away from current price. TP3 at ₦130.3 is 36.8% away. The final take-profit at ₦150.0 is +106.9% from the entry.
The monthly chart gives this thesis time. And the structure says: use it.
THE NUMBERS BEHIND THE STOCK
Here's what makes DANGSUGAR more than just a momentum play:
The fundamentals are turning.
In 2025, revenue hit ₦829.21 billion — up 24.56% year-on-year. In Q1 2026, net income came in at ₦19.17 billion. The quarter before that? Net losses of -₦53.51 billion.
That is a turnaround. Real. Measurable. In the numbers.
When a company with a dominant market position in an essential commodity — sugar — goes from losing ₦53 billion in a quarter to making ₦19 billion the very next quarter, the market takes notice. And the chart was already seeing it before the report was filed.
That is what price action can do. It reads the underlying flow of capital before the headlines confirm it.
3,181 employees. 12.1 billion shares outstanding. Market cap now above ₦1.15 trillion and rising. Nigeria's number one sugar refinery, repricing in real time as its earnings story turns the corner.
And the chart is still pointing up.
THE BIGGER PICTURE — THREE CALLS. ONE EMPIRE. ONE FRAMEWORK.
Step back and look at what this actually is.
DANGCEM — Africa's largest cement producer. Called at ₦610. Now at ₦1,180. After smashing our initial ₦1,100 target, the stock continues to climb, currently trending at ₦1,180 (+93.4%).
ZENITHBANK — Nigeria's most historic banking milestone. Called at ₦63.30. ATH ₦136.9. +116%.
DANGSUGAR — Nigeria's largest sugar refinery. Called at ₦72.50. Already ₦95.30 in 9 days. Four targets. Final: ₦150.0.
One builds the continent. One finances it. One feeds it.
Three pillars of Nigeria's economic architecture. Three separate chart structures. Three separate publications. Three separate timestamps. One consistent price action methodology — trendline, demand zone, confluence, patience.
Not a prediction machine. A pattern recognition system. Trained over six to seven years. Applied to the right assets at the right moments. Documented publicly before the fact, not after it.
That is the work.
WHO IS MAKING THESE CALLS
I am Alexander Raphael.
I bring a unique dual lens to the financial world. As a Prosthetics and Orthotics Technologist, I understand that optimal performance depends on structural health—a principle that applies equally to the markets. I leverage my clinical background in biomechanics to analyze Equity Markets, identifying the underlying 'structural' indicators that signal growth or strain before they become visible on the surface.
Markets work exactly the same way. Six to seven years of studying that structure — combined with direct NGX-listed company exposure, investor and regulatory communication, and a documented financial communication portfolio — is what produced three public calls on three different assets that all delivered.
CEO of Forex Cruisers. Founder of Xela University. Teaching others to read the same structures. Documenting the process in public, in real time.
This is not for show. This is what accountability looks like.
WHERE DANGSUGAR GOES FROM HERE
Current price: ₦95.30.
TP2: ₦105.4 (~10.6% away).
TP3: ₦130.3 (~36.8% away).
Final TP: ₦150.0 (+57.4% from current, +106.9% from entry).
The monthly candle structure is bullish. The demand zone is confirmed. The trendline is intact. The fundamentals are improving. The momentum is real.
This thesis has legs.
And the receipts are already on TradingView — timestamped April 28, 2026, under alexraphael00.
ACCOUNTABILITY NOTE
Original chart: TradingView | @ alexraphael00 | Apr 28, 2026
Live update: May 8–12, 2026
Ticker: DANGSUGAR · Exchange: NSENG (NGX) · Timeframe: Monthly
Published. Timestamped. Publicly verifiable. Not a backtest.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All analysis reflects personal technical views. This is an active, live call — market conditions can change. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research always.
Alex Raphael
CEO — Forex Cruisers | Xela University
Chart: TradingView | NSENG:DANGSUGAR Ticker: DANGSUGAR | NGX
BZFD: Descending Triangle Formation, Massive Bullish Breakout!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about BZFD from the weekly timeframe perspective. The stock recently gained a lot of traction as the bullish momentum increased as majority stakes from major media companies were bought into the stock. Right now, I detect pivotal bullish signs that could turn out to be a major surplus trading opportunity to profit from rising prices.
As when looking at my chart, we can watch there how BZFD formed this gigantic descending triangle formation. Within this formation, BZFD already completed the wave count. As this wave count has been completed, BZFD increased bullish volatility and is penetrating the upper zones of the descending triangle. This penetration has high abilities to result in a decisive breakout.
BZFD already bounced above the 50-EMA marked in green. A consolidation between the 100-EMA marked in blue and the 50-EMA could result in a strong upthrust breakout and acceleration to higher levels. This dynamic could unfold quickly when enough bullish buying pressure is accumulated and BZFD emerges with the massive bullish elevations.
The final target zone is marked in my chart. This is going to result in a strong upside movement and a major increase in bullish price action and momentum. Once the upper target zones are reached, further assumptions about the upcoming developments will be important. Right now, I am monitoring the situation, and I am going to adapt to any pivotal changes in the future.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
NASDAQ 100 Heavily Accelerates BULLISH Price Action!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about the NASDAQ 100 Index. As I mentioned in the beginning of the year, I am bullish on stocks for 2026, represented by the major indices such as the NASDAQ 100. Nearing the year's half, this projection already fulfills it, and the NASDAQ bounced heavily in recent times, leading to a strong upside thrust. This has been a solid opportunity to pick high profit trades to make surplus profits from the ongoing bullish alignments.
As when looking at my chart now, we can watch there how the index is accelerating bullish price action within this ascending trend channel. The index already bounced several times, with the lower boundary being a strong support. The very last bounce has been the origin of this strong bullish upside thrust. As the index approaches the 30 mark, it is likely to settle above it, continuing the bullish alignments.
The most important formation in this whole structure is the bull flag formation. The wave count within this formation was completed, and the breakout above the upper boundary of the formation activated upper target zones. Also, the bounce off the 50-EMA marked in blue, which has been simultaneously the lower boundary support of the bull flag, served as the origin of this strong bullishness. The index activated the targets as seen in my chart. Once they are reached, further assumptions about the continuation will be important.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
QCOM: Massive Double-Bottom-Formation, TARGETS Ahead!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about QCOM from the weekly timeframe perspective. In recent times I detected interesting stocks in the market that are likely to turn into profitable surplus trades. One of them being QCOM, the stock has already accelerated heavy bullish volatility and momentum in recent times. Currently, such stocks provide strong opportunities to add to the portfolio for growing it, which I also do in my current trading approach.
As when looking at my chart now, we can watch there how QCOM has formed this gigantic double bottom. The first bottom and the second bottom have already been completed, marking the major bullish pattern from where further bullish alignments are highly likely. QCOM already surged past the 200 level, building strong bullish momentum. This 200 level is also the neckline of the whole double bottom formation, marking the completion of the formation.
This breakout activated the upper bullish target zones as they are seen in my chart. QCOM from this point is likely to accelerate bullishness. When the bullish alignments continue and the bullishness accelerates, the targets will be reached sooner rather than later. QCOM is also structurally above the important EMAs. The 200-EMA in blue is a major support. The 100-EMA in orange is a major support. All these factors support the bullish continuation to accelerate moving into the projected target zone.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
MPLT is forming accumulation after a strong impulse moveMapLight Therapeutics
The stock maintains a bullish structure after a sharp rally and is now entering a correction and accumulation phase above key support levels. Price is stabilizing above the 26-24 zone, indicating continued buyer interest and preparation for another move higher.
The trading plan is to consider long positions in the 27-26 zone with a possible pullback toward 24. The scenario becomes invalid below 21. Upside targets are located around 36 and 41.
From a technical perspective, the asset remains bullish after an impulsive breakout from a long consolidation range. The current correction appears to be a healthy profit taking phase before the next upside leg. Price continues to hold above major moving averages while the structure forms a potential base for a new impulse.
Fundamentally, investor interest is supported by expectations for further growth in the biotechnology sector and strong attention toward innovative medical developments. Following its IPO, the stock remains highly volatile, but continued market interest could support further upside in valuation.
As long as current levels hold, the bullish scenario remains in focus.
IREN: Massive Bullish Bull-Flag-Formation Breakout!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about IREN from the 4-hour timeframe perspective. In recent times I have spotted important stocks in the market that have the potential to turn into highly profitable trades. One of the beings, IREN, has already increased bullish volume and momentum within recent times. Now I have detected the underlying factors that will have a tremendous effect on the upcoming price determinations.
As when looking at my chart, we can watch there how IREN formed this massive bull flag formation. Within this formation it already completed the wave count and recently settled above the upper boundary of the bull flag formation. This price move has completed the bull flag formation and activated the bull flag target zones. IREN also established the strong bullishness already. In this case it is highly likely that the price will continue in the volatile direction.
As IREN bounced above the upper boundary and is now setting up the next bullish expansion, this is a strong setup from where the bullish volatility circle continues. As seen in my chart, the bullish targets of this gigantic bull flag formation are within the 100 level. Once this level has been reached, further assumptions about further evolution need to be made.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
S&P 500 Looks Unstoppable _ Until You See PRZThe S&P 500 index ( SP:SPX ) began a strong bullish run with the new week, hitting fresh all-time highs almost daily. One key reason today was speculation that a potential agreement between Iran and the U.S. could emerge soon, reducing perceived investment risks. This brought more capital into U.S. stocks, boosting the S&P 500.
Another factor was the appointment of Kevin Warsh as Jerome Powell ’s replacement, which fueled speculation that the Fed could adopt a more dovish stance. Since Warsh is generally seen as more open to interest rate cuts than Powell, investor optimism increased further.
Now, before diving into technical analysis, let’s note that when an asset hits all-time highs, technical analysis becomes trickier—there’s no past price history beyond this point. While that makes analysis less reliable, it also means going long can be riskier. In both cases, managing risk is key in this environment.
Currently, the S&P 500 is in a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . It might even form an ascending channel, and we’ll see if it reacts to the upper line of that channel.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the S&P 500 may have completed its main wave 5 in the PRZ, and a correction—at least short-term—could be expected.
I expect the S&P 500 to drop to at least $7,321.
First Target: $7,321
Second Target: $7,310
Third Target: $7,321
Stop Loss(SL): $7,290
Note: Keep an eye on Middle East developments—any news of agreement or disagreement can swiftly shift the S&P 500 and other assets.
What do you think about the S&P 500? Can it keep this bullish momentum, or not?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Live trading on KKR stock.Live trading on KKR stock. NYSE:KKR
Price continues to respect its primary channel structure and has now reached a key support zone.
At the same time, both MACD and RSI are showing clear bullish divergences, suggesting this area could act as a valid reaction zone.
In addition, one of our trading systems has triggered a buy signal, making this region attractive for a potential long position.
From here, price could potentially move:
first toward TP1
and then continue higher toward TP2 if momentum remains supportive.
As always, manage risk properly and trade according to your own strategy.
Follow proper risk and money management.
This is just my personal view, so please trade based on your own strategy and trading system.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
Palantir Tests Resistance After Strong EarningsPalantir NASDAQ:PLTR delivered strong earnings, beating revenue and EPS expectations with solid forward guidance. Still, the stock remains exposed to macro risk and broader market pressure.
If price gets rejected from resistance and escalation continues, downside continuation could follow.
Trading Levels:
Entry Zone: $142 – $146
Take Profit 1: $134
Take Profit 2: $120
Stop Loss: $154
META: 1W MA50 rejection targets $460.Meta turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.319, MACD = -4.540, ADX = 43.935) as last week it was rejected on the 1W MA50. That is a new LH since September 2025 and technically a LL follows. Since 2018, every time the stock crossed under its 1W MA50 (exception March 2025), it extended the decline below the 1W MA200. The average such decline on those 3 selloffs has been -45%. So unless the 1W MA50 is reclaimed, expect a new Low just under the 1W MA200 (TP = 460.00).
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SMCI: Huge Head-Shoulder-Formation, Drop Incoming!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about SMCI from a weekly timeframe perspective. In this stock I have detected important and crucial bearish signs that are likely to result in a massive bearish alignment and increased supply pressure. Also considering short candidates is an approach I am following in my current market assessment. Through a total return approach, I am considering both long and short candidates.
As when looking at my chart, we can watch there how SMCI is forming this massive head-and-shoulders formation. Within this formation, SMCI already finalized the left shoulder and the head in the schedule. Now, the remaining part of this whole formation is the right shoulder. The heavy selling volume and momentum, which has been the origin of these massive downward pressure spikes, is likely to set up a much larger downward movement.
In the upcoming times it is highly likely that SMCI rejects the descending resistance line as it is shown in my chart. This is a strong resistance that should not be underestimated. It is likely to be the origin of a strong bearish pressure downward. Once the final breakout below the 500-EMA, marked in red in my chart, has developed, this will activate the lower target zone. As the price action is already very weak, this target will be reached rather sooner than later.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
Palantir (PLTR) - Earnings Short Setup: Resistance, Valuation RiPalantir is heading into earnings at a very important technical and fundamental level. The stock has already corrected meaningfully from its previous highs, but the current structure still looks vulnerable if earnings fail to deliver a major upside surprise.
The key point here is that PLTR is not trading like a normal software company. Expectations are extremely high. According to Barron’s, Wall Street expects Q1 adjusted EPS of around $0.28 and revenue near $1.5B, with U.S. commercial revenue projected to grow strongly. Investor’s Business Daily also noted that U.S. commercial revenue could rise more than 130% year-over-year, driven by AIP adoption.
That sounds bullish on the surface — but this is exactly where the risk comes from. When a stock is priced for perfection, even strong numbers may not be enough. Reuters previously highlighted a similar situation where Palantir sold off after results because investors wanted more than a normal beat. Morningstar’s Mark Giarelli said at the time that “respectable earnings beats and raised guidance” may no longer be enough for the stock.
From a technical perspective, PLTR is still trading under a descending trendline and remains below the 200-period moving average on this chart. Every rally attempt has been rejected around lower highs, suggesting that sellers are still defending the structure. The current move into earnings looks more like a retest of resistance than a confirmed bullish reversal.
The downside level I am watching is around $126. This area has acted as support multiple times. If earnings disappoint, or if guidance is not strong enough to justify the valuation, a break below this zone could trigger a faster move lower. Below that, the chart opens room for continuation toward the next liquidity area.
The fundamental risk is not that Palantir is a weak company. The risk is that the market already knows it is strong. The company needs to show not only growth, but acceleration strong enough to defend a very expensive multiple. Barron’s noted that Palantir still trades at a very high forward earnings multiple compared with the broader market, while IBD also pointed to concerns around software competition, AI disruption, and institutional selling pressure.
So the short thesis is simple:
PLTR is approaching earnings under resistance, below key moving average pressure, with very high expectations already priced in. If the company fails to “wow” the market, the technical setup supports a potential rejection and move back toward support. A clean break below $126 would confirm bearish continuation.
This is not a bet against Palantir’s long-term business. It is a short-term earnings setup based on stretched expectations, technical resistance, and downside asymmetry if the market decides that good numbers are not good enough.
Key levels:
Resistance: descending trendline / 200MA area
Support: $126
Bearish trigger: rejection from trendline or break below $126
Invalidation: strong breakout above trendline with volume after earnings
Not financial advice.
S&P 500 Reached the Zone Again _ Now Watch the ReactionAs I expected in the previous idea , the S&P 500 ( FX:SPX500 ) started its decline exactly where anticipated, reaching the full target.
Right now, the S&P 500 is moving near the resistance zone($7,253-$$7,236).
If tensions escalate in the Middle East in the coming days, we could see further declines in the S&P 500, similar to what happened yesterday. However, from a technical perspective, the index does appear to need a price correction.
I expect the S&P 500 to drop at least to around $7,209.
First Target: $7,209
Second Target: $7,197
Stop Loss(SL): $7,259.5
What’s your view on the S&P 500 index? Do you think it can form new all-time highs, or not?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
MSFT: Massive Head-Shoulder-Formation, BEARISH Breakdowns Ahead!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about MSFT on the weekly timeframe perspective. In recent times, MSFT has increased bearish pressure more heavily than the rest of the market. It declined more and increased bearish volume more than the NASDAQ and other significant tech stocks. In this currently detrimental bearish situation, there is a high likelihood of further bearish continuation. As I also pick stocks as short candidates to profit from falling prices, I am analyzing how the conditions in this case are.
As when looking at my chart, we can watch there how MSFT is building this gigantic head-and-shoulders formation. MSFT already finalized the left shoulder and the head of the formation. Now, it bounced within the neckline to continue to form the right shoulder of the formation. As MSFT already rejects the 100-EMA, this is a sign that further pullbacks from this level will lead to the completion of the right shoulder in the schedule and the range structure. With increasing supply pressure from here on, this is going to be an origin of high bearish alignments.
The heavy bearish volume, which increased for MSFT, also says a lot about the upcoming bearish direction. With further bearish volume increases, the bearish acceleration is likely to continue. A breakout below the lower boundary of the head-and-shoulders formation as it is seen in my chart will finalize the whole formation and activate the lower target zones as marked in my chart. This will lead to the next -36% drop in price action with accelerated bearish pace and momentum. Once the lower targets are reached, further assumptions about the trend continuation will be important.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
What do you think about MSFT right now?
Let us know in the comments!
VP
S&P 500 Hit a New ATH _ But Warning Signs Are Appearing!!!In the past two days, the S&P 500 index ( FX:SPX500 ) has risen over +2.5% and has successfully recorded a new all-time high($7,278.5).
Now, the S&P 500 has started pulling back from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and we can see a negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems the S&P 500 has completed its five-wave upward cycle, so we can expect a corrective phase.
When assets hit all-time highs, it’s generally harder to analyze technically, as we rely on historical data for technical analysis. So, we’ll keep that in mind.
I expect the S&P 500 index will continue its corrective move before the market closes, and we may even see a stronger decline toward the final hours. I expect a drop at least toward around $7,216.
First Target: $7,216
Second Target: $7,206
Stop Loss(SL): $7,279.5
What do you think about the S&P 500? Can it create new all-time highs, or should we expect a deeper correction?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.






















