AAPL LongOn AAPL (15m), the broader market structure has shifted bearish after multiple CHoCH signals near 239–238 and a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) around 236, which confirms sellers have taken control following the rejection from the recent swing high at 241.02. The rapid downside move into the current session suggests continuation pressure, but a short-term corrective rally remains possible if demand levels hold.
The supply zones between 233–239 look strong, as price repeatedly failed to hold above them and sold off sharply each time, showing clear seller dominance. The stacked demand levels below 227 down to 220 are important to watch: buyers previously stepped in with strength here, creating impulsive rallies, but their ability to defend these zones again will determine whether a deeper recovery can take place.
Price is now trading at 227.91, extending a sharp leg lower into nearby demand. The marked projection suggests price may attempt a bounce from this area, targeting a corrective move back toward 233–238 supply. If buyers manage to defend current lows and create a bullish reaction, a retracement into those red zones is likely. However, failure to hold above 226.90 would expose lower demand layers toward 224–222.
The current trade bias is bearish, but near-term expectation is for a corrective bullish retracement into supply before sellers look to re-engage. The outlook would be invalidated if price breaks and closes decisively above 239, as that would flip structure back in favor of buyers. Momentum currently favors sellers given the sharp downside drive, but any slowing of bearish candles at demand or the appearance of strong bullish engulfing patterns would support a corrective move higher.
Support and Resistance
AUD/USD Trades to 2025 High After U.S. Jobs Revisions, Soft PPIAUD/USD is advancing on Wednesday, nudging above 0.6610 amid a softer U.S. dollar driven by growing optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts. Investors are betting the Fed will deliver a 25-bps reduction next week, with growing expectations of a 50-bps move. Weaker than expected U.S. jobs revisions yesterday and a PPI reading that went into negative territory month-over-month is keeping pressure on the greenback. Rebounding metals and energy prices are likewise propping up AUD/USD rates.
The above chart shows that, technically, AUD/USD rates have traded into key resistance, the 2025 high carved out in July at 0.6625. Bullish momentum is firming up, with Slow Stochastics extending into overbought territory and daily MACD rising to its highest levels since early-July. A move into new highs could increase the possibility of a retest of the November 2024 swing high at 0.6788.
GBPUSDOn GBP/USD (15m), the broader market structure has been bearish, with price making lower highs and lower lows after the sharp selloff from 1.3580–1.3590 supply. A Break of Structure (BOS) at 1.3565 indicates that buyers managed to push through a previous swing high, suggesting short-term strength. However, the overall downtrend is still intact, meaning this may be a corrective rally rather than a full reversal.
The supply zone around 1.3580–1.3590 remains strong since price dropped aggressively from it earlier, showing sellers are firmly defending that level. The nearby demand at 1.3530–1.3540 is important because buyers stepped in with conviction there, fueling the current push higher. Deeper demand sits lower near 1.3500, which has historical significance, but price has yet to retest it on this leg.
Currently, price is trading at 1.3557 and pressing into a reaction zone just under the marked supply. Price behavior suggests a likely rejection from here, with the arrowed path pointing toward a retracement back into demand at 1.3530–1.3540. If that demand holds, we could see another bounce attempt toward 1.3580; if it fails, downside continuation toward 1.3500 becomes probable.
The trade bias is bearish, expecting sellers to reclaim control at or near this supply zone. The outlook would be invalidated if price closes decisively above 1.3590, as that would signal stronger bullish intent. Momentum has shifted short term toward buyers, shown by strong impulsive candles, but sellers remain favored overall unless supply is broken.
Gold may move up a little and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has transitioned from a prolonged balancing phase into a strong directional trend, following a decisive breakout from its prior multi-week big range. This breakout, originating from the support area near the 3445 level, shifted market control firmly to buyers and initiated a new impulsive phase. The price action for XAU since then has been characterized by a steep, high-momentum rally, which is being guided by an ascending mirror line. Currently, the asset is at a new high, continuing to push upwards along this aggressive trendline. However, such accelerated trends are often unsustainable and can signal that the market is becoming overextended and due for a correction. I expect that after a potential final push higher, the price will stage a sharp reversal, with enough selling pressure to cause a breakdown below the steep mirror line. A break of this dynamic support would be the first confirmation that a corrective phase has begun. Therefore, the TP for this corrective scenario is logically placed at 3520 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
SENSEX: Intraday & SWING Levels (BSE30 Spot ) for 11th SEP 2025SENSEX: Intraday & SWING Levels (BSE30 Spot ) for 11th SEP 2025
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Battle Lines Drawn — Which Comes First, 3700 or 3600?Gold started to fall from around 3675, but failed to effectively fall below 3620 many times during the retracement, so the current retracement cannot be regarded as a market reversal. If the gold market has really peaked, I think the minimum requirement is to effectively fall below 3620, but it is obvious that this condition has not been met yet. Under the current conditions, it can only be regarded as a pullback correction. So at this stage of trading, we cannot be overly bearish on gold.
Currently, gold bulls and bears are competing with each other for control, and the price will remain in a wide range of fluctuations in the short term. However, since gold rebounded from 3620, the bullish structure has not been destroyed. The short-term support below is in the 3635-3625 area, and further strong support is in the 3615-3605 area. If gold fails to break below the 3635-3625 area, it will favor bulls and could serve as a springboard for further gains. Once gold continues its upward trend and breaks through the 3665 area, it could potentially reach the 3680-3690 area.
Therefore, in short-term trading, since gold remains bullish, we can continue to buy gold within the 3635-3625 support area, with the primary target being the 3660-3670 area.
ES Supply And demand Break-Out Buy SignalTrading News:
- PPI (Producer Price Manufacturing Index) came out -0.1% vs its 0.3% forecasted number, suggesting lower cost of manufacturing and inflation.
ES:
- Stocks caught a bid from this number as investors use this as a "lock" for FED rate cuts and a higher chance for a 2nd cut before the end of the year.
- Over the last 6 months, when the price is expected to open above yesterday's high, the price has a 74% chance of pulling back and hitting yesterday's high. This gives traders an idea for a possible open short OR wait for a pullback back into the previous ATH/Support level and wait for confirmation.
- Over the last 6 months, if the first 1hr of the NY session is "green" then 75% of the time price will close green for the day. The same is true for the first 1hr candle of the NY session is "red" then 75% chance of day being red.
- Over the last 6 months, Wednesdays have held the highest chance of a "green day", sitting at 69% chance.
- Overall, I remain bullish on this market and would not consider shorting this market at this point—aggressive RB break-out level around the 6540 level on the 5-minute TF. Traders can also wait for price to pullback to this level and wait for confirmation.
BANKNIFTY: Intraday Levels for 11th SEP 2025BANKNIFTY: Intraday Levels for 11th SEP 2025
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NASDAQ to 26,000 before year end - September, 2025No doubt this idea will be controversial as a majority of ideas published on the platform call for a bearish outlook.
Earlier this year paper hands were flushed out of the market on tariff scares. They couldn’t exit the market fast enough, some didn’t actually know why they were selling as emotions were in full control.
Today those same traders and investors sit in cash as they wait for an opportunity to buy in. Others betting heavily against the trend for Armageddon. All the while the market grinds upwards and onwards.
Two very simple questions everyone must ask when entering or betting against the market:
1. What is the trend?
2. Support and resistance, which is it?
You cannot maintain a bearish bias should you answer both of those questions positively. That’s emotion. Do you find yourself scanning lower timeframes to look for bias confirmation? You'd be in majority then. Notice how many published ideas you see operating in the 15 and 30 minute charts with 2 to 3 month forecasts? Always makes me smile, but it will not change the facts of the chart.
The Trend
Higher lows are evident on the daily chart below, marked out in black. The trend is your friend until the end.
Support & resistance
Look left. On the daily chart we can see multiple support tests with confirmation on past resistance. If the levels do not at first appear, zoom out using a higher timeframe. A majority will zoom in instead to confirm bias, that’s a red flag.
The Put / Call ratio
Retail traders are aggressive in their attempts to “short” this market. Nowhere is that more evident than the Put/Call ratio. Anytime you see dumb money move the put call ratio to 90 and above, the market rips. Just recently short sellers moved the ratio beyond this level. The chart below provides a comparison with the NDX to show what happens next. The rally that follows will typically last up to 2 months on average after this signal.
Why 26000?
The market entered price discovery after the previous all time high breakout of 22k. The forecast area was previously published, see linked ideas. The same conditions that allowed those forecasts now repeat. In addition the Fibonacci extensions; the NDX repeatably rallies to the 1.618 extension after each and every emotional flush out. It’s a gift horse of an opportunity.
Previous years:
Conclusion
Markets climb walls of worry, and this moment is no different. The loudest voices today call for collapse, but the charts, price action, and sentiment data are telling another story entirely. Higher lows, confirmed support, extreme put/call ratios, and Fibonacci extensions all align with one clear outcome: continuation.
A move to 26,000 on the NASDAQ before year-end is not a wild stretch of imagination, but the logical conclusion of repeating market behaviour. Every emotional flush out has historically created the runway for price discovery to the 1.618 extension, and this time is no different.
If you’re betting against the trend, you’re not fighting the market, you’re fighting math, structure, and history. The bears may dominate headlines but that just News. The market is not listening to fear. It’s grinding higher, and the destination is 26,000.
Ww
Gold Analysis – 15-Minute Timeframe (September 10 , 2025)Has gold formed a Quasimodo (QM) pattern? We’re not certain yet. If price reacts from the current zone, it may retrace toward the blue area. Otherwise, one more chance for a pullback remains — a rejection from the previous high.
If that level fails to hold, gold has potential to rally toward the 3720 zone.
⛔ No entry without confirmation.
✅ Risk management is essential.
📈 Wishing you profitable and disciplined trading.
MNT | Up to new HighsMNTUSDT is experiencing a powerful bullish breakout, pushing toward new all-time highs after a prolonged consolidation period. The price has successfully broken above the key resistance level at $1.41 and is now targeting the upper resistance zones.
Key Observations:
• Strong momentum following breakout from multi-month accumulation phase
• Price trading well above major moving averages, confirming bullish trend
• Clear break of previous resistance now acting as support
Price Targets:
• First resistance: $2.2538 (green zone)
• Extended target: $3.0848 (upper green zone)
Risk Considerations:
• Potential pullback to retest the $1.41 breakout level as new support
• Volume confirmation needed to sustain the rally
• Overbought conditions may trigger short-term consolidation
The projected path shows continued upside momentum, but traders should watch for any signs of exhaustion near the first target zone.
S&P 500 to 7000 over the next 60 daysYeT another contrarian idea as so many on the platform publish S&P 500 “short” positions. Just as with the NASDAQ 100 idea, many paper hands were flushed out of the market earlier in the year. Now they wait with cash as the market grinds higher. Others throwing themselves into Put options.
What next? First the basic question trend and support/resistance.
The Trend
Higher lows have been printed consistently since the April sell off. The trend is up.
Support & Resistance
Look left. Multiple levels of past resistance now confirm as support (blue arrows). How is it possible to be bearish?
Sentiment
As with the NASDAQ 100 idea, much of the retail market maintains a short bias with the Put/Call ratio far into the bearish territory. Historically, when put/call ratios spike above extreme levels, the S&P 500 rallies for weeks to months after.
Why 7000?
The breakout above the prior all time high of 6150 sent the market into price discovery. Selling pressure is largely absent with the April flush out leaving Wave 5 to develop. The uptrend channel will now not find resistance until the upper side of the channel, which is conveniently enough the Fibonacci 1.618 extension @ 7k.
Why 60 days?
Specifically this is a timeline defined by the US debt markets, which is for another post.
Conclusion
The S&P 500 climbs a wall of worry as confidence in the US markets evaporates. Loud bearish calls dominate the headlines, which is understandable. However the chart tells the real story: higher lows, confirmed supports, sentiment extremes, and extension forecasts all align with continuation.
A move to 7000 area is very probable, what the market has in store afterwards is perhaps the bigger story, which is for another time.
Is it possible for the market to correct to 6200 and below like many are calling for? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Gold - Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data.
At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations.
Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook.
The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Key Resistance):
Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap)
ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Strong Support):
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602
OB Dock: 3582 – 3585
Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority)
Entry 1: 3654 – 3660
SL: 3668
TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610
Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3711
TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support)
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
USDCHF - Short Term Sell IdeaH4 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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NIFTY: Intraday Levels for 08th SEP 2025 (NIFTY50 Spot)NIFTY: Intraday Levels for 08th SEP 2025 (NIFTY50 Spot)
Possibility to form Evening Star. But due to Geo-Political Events If OPEN with GAP up "ST Buy" act as Resistance followed by HZ#1
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#3: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#4: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RL#1 & UTgt
HZ => Hurdle Zone, Specialty of “HZ#1 & HZ#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Gold Analysis – Correction Not Yet Over (IMO)Yesterday, after printing a new ATH at 3674, Gold sold off aggressively and overnight reached a low of 3620.
Now the key question: Is Gold done correcting?
👉 My answer: Not yet.
Here’s why:
1. The 550 pip drop from the top is barely scratching the surface compared to the 3500 pip rally in the last two weeks.
2. Yesterday’s daily candle is a bearish pin bar. While this pattern is weaker in strong uptrends, it can still trigger continuation.
3. Structurally, the market looks like it’s forming an ABC correction. The current rebound may be wave B, with wave C expected to target the 3570 zone.
4. Confluence supports act like magnets once corrections begin. The zone I’m watching aligns with the 23% Fibonacci retracement, which fits perfectly with the correction scenario.
📌 Trading Plan:
As long as 3675 holds, I remain bearish in the short term. The best strategy is to sell rallies against the ATH, targeting deeper retracement levels.
BNB 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BNB on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Binance Coin we can see that this coin, the popular token of Binance exchange with very strong backing, has formed a very important resistance at $885. With a breakout and confirmation above this level, and if the PPI news is positive, BNB could start another strong upward move.
⚙️ The key RSI level for this coin is at 64, and breaking above this level could give BNB higher volatility and even a price surge.
🕯 The volume, size, and number of green candles are increasing, and it seems we are almost exiting the range structure. With buying pressure and rising volatility, BNB could form more green candles and experience solid price growth.
🌒 On the 1-hour timeframe of the BNBBTC pair we can see that it has been rejected from the 0.007915 zone, which has created a trigger for a breakout at this level. If this zone is broken, BNB could also break its marked resistance in the USDT pair and move upward.
💡 This coin had resistance at $885, which has now been broken, and it is moving upward. A pullback to this resistance also happened during this breakout, which was executed well. For confirmation, you can also check the 15-minute timeframe.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Gold : Neutral Between 3,640–3,657, Breakout to DecideGold – Overview
Gold hit a fresh record high at $3,659 on Tuesday, supported by weak U.S. jobs data and growing bets on Fed rate cuts. Traders now await key U.S. inflation releases – PPI on Wednesday and CPI on Thursday – which could drive the next major move.
📊 If inflation comes in hotter than expected, gold risks a sharp correction.
📊 If inflation is weaker, expectations for a 50 bps Fed rate cut could lift gold further.
Technical Outlook:
🔻 While below 3,657, price may correct toward 3,640. A 15M close below 3,640 would extend the decline to 3,629.
🔺 Stability above 3,657 on a 15M close would support further upside toward 3,665 → 3,683.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 3,657
Support: 3,640 – 3,629 – 3,612
Resistance: 3,665 – 3,683
previous idea: