Support and Resistance
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 12th Dec '25Choppy session as of Now as per OI data.
Trade Carefully.
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
Follow notification about periodical View
BTC accumulate shorts (WXY done)For the past weeks all BTC did was go down from 126k, from here we can hypothesize that we are on a wave to the downside and all move the upside are all corrective moves for another low to come.
We can see the W wave as an easy 5 subwave with X as 3 subwaves.
From here on there are 2 scenarios.
1. We are on the verge of the making of the huge wave 3 for a reversal of the trend
OR
2. Our Y wave ends with a truncated and we are ready for the next major wave to the downside.
Right now evidence show we are going for option 2. Why?
a.) Going into the orderflow, we have 25million longs TRAPPED on the high
b.) We have made a liquidity hunt on the last week's high.
c.) We tapped on the VAH of the last week of November
d.) All move to the high were made in a matter of minutes (a clear rejection)
The option 2 scenario will give more conviction if we lose
i.) 91,950 - pwVAH
ii.) 91,350 - pmPOC (MAJOR CONVICTION) if we lose this
All these idea will be defeated if we suddenly show strength here at the top
The only thing that I am to expect for my validation is a series of 4H closes above 93,600, it shows acceptance above value of the range
This idea is not made for a trade but as a guide to what to expect for the following days.
PENGU/USDT Breakout LongWhy: The 5m chart shows the price consolidating around 0.0112. The daily analysis suggests a "long target" higher up, but you are currently stuck in a choppy range. You need to wait for momentum to return.
Direction: LONG
The Trigger: Wait for a 5-minute candle to close ABOVE 0.0120. (This clears the local resistance).
Entry: ~0.0121.
Stop Loss: 0.0110 (Below current support).
Target: 0.0127 (Approx 5-6% move).
OVERSOLD? COULD WE SEE A PULLBACK?Hello traders! Here’s a clean, structured technical outlook on EURAUD given the recent break of structure. This is technical analysis, not financial advice — always pair it with risk management.
• Price recently bounced sharply from a major demand zone around 1.75000.
• The current push up is strong, showing momentum shifting short-term in favor of buyers.
Price formed a double-type base at the bottom (1.7540 range). That is a valid area for buyers to attempt a reversal.
First Target Zone: 1.76400–1.76600
This is the first cluster of resistance.
You’ll likely see some hesitation or a pullback here.
Another Initial Target Zone: 1.76850–1.77000.
Final Target Zone: 1.77400-1.77550.
This is the potential swing
• previous support
• aligns with the underside of the old ascending channel
• strong supply zone
This is where sellers have the best chance to re-enter.
Our Buy Zone is 1.76000-1.75750
Stops can be placed below this week’s low to be safe but larger risk. Below Monday’s low is also an option to tighten the risk.
But the key is how price reacts at 1.76400 and on the retest.
Trading Logic
• Wait for a mild correction toward 1.76000-1.75750
• If buyers defend that level → long entry makes sense.
• TP1: 1.76400
• TP2: 1.76800
• TP3: 1.77400
Bearish scenario
Sellers regain control ONLY IF:
• price rejects strongly from 1.76500
• or breaks below 1.75500 again
Below 1.75500 opens the door back toward 1.7450
Bottom Line and Fundamentals We Know.
EUR/AUD is currently in a short-term bullish correction inside a bigger downtrend. Watch the pullback area around 1.76000-1.75750 for clues and confirmations.
AUD is weaker due to slowing data and soft RBA tone.
• Eurozone data is stabilizing, keeping EUR supported.
• Risk sentiment is not strong enough to boost AUD.
• Yield differentials favor EUR over AUD.
This aligns perfectly with the current market structure, showing a short-term bounce
Trade Idea: HII - Flat Base Breakout in Strong Sector (Defense) Trade Idea: HII – Flat Base Breakout in Strong Sector (Defense)
Ticker: NYSE:HII
Sector: Industrials – Aerospace & Defense
Trade Type: Breakout Swing
Thesis:
HII is forming a flat base just below all-time highs, within a high relative strength sector (Defense), as small caps and industrials rotate into leadership. Price is consolidating tightly near the $330 pivot with rising volume on up days — a classic pre-breakout setup.
Technical Setup:
• Flat base forming for 7+ weeks, ~10% deep (ideal)
• Pivot: $330.10
• Support zone: ~$318.50 (prior resistance)
• MACD: Turning up
• RSI: Rising above 60
• Volume: Increasing on accumulation days
• MA Structure: Price above 10/21/50/200 EMAs – bullish alignment
Trade Plan:
• Entry: Breakout over $330.10 (confirmation with volume)
• Stop: $317.70 (below base + prior swing low)
• Target 1: $354 (measured move)
• Target 2: $365+ (extension zone)
Reward/Risk Ratio: ~5.6:1
Position Sizing: Based on 1% risk per trade
Market Context:
• Industrial sector (XLI): Relative strength increasing
• Small caps (IWM): Breaking multi-month base
• Defense stocks: Leading group (LMT, GD, RTX also constructive)
Summary:
HII is showing institutional characteristics with a flat base, strong sector alignment, and favorable market context. Waiting for volume-backed breakout to trigger long entry. Tight risk, strong upside.
Not financial advice. Just sharing trade structure. Trade your plan.
DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Level for 11th - 12th Dec '25(2:30 amFED Rate Cut impact in Indian Financial Market:
Trading approach in NSE BSE
For an Indian trader, Fed cuts with a dovish or balanced guidance usually support:
Short‑term long bias in Nifty/Sensex and high‑quality large caps as flows and sentiment improve.
Overweight stance on IT, financials, autos, and select cyclicals, while closely tracking FPI flow data, dollar index, and USDINR for confirmation
The US Federal Reserve has just delivered its third consecutive rate cut, taking the federal funds target range down to about 3.5%–3.75%, the lowest since 2022. It is also signaling that the pace of further cuts will likely slow, with only very limited easing projected over the next couple of years.
Latest Fed move
The Fed reduced rates by 25 basis points at its December 2025 meeting, following similar cuts in September and October. This “hawkish cut” pattern reflects concern about a softer labor market while still being cautious because inflation is only gradually moving toward the 2% target.
Future cut expectations
Fed projections currently point to only one additional cut in 2026 and another in 2027, implying a very shallow easing path compared with what markets had been pricing in. Officials have stressed that further moves will depend heavily on incoming data on inflation and employment, so the path is explicitly data‑dependent rather than pre‑committed.
Market and global impact
US equities initially rallied on the latest cut, as investors welcomed lower discount rates and a still‑decent growth outlook for 2026. For emerging markets like India, the lower Fed rate tends to ease pressure on the dollar, supports currencies, and can give local central banks more room to consider their own rate cuts if domestic inflation allows
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
Follow notification about periodical View
Sell Live trade on gold ICT ConceptsTook trade based on ICT concept
1. Market Structure
Identify Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) for an uptrend, or Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) for a downtrend.
Look for Breaks in Market Structure (BMS) when a trend changes direction, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
2. Order Blocks
Bullish Order Blocks (OB): Look for the last bearish candle before a significant bullish move. This could serve as a potential demand zone in a rising market.
Bearish Order Blocks (OB): Similarly, identify the last bullish candle before a significant bearish move for a potential supply zone in a downtrend.
Draw these order blocks on the chart and watch for price to return to these areas for potential entries.
3. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Look for Fair Value Gaps (FVG) where price has moved too far too quickly, leaving an imbalance in the market.
These gaps can often be areas where price returns to "fill" the gap before continuing in the original direction.
Plot these gaps and anticipate that price might retrace to fill them before resuming its trend.
4. Liquidity and Sweep Concepts
Identify areas of liquidity—where large stop-loss orders may reside. ICT often talks about the market hunting for liquidity to trigger these stops before moving in the intended direction.
Look for sweeps of liquidity, which can show as strong price moves in a short time to liquidate stop orders. This can provide a hint that a new market leg or shift in direction is coming.
5. Premium vs. Discount
Use the premium and discount theory from ICT. In an uptrend, the discount zone is lower, where you would want to buy, and in a downtrend, the premium zone is higher, where you would look to sell.
Mark these zones using Fibonacci retracements or extensions, aligning with key order block levels.
6. Time of Day Considerations
Apply ICT’s idea of the market opening and closing times (e.g., New York session) to spot key volatility periods.
The first few hours after the market opens often present strong momentum or significant moves.
Trading Idea Structure (on TradingView):
Uptrend Setup:
Mark a bullish order block (OB) from a previous swing and wait for price to retrace into the zone.
Look for confirmation with a break in structure (BMS) to show that the trend has resumed.
If price moves into a Fair Value Gap, wait for the price to fill it before entering a buy position.
Downtrend Setup:
Identify a bearish order block (OB) from the last bullish candle before a significant drop.
Wait for price to return to this level for a potential sell.
If price moves into a Fair Value Gap, confirm that the gap is filled before confirming the entry.
Key Indicators to Use:
50-period EMA or 200-period EMA: Helps identify the overall market trend.
Fibonacci Retracements: For plotting key levels of premium and discount, particularly in trending markets.
Volume Profile: To confirm areas of high trading volume, indicating key support and resistance levels.
By applying these concepts and tools, you'll be able to identify key entry points, risk areas, and zones for potential trend continuation or reversal, all while avoiding specific price levels. Happy trading!
XAUUSD: Target 4228 ReachedToday we held our bullish positions all day, continuously buying from below 4210 and maintaining them until now. The price has reached around 4230, where there is resistance, but I believe it cannot stop the upward momentum. Buying on dips remains the main strategy. Our first target for today was the 4228-4232 area, which has now been achieved.
XAUUSD: Maintain Buy Strategy, Target 4232–4250With the Federal Reserve’s rate cut finally confirmed, gold delivered a roller-coaster performance. It first climbed to around 4250, and today it has returned to the 4200 area. After holding long positions throughout yesterday, we finally captured significant profits under the stimulus of the rate cut.
Today we maintain a bullish strategy, paying particular attention to 4217. If it can hold above this level, it should at least rise to around 4232. We can seize this opportunity.
The next resistance level is 4250-4260. Next is the resistance at 4250-4260. If it cannot be broken strongly, you can sell with a small position at this level. If it falls back but does not break 4225, you can continue to go long. If the bulls are strong, we may be able to look forward to the 4268-4280 area.






















