Support and Resistance
XAUUSD: Maintain Buy Strategy, Target 4232–4250With the Federal Reserve’s rate cut finally confirmed, gold delivered a roller-coaster performance. It first climbed to around 4250, and today it has returned to the 4200 area. After holding long positions throughout yesterday, we finally captured significant profits under the stimulus of the rate cut.
Today we maintain a bullish strategy, paying particular attention to 4217. If it can hold above this level, it should at least rise to around 4232. We can seize this opportunity.
The next resistance level is 4250-4260. Next is the resistance at 4250-4260. If it cannot be broken strongly, you can sell with a small position at this level. If it falls back but does not break 4225, you can continue to go long. If the bulls are strong, we may be able to look forward to the 4268-4280 area.
UASDCAD: Bearish! A Little Pullback, Then Down!The USD has been weakened over the past couple of weeks. Markets are at a 90% pchance the Fed cut rates by .25 bp, and that Trump will be installing Hasset, a loyalist, as Fed Chair. Couple that with the positive job numbers that Canada announced last week, and you see the downward trajectory of the USDCAD heading down.
It seems very likely that we will see more movement downtown this week.
I am expecting an OHLC candle for the week ahead.
The Draw on liquidity (DOL) would likely be the relative equal lows to the left.
May profits be upon you.
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The downward trend in gold prices is likely to continue.
news:
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, fully in line with market expectations.
However, internal opinions diverged the most this year, with the statement signaling a "hawkish rate cut," predicting a very slow pace of easing in the future, with only one rate cut expected in the next two years.
Because this statement was not significantly different from previous market expectations, although it presented a hawkish signal, it was not as strong as previously anticipated. Gold prices initially fell after the data release but then rose, breaking through the key level of 4230 immediately after Powell's speech.
This indicates that the market has largely priced in this data release. With the subsequent release of non-farm payroll and CPI data, if the cooling labor market and inflation cannot be controlled, gold and silver may face another round of declines.
Technical aspects:
1. The daily moving averages MA5 and MA10 are converging and flattening, indicating a sideways price movement. The MACD indicator is also converging and flattening, further suggesting a sideways price movement. Currently, daily support is around the parabolic retracement level and the middle Bollinger Band, corresponding to the 4175-4165 range. In the short term, the daily chart is expected to remain within the large range of 4260-4170.
2. On the 4-hour chart, the MACD is currently consolidating near the zero line with decreasing volume, and the candlestick has also fallen back to around 4200, near the middle Bollinger Band. Currently, all 4-hour moving averages are intertwined around the middle Bollinger Band, indicating that the price is oscillating around this level, within the 4190-4130 range.
3. On the hourly chart, the MACD is currently showing a bearish crossover with increasing volume, and the stochastic oscillator is rapidly moving downwards into oversold territory, indicating a weak and sideways price movement. Short-term support is at the MA60, around 4200. A break below this level will likely lead to further downward movement towards the lower Bollinger Band, currently around 4160.
Strategy Signals:
Buy at 4235-40, stop loss : 4250, target: 4210, 4190, 4160
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Bullish Move After Trap
I see a confirmed liquidity grab after a test of a major
intraday demand zone on US500.
An occurrence of a buying imbalance afterward
suggests a strong bullish pressure.
I expect a rise at least to 6875
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AUDUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish move.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Price Testing FVG & Fibonacci◆ Market Context
After breaking a bullish BOS, Gold pushed strongly toward 4,232 before losing momentum. Subsequent pullbacks formed a bearish CHoCH, signalling that the corrective wave is weakening and the market needs rebalancing before choosing its next direction.
Price is now sitting inside the short-term ascending channel, near the FVG – Fibo – Scalp zone where strong reactions typically occur.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The 4,191 support remains a key structural low where strong buying previously broke BOS.
• The FVG around 4,232 is an area where sellers may react since it was created during the fast drop.
• The ascending trendline is still supporting price, but if it breaks, liquidity below 4,191 may be swept before any recovery.
◆ Main Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario 1: Price rejects the 4,232 FVG → Short-term Sell bias
• Conditions: rejection candle / weakness pattern at 4,230–4,233
• Targets:
▪ 4,210
▪ 4,191 (strong support)
➤ Scenario 2: Price breaks through FVG and extends into Fibo expansion → Look for Sell signals
• Fibo extension targets: 4,255–4,274
• Look for reversal signals to Sell in line with the larger trend.
➤ Scenario 3: Buy from support if liquidity is swept
• Ideal Buy zone: 4,191 → liquidity below 4,185
• Conditions: strong reaction or bullish CHoCH
• Targets:
▪ 4,215
▪ 4,232 (FVG)
◆ Summary
• FVG 4,232 is the key area for short-term trend direction.
• Sell-the-reaction at the FVG remains high-probability.
• If price returns to 4,191 support and holds → potential for a strong Buy.
• If support breaks, market may sweep deeper liquidity before forming a new low.
THE Analysis (1H)Considering that THE is currently accumulating liquidity and approaching the supply zone, we can look for sell / short positions in this area.
The targets are marked on the chart.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
SAPIEN Analysis (1H)A structural change (CH) has formed to the bearish side, and now during pullbacks we are looking for Sell/Short positions.
Targets have been marked on the chart.
A 4H - candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
EURAUD: Bearish Move From Key Level 🇪🇺🇦🇺
EURAUD will most likely drop from a key daily resistance level.
I opened my short position on a retest of a broken neckline of
a double top pattern on an hourly.
Goal - 1.7571
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EURUSD: Price Holds Channel Support, Aiming for 1.1680Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD remains in a broader bullish structure, with recent price action developing inside a well-defined ascending channel. After a strong impulsive rally, the pair broke above the previous consolidation zone and confirmed the breakout with a successful retest of the 1.16100 support zone, which now acts as a key demand area. The market then continued higher, forming higher highs and higher lows along the channel structure.
Currently, price is consolidating below the 1.16800 resistance zone, which represents a major supply area and the upper boundary of the current bullish leg. Despite short-term consolidation, buyers continue to defend the support zone, keeping bullish pressure intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.16100–1.16200 support zone and respects the ascending channel structure. I expect the price to continue pressing toward the 1.16800 resistance, which is the next major target for buyers. A clean and sustained breakout above this resistance would open the way for further upside continuation and new highs.
However, if price fails to break the resistance and shows strong rejection, a short-term pullback toward the mid-channel or back into the support zone is possible. Still, the overall bullish structure remains valid as long as the lower channel boundary holds. For now, the market supports a long bias, with the main objective being a retest of the 1.16800 resistance zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BankNifty levels - Dec 12, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - Dec 12, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
GBPUSD Poised to Rally as USD Weakens Into December CutIn today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around the 1.32900 zone.
GBPUSD remains in a clear uptrend, and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the 1.32900 support and resistance area, where buyers may step back in.
On the fundamental side, the US Dollar continues to weaken as the market increasingly prices in a December rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Recent US data has been softening, adding pressure on the Fed and reinforcing expectations for looser monetary policy.
A dovish Fed outlook = bearish USD, which naturally supports GBPUSD upside.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Dow Jones is approaching an important support! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 47,350 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 43.350 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DeGRAM | GOLD will correct to the $4150 level📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is compressing inside a large symmetrical structure, repeatedly rejecting the descending resistance line near 4,238, showing persistent seller control. A breakdown toward 4,192 and potentially the rising support line near 4,160 becomes likely if price fails to reclaim mid-range support.
● Momentum weakens with lower highs and fading bullish follow-through, increasing probability of a medium-term bearish continuation.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent data shows steady U.S. labor strength and firm Treasury yields, limiting gold’s ability to rally as markets price slower Fed easing.
✨ Summary
● Short bias: rejection at 4,238 → targets 4,192 and 4,160; key resistance 4,238–4,277.
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