Western Carriers (WCIL) : Breakout Candidate#WCIL #patterntrading #breakout #breakoutstock #inverseheadandshoulder #swingtrading
WCIL : Swing Trade
>> Low PE Stock
>> Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern visible
>> Breakout & Retest Done
>> Ready for New Highs
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
Swing Traders can lock profits at 10% & Keep Trailing
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Disc : Charts shared are for Learning Purpose and not a Trade recommendation, Consult your Financial afvisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking postion in it.
Swingtrading
SWING IDEA - NEULAND LABNeuland Lab , a niche API manufacturer with strong export presence and leadership in complex molecules, is offering a technically strong swing trade opportunity from key support levels.
Reasons are listed below :
11,500 zone acting as a crucial support area
Formation of a hammer candle on the weekly timeframe, signaling potential reversal
Reversing from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone – the golden pocket
Taking support at the 50-week EMA , holding long-term trend structure
Target - 14900 // 17600
Stoploss - weekly close below 10215
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Bitcoin Full analysis: Buy the dip confirmed, 123240 key__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum: Very bullish across all timeframes; healthy compression above previous range.
Key Supports: 115731–110481 USDT (structural, 1D to 1H).
Major Resistances: 123240 USDT (multi-frame pivot).
Volume: Normal, no climax or distribution — flows support the dominant bias.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong bullish HLTF signal; short-term neutral intraday.
ISPD DIV: Neutral on all timeframes.
Multi-TF Behavior: Bull rally, no excess, no euphoria or capitulation; market holds above key levels.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global Bias: Strong bullish – MT/LT “buy on dips” confirmed.
Opportunities: Progressive buying (117800, 115731 USDT), continuation on breakout >123240.
Risk Zones: Possible pullback if clear rejection below 123240, swing invalidation if close <115731-111949.
Macro Catalysts: Awaiting FOMC late July, short-term volatility limited. Watch geopolitics, extreme compression.
Action Plan: Swing entry: 118300–119000. Stop: 115500. Target: 123200 then 126000+. R/R ≥2.5. Adjust risk management before FOMC.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D: Bullish momentum, supports at 105054/107939–110483. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strong buy, healthy volume, ISPD neutral.
12H: Consolidation below 123240, aligned supports 110481/115731, healthy structure.
6H: Confirmed momentum, continuous compression, no major sell signals.
4H: Rally structure robust, corrections limited and on support.
2H: Key support band 115731–110481, volume supports rebound, possible rotation below 123240.
1H: Rally confirmed, no panic selling detected.
30min/15min: Intraday consolidation, micro-range below resistance, stable volume, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator short-term neutral.
Cross-TF summary: CLEAR momentum across all frames, no significant divergence, high-quality HTF supports. Next >123240 breakout likely fast and dynamic.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical & Fundamental Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Synthesis: Broad bullish confirmation; buy-the-dip valid on 117800/115731, no aggressive downside signal. Swing positions above 118200 to be favored, expect acceleration after clear break of 123240.
Stops & Invalidation: Swing stops below 115731/111949. Closing below = increased risk, “off” bias.
Fundamentals: Optimal pre-FOMC swing window, US market in wait-and-see mode short term. Neutral/volatile geopolitics, no immediate shocks.
On-chain: Heavy accumulation, historic compression, ETF flows strong (but on short pause). Imminent volatility squeeze possible either way.
Recommendation: Actively monitor 123240 (breakout above), 115731 (below = increased caution). Adjust stops and sizing, remain highly responsive, especially as FOMC approaches.
__________________________________________________________________________________
US30 Bearish IdeaAs we can see this is a anticipation of us being in a quarterly shift in the markets and having an assumption that we had a retracement up to collect more orders for smart money to go short. We have relative strength with US30 against both NASDAQ and the SP500. We have seen resistance in our premium arrays of our weekly FVG and daily order block
* Fundamental analysis:
We are are having a shift in our bond yields which could potentially effect the dollar giving it strength and you add the fact that dollar is under valued when we have a stronger dollar rate than the rest of the basket currencies we could see it negatively effect the Dow this quarter. The Dow is very over valued and we have had consistent quantitative easing from the Fed and the Fed balance sheet has been still consistently decreasing. The commercial interest have also seen a great rise of buying dollar and if dollar is being bought up then something would need to be sold.
MarketBreakdown | GBPAUD, WTI CRUDE OIL, US30, US100
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GBPAUD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇦🇺
The market is trading within a wide horizontal parallel channel.
The price is stuck on its support.
Probabilities will be high that the market will start growing from that.
Alternatively, its bearish breakout will provide a strong bearish signal.
2️⃣ #WTI CRUDE OIL daily time frame 🛢️
The price is now testing a significant rising trend line.
It is a critical decision moment for the market.
A bearish breakout of that may trigger a strong bearish continuation.
Monitor intraday price action today. If you see a strong bullish pattern,
it will provide a reliable confirmation to buy,
3️⃣ DOW JONES INDEX #US30 daily time frame
The market started a correction movement in
a bullish flag pattern.
Your next signal to buy will be a breakout of its resistance
and a daily candle close above that.
4️⃣ NASDAQ INDEX #US100 daily time frame
The market is now breaking a resistance of a horizontal parallel channel.
IF a today's daily candle closes above that, it will confirm a start of
another bullish wave.
The market will continue growing then.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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HYUNDAI - Swing Trade#HYUNDAI #swingtrade #trendingstock #momentumtrading #breakoutstock
HYUNDAI : Swing Trade
>> Breakout soon
>> Trending Stock
>> Volume Dried up
>> Good strength
>> Low Risk Trade ( RR - 1:2 or 1:3 )
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep trailing
Pls Boost, like and comment if u like the analysis
Disc: Charts shared are for Learning purpose, Take position only after consulting ur Financial Advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor
EUR/CAD: Quant-Verified ReversalThe fundamental catalyst has been triggered. The anticipated strong Canadian CPI data was released as expected, confirming the primary driver for this trade thesis. Now, the focus shifts to the technical structure, where price is showing clear exhaustion at a generational resistance wall. 🧱
Our core thesis is that the confirmed fundamental strength of the CAD will now fuel the technically-indicated bearish reversal from this critical price ceiling.
The Data-Driven Case 📊
This trade is supported by a confluence of technical, fundamental, and quantitative data points.
Primary Technical Structure: The pair is being aggressively rejected from a multi-year resistance zone (1.6000 - 1.6100). This price action is supported by a clear bearish divergence on the 4H chart's Relative Strength Index (RSI), a classic signal that indicates buying momentum is fading despite higher prices.
Internal Momentum Models: Our internal trend and momentum models have flagged a definitive bearish shift. Specifically, the MACD indicator has crossed below its signal line into negative territory, confirming that short-term momentum is now bearish. This is layered with a crossover in our moving average module, where the short-term SMA has fallen below the long-term SMA, indicating the prevailing trend structure is now downward.
Quantitative Probability & Volatility Analysis: To quantify the potential outcome of this setup, we ran a Monte Carlo simulation projecting several thousand potential price paths. The simulation returned a 79.13% probability of the trade reaching our Take Profit target before hitting the Stop Loss. Furthermore, our GARCH volatility model forecasts that the expected price fluctuations are well-contained within our defined risk parameters, reinforcing the asymmetric risk-reward profile of this trade.
The Execution Plan ✅
Based on the synthesis of all data, here is the actionable trade plan:
📉 Trade: Sell (Short) EUR/CAD
👉 Entry: 1.6030
⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.6125
🎯 Take Profit: 1.5850
The data has spoken, and the setup is active. Trade with discipline.
NZDJPY: Another Bullish Wave Ahead?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY violated a significant daily resistance cluster last week.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a
contracting demand zone now.
That will be the area from where I will anticipate a bullish movement.
Next resistance - 89.0
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AUDUSD 4Hour TF - July 13th,2025AUDUSD 7/13/2025
AUDUSD 4hour Bullish idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
We’re looking like we’re back to bullish after last week. The 4Hour timeframe has been moving up nicely and as of last week we’re sitting just below 0.65800. Going into this week we’re looking mainly bullish but we are still going to mark up two potential scenarios:
Bullish Continuation - This is looking like the most likely scenario. Ideally, price action pushes above 0.65800 then retests as support and confirms the next higher low. I’d be interested in positions as the higher low is forming and as I can spot bullish conviction to enter long on.
Bearish Reversal - Even though it’s likely we will continue bullish, a reversal is still possible as nothing is definite. For us to consider bearish setups we would need to see a break below 0.65500 with a retest of that zone as new resistance. Look for a lower high to short on below 0.65500.
DXY 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025DXY 7/13/2025
DXY 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bearish
4hour - Ranging
Keep in mind, we analyze and follow DXY more so as an indicator. The USD makes up for a large portion of trade so it makes sense to analyze it.
Going into this week we can see DXY made an attempt to push higher. Where it closed on Friday is a major zone around 98.000. We’re still majorly bearish on higher time frames so we will keep that in mind throughout this week.
As always, we will mark up two potential paths for this week, they are as follows:
Bullish Breakout - The two main zones we want to bring out attention to are 98.000 resistance and 97.500 support. We will have to wait until price action leaves this area to spot a high quality setup. Look for a convincing push above 98.000 resistance followed by a retest of 98.000 but as support. Look for a higher low to form with bullish confirmation to long on.
Bearish Continuation- Going bearish is still very possible we just need to clear 97.500 support first. Look for a break below 97.500 with a confirmed lower high and convincing bearish setups to short on.
USDJPY Analysis : Major Move Loading Towards Target Zone🕵️♂️ Overview
The USDJPY pair is approaching a critical turning point within a well-established descending channel structure. After several months of corrective movement and internal structure shifts, the market is now displaying multiple layers of confluence pointing toward an impending major reaction or reversal. Let’s break down this chart step by step.
🧱 Market Structure Analysis
🔹 Descending Channel:
The entire chart is governed by a broad descending channel, with price making lower highs and lower lows since early March.
Each touch of the channel support has led to a bounce, and the price is now once again near channel resistance, creating a possible reaction zone.
🔹 Volume Contraction Phase:
In the mid-section of the chart, we observe volume contraction, indicating liquidity drying up and buyers/sellers entering a phase of uncertainty.
This contraction is typical in accumulation or re-accumulation phases, which often precede strong impulsive moves — exactly what followed here.
🧩 Structural Breaks and Trendline Clarity
🔸 Minor Break of Structure:
A recent high was taken out in early July, marking a minor break of structure (BOS), showing the first signs of bulls taking short-term control.
🔸 Major Break of Structure:
A more significant high (marked on the chart) has also been broken, confirming a major BOS — this implies institutional positioning or a shift in market sentiment.
🔸 Trendline Break – Extra Confirmation:
The bullish push came after breaking a clean internal trendline, which acted as diagonal resistance.
Once this trendline broke, price aggressively accelerated upward — this is a classic market maker cycle (MMC) Phase 2 (expansion) move.
📍 Confluence at Next Reversal Zone (149.00 – 150.00)
The green highlighted zone is the next potential area for bearish pressure to return, based on:
Key Supply Zone: Historical area where sellers previously dominated.
Channel Resistance Confluence: Top of the descending channel aligns with this zone.
Psychological Level: 150.00 is a major psychological round number — often attracts profit-taking and institutional activity.
Fibonacci (if plotted): Likely 78.6% – 88.6% retracement from last swing high.
Overextended Rally: Price has rallied strongly since early July with very little correction — it’s approaching exhaustion.
🔄 Market Maker Cycle (MMC) Alignment
This move perfectly reflects the Market Maker Cycle:
Accumulation: During volume contraction phase.
Manipulation: Fakeouts near channel support to trap shorts.
Expansion: Break of structure + trendline, aggressive rally.
Distribution (Next): Likely to occur at the 149–150 zone with a sharp rejection.
🧠 Trader’s Plan – What to Look For
📈 If Bullish:
Targets: 148.80 to 149.80 zone
Hold until rejection signs (bearish candles, volume spikes, divergences)
SL: Below recent swing low/trendline (~146.00)
📉 If Bearish (After Rejection):
Watch for:
Strong bearish engulfing candle or shooting star
RSI/MACD divergence (not shown but suggested)
Break of short-term ascending trendline
Targets: Back toward 145.50 or mid-channel (dynamic)
🔖 Summary
USDJPY is showing clear signs of bullish exhaustion near the upper channel resistance and major structure levels. If price respects this zone (149–150), expect a healthy corrective leg or full reversal. Multiple layers of technical evidence, including structure breaks, trendline breach, and MMC phases, are aligning for a high-probability play.
This is a textbook setup for experienced traders watching key zones with proper confirmations.
SYRMA Weekly Breakout | High Volume + 1.5-Year Base Structure🚨 Breakout Alert on SYRMA (Weekly)
After 1.5 years of sideways consolidation, SYRMA has finally broken out with strong conviction. The breakout is supported by the highest weekly volume seen in months — signaling smart money accumulation.
📊 Technical Setup:
🔹 1.5-year base formation now broken
🔹 Breakout candle closed above resistance with strength
🔹 Volume spike confirms breakout validity (HVE)
🔹 Structure resembles classic Stage 2 breakout
🟢 Ideal retest zone: ₹670–₹680
🛑 Support zone: ₹635–₹645
Fundamental Snapshot:
✅ Revenue: ₹2,000 Cr → ₹3,800 Cr in 2 years
✅ Net Profit up 50% YoY
✅ EPS (TTM): ₹9.57
✅ Promoter holding: ~46%
✅ Dominant player in EMS & IoT hardware
⚡Macro trend supports domestic electronics manufacturing — still early in the cycle.
Everybody loves Gold Part 7Great trading last week. Gold really pushing deep into blues.
This week takes a downturn with possibilities highlighted on the chart; all pointing towards LOS (Level of significance). This level is calculated based on previous week high-low values.
Trade parameters:
1. SL: 50-100pips
2. TP: 3-4x SL
3. double tops/bottom (around LOS) are direction changers.
As always price action determines trades
Apple Stock Is Surging! Here’s What Most People MissWhen it comes to trading, we don’t care about the latest news headlines or whether some analyst has upgraded or downgraded Apple stock. We focus on one thing and one thing only: the undeniable forces of supply and demand imbalances on higher timeframes.
Right now, Apple’s monthly chart is a textbook example of how waiting for a strong demand imbalance pays off. That $178 monthly level is no random number. It’s the exact origin of a massive bullish impulse that happened in June 2024 — the kind of move that only happens when smart money and big institutions step in, creating an imbalance that pushes the price away rapidly.
📈 It’s Not About Fundamentals. It’s About Imbalances.
Most retail traders waste time chasing news, earnings, or rumours about iPhone sales. But if you think about it, all those factors are already priced in once a strong imbalance is formed. Institutions don’t wait for tomorrow’s news — they plan their positions weeks or months ahead, and those footprints are visible right on your chart.
The $178 level indicates a significant drop in supply and a surge in demand large enough to propel Apple higher, marked by consecutive large bullish candlesticks. That’s our signal — nothing more, nothing less.
GBPUSD: Bullish Move After Liquidity Grab 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD formed a bullish high range candle with a long lower wick going
below a key horizontal demand zone on a 4H.
A consequent recovery and a bullish London session opening suggest
a highly probable rise today.
Goal - 1.363
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BTCUSD Breakout Confirmed – Targeting Next Reversal ZoneBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $108,700, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of a consolidation structure. Price action has shifted significantly, with clear structural developments pointing toward continued upside — but not without caution around the next reversal zone.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
🔹 1. Volume Contraction Triangle (Bullish Breakout)
The chart initially shows a volume contraction pattern forming a symmetrical triangle.
This pattern is often associated with market compression — a setup where smart money accumulates before a breakout.
BTC broke out of the triangle with strong bullish candles, confirming buyers have stepped in with conviction.
🔄 2. Structure Shift & Break of Structure (BOS)
A major BOS (Break of Structure) occurred as price broke previous swing highs, confirming a bullish market structure.
This BOS zone now acts as a potential support area if BTC pulls back.
A short-term SR interchange zone (Support becomes Resistance) was also respected and flipped again to support during the breakout — a clear sign of structural strength.
🧭 3. Next Reversal Zone – Supply in Sight
Price is approaching a major supply/reversal zone between $109,750 and $110,250.
This zone has previously shown strong selling interest.
Traders should watch for rejection or continuation patterns within this zone — such as bearish divergence, exhaustion candles, or confirmation of resistance.
🛡 4. Major Support Level
Below current price, a major support zone around $107,500–$107,800 remains intact.
This zone has provided a solid base during past consolidations and would be the first area of interest for buyers if a retracement occurs.
📌 Strategy Plan:
🔼 For Bullish Traders:
Those already in the breakout can hold with targets toward $110,000–$110,250.
If not in yet, wait for a retest of BOS/SR zone (~$109,000) for a safer re-entry.
Consider partial take-profits within the green reversal zone.
🔽 For Bearish Traders:
Watch for price exhaustion or a fake breakout in the reversal zone.
Potential short setups could form only if price fails to hold above the BOS zone and prints a lower high.
🔧 Technical Summary:
✅ Structure: Bullish Break of Structure confirmed
🔺 Momentum: Strong upside following volume contraction
📍 Next Key Resistance: $110,000–$110,250
📉 Major Support: $107,500–$107,800
⚠️ Caution Zone: Reversal area ahead – watch price action closely
Conclusion :
Bitcoin looks set to challenge the $110K psychological level as buyers remain in control. However, the reversal zone above is critical. A clean break and hold above it could open doors to further highs, while rejection here may trigger short-term pullbacks or range-bound conditions.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis : Structural Analysis + TargetGold is currently trading near $3,292 on the 30-minute timeframe, showing classic signs of accumulation and compression within a well-respected descending channel. The current price action is approaching a critical decision zone, and the market is offering potential clues for both short-term and swing traders.
🔎 Detailed Breakdown of Chart Elements:
🔷 1. Descending Channel & Dynamic Support
Gold has been moving inside a falling channel, with price repeatedly reacting to both the upper and lower boundaries.
The lower boundary of the channel, currently acting as support, has been tested multiple times, suggesting a strong buying interest at this level.
This channel also aligns with the broader downtrend structure, giving sellers confidence while also creating interest for counter-trend buyers looking for reversal setups.
📐 2. Trendline Pressure and Compression
A downward sloping trendline, drawn from the recent swing highs, continues to apply bearish pressure.
Price is squeezing between the channel support and this descending trendline — a tight range compression, which often precedes a volatile breakout.
The analysis notes: “We have to wait for a trendline breakout” – this is a crucial technical signal that will determine the next move.
🚧 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Zones
Two potential bullish BOS (Break of Structure) levels have been identified:
Minor BOS (~$3,300):
A break above this level may signal short-term bullish intent and invalidate minor lower highs.
Early confirmation for buyers to enter with tight risk management.
Major BOS (~$3,310):
This is the key swing high which, if broken, would invalidate the current bearish structure and flip market sentiment bullish.
A strong bullish candle closing above this level could signal the start of a larger upward leg.
📍 4. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Area: $3,320 – $3,330)
This zone represents a strong supply area where previous price action saw heavy selling.
If bulls manage to clear the BOS zones, this area becomes the next target/resistance.
Price reaching this level could lead to a pullback, making it an ideal area for partial take-profits or reassessment of continuation trades.
📈 5. Scenario Planning & Strategy
✅ Bullish Bias (If Breakout Occurs):
Wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline and Minor BOS with volume.
Ideal long entry would be on the retest of the trendline (now acting as support).
First target: Major BOS, then extend to the Reversal Zone.
Stop-loss can be placed below the channel support or latest swing low.
🚫 Bearish Continuation (If No Breakout):
If price fails to break above the trendline and continues to reject at resistance, sellers may look to short the retest of the trendline.
Targets can be set at the channel's lower boundary or previous lows.
Confirmation: Bearish engulfing patterns, rejection wicks, or divergence.
🧠 Technical Summary & Outlook
Gold is currently in a neutral to slightly bullish consolidation, showing early signs of demand at the bottom of the channel. The market is in "wait-and-watch" mode — traders should focus on the trendline breakout, which will serve as the trigger for directional bias.
The structure is clean, zones are well defined, and potential is high for both scalping and intraday setups. Traders are advised to stay patient and follow price action confirmation before entering trades.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,285 (Channel Base)
Trendline Resistance: ~$3,294–$3,296
Minor BOS: ~$3,300
Major BOS: ~$3,310
Reversal Zone (Supply): $3,320 – $3,330
NZDUSD: Important Breakout 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD looks bearish after a false violation of a current daily structure high.
The price dropped with a high momentum bearish candle, violating
a significant support cluster and closing below that.
The pair may fall even more.
Next support - 0.5952
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How Sell Side Institutions Move Price: BuybacksThere are Buy Side Institutions, aka Dark Pools, and there are Sell Side Institutions, the Money Center Banks and Giant Financial Services companies. These two groups dominate the market activity and move price in entirely different ways and for entirely different reasons.
Sell Side Institutions are short-term TRADERS. They are not allowed, nor do they wish, to hold stocks for the long term. The Sell Side trades stocks and has the most experienced, most talented, and most sophisticated floor traders in the world.
Buy Side Dark Pools have floor traders as well but they are strictly long-term investment companies managing the 401ks, pension funds, ETF long-term investments on behalf of the Middle Class of America and, in some instances, other nations.
Sell Side Institutions may buy a stock and hold for a few weeks or months but strictly for the short-term profits.
The Sell Side are also the Banks of Record who do the BUYBACKS on behalf of the Corporation which has made the decision by the Corporation's Board of Directors to do a buyback program, which tend to last many months or longer. Corporations do not have stock traders on staff. So the Bank of Record does the actual buying of the shares of stock.
The reasons for doing a Buyback:
To lower the outstanding shares which can create some momentum runs during high buying demand from retail groups and other investors.
Buybacks are intended to move price UPWARD in runs. The price range is established by the corporation. The runs are created by the Bank of Record.
Buybacks also increase dividend yields for long term investors, including pension fund investors.
NASDAQ:AAPL has a mega buyback that was approved in May but has just started now.
Buybacks can be a great strategy for trading stocks this year as many corporations will be doing buybacks due to the reduction of their taxes and more benefits to corporations.
Now is the time to start watching for buyback runs.