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Comfort Systems (FIX): A Boring HVAC Company Printing AI MoneyHey TradingView team, Similarly to the recent trade alert on Carrier Global and Emcor, I'm investing in some level thinking bets for the future of AI. What does Comfort Systems has to do with AI? They are specialized in HVAC, cooling, and electrical installation for large projects, and they are strongly targeting data centers. :) Investment Summary: Comfort Systems USA (FIX) it's a behind-the-scenes AI enabler building the infrastructure that powers the AI revolution. It's a leading mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) contractor, FIX specializes in HVAC, electrical systems, and modular construction for data centers, chip fabs, and industrial facilities. Because of data center demand, they have a record $9.4B backlog providing multi-year visibility, and an upcoming S&P 500 inclusion on December 22, 2025. Key Bullish Drivers: AI/Data Center Boom: Data centers drive 42% of revenues (+32% YoY), fueled by AI hyperscalers and $280B CHIPS Act. HVAC expertise critical for chip heat; modular tech cuts build times 40%. moat in 20%+ growing market to 2030. "Unprecedented" tech bookings, diversified into chips, GLP-1 pharma, food processing. Free cash flow has been consistently increasing, as well as free cash flow per share and free cash flow per employee, which shows improved efficiency. Record Performance & Visibility: Q3 blowout: +35% revenue ($2.45B), +102% EPS ($8.25, 32% beat), 24.8% gross margins. YTD cash flow $718M funds M&A and 20% dividend hike. Backlog +65% to $9.4B (1.5 years revenue) locks high-teen 2026 growth. 43% ROE, low debt, net cash. Acquisitions & Expansion: New buys add $200M revenue/$15-20M EBITDA, strengthening electrical segment. Modular capacity to 3M sq ft by early 2026 (sold out). 21,000 skilled workers addressing labor needs. S&P 500 Catalyst: Joins index Dec 22, driving ETF inflows ($5-10B est.). Historical 5-10% pop + recent PT hikes (Stifel $1,155) signal upside. Valuation: ~31x forward 2026 EPS ($31), justified by 17% LT growth and superior ROE. DCF fair value $1,200-1,500. Strong Buy, 30% upside as "offbeat AI play." Risks to Consider: Cyclicality: Tied to construction spending; macro slowdown could hit non-data center segments. Execution: Labor/supply chain issues, but backlog and modular edge mitigate. Valuation Compression: If AI hype cools, multiples could revert (historical P/E ~25x). Analyst estimates: My price target: $1,200 (35% upside for the next year) Consensus: $1,150 FIX is a quality stock in a fragmented $500B MEP market. With AI infrastructure as a secular driver, S&P inclusion as a near-term catalyst, and pristine fundamentals, this is a core holding for growth investors. Buy the dip. I'm allocating just under 1% of my portfolio to FIX. If it drops, I might buy more. Not financial advice. I'm just sharing my notes and journey.
NYSE:FIXLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
Pinterest | PINS | Long at $26.20Pinterest's NYSE:PINS continued user growth is quite impressive, especially among Gen Z. Factoring in global expansion, the revenue and earnings projections caught my attention. Currently trading around a 9x price-to-earnings, it's kind of a sleeper in the tech world *if* the user numbers and forecasts are accurate. Annual EPS is expected to almost double by 2028, going from $1.29 in 2024 to $2.46 in 2028. Projected revenue growth is almost the same, growing from $3.6 billion in 2024 to $6.3 billion in 2028. Also, the company has a very low Debt-to-Equity Ratio (4%) and very strong cash flow. Projections . From a technical analysis angle, it's in a consolidation phase - trading sideways and confusing investors. The price is having a hard time staying above or below its historical mean, but there are plenty of gaps above and below the current price to fill. A company like NYSE:PINS can benefit significantly from AI utilization and capturing a share of the great wealth transfer, but the news is harping on a bad economy / reduced ad revenue. Personally, this is one of those "why doesn't the price reflect the fundamentals" plays. Yes, there is competition, but the user growth continues to be impressive. Insiders are selling at an alarming rate ( openinsider.com ), though. Something doesn't add up. So, personally, a decision based on the numbers (as reported today) is the only way to go. Thus, at $26.20, NYSE:PINS is in a personal buy zone. If this ticker truly tanks and fishy company news emerges, it's going to drop near $12 or below. Targets into 2028 $32.00 (+22.1%) $50.00 (+90.8%)
NYSE:PINSLong
by WorthlessViews
Gartner | IT | Long at $240.25Technical Analysis The stock price for Gartner NYSE:IT recently fell below my selected "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines) and touched off the "major crash" area in August 2025. It's been consolidating since. This could signal a near-term bottom. However, if the next earnings aren't up to expectations, I foresee a tumble into the $180s. At a current P/E of 20x, a tumble that low (if long-term guidance remains high vs a near-term outlook is weak) would signal another personal entry. Insider Trading December 10, 2025, a Director purchased $9.9 million at $229.57. In the last 6 months, more buying than selling. openinsider.com Growth Annual EPS is expected to rise from $12.80 in 2025 to $15.03 by 2027 (+19.53%) Revenue is expected to grown from $6.5 billion in 2025 to $7.2 billion is 2027 (+10.8%) www.tradingview.com Action While there are near-term risks of further decline into the $180's, the recent $9.9 million insider purchase (plus the technical analysis and continued growth) makes me bullish for the longer-term. Thus, at $240.25, NYSE:IT is in a personal buy-zone with further entries possible if there is a drop (but long-term outlook is bullish). Targets into 2028 $300 (+24.9%) $329 (+36.9%)
NYSE:ITLong
by WorthlessViews
ZOOMing back to $160 $ZMZoom is already a solidly profitable, mid teens P/E on forward earnings and very strong gross margins versus large SaaS and tech peers. Recent quarters have shown revenue growth reaccelerating from a low base. Management has repositioned the company as a unified communications and AI centric platform (ZOOM workplace, Phone, contact center, AI companion) broadening it's TAM beyond meetings and supporting upsell to existing enterprise customers. Zoom has a strong balance sheet and robust free cash flow, which limits downside and offers buyback optionality. #CupandHandle
NASDAQ:ZMLong
by BallaJi
Confluent Inc | CFLT | Long at $20.55 Technical Analysis Confluent's NASDAQ:CFLT stock went through a wild decline after its IPO, dropping 84.5% from its high to the recent low. It is currently in a consolidation / "share accumulation" phase (i.e. trading sideways, overall), and the price is riding just below its historical simple moving average. Often, the price will bounce along this area until momentum picks up and then it's off to the races to fill all the open price gaps above on the daily chart. Given the niche this company has in the AI market, I suspect this is the eventual direction the stock price will move. Time will tell, though, and more major downside isn't a non-possibility. Market Niche The explosive growth of AI, particularly agentic and generative models, demands real-time data streaming at scale. NASDAQ:CFLT 's Kafka platform addresses this indispensable AI infrastructure demand - accounting for an estimated 35% of market share in the platform segment as of 2025. While AWS and Azure challenge it in their ecosystems, NASDAQ:CFLT is growing and leading the space, overall. Revenue and Earnings Growth into 2028 122.2% earnings-per-share growth expected between 2025 ($0.36) and 2028 ($0.80). 53.9% revenue growth expected between 2025 ($1.15 billion) and 2028 ($1.77 billion). www.tradingview.com Health Debt-to-Equity: 1x (good) Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 2.6 (very low risk, but over 3 is best) Insiders Warning: A LOT of selling and no buying. openinsider.com Action The projected growth of NASDAQ:CFLT as the world moves toward agentic AI makes sense. I think the drop in price after the IPO was calculated and there may be a lot of room to run in the next 1-3 years. Insiders selling and the competitive landscape are red flags, but from the technical analysis to the fundamentals, this looks like a promising growth stock. Thus, at $20.55, NASDAQ:CFLT is in a personal buy zone. Targets into 2028 $28.00 (+36.3%) $41.75 (+103.2%)
NASDAQ:CFLTLong
by WorthlessViews
Tesla preparing for all time highs?NASDAQ:TSLA Price is ranging below all all-time high, well above the weekly pivot and 200EMA, which is bullish. Wave © of C appears to be underway into price discovery with a target of $730, the R2 weekly pivot. This is because it has been printing a series of 3 wave structures. Wave B printed a triangle, which is a pattern found before a terminal move, reinforcing the Elliot wave count. 🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $730 based on Fibonaci extensions 📈 Weekly RSI is just below overbought so has room to grow 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below wave (B), $280 Safe trading
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Maddox_Metrics
ETH - Bulls Waiting at the Intersection Zone!📈ETH remains overall bullish, moving steadily inside its rising channel. Every dip toward the lower bound has acted as a clean continuation point for the next push upward. 🏹As price pulls back , we will be looking for long setups once ETH retests the intersection of the lower trendline and the demand zone. This confluence area has been respected multiple times, making it a high-probability level for trend-following entries. ⚔️As long as ETH holds above this orange zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and the next impulse toward the upper channel boundary becomes the most likely scenario. Only a break below the demand zone would weaken the bullish outlook. Now we wait for the retest… then let the structure guide the entries. 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
25
NQ on Major Support Target 36,490Nasdaq 100 index is on major support since September. This is the area you want to buy and as it goes up take some profits if you want for a potential check back into support around early 2027 (green path). There's the alternative scenario (orange path) that we just trend right up to 36,490 resistance and then have a major pullback to the long term trend. This one is less likely, but possible. Either way if you sell some of your position (like shorter term options) in the middle of the range you're likely to be in a better position than holding the entire time as eventually that lower trend should get hit and that's a lot of time decay to ruin your positions. Good luck!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by bwy
T for TAO… Let’s Keep It Simple!📦 TAO is currently trading inside a wide range , hovering above a major support zone that has held the price multiple times throughout the year. As long as this blue support area continues to hold, we will be looking for longs and expecting buyers to step in. 📈For the bulls to fully take over , TAO needs to break and hold above the orange structure zone, which has been acting as a strong barrier for months. A clean breakout above it would open the way toward the red resistance zone and potentially higher. Until then, this remains a simple range: Support for buys… resistance for sells… and structure for confirmation. 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr.
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
TMUS – Trendline Break & Bounce From Support Zone🔍 Quick Summary I’m seeing T‑Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) break a long-term descending trendline and bounce off a key support region. The chart suggests a breakout scenario where I expect price to push toward the strong high near $260 (≈ +20% upside). ⸻ 📊 Deep Analysis • On the 4-hour timeframe, TMUS formed a clear down-sloping trendline that has held resistance on multiple touches (three orange circles). Each successive rejection appears weaker, indicating bearish momentum is fading. • The price recently broke above the trendline and found support again in the green zone around $214-$216, which aligns with past structure (a strong demand region). • The big projected move (~$44 to $260) corresponds to previous swing highs and structural liquidity. That aligns with typical “liquidity above weak high” mechanics. • From a fundamental angle: T-Mobile has delivered strong results — in Q4 it beat earnings and subscriber growth expectations and raised guidance for 2025, which supports a bullish bias.  Also, it launched a new fibre service with a 5-year price lock and is expanding its satellite messaging offering, which strengthens future growth potential.  • Since the chart shows a low risk (stop-loss) around the support zone and big reward potential toward the strong high, this setup meets favourable risk-reward criteria. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Idea Scenario Bullish Scenario • Entry: Around ~$214–$216 support zone (preferably on confirmation of trendline retest or bullish price action) • Target 1: ~$245–$250 (intermediate structure) • Target 2: ~$260 (strong high liquidity zone) • Stop-Loss / Invalidation: Below ~$202-$200 (if price breaks below support, setup invalidated) Bearish Scenario • If price fails to hold support and closes below ~$202-$200, risk opens toward ~$180 or lower support regions. In that case, bearish momentum resumes and the upside target no longer valid. ⸻ 📌 What I’m Watching Next • Candlestick reaction around the trendline retest: a strong bullish close would validate breakout. • Volume: higher volume on breakout confirms strength; low volume may signal a fake. • Support break below ~$202-$200 would cancel the bullish case and shift focus to downside. • Fundamentals: any new update on fibre rollout, satellite service, or earnings could trigger acceleration. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage your risk carefully. 📉📚
NASDAQ:TMUSLong
by KhaleelSuliman
Insight Enterprises | NSIT | Long at $92.10Insight Enterprises NASDAQ:NSIT Technical Analysis Price entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. Often, but not always, this is an area of algorithmic share accumulation and price reversal. A red flag, however, is that there are still open price gaps on the daily chart down to $50. A green flag is that there are open price gaps up to $215. While the price gaps below will likely get filled in the future, I am betting on a short-term reversal (if not longer-term one) given the prospective growth and its current P/E of 20x (electronic industry currently near 30x). Insight AI Stock enters the "crash" zone, and suddenly there is an generative AI announcement to drive revenue and EPS growth: www.businesswire.com . Intentional drive down of stock price for entry? Time will tell. Revenue and Earnings-per-Share Growth into 2028 Revenue: $8.32 billion in 2025 to $9.88 billion in 2028 (+10.8%) EPS: $9.64 in 2025 to $12.38 in 2028 (+28.4%) Health Debt-to-Equity: 0.9x (pretty good) Quick Ratio / ability to pay current bills: 1.3 (1.5-3.0 is ideal, but still pretty good) Alman's Z Score / risk of bankruptcy: 1.8 (3+ is ideal, so moderate risk) EBIDTA: 5% to 7% range, which is generally considered healthy Action Given the "value", AI integration, technical analysis assessment, and growth, NASDAQ:NSIT is in a personal buy zone at $92.10. Caution if the stock dead-cat bounces and aims to drop further into the $50s, but I suspect fundamentals will have to dramatically change in the near-term for that to happen (or the economy crashes)... Conservative Targets into 2028 $105.00 (+14.0%) $117.00 (+27.0%)
NASDAQ:NSITLong
by WorthlessViews
1
S&P 500 INDEX Tech-heavy index bias acknowledged# 📊 US500 (S&P 500 INDEX) COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🎯 ## Week of November 10-14, 2025 | Intraday & Swing Trade Mastery Current Price: 6,742.5 Points | Entry Point: November 8, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 📈 ## 🔍 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - MULTI-TIMEFRAME PERSPECTIVE The S&P 500 (US500) is positioned at a critical technical inflection point with exceptional multi-timeframe alignment signaling imminent directional breakout. Elliott Wave analysis reveals completion of corrective cycles, positioning for next impulse leg targeting 6,900-7,100 extension zone with powerful momentum. Bollinger Bands display classic compression squeeze pattern —volatility compression preceding directional expansion. RSI across all timeframes maintains optimal neutral-bullish bias (54-68 range)—perfect momentum positioning without extreme overbought conditions. Volume clustering at 6,680-6,800 represents significant institutional accumulation foundation. Wyckoff spring tests near 6,600-6,650 provide aggressive entry triggers for brave traders. Harmonic pattern convergence at 6,850-6,950 resistance signals breakout confirmation with measured move targets extending to 7,050+. Mega-cap tech concentration supports rally continuation probability. ## 📊 TIMEFRAME-BY-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS ### 5-MINUTE (Scalping Precision) ⚡ Candlestick Formation: Japanese candles reveal micro-consolidation with breakout attempts across support zones. Evening Star rejection formations detected at 6,850-6,900 intraday resistance creating potential short triggers. Elliott Wave 5M: Sub-wave completion indicates Wave 4 micro-consolidation finalizing. Wave 5 breakout anticipated above 6,780-6,820 with targets 6,920-7,000 (measured move). Bollinger Bands: Upper compression mode—middle band at 6,740 acts as pivot point. Lower band rejection (6,650-6,680) creates scalp-long setups with excellent risk/reward ratios. RSI (14) Analysis: RSI oscillating 46-64 range—neutral territory with minor divergences forming. Bullish divergence at 6,680 support signals buyer engagement; caution on 70+ resistance approach. Micro Support/Resistance: 6,650 (micro-support) | 6,720 (POC cluster) | 6,800 (pivot) | 6,880 (intraday resistance) | 6,950 (scalp target) Volume Signature: Volume concentrated 6,720-6,800 zone—institutional marker established. Breakout volume >55% above average required above 6,880 for sustained move above 6,950. VWAP Alignment: Price oscillating around session VWAP at 6,735—each touch generates scalp opportunity. Upper VWAP band at 6,920; lower support at 6,650. ### 15-MINUTE (Quick Swing Gateway) 🎢 Candlestick Patterns: Engulfing bars forming at support zones—bullish engulfing at 6,680 zone confirms reversal attempts. Three-candle patterns (flag continuation) with 60-100 point breakout potential. Harmonic Pattern Recognition: Gartley Pattern potential completion near 6,680-6,750 PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). Exceptional risk-reward at 1:3.8 for harmonic traders. Butterfly variant also forming clearly. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase: Classic accumulation evident—small barometer move (SBM) nearing completion. Spring test anticipated 6,580-6,620 zone; markup phase targets 6,950-7,100. Bollinger Bands (15M): Band squeeze intensifying—historical volatility expansion suggests 80-150 point moves follow. Upper band resistance at 6,920; lower band support at 6,580. Volume Profile (15M): Point of Control (POC) at 6,740—prime concentration zone confirmed. Volume surge >65% required confirming breakout above 6,880. Imbalances favor upside significantly. Ichimoku Cloud (15M): Price consolidating below cloud edge—Tenkan-sen at 6,900 = resistance pivot. Kijun-sen (6,820) = critical secondary support. Cloud support 6,650-6,750. EMA Structure: EMA 9 (6,780) above EMA 21 (6,720)—bullish alignment confirmed perfectly. Price above both = intraday strength maintained. ### 30-MINUTE (Intraday Swing Axis) 🔄 Pattern Formation: Symmetrical Triangle pattern consolidating with apex near 6,900. Ascending triangle variant shows bullish bias—breakout above 6,850 targets 6,980-7,100 extension. Dow Theory Application: Confirming higher highs/higher lows structure perfectly. Secondary trend bullish; pullbacks to EMA 20 (6,770) = optimal swing entry zones. RSI Divergence Setup: Positive RSI divergence confirmed—price making lower lows (6,650) while RSI forms higher lows (40 level). Classic reversal setup targeting 6,900 minimum. Exponential Moving Average: EMA 9 (6,800) = core support pivot. EMA 21 (6,740) = secondary support reliable. EMA 50 (6,600) = structural hold level. Bullish ribbon alignment intact. Support Architecture: 6,600 (EMA 50/structural) | 6,680 (demand zone) | 6,740 (volume cluster) | 6,800 (EMA 9 dynamic) Resistance Architecture: 6,850 (triangle formation) | 6,920 (measured move target) | 7,000 (weekly resistance) | 7,100 (extension) Volume Analysis (30M): Increasing volume on recent bars—accumulation signature strong. Buy volume exceeding sell volume confirms institutional interest significantly. ### 1-HOUR (Core Swing Trade Engine) 🎯 Elliott Wave Structure: Major wave analysis suggests Wave 3 completion near 7,000. Current Wave 4 correction targets 6,750-6,850 support zone. Wave 5 impulse anticipated—target: 7,100-7,250. Pennant Formation: Classic Bullish Pennant pattern forming—breakout confirmation above 6,880 validates pattern. Pole height measured move = 7,150+ target. Bollinger Bands (1H): Upper band at 7,000 = squeeze breakout target zone. Middle band (6,900) = bullish support zone. Lower band rejection (6,600) creates swing longs with excellent R/R. VWAP Daily: S&P trading above daily VWAP at 6,720—bullish gradient confirmed clearly. Each hourly candle close above VWAP strengthens continuation probability. Volume Profile Hotspot: Heavily traded at 6,720-6,800 (accumulation zone) and 6,880-6,950 (resistance cluster). Imbalances above 7,000 suggest vacuum-fill potential to 7,150+. Ichimoku Cloud Alignment: Price above Senkou Span A (6,880) & Span B (6,820)—cloud thickness indicates strong support. Chikou Span above candles = bullish confirmation. Cloud color: BULLISH GREEN. Gann Theory Application: 45-degree angle from swing low (6,500) establishes rally trajectory perfectly. Resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci extension (6,920) precedes aggressive breakout phase. Support Tiers 1H: 6,600 (structural hold) | 6,700 (EMA support) | 6,750 (Kijun-sen) | 6,800 (accumulation zone) Resistance Tiers 1H: 6,880 (breakout trigger) | 6,950 (extension) | 7,000 (major level) | 7,100 (impulse target) ### 4-HOUR (Swing Trade Thesis Foundation) 💼 Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern: Potential IH&S formation completing—left shoulder (6,550), head (6,480), right shoulder completing (6,600-6,680). Neckline breakout at 6,880 targets 7,050-7,200 extension. Wyckoff Accumulation Deep Dive: Institutional buying signature evident—SBM (small barometer move) completion imminent. Spring test to 6,600-6,650 anticipated; subsequent markup phase targets 7,100-7,250. RSI 4H Analysis: RSI at 58-70 range—bullish bias maintained firmly. Room for upside extension without extreme overbought. RSI above 76 targets 7,150+; below 32 = defensive posture required. Cup & Handle Formation: Potential bullish Cup pattern visible on 4H—handle stabilization near 6,780-6,850. Breakout above handle (6,920) targets cup depth extension = 7,100-7,200. EMA Ribbon Structure: EMA 8 (6,820), EMA 13 (6,800), EMA 21 (6,740), EMA 50 (6,600), EMA 200 (6,100)—BULLISH ALIGNMENT PERFECT. Compression/expansion cycles identify momentum phases. Support Tiers 4H: 6,580 (structural support) | 6,650 (accumulation) | 6,740 (pivot) | 6,800 (demand cluster) Resistance Tiers 4H: 6,880 (key breakout) | 6,950 (extension) | 7,000 (major target) | 7,150 (weekly projection) Volume Signature 4H: Accumulation volume bars > distribution bars—bullish bias maintained. Volume nodes clustering at 6,720-6,800 indicate strong institutional support zone. ### DAILY CHART (Macro Swing Thesis) 📅 Elliott Wave Macro: We're potentially in Wave 3 of larger cycle—aggressive expansion still possible. Wave structure supports break of 7,000 targeting 7,200-7,400 daily close objectives. Double Bottom Recognition: Historical Double Bottom pattern near 6,350-6,500 support—confirmed breakthrough above 6,880 neckline triggered. Second target near 7,100-7,200. Bollinger Bands Daily: Upper band at 7,200 = realistic daily target zone. Mean (6,950) = healthy pullback support reliable. Band slope indicates volatility expansion—expect 200-400 point daily ranges. Volume Profile Daily: Strong buying volume bar at 6,600-6,750 zone—institutional accumulation marker established. Selling volume decreasing—demand controls trend absolutely. Ichimoku Cloud Daily: Cloud thickness growing—bullish trend strengthening substantially. Cloud support around 6,750-6,850 zone. Kumo breakout anticipated—targets cloud top at 6,950-7,050. Harmonic Analysis Deep: Butterfly Pattern potential completion—PRZ at 6,880-6,950 suggests reversal zone OR breakout confirmation. Confluence amplifies probability of extension. Gann Angles & Fibonacci: 50% retracement (6,650) + 61.8% extension (7,050) = key reversal zones. Gann fan angles suggest 6,950-7,100 as structural resistance before continuation. Key Daily Support: 6,480 (psychological/structural) | 6,600 (accumulation zone) | 6,700 (demand level) | 6,800 (midpoint) Key Daily Resistance: 6,880 (breakout trigger) | 6,950 (extension) | 7,050 (measured move) | 7,200 (weekly target) Trend Confirmation: Higher highs & higher lows maintained—uptrend intact. Daily close above 7,000 = strong continuation signal targeting 7,300+ next level. ## 🎪 TRADING SETUP PLAYBOOK - NOV 10-14 ### BULLISH SCENARIO (Probability: 82%) ✅ Trigger: 4H candle close above 6,920 + volume surge (>60% above average) + RSI above 66 Entry Zone: 6,820-6,880 (with breakout confirmation signal) Target 1: 6,950 (TP1) | Target 2: 7,000 (TP2) | Target 3: 7,100 (TP3) | Target 4: 7,200 (TP4) Stop Loss: 6,700 (below EMA/structural support) Risk/Reward: 1:3.6 (exceptional asymmetric setup) Trade Duration: 18-72 hours (prime swing window) ### BEARISH SCENARIO (Probability: 18%) ⚠️ Trigger: Daily close below 6,800 + volume increase + RSI divergence failure Entry Zone: 6,920-7,050 (short setup) Target 1: 6,880 (TP1) | Target 2: 6,800 (TP2) | Target 3: 6,700 (TP3) Stop Loss: 7,150 (above resistance) Risk/Reward: 1:1.5 (acceptable but lower probability) Trade Duration: Watch for trend reversal confirmation first ## ⚠️ VOLATILITY & OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD CONDITIONS Current Volatility Status: Moderate compression → Expect significant expansion imminent 5M/15M RSI: 46-64 range (neutral)—room for 30-60 point movements | Scalp target zones 30M/1H RSI: 54-70 range (bullish bias, optimal zone)—sweet spot for swing entries 4H RSI: 58-72 range—approaching caution zone but room to extend | Safe for core swings Daily RSI: 62-76 range (approaching extremes)—be defensive if daily RSI>78 | Take profits aggressively Overbought Recognition Points: RSI daily >77 combined with upper Bollinger Band rejection = immediate profit-taking Ichimoku cloud top penetration fails (bearish candle rejection) = trend exhaustion signal Volume declining on breakout attempt = false breakout warning signal Harmonic pattern PRZ exact hit without follow-through = reversal likely imminent Oversold Bounce Setups: RSI 1H <32 on support touch = high-probability bounce back to 6,880-6,950 Price below EMA 50 (6,600) + RSI <28 = aggressive accumulation zone Spring test below 6,650 with volume surge = Wyckoff spring reversal trigger Harmonic pattern PRZ support bounce = measured move extension targets activated ## 🎯 ENTRY & EXIT OPTIMIZATION STRATEGY ### OPTIMAL ENTRY TIMING For Scalpers (5M): RSI bounce from 42-50 zone after Band lower touch = 20-35 point scalp (1-3 min holds) For Quick Swings (15M-30M): 15M candle close above 6,880 with 4H alignment = 100-150 point swing (30 min-2 hour holds) For Core Swings (1H-4H): 4H pennant breakout above 6,920 on volume = 300-450+ point target (hold 12-48 hours) For Position Swings (Daily): Daily close above 7,000 = continuation play targeting 7,200-7,350 (hold 5-7 days) Best Entry Windows: US pre-market (12:30 ET), Market open (14:30 ET), London close (16:00 ET) ### EXIT STRATEGIES & PROFIT TAKING Take Profit Levels: TP1: Fibonacci 38.2% (6,920) | TP2: Harmonic PRZ (7,000) | TP3: Daily Band upper (7,100) | TP4: Weekly target (7,200) Stop Loss Placement: Always below most recent swing low + 25 points (strict risk management priority) Trailing Stops: Activate at TP2—trail with 45-55 point buffer for 4H+ trades (lock in profits) Breakeven Exit: Move stops to entry after 1:1 risk/reward achieved—eliminate emotional trading Partial Profit Strategy: Close 25% at TP1 | 25% at TP2 | 25% at TP3 | Let 25% run to TP4 (maximize winners) ## 🔔 REVERSAL & BREAKOUT RECOGNITION CHECKLIST ### REVERSAL SIGNALS TO MONITOR: RSI positive divergence (lower price lows, higher RSI lows) = bullish reversal setup high probability Candlestick engulfing patterns at support/resistance zones = trend reversal confirmation strong signal Volume profile breakdowns (declining volume on breakout attempts) = false move warning immediate Ichimoku Cloud rejection (price fails to penetrate cloud layer) = structural resistance confirmed Harmonic pattern completion at exact PRZ = reversal zone probability increases significantly Elliott Wave 5th wave failure (truncation) = impulse completion = reversal imminent trigger Gann angle break through significant angle = trend line break = reversal trigger activated ### BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION RULES: Close beyond resistance with >60% volume surge above average = confirmed breakout signal strong RSI crosses above 62 for bullish breakout, below 42 for bearish breakout confirmation VWAP alignment with directional move = institutional participation confirmation strong Bollinger Band breakout with band expansion (squeeze release) = volatility expansion confirmed immediate Multiple timeframe confluence (5M + 15M + 1H + 4H aligned) = highest probability setup attainable Ichimoku Cloud break (price clears all clouds with bullish candles) = strong continuation signal Volume imbalance (ask volume > bid volume) = directional sustain likelihood increases significantly ## 💡 WEEK FORECAST SUMMARY - NOV 10-14 Monday (10th): 🌍 Consolidation continuation near 6,750-6,850 zone. Range-bound trading anticipated. Early breakout direction watch crucial. Entry setups favor reversal plays at support zones. Tuesday-Wednesday (11-12th): 📈 Prime breakout window opens —6,920 represents key decision point. Expect 250-400 point daily volatility swings. Breakout confirmation targets 7,000-7,100 extension. This is the optimal swing trade window all week. Thursday (13th): ⚠️ Potential profit-taking pullback after breakout (if triggered). Support retest of 6,950-6,880. Buying opportunity if pullback holds above 6,800. Friday (14th): 📊 Weekly close pattern formation critical. Extension run anticipated if above 7,000. If above 7,050 = week target 7,200-7,300 achieved. End-of-week positioning for next week. ## 📍 CRITICAL CONFLUENCE ZONES - KEY TARGETS 6,580-6,650: Major support zone (accumulation marker, Wyckoff spring area, structural hold) 6,700-6,800: Secondary support (EMA 9, demand cluster, psychological level, volume POC) 6,820-6,880: Micro-resistance cluster (consolidation squeeze zone, early breakout resistance) 6,920-7,000: KEY BREAKOUT ZONE (triangle apex, harmonic confluence, all timeframe resistance) 7,000-7,100: Primary upside target (Elliott Wave 5, daily Band upper, measured move extension) 7,100-7,200: Secondary extension target (Gann level, macro resistance, wave projection) 7,200-7,350: Weekly/monthly target (if wave 5 impulse extends beyond base projections) ## 🏆 RISK MANAGEMENT RULEBOOK ✅ 1) Position Sizing: Never risk >2% of account equity per single trade ✅ 2) Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2.5 R/R on every entry—1:3+ preferred for swing trades ✅ 3) Profit Scaling: Close 25-50% at 1:1 ratio, let remainder run to 1:2+ targets ✅ 4) Stop Loss Discipline: Place stop IMMEDIATELY on entry—no exceptions (25-30 points tight) ✅ 5) Breakout Confirmation: Avoid FOMO—wait for candle close confirmation + volume surge always ✅ 6) Daily Support Respect: Psychological holds (round numbers 6,800 | 7,000) matter—trade confluence not against ✅ 7) Time Management: Exit losing trades quickly (max 1:0.5 acceptable for educational losses) ✅ 8) Macro Alignment: Always check daily/4H bias before taking 1H or lower trades ## #US500 #SP500 #SANDP500 #SP500TRADING #TECHNICALANALYSIS #ELLIOTTWAVE #HARMONICPATTERN #BREAKOUTTRADING #SWINGTRADER #DAYTRADING #INTRADAY #INDICES #TRADINGVIEW #BOLLINGER BANDS #RSI #ICHIMOKU #VWAP #TRADINGSTRATEGY #WYCKOFFMETHOD #GANNTHEORY #DOWTHEORY #TECHNICALS #ANALYSIS #SUPPORTANDRESISTANCE #VOLUMEANALYSIS #OVERBOUGHT #OVERSOLD #REVERSAL #STOCKINDEXTRADING #USINDEXTRADING #BREAKOUTSETUP #TRADERSOFTWITTER #TECHNICALTRADER #CANDLESTICK #PATTERRECOGNITION #CHARTANALYSIS #DAYTRADER ## 🎁 BONUS: DAILY PRE-MARKET CHECKLIST Use this every morning before US market open: ☑️ Check daily RSI (should be 62-74 for bullish bias continuation) ☑️ Identify support/resistance zones (6,700 | 6,800 | 6,920 | 7,050) ☑️ Verify 4H chart alignment (pennant/IH&S pattern status update) ☑️ Check Ichimoku cloud position (above/below = trend confirmation signal) ☑️ Review 1H Elliott Wave count (which wave are we trading exactly?) ☑️ Scan volume profile (POC = likely rejection zone area) ☑️ Set entry orders + stop losses BEFORE pre-market opens (12:30 ET) ☑️ Plan 3 Take Profit levels before entering any position ☑️ Monitor US economic calendar (Fed speakers, CPI data, jobs report) ## 🌐 US MARKET SESSION NOTES The S&P 500 trades during US market hours (14:30-21:00 CET / 8:30-15:00 ET) . Highest volatility typically occurs: Pre-Market (12:30-14:30 CET): Initial momentum setup—watch for direction confirmation patterns Market Open (14:30-16:00 CET): Prime trading hours —best liquidity + volatility combination guaranteed Tech-Heavy Bias: Mega-cap tech (FAANG+) drives 30%+ of index—monitor tech sentiment separately 💡 Disclaimer: This technical analysis is educational only. Always conduct your own due diligence and implement appropriate risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly within your risk tolerance. Use stop losses on every position. Not financial advice. Analysis Created: November 8, 2025 | Valid Through: November 14, 2025 | Updated Daily at Pre-Market
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by sunya
$GOOG | Alphabet Google | The Everything Tech CompanyAlphabet NASDAQ:GOOG is the everything tech company. Do your future self a favor and get some. Yes, it will crater as soon as you buy it. Your short-term future self will cry and whine and throw a fit and try to panic sell. But your far future self will appreciate it. Robots? Had backflipping robots years ago Internet? Been scraping that for decades. AI? We summoned the great prompter into existence. Nvidia GPUs? Pshhh... We've got TPUs bruv Gold teeth? Check. Performance enhancing drugs? Check the squats broh You winning son? Close the door dad. I'm busy buying NASDAQ:GOOG We buyin dips. We buyin corrections. We buyin crashes. Check the target for our first add level.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by MonsterStockPicks
1
Bitcoin Cycle Analysis Entering Cycle C with Target Toward $144KBitcoin’s long-term market structure continues to evolve in well-defined phases, as visible through Cycle A, Cycle B, and the current Cycle C formation. Each previous cycle has followed a similar pattern: accumulation, expansion, correction, and new leg upward — and Cycle C appears to be following this same rhythm. Here’s what the structure shows: Cycle A: Represented the deep accumulation zone and base formation, bottoming near $39K–$75K. Cycle B: Brought a strong recovery and expansion phase, establishing a stable mid-level support around $110K. Cycle C (Current): Price is consolidating around the $110K area, likely preparing for the next expansion wave. If Bitcoin maintains this cyclical rhythm, the next major target lies near $144K, aligning with the top boundary of Cycle C. This zone represents the next major resistance level and potential completion point of the current macro cycle. Key observations: Holding above $109K keeps Cycle C active and healthy. Increasing volume during the next upward move could confirm a breakout continuation. A successful push beyond $120K would strengthen momentum toward the $144K region.
Long
by SatochiTrader
Getty Images | GETY | Long at $2.29Bull Thesis Data is "knowledge" for AI. Getty Images NYSE:GETY holds immense importance in the generative AI race due to its control over a vast, high-quality library of over 500 million licensed images and metadata. By licensing content (e.g., via deals with Nvidia), NYSE:GETY monetizes its assets, promotes responsible AI, and challenges open-source models. Standardized license deals will boost AI's commercial viability and prevent a "wild west" of IP theft, ultimately accelerating safe deployment in industries like advertising and media. The merger with Shutterstock will only help NYSE:GETY be the ultimate leader in this licensed data space. Bear Thesis The "wild west" of IP theft continues for years and the company's debt / poor fundamentals build until and ultimate collapse or acquisition. Action The bull thesis makes the most sense given the amount of data NYSE:GETY has and the future of data licensing deals. Now, I would love the price to go lower to accumulate more shares (under $2 is not out of the question in the near-term). But, at $2.29, NYSE:GETY is in a personal buy zone, and a starter position was made. More shares will be gathered in the $1 range if the earnings and revenue growth projections continue to look promising beyond 2025: www.tradingview.com Targets into 2028: $3.07 (+34.1%) $5.00 (+118.3%)
NYSE:GETYLong
by WorthlessViews
4
Nasdaq Computer sector & Nasdaq nearing pullback areaNasdaq Computer (IXCO) Is nearing pullback territory (23,717 resistance). IXCO being the largest sector in Nasdaq (IXIC) means the composite index, now that it's over previous resistance, is also looking for a pullback into support (20,160). It's possible IXCO will break resistance next year and if that happens whatever gains are made will be lost on an eventual drop back into support. If you have call options on NVDA or other tech companies closing them when IXCO hits 23,717 is highly advisable. If it hits there around this January it could be 2 years before IXCO resumes the uptrend past 23,717. Calls will likely get destroyed during this time. Another note is lots of tech IPOs are occurring this year with lofty valuations. When this IXCO pullback comes they are likely to get hit hard. It's a great opportunity to short or wait to buy up the ones you like when the pullback is over. As always good luck and try your best to avoid getting into new tech related trades as this year ends. It's going to be a great idea to have cash ready next year.
NASDAQ:IXCOShort
by bwy