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Smart Money Is Executing the Next PhaseGOLD MARKET ANALYSIS (XAUUSD) — DAILY UPDATE 📌 Market Context Gold continues to follow a Wyckoff schematic, transitioning from Phase B into Phase C/D. The breakout from the prolonged range confirms active participation from large players, not retail-driven noise. 🔎 Structure & Technicals Price holds above key moving averages, keeping the primary uptrend intact. Current advance represents a markup leg, followed by a healthy technical pullback. Momentum indicators remain elevated → volatility is expected, but no reversal signals are present. 📈 Today’s Scenarios Primary Scenario: Mild correction → re-accumulation above new support → continuation toward higher targets. Alternative Scenario: Deeper pullback = liquidity test (Spring / Shakeout) before the next leg higher. Daily Bias: BUY with structure. Avoid FOMO. 🎯 Strategic Insight This move is driven by smart money positioning, not emotional buying. Patience and phase recognition remain the edge. TODAY’S LIMITED STRATEGY — DEC 22 Intraday Focus: Re-Accumulation 📌 Setup 1 — Timing Sell Zone Sell Zone: 4418 – 4421 TP: 4415 – 4410 SL: 4425 📌 Setup 2 — Timing Buy Zone Buy Zone: 4332 – 4335 TP: 4338 – 4343 SL: 4328 ⚠️ Strict risk management required. Protect capital first. Bottom Line: The trend is bullish. The edge is patience not speed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
New Highs, No Sell-Off — Smart Money In?Based on the current news backdrop combined with the price structure on the chart , I continue to hold the view that XAUUSD is in a clear and healthy uptrend — not a temporary or emotional spike. Gold setting a new all-time high around 4,400 shows that the market is strongly pricing in the likelihood of further Fed easing and future rate cuts . More importantly, after making new highs, price did not experience aggressive selling , but instead managed to hold at elevated levels — a clear sign that large capital flows are staying in the market, rather than this being a short-lived FOMO-driven move. Looking at the chart, gold is moving cleanly along its ascending trendline , with consistent support from the Ichimoku system and dynamic support zones below. The recent pullbacks have been purely technical, allowing the market to “catch its breath” and absorb supply, without breaking the overall structure. This is a market that is moving strong — not overheating. For me, the 4,380 zone remains a key support level. As long as price holds above this area, the bullish trend remains fully intact. In the short term, my preferred scenario is light consolidation at high levels, followed by a continued push to retest the 4,450 area. In summary, I continue to favor BUY setups on pullbacks — not chasing price at the highs and never trading against the trend. When both fundamentals and technicals align, the most important skill is patience and discipline to stay with the trend, rather than trying to pick a top in a market that is clearly strong.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
35
BTC 80% Chance of Another Low, BUT First...On 11/22/25 , Bitcoin experienced a relatively rare event: the Daily RSI dropped below 26 . On the Coinbase COINBASE:BTCUSD chart, this has occurred only 20 times historically since December 2014. By analyzing the price action following each occurrence, we can estimate the probability of future behavior when RSI reaches these extreme levels. The results of each occurrence are summarized in the table shown on the chart. The table includes: Dates when RSI fell below 26 Whether price eventually made a lower low ( 16 out of 20 times, or 80% ) Maximum bullish move from the Daily swing low close to the highest wick before correcting (average +16% ) Time to reach that swing high (average 8 days ) Time to reach a new lower low (average 22 days ) The 16 times price eventually made lower low are marked with red or purple vertical lines . The 4 times it did not make a lower low are marked with green vertical lines . Key Observations When RSI drops below 26, it typically signals strong bearish momentum , but it is also often followed by a bullish RSI divergence as price forms a higher low in momentum. Historically, a lower low formed 80% of the time , suggesting a high probability of another downside move for BTC in the weeks ahead. At present: RSI bottomed at 22.93 on 11/22/25 BTC has already rallied ~11% from the swing low We are currently at day 21 without a new lower low All of these metrics remain well within historical norms . However, there is an interesting nuance. Of the 16 cases where a lower low eventually formed , only 4 took more than 20 days to do so . In all 4 cases (marked with purple vertical lines) , BTC tested the Weekly 12 EMA before making the next leg lower (with a minor exception on the11/24/19 case, where a marginal lower low formed before a strong push above the Weekly 12 EMA). The Weekly 12 EMA currently sits around $100,000 , suggesting BTC may test this level before any further meaningful correction. ACTIONALBLE SCENARIOS If this is a bear market: Passive investors: Continue dollar-cost averaging at your preferred interval. Active investors: Consider taking partial or full profits if BTC trades above $100,000 . Set calendar alerts for October 2026 and/or below $50,000 to resume heavier accumulation when BTC may bottom this bear cycle. Swing traders: Consider Long setups below $86,800 with a stop-loss at $83,500, targeting the Weekly 12 EMA (~$100,000) , with an extended target around $101,000 . If this is still a bull market: Price will likely make a lower low to below $80,000 before a bullish move. Passive investors: Continue dollar-cost averaging. Active investors / swing traders: Continue accumulating below $86,800 , with heavier accumulation around $78,370 . Hope this study helps add context to current price action. Trade safe everyone, PEACE.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by yinyangwutang
1
Ethereum at a Critical Juncture – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Ethereum (ETHUSD) has seen significant price action over the past few weeks, forming key structural levels on the chart. After another rejection at the $3300–$3400 resistance zone, ETH may have carved out a lower high. Price then pulled back to the $2600–$2800 support zone, where it’s now attempting to build a higher low. 🟠 The corrective downtrend that began after the August peak remains intact, but recent price behavior could hint at early bullish recovery—if bulls can hold support and push higher. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $2600–$2800 Resistance: $3300–$3400 Breakout Target: $3800–$3900 Breakdown Risk: $2100–$2200 At this point, ETH is trading in a neutral range. A confirmed breakout above $3400 could open up room for a bullish continuation toward the $3800s. Conversely, a break below $2600 could lead to deeper losses toward the low $2100s. #Ethereum #ETHUSD #Crypto #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Richtv_official
EURJPY M30 – Strong Bullish Impulse Into Reversal Zone📊 EURJPY – M30 Strong Impulse Move into Premium Reversal Zone 🔍 Technical Analysis EURJPY on the 30-minute timeframe is showing a powerful bullish impulse, driven by strong momentum and aggressive buying pressure. Price has expanded sharply from the lower consolidation area, leaving behind minimal retracement, which often signals institutional participation and urgency in order flow. 📈 Impulsive Move & Momentum Analysis The chart shows a clean bullish expansion, characterized by large-bodied candles and shallow pullbacks. This type of movement typically represents a liquidity-driven breakout, where sellers are forced to exit and buyers chase higher prices. Momentum remains bullish, but price is now entering a premium zone, where risk-to-reward for new longs becomes unfavorable. 🟥 Premium Reversal Zone (Upper Area) The marked Reversal Zone represents a key supply and reaction area. This zone aligns with: Prior high-liquidity levels Potential institutional sell interest Overextended price conditions after an impulsive leg The highlighted circle emphasizes the decision point, where market intent will become clear. ⚠️ “Pattern Must” – Confirmation Is Key This is not a blind sell zone. A clear bearish pattern must form, such as: Strong rejection wicks Bearish engulfing candles Lower high / micro structure shift Without confirmation, price may continue consolidating or push slightly higher to sweep liquidity before reacting. 🔄 Possible Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Bearish Reaction (Pullback / Correction): If sellers defend the reversal zone, a corrective move lower is likely. This would be a healthy retracement within a larger bullish context. Scenario 2 – Continuation Higher: A strong close above the reversal zone with volume would indicate acceptance at higher prices. In this case, the bearish idea is invalidated, and price may target higher liquidity levels. 🧠 Trading Insight Strong trends often end or pause at premium zones, not in the middle of expansion. Let the market show rejection before committing to a trade. Structure + reaction + volume = probability. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: Premium Reversal Zone Support: Internal pullback levels from the impulsive move Bias : Bullish momentum, cautious bearish reaction only with confirmation 💬 Trade confirmation, not emotion. Patience protects capital.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP – Bearish Momentum Approaching Reversal Zone📊 EURGBP – H1 Market Structure, Supply Breakdown & Volume-Based Reversal Setup 🔍 Technical Analysis EURGBP on the 1-hour timeframe is currently trading in a clear bearish environment. The pair has transitioned from consolidation into a strong impulsive sell-off, signaling increasing dominance from sellers. The chart highlights a key breakdown from supply, followed by aggressive momentum toward a high-interest demand area. 📉 Market Structure & Momentum Price respected a descending structure, forming lower highs and lower lows. A previous internal consolidation range failed to hold, confirming bearish continuation. The sharp bearish candles reflect strong order flow imbalance, suggesting institutional participation rather than retail-driven movement. 🟥 Broken Supply (BR Supply) The marked BR Supply level acted as a strong resistance in the past. Once price broke below this level, it confirmed a market structure break (MSB). After the breakdown, price used this area as a distribution zone, accelerating further downside. This validates the level as a key decision point in the trend. 🟩 Demand Zone with Volume Burst (Lower Area) The lower green zone represents a high-probability demand and volume burst area. Historically, this zone shows strong buying reactions, indicating accumulation. The presence of a Volume Burst suggests liquidity absorption and potential exhaustion of sellers. This is a zone where reversal or corrective pullback becomes technically valid. 🔄 Reversal Zone & Pattern Expectation The highlighted Reversal Zone is not a blind entry area. A clear bullish pattern must form (e.g., strong rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, or shift in structure). Without confirmation, price may continue lower due to prevailing bearish pressure. The annotation “Pattern Must” emphasizes confirmation over anticipation. 🧠 Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Bullish Reaction (Corrective Move): If buyers step in with volume confirmation, price may react upward toward broken structure. This move would likely be a pullback within a broader bearish trend, not an immediate trend reversal. Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation: Failure to hold the demand zone could lead to continued downside, targeting deeper liquidity pools. Strong bearish closes below the zone invalidate reversal expectations. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: Broken Supply / Prior Structure Support: Volume Burst Demand & Reversal Zone Bias: Bearish overall, cautious bullish reaction only with confirmation 💡 Trading Insight Trend is bearish; counter-trend trades require patience and confirmation. Volume behavior at key zones gives better insight than indicators alone. Trade reaction, not prediction.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD H1 – Institutional Volume Zones & Reversal Setup📊 EURUSD – H1 Market Structure & Volume-Based Reversal Analysis 🔍 Technical Analysis EURUSD on the 1-hour timeframe shows a corrective phase after a prior bearish move. Price previously experienced aggressive selling pressure, followed by consolidation and a gradual recovery. The chart highlights key volume reaction zones that are now playing a decisive role in short-term direction. 📉 Previous Price Action The left side of the chart shows strong bearish momentum, characterized by long red candles and impulsive downside moves. This selling phase ended with capitulation-style candles, indicating exhaustion of sellers. After the sell-off, price transitioned into a range-bound structure, forming higher lows and absorbing liquidity. 🟩 Demand Zone & Volume Burst (Lower Area) The lower green zone represents a high-volume demand area. Multiple rejections from this zone confirm institutional buying interest. Volume bursts at this level indicate absorption of sell orders, often seen before a directional move. This zone acted as a base for the current bullish push, validating it as a strong short-term support. 📈 Bullish Reaction & Structural Shift Price broke above internal consolidation highs, signaling a short-term bullish structure shift. Higher highs and higher lows suggest buyers are currently in control. The bullish candles show improving momentum, but price is now approaching a critical area. 🟥 Supply / Reversal Zone (Upper Area) The upper marked zone is a potential reversal and supply area, aligned with: Previous price imbalance Prior rejection zone Expected volume expansion (Volume Burst) This area is likely to attract profit-taking and fresh sell orders. The highlighted circle marks a reaction point, where price may show: Rejection wicks Slowing momentum Bearish candle formations 🔄 Expected Scenarios Scenario 1 – Bearish Rejection (High Probability): If price shows rejection within the upper zone, a pullback toward the demand zone is likely. This would be a healthy retracement within the current structure. Scenario 2 – Bullish Continuation: A strong break and close above the reversal zone with volume would invalidate the short-term sell bias. This could open the door for trend continuation toward higher liquidity levels. 🧠 Trading Insight Avoid chasing price inside premium areas. Best opportunities come from reaction, not prediction. Watch for volume behavior and candle confirmation at the highlighted zones. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Support: Lower Volume Burst / Demand Zone Resistance: Upper Reversal & Volume Expansion Zone Bias: Neutral to bearish at resistance, bullish only on clean breakout 💬 Always wait for confirmation. Volume + structure gives clarity, not indicators alone.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
1
USDJPY Approaches Key Reversal Zone After Strong Bullish Impulse📊 USDJPY – 1H Timeframe | Detailed Market Structure & Reversal Zone Analysis This chart shows U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen (USDJPY) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a strong bullish expansion followed by price approaching a critical reversal zone, where traders should shift from chasing momentum to waiting for confirmation. 🔹 Higher-Timeframe Context & Trend USDJPY has been in a clear bullish trend, supported by strong momentum and higher highs. The move started after a period of consolidation and compression, where price formed a contracting structure (triangle / coil). This compression phase often acts like a spring, storing energy before a directional breakout. Once the structure broke, price delivered a sharp impulsive rally, confirming bullish dominance and aggressive participation from buyers. 🔹 Impulse Move & Market Strength The vertical bullish move is clean and decisive: Large bullish candles with minimal pullbacks Strong acceptance above previous highs Indicates trend acceleration, not random volatility This kind of move usually leads price toward premium zones, where smart money begins managing positions rather than initiating new buys. 🔹 Reversal Zone (Key Supply Area) The highlighted blue zone near the highs is marked as a “Reversal Zone”, which is a critical area to monitor: It aligns with a premium price area Potential supply and profit-taking zone Often attracts counter-trend traders and institutional distribution Price entering this zone does not automatically mean a sell. The chart clearly emphasizes “Need Pattern”, meaning confirmation is required before considering short positions. 🔹 Price Action Expectations Two main scenarios are possible from this zone: 1️⃣ Bearish Rejection Scenario Price forms bearish patterns (pin bar, engulfing, lower high) Momentum weakens Leads to a corrective pullback toward lower support levels 2️⃣ Bullish Continuation Scenario Price consolidates inside the zone Breaks above with strong volume Continues the uptrend after a brief pause The drawn projection reflects both possibilities, reminding traders to react, not predict. 🔹 Trading Psychology & Risk Management This is a decision-making zone, not an entry-by-emotion area: Avoid FOMO buys at highs Wait for structure or candle confirmation Trade only when the market gives clarity Professional traders focus on confirmation + location, and this chart highlights both perfectly. 🧠 Final Thoughts Overall bias: Bullish, but cautious near highs Key focus: Reversal zone reaction Best approach: Wait for price action confirmation Invalid idea: Strong bullish acceptance above the zone This setup is ideal for traders who value patience, structure, and clean price action, making it suitable for both intraday and short-term swing strategies.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSDT Break of Structure & Clean Retest – Bullish Continuation📊 Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – 1H Timeframe | Detailed Price Action & Market Structure Analysis This chart represents Bitcoin / TetherUS Perpetual (BTCUSDT) on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on market structure shift, breakout confirmation, and retest logic, which are key concepts in professional price action and smart money trading. 🔹 Overall Market Structure Bitcoin was previously moving in a choppy and corrective structure, showing mixed momentum with sharp bullish and bearish swings. This type of behavior often indicates liquidity grabs and accumulation, especially near key support levels. As price stabilized, BTC formed a higher low, signaling a potential trend shift from bearish to bullish. 🔹 Major Breakout Level The chart clearly marks a “Major Break” level, which acted as a strong resistance zone in the past. Price finally broke above this level with strong bullish candles, indicating: A break of structure (BOS) Increased buyer dominance Acceptance above a key resistance This breakout is critical because it confirms bullish intent in the market. 🔹 Retest Zone (Support Flip) After the breakout, price pulled back into the highlighted blue zone, labeled as “Retesting”. This area now acts as: Previous resistance turned support A high-probability buy-on-dip zone A zone where institutions may re-enter long positions Price respecting this zone strengthens the idea that the breakout is valid, not a fake move. 🔹 Price Action Behavior Within the retest zone, price shows: Strong bullish rejections Small-bodied candles followed by expansion Gradual upward pressure This suggests buyers are absorbing sell orders, preparing for the next impulsive move. 🔹 Bullish Projection & Targets The projected path on the chart shows: Continuation after a successful retest Higher highs forming above the recent structure Momentum aiming toward 90,800 – 91,600 and potentially higher if volume supports As long as price holds above the retest zone, the bullish bias remains intact. 🔹 Trading Psychology & Strategy Insight This setup aligns with a classic Break → Retest → Continuation model: Avoid chasing the breakout Wait for price to return to value Enter trades with better risk-to-reward Discipline and patience are key here. 🧠 Fin al Thoughts Market bias: Bullish Key confirmation: Hold above retest zone Invalidation: Strong close below the support zone Best approach: Confirmation-based buys This chart reflects clean technical structure, making it suitable for both intraday and short-term swing traders.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Continuation After Demand Zone Retest📊 Gold (XAUUSD) – 30-Minute Chart | Detailed Technical Analysis This chart shows Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe, and it highlights a very important phase of post-impulse consolidation and potential continuation. 🔹 Market Structure Overview Gold has recently shown strong bullish momentum, visible through a sequence of large bullish candles with expanding bodies. This impulsive move suggests strong institutional participation, confirmed by the volume burst marked on the chart. After this aggressive rally, price entered a corrective phase, forming a short-term pullback with smaller bearish candles. This behavior is healthy and typical after a strong push, indicating profit-taking rather than trend reversal. 🔹 Key Zone: Demand / Support Area The highlighted green zone represents a demand area, created after the strong bullish expansion. This zone is important because: It aligns with the origin of the impulsive move It shows high trading volume, signaling strong buying interest Price is expected to retest this area before continuation The chart clearly labels this phase as “Retesting”, which means price may dip into this zone to absorb liquidity and attract buyers. 🔹 Price Action & Pattern Expectations At the moment, price is hovering above the demand zone, but the idea emphasizes: Patience is required A clear bullish pattern (such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection) should form inside or near the zone Only after confirmation, buy-side opportunities become valid The note “Need Pattern And Buy Side” reinforces the importance of waiting for price action confirmation, not blindly entering trades. 🔹 Bullish Projection The upward arrow drawn on the chart represents a bullish continuation scenario: After a successful retest Followed by strong bullish confirmation Price may resume its upward trajectory toward higher resistance levels This projection aligns with the overall bullish market structure unless the demand zone is clearly broken with strong bearish volume. 🔹 Trading Psychology Insight This setup favors smart money logic: Impulse → Pullback → Retest → Continuation Traders who wait for confirmation inside high-probability zones often achieve better risk-to-reward trades and avoid emotional entries. 🧠 Final Thoughts Trend bias: Bullish Key focus: Demand zone retest Entry style: Confirmation-based buying Risk management: Essential if demand zone fails This chart represents a professional, rule-based trading idea, emphasizing patience, structure, and volume rather than aggressive chasing.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Chumtrades XAUUSD ATH Is Not a Reason to ShortMacro bias: US CPI cooled, while expectations for Fed easing in 2026 remain intact. Japanese bond yields surged, signaling capital rotation away from speculative assets and into safe havens like gold. The macro backdrop continues to support gold. Structure: Gold has broken above ATH, with the previous high around 438x now acting as support. Short-term high is forming near 4420. The uptrend remains dominant on H1 & M30. Bias: 👉 Prefer BUYs in line with the trend ❌ Avoid FOMO chasing ⚠️ SELL only for short-term scalps after lower-timeframe structure breaks BUY zones: 438x (previous ATH) 4350–4353 4336–4330 Invalidation: A clear close below 4320 opens a move toward 4310 / 4300 In this case, the H1–M30 bullish structure is invalidated Risk note: Momentum is very steep → sudden pullbacks are possible. Manage risk tightly and focus on buying at key zones, not emotions.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
10
Gold Is Building the Base for a Fresh ATH — Macro Is the FuelXAUUSD – H1 | Technical Technical Structure Gold is holding above former resistance, now acting as support — a classic post-breakout consolidation. Higher lows remain intact, momentum structure is bullish. Price is compressing just below old ATH, signaling acceptance at high levels, not rejection. Macro Drivers Supporting a New ATH US Dollar weakness: Expectations of rate cuts and slowing US growth continue to pressure USD. Falling real yields: This directly supports gold as a non-yielding asset. Central bank demand: Ongoing accumulation from global central banks keeps long-term demand strong. Geopolitical & macro uncertainty: Sustains safe-haven flows into gold. Scenario Outlook Primary: Short consolidation → breakout → New ATH expansion. Pullbacks: Any retracement toward previous breakout levels is likely buy-the-dip, not trend reversal. Bottom Line Gold is not chasing highs it is building value above resistance. With macro conditions aligned, the probability favors a clean breakout into a new all-time high rather than a major correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation SetupXAUUSD – H1 Timeframe Bullish Analysis Overall Trend XAUUSD is respecting a bullish trendline, which confirms that the market is still in an uptrend. Price is forming higher lows, indicating that buyers are in control of the market. As long as the bullish trendline holds, the market bias remains bullish. Demand Zone The confluence of the demand zone and the bullish trendline strengthens the probability of upward continuation. Buyers are likely to defend this zone. Triangle Pattern Price is forming a symmetrical / ascending triangle. This pattern usually acts as a continuation pattern in an uptrend. Price compression inside the triangle indicates that a strong breakout is likely. Breakout Expectation A clean H1 candle close above the triangle resistance will confirm a bullish breakout. After the breakout, price is expected to move toward the next all-time high (ATH) at 4420. MACD Indicator MACD is showing bullish momentum stabilization. The contraction of the histogram suggests that momentum is building and an expansion may follow soon. A bullish MACD crossover or expansion above the zero line will further support the upside move. Trade Plan (Bullish) Buy Entry: now 4327 or after the triangle breakout. Stop Loss: 4305 Take Profit: TP1: Previous high 4355 TP2: Next resistance 4390 Final Target: ATH 4420 Disclaimer This chart is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves high risk; always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Markovic_VascoView
Ethereum Is Resetting — Not Breaking DownEthereum on the daily timeframe is still trading within a broader corrective structure, with price rotating between a clearly defined support zone around the mid-2,700s and a heavy resistance area overhead. The recent pullback into support shows slowing downside momentum, suggesting that selling pressure is being absorbed rather than aggressively expanded. This zone has historically attracted demand, making the current move more consistent with a technical reset than a continuation of the broader downtrend. From a structural perspective, ETH is attempting to stabilize after a prolonged decline, and the reaction from support will be critical. As long as this demand zone holds, the downside remains corrective in nature, opening the door for a recovery move back toward the upper resistance zone. A sustained push higher would signal that buyers are regaining control and could initiate a larger mean-reversion rally within the higher-timeframe range. From a macro standpoint, Ethereum’s behavior aligns with the broader crypto market environment, where risk assets remain sensitive to liquidity conditions and expectations around U.S. monetary policy. With no decisive tightening shock and ETF-related narratives still providing long-term support to the crypto space, deep downside continuation lacks strong macro confirmation. However, the absence of aggressive liquidity expansion also explains why upside remains corrective rather than impulsive at this stage. In this context, ETH is in a decision zone. Holding support keeps the recovery scenario valid and favors a move back toward resistance, while a clean breakdown would reopen downside risk. Until price leaves this range with conviction, patience remains the edge the trade appears only when structure and macro align with clear intent.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
ETH Isn’t Breaking Yet — It’s Compressing Power Inside the RangeETH/USD – 1H Quick Analysis Ethereum is trading inside a clearly defined sideways range, with price repeatedly rejecting the upper resistance zone (~3,000–3,020) while holding above the support zone (~2,780–2,820). The sharp sell-offs inside the box have been fully absorbed, followed by aggressive rebounds — a classic sign of range accumulation, not distribution. The recent push back toward resistance shows buyers are still active, but lack of acceptance above resistance confirms sellers remain in control at the highs. As long as ETH stays inside this range, price is likely to continue rotating between support and resistance, building liquidity on both sides. Key Levels Resistance: 3,000–3,020 Support: 2,780–2,820 Outlook Acceptance above resistance → expansion toward 3,080–3,120 Rejection → continuation of range rotation Bottom Line This is a wait-for-break structure. The real move starts only when ETH leaves the range with conviction.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1
Gold Is Not Trending. It’s Deciding.GOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H TECHNICAL & MACRO ANALYSIS Market Structure (Technical) - Gold remains in a clear short-term uptrend, still trading above both EMA 34 and EMA 89, confirming bullish structure has not been broken. - Price is currently consolidating below Target 1 (~4348) after a sharp impulsive move, which is typical bullish digestion, not distribution. - The recent pullback respected the weak support zone around 4313–4320, aligning closely with EMA 89 → this indicates buyers are still defending dips. - As long as price holds above the strong support zone (~4270–4280), the broader bullish structure remains intact. Key Levels Resistance / Target 1: ~4348 Target 2 (Old ATH): ~4380 Weak Support: ~4313–4320 Strong Support: ~4270–4280 Scenarios Primary (Bullish continuation – higher probability): Sideways consolidation → higher low → break above 4348 → extension toward 4380 (old ATH) and potential new ATH. Alternative (Deeper pullback, still bullish): Loss of weak support → retrace into strong support → liquidity grab → continuation higher. CONCLUSION Gold is not rejecting resistance it is absorbing liquidity below it. This price behavior, combined with a supportive macro backdrop, strongly favors a continuation move toward the old ATH and beyond, rather than a trend reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
AUDUSD Pressured by the Trendline – Chasing BUYs Is Very RiskyOn the H4 timeframe, AUDUSD presents a very clear technical picture: the primary trend remains bearish / sideways-dow n , and the current upswing is more of a technical pullback into supply rather than a genuine trend reversal. On the chart, price is being pressed down by a descending trendline drawn from prior highs. The zone around 0.6639–0.6640 acts as a key confluence resistance, aligning with the descending trendline and the Ichimoku / previous reaction area. This is the type of zone where price often tags, gets rejected, and reverses if buyers lack sufficient strength. To the downside, 0.6600 stands as the nearest support and a logical downside target if rejection at resistance occurs. Therefore, in the short term, the high-probability scenario is: price rallies to test 0.6640 → gets sold → drops back toward 0.6600. Only if AUDUSD closes a strong H4 candle decisively above 0.6640 and holds above this level would there be a valid case for a broader bullish extension. Wishing you disciplined and successful trading!
Short
by Paradise_Noir
9
BTC Is Being Traded, Not TrendingBTC/USD – 1H Brief Analysis Bitcoin is locked inside a high-liquidity range, where price repeatedly sweeps both highs and lows without follow-through. Sharp moves are quickly faded, confirming rotation and order flow balance, not trend continuation. Price is currently oscillating around the mid-range and key EMAs, showing indecision rather than strength or weakness. As long as BTC remains inside this box, the market’s objective is simple: collect liquidity on both sides. Key Read No clean acceptance → no trend Breakout attempts are being sold Dips are being absorbed, not extended Expectation More range rotation and false breaks until price decisively exits the zone. Bottom Line This is a liquidity environment. Direction becomes tradable only after the range is resolved.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
ETH Is Quiet — But the Next Move Won’t BeETH/USD – H1 Technical Analysis Market Structure: ETH is currently consolidating after a strong rebound from the support zone. Price is compressing just below a key resistance area, indicating balance between buyers and sellers rather than trend continuation or breakdown. Key Zones: Immediate Resistance: The highlighted resistance zone above current price. This area has rejected price multiple times → supply remains active. Support Zone: The lower green zone continues to hold firmly, confirming buyers are defending dips. Price Behavior: Sideways consolidation near resistance = absorption phase, not weakness. No impulsive rejection yet → sellers are not in full control. This structure often precedes volatility expansion. Primary Scenario: If ETH breaks and holds above the resistance zone with volume, upside continuation toward the next resistance cluster becomes likely. Alternative Scenario: A rejection from resistance could send price back to retest the support zone, where buyers are expected to re-enter. Summary: ETH is not trending it is loading liquidity. Patience is key. Wait for a confirmed breakout or a clean rejection before committing risk.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
2
Gold Is Not at a Top — It’s Compressing Below HistoryGold continues to trade in a strong bullish structure on H4, with a clear sequence of higher lows confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. After the impulsive leg up, price is now consolidating directly below the previous highest high around 4,380 a textbook bullish consolidation rather than a distribution phase. This range-bound movement shows that selling pressure is being absorbed, not expanded, as pullbacks remain shallow and demand consistently steps in. As long as price holds above the higher-low base of the consolidation, the broader bias stays bullish, and this sideways action should be viewed as a buildup of pressure. A clean acceptance above the 4,380 resistance zone would likely trigger continuation toward a new ATH, while failure to break simply extends the consolidation, not invalidates the trend. This is a wait for expansion environment patience is the trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gold_Dominator
2
EUR/USD Is Sitting on the Edge — Bounce or Breakdown?EUR/USD – 1H Price is holding at a well-defined support zone (~1.1700) after sustained selling pressure. Momentum is weak, but selling is no longer aggressive → early stabilization. Key Levels Support: 1.1685–1.1705 Resistance: 1.1755–1.1765 Upside target (if bounce holds): 1.1800–1.1810 Scenario Base case: support holds → corrective bounce toward resistance. Failure scenario: clean break below support opens continuation lower. Bottom Line This is a decision zone, not a chase. The move only becomes clear after price reacts at support.
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2